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M&A Trends
September 13, 2017
Macro industry and M&A trends
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Global Insurance Industry: trends in global premium market share
2010:
Total Global Premiums$4.3 Trillion
$1,162 billionUS:
27% market share
$571 billionJapan: 13% market share
$215 billionChina:
5% market share
2016:Total Global Premiums
$4.7 Trillion
$1,352 billion
29% market share
$471 billion
10% market share
$466 billion
10% market share
+ 16%
- 18%
+ 117%
Source: Swiss Re sigma No 3/2017; Swiss Re sigma No 3/2011
+9% change in global premium market size during the current decade, compared to a +20% change in global GDP during the same six year period.
Change in premium
+ 26%
- 10%
+ 99%
Change in GDP
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U.S. Insurance Industry: trends in market share LIFE
Source: SNL FinancialDirect Premiums Written: Life Insurance (No Annuity), Annuity Considerations, Deposit-type Contracts, Other Considerations
TOP 15 LIFE INSURERS CONTINUE TO CONTROL ~2/3RD OF THE MARKET SHARE OVER THE LAST 10 YEARS
PER FIO REPORT (SEPT 2016), THERE ARE ~995 LIFE INSURANCE ENTITIES LICENSED IN THE U.S.
2016 Rank # Life Insurance Groups
2016 Direct Premiums Written
($ billion)
2016 Market
Share %
1 MetLife Inc. 81.4 13.0
2 Prudential Financial Inc. 45.9 7.3
3 New York Life Insurance Group 30.9 4.9
4 Principal Financial Group Inc. 28.2 4.5
5 Massachusetts Mutual Life Ins Co 23.5 3.8
6 American International Group 22.5 3.6
7 Jackson National Life Group 22.1 3.5
8 AXA 21.9 3.5
9 AEGON 21.1 3.4
10 Lincoln National Corp. 19.4 3.1
11 John Hancock 18.9 3.0
12 Voya Financial Inc. 17.6 2.8
13 TIAA 17.1 2.7
14 Nationw ide Mutual Group 15.2 2.4
15 Brighthouse Financial 13.8 2.2
Top 15 399.5 63.9%Top 25 486.2 77.8%
Top 100 617.1 98.7%
Total US Direct Premiums Written 625.2
64 67 67 64
14 12 1314
20 19 19 21
2 2 1 1
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2005 2010 2015 2016
% M
arke
t S
hare
Top 15 Next 10 Next 75 Rest of the Companies
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U.S. Insurance Industry: trends in market share
Source: SNL Financial
TOP 15 P&C INSURERS CONTINUE TO CONTROL >55% OF THE MARKET SHARE OVER THE LAST 10 YEARS
PER FIO REPORT (SEPT 2016), THERE ARE ~2670 P&C INSURANCE ENTITIES LICENSED IN THE U.S.
P&C
2016 Rank # P&C Insurance Groups
2016 Direct Premiums Written
($ billion)
2016 Market
Share %
1 State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins 62.2 10.2
2 Berkshire Hathaw ay Inc. 33.3 5.5
3 Liberty Mutual 32.2 5.3
4 Allstate Corp. 30.9 5.1
5 Progressive Corp. 24.0 3.9
6 Travelers Companies Inc. 23.9 3.9
7 Chubb Ltd. 20.8 3.4
8 Nationw ide Mutual Group 19.8 3.3
9 Farmers Insurance Group of Cos 19.7 3.2
10 USAA Insurance Group 18.3 3.0
11 American International Group 15.6 2.6
12 Zurich Insurance Group 12.9 2.1
13 Hartford Financial Services 11.3 1.9
14 CNA Financial Corp. 10.3 1.7
15 American Family Insurance Grp 7.8 1.3
Top 15 343.0 56.4%Top 25 399.1 65.7%
Top 100 526.8 86.7%
Total US Direct Premiums Written 607.8
58 58 56 56
7 8 9 10
20 20 21 21
15 14 14 13
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2005 2010 2015 2016
% M
arke
t S
hare
Top 15 Next 10 Next 75 Rest of the Companies
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11.95 11.87
11.56
12.63
11.1110.95
11.39
10.9811.07
10.8310.65
10.82
10.00
11.00
12.00
13.00
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Life Sector - Leverage Ratio
Leverage Ratio
U.S. Insurance Industry: trends in capital & surplus LIFE
Source: SNL Financial
… Capital & Surplus at record high of $381 billion (2016)
10 year average: 11.20
… General account assets - to - Surplus ratio below 10 year average, indicative of current excess capacity
