why do banks reward their customers to use their credit cards?€¦ · increased consumption from...

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Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards? S iA l S iA l Sumit Agarwal Sumit Agarwal Sujit Chakravorti Sujit Chakravorti Anna Lunn Anna Lunn Bank of Canada Bank of Canada November 18 2011 November 18 2011 November 18, 2011 November 18, 2011 These views do not necessarily represent those of the Federal Reserve These views do not necessarily represent those of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago or the Federal Reserve System

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Page 1: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?

S i A lS i A lSumit AgarwalSumit AgarwalSujit ChakravortiSujit Chakravorti

Anna LunnAnna Lunn

Bank of CanadaBank of CanadaNovember 18 2011November 18 2011November 18, 2011November 18, 2011

These views do not necessarily represent those of the Federal ReserveThese views do not necessarily represent those of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago or the Federal Reserve System

Page 2: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Outline

Motivation

Data

Empirical Strategy

ResultsResults

Page 3: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Research Questions

Why do banks give cash-back rewards?

Do rewards increase cardholder spending?

Do rewards increase cardholder debt?

Are rewards used to steal customers from other issuers?

Does debt increase over all credit cards?

Page 4: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

2009 Card Issuer Revenue and Costs2009 Card Issuer Revenue and Costs

3% 3% 1%

RevenuesAnnual Fees Cash Advance Enhancements

Penalty Fees Interest Interchange1%

ExpensesFraud Operations/Marketing Cost of Funds Chargeoffs

1%

8%18%29%

59%

67%

11%59%

Page 5: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Related Literature

Behavioral responses and time inconsistency in credit card markets (Ausubel 1991 and Laibson 1997)markets (Ausubel 1991 and Laibson 1997)

Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002)

Rewards and payment choice (Ching and Hayashi 2010)p y ( g y )

Banks use rewards to entice consumers to carry more debt and use finance charges to subsidize rewards (Chakravorti anduse finance charges to subsidize rewards (Chakravorti and Emmons 2003)

Page 6: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Data

From large national US financial institution

Monthly data on spending, payment, and balances along with timing of rewards programs from June 2000 to June 20022002

Close to 12,000 accounts

Quarterly credit bureau data

Page 7: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Data

Advantages

Large dataset with little measurement errorMonthly time series useful to study high frequency

Disadvantages

M i it f t i dit d tMain unit of account is credit card accountDo not observe total spending (cash, check, debit card)

Page 8: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Cash-back Incentive

1% cash back given to certain cardholders in the middle of1% cash back given to certain cardholders in the middle of the sample period

90 percent of cardholders redeem cash back at some point90 percent of cardholders redeem cash back at some point

Average redemption is $10 and average total redemption is $25$25

Page 9: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Table 1 – Summary Statistics

Mean SD

D b C d (T l U id B l ) 2574 3079Debt on Card (Total Unpaid Balance) 2574 3079

Total Purchase Amount 213 777

Total Payment Amount 292 900

FICO Score 727 52

Total Balance on All Cards 10013 13589

Total Credit Cards 5 4Total Credit Cards 5 4

Income 58249 97040

Age 48 13

Page 10: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Empirical Strategy

Compare card spending and change in card debt 1 month before to 3, 6, or 9 months after

Yit = f (cash back indicator, time indicator, account controls, demographic controls, portfolio controls)g p p )

Where Yit is monthly card spending, change in card debt, or change in credit bureau quarterly balance

Using OLS estimation with individual fixed effects and clustered standard errors

Page 11: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Selection Issues

Some statistical differences exist between treated and untreated groups for some variables but bias is not systematic

Bank is unlikely to select certain types of customers for y ypcash-back due to regulatory concerns

If targeting occurred, the bank should have targeted more g g , gnon-revolvers to increase revenue

Page 12: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Spending, Change in Debt, Change in Overall Balancess

75

65.16(14.26)

74.81(14.13)

55

57.99(16.27)

( )

38.34

35 30.28(27.87)

38.34(26.39)

1511.59

(31.90)

11.94(46.71)

-24.45( )

-5

(36.99)

Total Balance ChangeSpending Debt Change

-253 Months 6 Months 9 Months

-16.15(38.96)

Page 13: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Debt and No-Debt Cardholders(3 Months)( )

100

78.78

60

80

50.61(27.65)

56.51(22.46)

(40.77)

58.23(64.94)

40

( 65)

0

20

-12.66(47.41)

-9.11(76.97)

-20

Spending Debt Change Total Balance Change

No Debt Debt

Page 14: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Transactors and Inactive Cardholders(3 Months)

150111.87(23 8 )

50

100

(23.81)

20.8641.41

(49 78) 24.86

0

50

Spending Debt Change Total Balance Change

(68.76)(49.78)

(101.51)

100

-50

Spe d g ebt C a ge ota a a ce C a ge

-70.87(49.37)

-150

-100

Transactors Inactive

( )

-126.49(124.47)

Transactors Inactive

Page 15: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Single vs. Married

100

Spending

80

90

50

60

70

ng/

Mon

th

single

30

40Spen

din

married

0

10

20

0

3 Months 6 Months 9 Months

Page 16: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Gender

100

Spending

70

80

90

50

60

70

ing/

Mon

th

male

30

40Spen

di

female

10

20

0

3 Months 6 Months 9 Months

Page 17: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Income

70

80

90

Spending

30

40

50

60

70

pen

din

g/M

onth

Less than $40k

Greater than $40k

0

10

20

3 Months 6 Months 9 Months

Sp

D bt Ch

60

70

80

th

Debt Change

20

30

40

50

bt C

han

ge/M

on

Less than $40k

Greater than $40k

-10

0

10

3 Months 6 Months 9 Months

Deb

Page 18: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Credit Limit

140

160

Spending

60

80

100

120

Spen

din

gLess Than $6k

$6k-12K

G t th $12k

0

20

40

3 Months 6 Months 9 Months

Greater than $12k

150

200

h

Debt Change

50

100

t C

han

ge/M

onth

Less Than $6k

$6k-12K

Greater than $12k

-50

0

3 Months 6 Months 9 Months

Deb

t

Page 19: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Card Utilization – Debt/Credit Limit

80

90

Spending

30

40

50

60

70

endi

ng/

Mon

th

Less than 50%

Greater than 50%

0

10

20

3 Months 6 Months 9 Months

Spe

D bt Ch

60

80

100

h

Debt Change

20

0

20

40

3 Months 6 Months 9 Monthst C

han

ge/M

onth

Less than 50%

Greater than 50%

-80

-60

-40

-20

Deb

t

Page 20: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

APR Reduction

Certain individuals are offered interest reductions

These reductions average 10%

Unlike cash back, APR reductions occur throughout the sample period

Page 21: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Impact of APR Reduction on Spending, Debt and Change in Total Balance

300

350 329.99(113.05)

200

250

300

203.34(57.94)

257.21(41.96)

100

150

200 3 Month6 Month9 Month

0

50

100

0

3 month 6 month 9 month

Page 22: Why Do Banks Reward their Customers to Use their Credit Cards?€¦ · Increased consumption from increased credit lines or lower interest rates (Gross and Souleles 2002) Rewards

Conclusion

Cash-back rewards increase card spending

The overall balance held across all credit cards does not change, which suggests that consumers substitute spending to cards that provide rewardscards that provide rewards

Cash-back rewards are an effective tool for issuers to increase spending on a specific card (top of wallet)spending on a specific card (top-of-wallet)

APR reductions tend to shift more spending than cash-back rewards