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Wells Fargo Industrials Conference May 2017

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  • Wells Fargo Industrials Conference May 2017

  • FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

    This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private

    Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are subject to numerous risks and

    uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from such statements. Such

    risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the impact of higher raw material and

    commodity prices, the impact of unfavorable weather, and the ability of the company to

    execute its strategic plans. For more information concerning these and other risks and

    uncertainties, see Lennox Internationals Form 10-K and other publicly available filings with

    the Securities and Exchange Commission. LII disclaims any intention or obligation to update

    or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future

    events or otherwise.

    Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures A reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures appearing in this presentation to financial

    measures prepared in accordance with U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles

    (GAAP) is posted on the companys website at www.lennoxinternational.com.

    2

  • 3

    LII Overview

    Business Segment Review

    Financial Guidance

  • Lennox International

    is winning in the market place with investments in products & distribution

    is well-positioned for margin expansion

    is capitalizing on growth markets

    is driving shareholder value with a disciplined use of free cash flow

    4

  • 55%25%

    20%

    62%26%

    12%

    Refrigeration Residential Heating & Cooling

    Focus on Three Related Businesses

    2016 Revenue 2016 Segment Profit 1

    Commercial Heating & Cooling

    1 Excludes eliminations and unallocated corporate expense

    5

    http://www.heatcrafteurope.com/media/com_hikashop/upload/peg_1327917184.pngChart1

    0.55

    0.25

    0.2

    revenue

    Sheet1

    revenue

    residential55%1773

    commercial25%670

    refrigeration20%942

    3385

    To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

    Chart1

    0.62

    0.26

    0.12

    Sement Profit

    Sheet1

    Sement Profit

    residential62%

    commercial26%

    refrigeration12%

    To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

  • 72%

    28%

    Business Mix

    Customer

    Residential Commercial

    Americas Europe Asia Pacific

    Geography

    Replacement New Construction

    End Market

    89%

    7%4%

    55%45%

    6

    Chart1

    0.72

    0.28

    End Market

    Sheet1

    End Market

    Replacement72%

    New Construction28%

    To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

    Chart1

    0.89

    0.07

    0.04

    Geography

    Sheet1

    Geography

    Americas89%

    Europe7%

    Asia Pacific4%

    To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

    Chart1

    0.55

    0.45

    Customer

    Sheet1

    Customer

    residential55%

    commercial45%

    To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

  • $171

    $134 $98

    $261 $270** ~$285

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E

    *Free cash flow as a percent of GAAP net income. **After impact of $50M pension contribution following cash repatriation. Before impact, $320M FCF and 115% FCF % NI.

    FCF % NI*

    Sales, Earnings, and Cash Flow Revenue & ROS Free Cash Flow

    ($Millions)

    Core EPS

    $2.9 $3.2

    $3.4 $3.5 $3.6 ~$3.8

    7.6% 9.4%

    10.1% 10.9%

    12.9% ~13.7%

    $0

    $1

    $2

    $3

    $4

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E

    SALE

    S (U

    S$ B

    illio

    ns)

    7

    $6.95

    GAAP EPS

    $5.14

    $4.11 $6.34

    $4.38

    $4.28

    $3.70

    $3.55

    $2.70

    $2.63 190% 78% 47% 140% 97%** ~90%

    $7.55- $8.15

    $7.65- $8.25

  • $2.9B$3.2B

    $3.4B $3.5B$3.6B

    $4.3B

    7.6%

    9.4%10.1%

    10.9%

    12.9%

    ~15.5%

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2019E

    RO

    S %

    SALE

    S (U

    S$ B

    illio

    ns)

    LII 2019 Targets

    30% Incremental

    Margin

    8

    6% Revenue

    CAGR

    Chart1

    2.920120.076

    3.220130.094

    3.420140.101

    3.520150.109

    3.620160.129

    4.32019E0.155

    Series 1

    Series 2

    Series 3

    SALES (US$ Billions)

    ROS %

    $2.9B

    $3.2B

    $3.4B

    $3.5B

    $3.6B

    ~$4.1B

    $4.3B

    $4.0

    10.9%

    12.9%

    ~14%

    ~15.5%

    Sheet1

    Series 1Series 2Series 3

    2011$2.87.0%

    2012$2.97.6%

    2013$3.29.4%

    2014$3.410.1%

    2015$3.510.9%

    2016$3.612.9%

    2019E$4.315.5%

  • Designed-Out Costs

    9

    Low-Cost Sources

    LII Material Cost Reduction

    Old

    Computational Analytics

    Advanced Heat Exchanger Technology

    Material Substitution (Copper to Aluminum)

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  • 10

    Leveraging Technology Controls

    Dealer Apps Homeowner Apps

  • 11

    Leveraging Technology E-Commerce

    E-Commerce Platforms

  • 12

    LII Overview

    Business Segment Review

    Financial Guidance

  • 13

    Product Glamour shot

    Factory Glamour shot

    RDC Glamour shot

  • $1,376

    $1,583

    $1,737 $1,867

    $2,001

    7.5%

    11.4%

    13.6%

    14.9%

    17.4%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    14%

    16%

    18%

    $0

    $1,500

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

    ROS

    %

    SALE

    S (U

    S$ M

    illio

    ns)

    Residential Heating & Cooling Segment Revenue & ROS

    Replacement

    NC

    LII Residential Sales

    Allied

    Lennox

    NC

    Replacement

    Allied

    Lennox

    % HVAC Sales

    New Construction

    Replacement

    14

  • 2%

    11%

    8%

    1%

    6%Mid

    SingleDigits

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E

    North America Residential Market

    Source: Industry data and company estimates

    % Y-O-Y Change in Units

    15

    New Construction

    Replacement Market

    Positive Mix

    Summer Heat Y-Y

    Comparison

    Macroeconomic / Political Uncertainty

    Chart1

    0.02

    0.11

    0.08

    0.01

    0.06

    0.05

    6%

    MidSingleDigits

    ~6%

    MidSingle Digits

    Sheet1

    040520082009201220132014201520162017E

    ROS8%11%(11%)(8%)2%11%8%1%6%5%

  • 16

    Brands Consumer Contractor Distributor

    Independent

    How LII Residential Goes to Market

    Company Owned

  • 17

    2017 Tgt

    Residential PartsPlus Strategy Number of PartsPlus Stores

    62 76

    108

    136 161

    186 209

    235

    0

    325

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E 2020Vision2020

    Vision

    Physical Distribution Up ~280% over 7 Years

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E

  • 18

    Significant Growth Opportunity Remains with PartsPlus Strategy

    Target market for store is 30-minute

    drive radius

    Current footprint of stores supports 35% of total market with target

    coverage

    PartsPlus Current Market Penetration

  • 19

    2017 Tgt

    Residential PartsPlus Strategy Number of PartsPlus Stores

    Physical Distribution Up ~425% over 10 Years

    62 76

    108 136

    161 186

    209 235

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E 2020Vision

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E 2020 Vision

    325+

  • Distribution

    Marketing

    Digital Tools HVAC Contractor

    LII Dealer Support is a Differentiator

    20

    Training

    Smart Product

  • 21

    Residential Industry Leading Products

    Continued Investment in Industry Leading Products

  • 485810

    1,100

    1,800

    2,900

    2009 2011 2013 2015 2017E

    Saltillo Mexico Factory Labor Hours Worked (000s)

    ~ $6M Incremental EBIT in 2017

    22

    Residential Mexico Strategy

    Chart1

    485

    810

    1100

    1800

    2900

    Sheet1

    20092011201320152017E

    sales485810110