244 253267
252
291306 310
327 332354
367 381
0
100
200
300
400
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Life Sector - Capital & Surplus
Capital & Surplus
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0.99
0.900.84
0.95
0.820.76
0.79 0.770.72 0.73 0.76 0.75
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
P&C Sector - Leverage Ratio
Leverage Ratio
U.S. Insurance Industry: trends in capital & surplus
Source: SNL Financial
… Capital & Surplus at record high of $712 billion (2016)
10 year average: 0.79
… Net premiums written - to - Surplus ratio close to 10 year average, indicative of current capacity
P&C
432
497529
462
518562 560
595
667689 687
712
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
P&C Sector - Capital & Surplus
Capital & Surplus
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Profitability (P&C) - $ billion 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Net Underwriting Gain (Loss) (8) (35) (14) 17 14 11 (2)
Net Investment Income 48 51 50 49 55 49 48
Net Realized Capital Gain (Loss) 8 8 9 18 12 10 8
Other (2) (0) (0) (2) (6) (1) (2)
Federal Income Tax (9) (3) (6) (12) (10) (10) (7)
Net Income 37 20 38 72 65 58 45
Net yield on invested assets 3.73 3.83 3.68 3.43 3.65 3.18 3.08
Profitability (Life) - $ billion 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Net Underwriting and Other Income (112) (140) (107) (115) (123) (116) (107)
Net Investment Income 164 167 167 167 172 171 173
Net Realized Capital Gain (Loss) (16) (9) (9) (1) (1) (4) (11)
Federal Income Tax (9) (5) (10) (9) (10) (11) (16)
Net Income 28 14 40 42 38 40 39
Net yield on invested assets 5.24 5.10 4.92 4.85 4.83 4.66 4.56
US Insurance Industry: trends in profitability
LIFE
P&C
Source: SNL Financial
… Profitability primarily dependenton investment Income…
… however, net yield on invested assets continue to decline
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U.S. Insurance Industry: trends in valuations
Source: SNL Financial
Price – to – Book Ratio (median): Price change v/s S&P 500 (over last 12 months):
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U.S. Life Insurance M&A: recent transaction trends
Foreign buyers
Private Equity buyers
LIFEBuyer Buyer Country Life Insurance Targets Target Country Seller Date Value
CF Corporation USA Fidelity & Guaranty Life USA HRG Group Inc. 5/24/2017 1,835
China Oceanwide Holdings Group Co. Ltd China Genworth Financial Inc USA Genworth Financial Inc. 10/23/2016 2,751
Munich Re Germany Financial Reassurance Co. 201 Ltd USA Citigroup Inc. 9/23/2016 342
Protective Life Corporation USA Blocks of term life insurance USA Genworth Financial, Inc. 9/30/2015 661
AXA France Lifestyle protection insurance business USA Genworth Financial, Inc. 9/17/2015 536
Sun Life Financial Inc. Canada Employee benefits business USA Assurant, Inc. 9/9/2015 940
Sumitomo Life Insurance Company Japan Symetra Financial Corporation USA Investor Group 8/11/2015 3,727
Meiji Yasuda Life Insurance Company Japan StanCorp Financial Group, Inc. USA StanCorp Financial Group, Inc. 7/23/2015 5,002
New York Li fe Insurance Company USA Insurance pol icies of John Hancock Financia l USA Manul i fe Financia l Corporation 12/23/2014 334
Reinsurance Group of America , Incorporated USA Term l i fe insurance pol icies USA Voya Financia l , Inc. 8/15/2014 448
Dai-ichi Life Insurance Company, Limited Japan Protective Life Corporation USA Protective Life Corporation 6/3/2014 5,580
GreyCastle Holdings Ltd. Bermuda XL's Life Reinsurance subsidiary Bermuda XL Group plc 5/1/2014 570
Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board Canada Wilton Re Holdings Limited Bermuda Investor group 3/21/2014 1,800
Global Atlantic Financial Group USA Forethought Financial Group, Inc. USA Forethought Financial Group, Inc. 9/26/2013 650
