why is environmental analysis necessary
TRANSCRIPT
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Why is environmental analysis necessary
Environmental scanning provides a broader
perspective to corporate planners in formulatingplans and policies while reports on market research
and economic forecasts are helpful in a limited way.
On the basis of an enquiry into the relationshipbetween environmental analysis and success of firms
in U.S.A , it was observed that there was a high
degree of correlation between the two variables.
The archetype of successful firms were those in which
the management devoted considerable time in
environmental analysis and used suitable techniques
for the purpose
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3. Indicators relating to individual enterprises, e.g.,
for a company manufacturing agricultural
pumpsets for irrigationthe progress of rural
electrification ;for a transport company-planned
investment in the expansion of railway tracts and
haulage capacity, road construction, costs of fuel
and user needs for additional freight capacity.
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Approaches to the environmental scanning process
Different approaches have been suggested , which
are briefly outlined below:1. PEST analysis:
Johnson and Scholes have suggested that it may
be useful as a starting point to enquire whatenvironmental influence have been important in
the past and the extent to which there are changes
occurring which may make any of these more or
less significant in the future for the organization
and its competitors.
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h bl f d f bl h
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The possible factors identifiable in the respective
categories are listed as illustrative of western
countries
Political/legal : monopolies legislation ;environmentalprotection laws; taxation policy; foreign traderegulations; employment law; government stbility.
Economic : business cycles;GNP trends; interest rates;
money supply; inflation; unemployment ; disposableincome; energy availability and cost.
Socio cultural: population demographics ; incomedistribution; social mobility; life style changes; attitudeto work and leisure; consumerism; levels of education.
Technological: government spending on research;industry focus on technological effort; new discoveries/developments; spend of technology transfer; rates ofobsolescence.
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Structural analysis of competitive environment
A structural approach to examining the competitiveenvironment of an organization has been suggested by
Michael Porter. Porter identified five basic forces which, according to
him, determine the intensity and state of competitionin an industry, and the collective impact which
determine the long run profit potential in the industry. The basic forces are
1. Degree of competitive rivalry among competitors.
2. Threat of entry posed by potential entrants.3. Threat of actual or potential substitutes.
4. Bargaining power of suppliers.
5. Bargaining power of customers.
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Information inputsInformation scanning requires information inputs
which can be derived from different sources :
1. Verbal information from such sources as the audio
visual media (radio and television); conversation
among employees, managers , supervisors and
subordinates, customers , distributors of the
companys products (wholesalers, dealers,
retailers); suppliers; competitors and their
employees; financial executives in banks; stockbrokers; consultants ; government employees.
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2. Written and documentary information from
newspapers , trade journals, industry newsletters,
annual reports, documented clipping services.
3. Information made available through the
management information system which is specially
designed to serve the needs of strategic planners.
4. Forecasting and reports based on forecasts
regarding changes in economic , social and
financial conditions available from governmental
agencies and other specialized consultancy serviceorganizations .
A b f bli i i I di id l bl
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A number of publications in India provide valuable
information and forecasts relating to environmental
conditions :
Economic survey published annually by theMinistry of Finance, economic division, Govt. ofIndia
Five year plans and mid term survey reports onplanned development published by the PlanningCommission.
Decennial Census reports, Govt. of India .
Reserve bank of India Bulletins (monthly) andannual reports on Currency and Finance.
Business intelligence and Data published by the
Centre of Monitoring Indian Economy.
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Indian trade journal (weekly) published by the Directorate
General of Commercial Intelligence and Statistics, Kolkata
Economic trends (fortnightly) published by the Federation
of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry, New Delhi. Yojana (fortnightly) published by the Planning commission.
Economic Times (Mumbai, New Delhi), Financial Express
(New Delhi) and Business Standard Capital (Kolkata)-dailies. Business India (Mumbai), Business World Capital (Kolkata)-
fortnightly; Commerce (Mumbai)-weekly.
Bombay Stock Exchange directory ;
Foreign trade (monthly) published by the Indian Institute of
Foreign Trade, New Delhi.
Th f ll i bli ti l ti t i t ti l
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The following publications relating to international
business provide economic, trade and financial data1. United nations publications : World Economic Survey
(Annual); Statistical yearbook(Annual); InternationalFinancial Statistics (Monthly); Economic Survey of Asiaand the Far East(Annual); Economic Survey of Latin
America(Annual); Commodity Trade Statistics
(Quarterly and Annual); Yearbook of InternationalTrade Statistics: Economic Bulletins for Europe, LatinAmerica and Africa (Bi Annuals).
