what could be the benchmark for solar module cost? - … · 2016-09-26 · what could be the...

1Laboratory for Thin Films and Photovoltaics Materials Science and Technology

What could be the benchmark for solar module cost?

“In 2015, Tier 1 suppliers with manufacturing centers located in Western countries and Japan produced PV modules at $0.60 per Watt. During the same time period, Tier 1 producers in China were 22% cheaper ($0.47 per Watt) while producers in Singapore and Malaysia were 10% cheaper ($0.54 per Watt). “

Read more: http://www.pv-magazine.com/news/details/beitrag/ihs-examines-22-price-gap-between-modules-from-china-and-global-rivals_100024204/#ixzz46NCPruAD


Dubai Shatters all Records for Cost of Solar with Earth’s Largest Solar Power Plant

Source: Article by Dr. Moritz Borgmann, Partner Apricum – The Cleantech Advisoryhttp://www.apricum-group.com/dubai-shatters-records-cost-solar-earths-largest-solar-power-plant/

“ The Emirate of Dubai set a new world record for the cost of solar power on May 1, 2016 with the Dubai Electricity and Water Authority (DEWA) receiving bids for the 800 MW Sheikh Maktoum Solar Park Phase III as low as 3.00 U.S. cents per kilowatt-hour (kWh). This not only marks the lowest cost ever for solar power, but also easily beats all available fossil-fuel options in Dubai on cost.”

Phase 1 of the Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum Solar Park. Source: First Solar.

Lowest three bids: 0.3 to 3.96 cents/kWhWorld-record solar now beats fossil fuels on cost

Materials Science and Technology 3Laboratory for Thin Films and Photovoltaics /

Laboratory for Thin Films and PhotovoltaicsEmpa- Swiss Federal Laboratories for Material Science and Technology

Dübendorf, Switzerland

Ayodhya Nath Tiwari

Role of CIGS in future PV – The CIGS white paper


“A white paper is an authoritative report or guide that informs readers concisely about a complex issue and presents the issuing body's philosophy on the matter. It is meant to help readers understand an issue, solve a problem, or make a decision.”

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/White_paper

In business-to-business marketing“…These white papers are long-form content designed to promote the products or services from a specific company. As a marketing tool, these papers use selected facts and logical arguments to build a case favorable to the company….”

White papers are sales and marketing documents used to entice or persuade potential customers to learn more about or purchase a particular product, service, technology or methodology.

What is the purpose of the white paper and for whom?

http://cigs-pv.net/


Evolution of record efficiencies highlighting an increased slope since 2014; 2016–2019 projections based on current R & D projects.

Low cost CIGS PV modules can provide electricity below € 0.05/kWh (LCOE) and contribute to CO2 reduction in a significant manner

Source: http://cigs-pv.net/cigs-white-paper-initiative/

Why Invest in CIGS Thin-Film Technology?

Needs update


Source: http://cigs-pv.net/

Projected CIGS production cost using presently available technology and leveraging further cost reduction potentials

Projected production cost: $0.4/Wp to $ 0.25/Wp

ALICE SPRINGS TEST SITE: SOLIBRO SYSTEM CHRISTIAN WEISS (PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT) JUNE 2015 9

ALICE SPRINGS TEST SITE: SOLIBRO PERFORMANCE

100%

102%

104%

106%

108%

110%

112%

114%

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Sep,Oct10

Nov,Dec10

Jan,Feb11

Mar,Apr11

May,Jun11

Jul,Aug11

Sep,Oct11

Nov,Dec11

Jan,Feb12

Mar,Apr12

May,Jun12

Jul,Aug12

Sep,Oct12

Nov,Dec12

Jan,Feb13

Mar,Apr13

May,Jun13

Jul,Aug13

Sep,Oct13

Nov,Dec13

Jan,Feb14

Mar,Apr14

May,Jun14

Jul,Aug14

Sep,Oct14

Nov,Dec14

Jan,Feb15

Mar,Apr15

Ratio

(Sol

ibro

/ Q.ce

lls) [

]

Aver

age d

aily y

ield

[kW

h/kW

p]

Solibro "system 27" [kWh/kWp·d] Q.cells multi "system 25" [kWh/kWp·d] Ratio (Solibro / Q.cells) [ ]

56 MONTHS PERFORMANCE TRACK RECORD

SOLIBRO SYSTEM operates with average daily yield of ≈ 5.7 kWh/kWp (>2000 kWh/kWp·a) exceeds yield of a crystalline system by more than 7% in average


Levelized cost of electricity for different technologies

Source: Fraunhofer ISE/ IPA Dec. 2013 „study for planning and construction of a xGW factory for the production of forward looking PV products in Germany, data calculated for 0.5 GWp/a. Ref. location PV Sevilla / Spain: 1.880 kW/m2*a


3.1 MWp of CIS modules near Bonnhof, Germany (Solar Frontier)

BIPV with CIGS modules in Sweden (Solibro)

Source: http://cigs-pv.net/cigs-thin-film-projects/BIPV with 500 m² of CIGS modules (Manz AG)

Lightweight flexible CIGS module (Flisom)

Applications of CIGS: from buildings to utility scale ground mount


Role of CIGS in future PV – The CIGS white paper Role: How far in future?

While the future might appear uncertain, we can target it with certainty and prepare for our role!

Role for “profitability” and “sustainable growth”

Follow the herd (join the club of 92%) or be distinctive with unique features?

Identify unique opportunities and deliver “better solutions” and “profitable values”

Observer/Customer is not a technical genius but looking for “benefits” and “distinctive values”

Basic of «thin film»: Nucleation, followed by island formation, followed by coalescence and then continuous growth…



Role: How far in future? 3-5-7 years?

While the future might appear uncertain, we can target it with certainty and prepare for our role! Individual or collective role of players?

Role for “profitability” and “sustainable growth”“Wealth”: Enhanced scientific knowledge, IP, technology development, production machines/plants, modules, systems, installations? Positive cash position and keep growing!

Follow the herd (join the club of 92%) or be distinctive with unique features?Take advantages of distinctive features and capitalize on them! Identify unique opportunities and deliver “better solutions” and “profitable values”Yes, but what opportunity and market segment? Address untapped markets or go to conventional markets?

Observer/Customer is not a technical genius but looking for “benefits” and “distinctive values”

Distinctive values are: Lower module costs? Lower LCOE? Lower EPBT? Enabling new solutions? Aesthetics? Eco footprint and CO2 reduction?Collective efforts and topics of synergy?What next?



Follow the herd (join the club of 92%) or be distinctive with unique features?Take advantages of distinctive features and capitalize on them! Identify unique opportunities and deliver “better solutions” and “profitable values

What are the opportunities and market segments?

Distinctive values are: Lower module cost, lower LCOE, lower EPBT, enabling new solutions, excellent esthetics, favorable/better eco footprint and CO2 reduction. But how to sell them?

Collective efforts and topics of synergy?

What next?


https:&tbo=4Q7A%3A

BIPV/BAPV/Rooftop: Lightweight flexible CIGS could have been a better option

http://www.pv-tech.org/news/paving-the-way-san-francisco-first-big-us-city-require-rooftop-solar

San Francisco first big US city to make rooftop solar mandatory

what could be the benchmark for solar module cost? - … · 2016-09-26 · what could be the...

Documents