Resolution Group United Kingdom Lincoln Benefit Life Company USA Allstate Corporation 7/17/2013 600
SCOR SE France US life reinsurance business USA Assicurazioni Generali SpA 6/3/2013 920
Protective Li fe Corporation USA MONY Li fe Insurance Company USA AXA 4/10/2013 1,056
Athene Holding Ltd. Bermuda Aviva USA Corporation USA Aviva Plc 12/21/2012 1,550
Guggenheim Capital, LLC USA Sun Life Assurance Company of Canada (U.S.), USA Sun Life Financial Inc. 12/17/2012 1,350
Prudentia l Financia l , Inc. USA Hartford’s Individual Li fe Insurance bus iness USA Hartford Financia l Services Group, Inc. 9/27/2012 615
Massachusetts Mutual Li fe Insurance Company USA Reti rement plans bus iness USA Hartford Financia l Services Group, Inc. 9/4/2012 400
Athene Group Ltd. Cayman Islands Presidential Life Corporation USA Presidential Life Corporation 7/13/2012 414
Prudential Public Limited Company United Kingdom SRLC America Holding Corp. USA Swiss Re Limited 5/31/2012 621
Guggenheim Capital, LLC USA EquiTrust Life Insurance Company USA FBL Financial Group, Inc. 10/7/2011 440
HDI (Haftpflichtverband der Deutschen Industrie V.a.G.) Germany Block of reinsurance USA Scottish Re Group Limited 4/18/2011 565
ACE Limited Switzerland New York Life Insurance Subsidiaries USA New York Life Insurance Company 10/26/2010 425
Athene Holding Ltd. Bermuda Liberty Life Insurance Company USA Royal Bank of Canada 10/22/2010 628
Protective Li fe Corporation USA United Investors Li fe Insurance Company USA Torchmark Corporation 9/14/2010 311
Harbinger Capital Partners LLC USA Old Mutual U.S. Life Holdings, Inc. USA Old Mutual Plc 8/6/2010 350
MetLife, Inc. USA American Life Insurance Company USA American International Group, Inc. 3/8/2010 15,545
Source: SNL; Note: The above table includes select domestic (including Bermuda) Li fe M&A transactions s ince January 1, 2010 with transaction va lue over $300 mi l l ion.
U.S. Life Insurance M&A activity has primarily been driven by foreign acquirers and private equity backed deals in recent years
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U.S. P&C Insurance M&A: recent transaction trends
Foreign buyers
Reinsurance sector related
P&CBuyer Buyer Country P&C Insurance Targets Target Country Seller Date Value
Axis Capital Holdings Ltd Bermuda Novae Group plc UK Novae Group plc 8/25/2017 612
Markel Corporation USA State National Companies , Inc. USA State National Companies , Inc. 7/26/2017 923
Intact Financial Corporation Canada OneBeacon Insurance Bermuda White Mountain Insurance Group 5/2/2017 1,732
Liberty Mutual Holding Co. USA Ironshore Inc. Bermuda Fosun International Holdings 12/5/2016 3,000
Sompo Holdings Inc Japan Endurance Speciality Holdings, Ltd Bermuda Endurance Speciality Holdings, Ltd 10/5/2016 6,304
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. USA Medica l Liabi l i ty Mutual Insurance Co. USA Medica l Liabi l i ty Mutual Insurance Co. 7/18/2016 1,452
Arch Capi ta l Group Ltd. Bermuda United Guaranty Corporation USA American International Group, Inc. 8/15/2016 3,425
Exor SpA Italy PartnerRe Ltd. Bermuda PartnerRe Ltd. 8/3/2015 6,606
China Minsheng Investment Corp., Ltd. China Sirius International Insurance Group, Ltd. Bermuda White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. 7/27/2015 2,235
ACE Limited Switzerland Chubb Corporation USA Chubb Corporation 7/1/2015 28,240
Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. Japan HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc. USA HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc. 6/10/2015 7,497
Fosun International Holdings Ltd. BVI Ironshore Inc. Bermuda Ironshore Inc. 5/3/2015 2,098
Endurance Specialty Holdings Ltd. Bermuda Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd. Bermuda Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd. 3/31/2015 1,394