2. Annual Report on Exchange Restrictions published by
the International Monetary Fund.3. Fortnightly , monthly and quarterly
Bulletins/Newsletters/Journalspublished by theExport Promotion Councils of different products.
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4. Monthly statistics of the Foreign Trade of India in
two volumes published by the Department of
Commercial Intelligence and Statistics.
5. Indian export service Bulletin (weekly) published by
the Trade fair Authority of India.
6. Overseas Business Reports published by the United
States Department of Commerce.
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n e as s o a survey o me um an arge n ancompanies in 1983.it was found that the executives had their
order of preferences regarding sources of information as
follows:
Guidelines to industries published by the UnionMinistry of Industries Govt. of India.
Data from industry sources (Association, Forums,
etc.) Market survey by consultants or under own
arrangement
Projection of past performance into future. Foreign magazines and publications and foreign
market intelligence.
Competitors activities.
f
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Use of scenario
Scenario may be used for the interpretation of a
fluid , rapidly changing business environment with
an uncertain future.
Scenario may be regarded as stories about the
future.
Typical scenarios include qualitative and
quantitative description of the more important
social , political, economic, demographic,
technological and other condition.
Describe the basic trends , assumptions, conditions
and dynamics of the factors relating to the future
period that the scenario covers.
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Political conditionThe impact of political instability , unrest andthreats to law and order.
The sources of political risks may be
1. competing political ideologies,
2. vested interest in local business groups,
3. electoral majority of the party in power
4. internal dissensions within the ruling party
5. insurgencies in border areas
6. international power alignments and alliances
7. foreign economic policies of government abroad
8. strength of the parliamentary opposition parties
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Legal/Regulatory conditions and Government PoliciesSome of the policy measures adopted are as follows:
Abolition of industrial licensing for all projects except
for a short list of industries. Automatic clearance of capital goods imports for
projects where foreign exchange availability is ensuredthrough foreign exchange availability is ensuredthrough foreign equity.
Approval of direct foreign investment up to 51% foreignequity in high priority industries as also for trading
companies primarily engaged in export activities. Removal of the threshold limits of assets in respect of
MRTP companies and dominant undertakings, thuseliminating the requirement of prior
T h l i l di i
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Technological conditionsBright has suggested the following guidelines foreffective appraisal of significant technological
advances1. Searching the environment for signals that may be
forerunners of significant technological change.
2. Identifying the possible consequences (assuming that
these signals are not false and the trends that theysuggest persist).
3. Choosing the parameters ,policies, events, anddecisions that should be observed and followed to
verify the true speed and direction of technology andthe effects of employing it.
4. Presenting the data from the foregoing steps in atimely and appropriate manner for managements use
in decisions about the organizations reaction.
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Business conditions
Two other aspects of business environment which
need to be monitored for strategic planning are themarket conditions and the availability of raw
materials and components required for
manufacturing activities.
Di i A t f t iti
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Diagnosis :Assessment of opportunities
and threatsEnvironmental analysis cannot be complete without
diagnosis of the results of analysis.
This actually involves assessment of the
opportunities and threats identified in the process
of analysis.
The three aspects of the diagnostic exercise which
need to be kept in view,
1. The role and characteristics of the planners
2. The planners job
3. Nature of the environment
How well the diagnosis is carried however depends also on
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How well the diagnosis is carried , however depends also onthe characteristics of the planners. The more important
determining factors in that respect are :The age and experience of the executives.
The motivation and aspiration level which are governed by:
a. The felt need of achievement, affiliation and power
b. The rewards for performance linked with long run resultsrather than short term attainments.
Perceptual factors, i.e., pre disposition towards theuncertainty of future conditions which include
a. Risk oriented and willingness to take risks.
b. Ability to reflect rather than acting on impulse.
c. Dogmatism or closed beliefd. Ability to deal with abstract concepts and ideas.
Psychological moods reflecting optimism and pessimism.
Psychological preparedness to accept change.
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ETOP: A technique of Diagnosis .Assessment of the environmental information and
determining the relative significance of threats and
opportunities require a systematic evaluation of the
information developed in the course of
environmental analysis
For this purpose , preparation of a profile of
environmental threat and opportunity (ETOP) is
considered to be a useful device.
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Components of the Managerial Environment