XL Group plc Ireland Catlin Group Limited Bermuda Catlin Group Limited 1/9/2015 4,280
Fosun International Holdings Ltd. BVI Meadowbrook Insurance Group, Inc. USA Meadowbrook Insurance Group, Inc. 12/30/2014 433
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Bermuda Radian Asset Assurance Inc. USA Radian Group Inc. 12/23/2014 810
Progress ive Corporation USA ARX Holding Corp. USA Investor group 12/16/2014 875
RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. Bermuda Platinum Underwriters Holdings, Ltd. Bermuda Platinum Underwriters Holdings, Ltd. 11/24/2014 1,671
Validus Holdings, Ltd. Bermuda Western World Insurance Group, Inc. USA Wendron Curacao Holdings B.V. 6/23/2014 690
TPG Capita l Management, L.P. USA Warranty Group, Inc. USA Onex Corporation 3/21/2014 1,225
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Bermuda S.A.C. Re Holdings, Ltd. Bermuda S.A.C. Re Holdings, Ltd. 12/9/2013 625
American Fami ly Mutual Insurance Company USA Homes i te Group Incorporated USA Investor group 9/4/2013 616
Enstar Group Limited Bermuda Torus Insurance Holdings Limited (Bermuda) Bermuda Investor group 7/9/2013 652
Markel Corporation USA Alterra Capital Holdings Limited Bermuda Alterra Capital Holdings Limited 12/19/2012 3,100
Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. Japan Delphi Financial Group, Inc. USA Delphi Financial Group, Inc. 12/21/2011 2,891
Al leghany Corporation USA Transatlantic Holdings , Inc. USA Transatlantic Holdings , Inc. 11/21/2011 3,535
Nationwide Mutual Insurance Company USA Harleysvi l le Group Inc. USA Harleysvi l le Group Inc. 9/29/2011 816
Al l s tate Corporation USA White Mounta ins Inc. and Answer Financia l Inc. USA White Mounta ins Insurance Group, Ltd. 5/18/2011 1,000
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. USA Wesco Financia l Corporation USA Wesco Financia l Corporation 2/7/2011 548
QBE Insurance Group Limited Australia Balboa insurance business USA Bank of America Corporation 2/3/2011 700
ACE Limited Switzerland Rain and Hail Insurance Service Incorporated USA Rain and Hail Insurance Service Incorporated 9/14/2010 1,100
QBE Insurance Group Limited Australia NAU Holding Company, LLC USA Lightyear Capital, LLC 4/16/2010 565
Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited Canada Zenith National Insurance Corp. USA Zenith National Insurance Corp. 2/18/2010 1,319
Source: SNL; Note: The above table includes select domestic (including Bermuda) P&C M&A transactions s ince January 1, 2010 with transaction va lue over $500 mi l l ion.
U.S. P&C Insurance M&A activity has primarily been driven by foreign acquirers, and deals in the reinsurance and specialty insurance sectors in recent years
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Challenges & opportunities• Challenges with organic growth and operating cost management continue
• Industry profitability primarily dependent on investment income, however investment portfolio yields continue to decline
• Key macro trends – lower interest rates, pressure on profitability, underwriting losses, changing consumer behaviors, etc. - have continued for too long
• Marginal growth in U.S. premiums, accelerated growth in China, and shrinking market in Japan
• U.S. Insurance M&A activity primarily driven by foreign acquirers and private equity backed deals in the Life sector; and reinsurance & specialty insurance deals in the P&C sector
• Capital & surplus are at record highs across both Life & P&C sectors
• Opportunity to strategically allocate capital towards strategy-aligned M&A, partnerships & alliances, and corporate venture capital investments in technology-enabled innovations
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What we could expect?
To succeed in this dynamic environment organizations are reevaluating
their portfolio of businesses and rationalizing their global footprint to
strategically determine ‘where to play’ and ‘how to win’ in the future.
One of the immediate consequences of this trend
could be the expected rise in deal activity
in the global insurance industry
M&A Outlook & Trends in Corporate M&A Execution
KPMG commissioned a survey of 200 global insurance executives to learn about their perspectives and outlook for M&A, corporate strategy and innovation (in Q4 2016)
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Demand for transformation — and deals — is on the rise
Insurers are getting more strategic about ‘where they will play’ and ‘how they will win’ in the future.
Considered by many to be ripe for disruption, the global insurance industry clearly expects a rise in deal activity.
Source: KPMG International, 2017
Insurers are ready to deploy capital for longer-term strategic growth.
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Motivations driving M&A and Divestitures
33% 38%
business model transformation and enhancement is the #1 motivator for corporate M&A activity across the industry
rebalancing of portfolio for poor business performance by particular unit(s) and rationalization of global foot print, seen as the top motivator for divestitures
Source: KPMG International, 2017
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— The majority of respondents said they intend to enter into at least one to three strategic partnerships.
— Asia-Pacific is expected to see the most partnerships and alliances forged, with China and India ranking as the top two destinations in the region.
— 69% intend to forge strategic partnerships and alliances with larger firms (those with values ranging from US$250 million to US$1 billion).
Partnerships emerge as the preferred vehicle for operating model transformation
Source: KPMG International, 2017
Vs.
Vs.
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— 62% of insurers are either active or plan to set a corporate venture capital capability
— 54% are focusing VC investments on non-insurance technologies
— 25% have allocated over US$1 billion
— 90 percent say the median value of their investments will range between US$10 million and US$50 million.
Corporate venture capital to drive innovation
Insurers focus most of their VC investment activities in the following areas:
Source: KPMG International, 2017
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Strategy-alignment is a critical success factor
To successfully:
• transform their business model;• modernize their operating model; and • enhance customer engagement
insurers expect to closely align their corporate development and M&A activities with their corporate strategy and innovation initiatives.
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However, there is still some work to do
37%
47%
50%
40%
Just
said that their approach to M&A is largely reactive
of insurers with M&A teams think their objectives are highly aligned to strategy when identifying goals
believe they are less aligned when it comes to evaluating potential risks associated with integrating/separating the target’s operating model.
said they are just moderately aligned when evaluating partnerships and alliances
What’s expected next?
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What’s expected next?• Continued challenges with top line growth & profitability expected to drive a more strategy-aligned focus to M&A activity
• Cross-border M&A activity expected to be driven by companies that are reevaluating their portfolio of businesses and rationalizing their global footprint
• Potential acquirers from Asia expected to continue seeking global expansion for further diversification of risks and earnings, and acquiring industry know-how & capabilities from the developed world
• Consolidation among smaller companies to achieve cost synergies expected over the medium to long-term in more developed economies if current global economic uncertainties & challenging growth trends persists in the global insurance industry
• Portfolio rationalization & strategic repositioning of businesses expected to drive further business modularization, separation, and divestiture of non-core businesses & legacy blocks of businesses
• Business modularization strategy is expected to drive acquisitive companies to refocus & rethink their post-merger integration approach & activities as they evaluate integration / separation risks associated with operating models of acquisition targets
• Relatively more partnerships, alliances, and joint ventures expected to emerge as insurers increasingly focus on strategy-aligned transactions and innovation initiatives for targeted growth
• Senior insurance management executives, and in certain instances on direction of their Board of Directors, are developing an enterprise-wide M&A playbook to ensure better governance and a more strategy-aligned focus to their M&A activity
Thank you
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