weekly performance update - to grain week 50 (grain year 2019 … · 2020-08-11 · cp€saw...

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Week 50 Performance CN and CP supplied a combined 79% of hopper cars ordered in grain week 50, a slight decrease from last week's 80%, marking a slight increase in performance for both railways. Despite the slight increase in individual performance the overall system performance for the two railways combined declined slightly reflecting the higher percentage of orders for CN which had the poorest performance. CN's performance was below the 90% threshold for the sixth consecutive week and below the 70% threshold for the third consecutive week, supplying 66% of cars ordered. CP's performance improved modestly week over week, supplying 96% of cars ordered as compared to 94% in the prior week. CN and CP combined will enter week 50 with 1,819 outstanding cars - a net 7% increase (+119) from the 1,700 cars outstanding at the end of last week. The change in the outstanding car count represents an increase in the number of outstanding hopper cars on CN by (+404) and a decrease in the number of outstanding hopper cars on CP by (-285). In week 50, CN corridor performance improved or remained the same in 3 of 6 corridors relative to last week's performance. The most notable declines in performance were seen in the Prince Rupert and Eastern Canada corridors which saw 39% and 36% of cars orders for week 50 supplied on time. CP saw performance hold or improved in 4 of 5 corridors with only a slight decline in performance seen in the Vancouver Bulk corridor. All CP served corridors received 95% or more of cars ordered for week 50 supplied on time. With the exception of one week 49 order all other outstanding orders remain current - i.e. unfulfilled week 50 orders. CN CN supplied 66% of hopper cars ordered for week 50, representing a slight improvement from last week's 64% order fulfillment performance. CN supplied 3,589 of 5,432 cars ordered, failing to supply 1,843 cars ordered. During week 50, CN supplied a total of 4,765 hoppers with 1,181 being outstanding orders placed prior to week 50 (see table page 3). CN's performance was inconsistent across shippers with 43% of shippers receiving 65% or less of cars ordered on time. Shipper demand remained above the 4,000-car threshold for the twenty-eighth consecutive week of the current grain year. Shipper demand for hopper cars is 18% lower in week 51, declining to 4,429. Heading into week 51, CN has 1,701 outstanding orders, reflecting a 31% increase (+404) from the 1,297 outstanding orders at the beginning of week 50. CP CP fulfilled 96% of hopper cars ordered for week 50, reflecting a slight increase from the 94% seen last week. For week 50, CP supplied 4,075 of 4,245 cars ordered, failing to supply 170 cars ordered. During week 50, CP supplied a total of 4,480 hoppers including 403 for previously outstanding orders. (see table page 3). Shipper demand remained above 4,000 cars for the eighteenth consecutive week in the current grain year and falling below 5,000 cars for the first time in seven weeks. Shipper demand for hopper cars will increase 32% to 6,041 in week 51. CP's performance was consistent across shippers with 89% of shippers receiving 94% or more of cars ordered on time. Heading into week 51, CP has 118 outstanding orders, representing a 71% decrease (-285) from the 403 outstanding orders entering week 50. Hopper Car Rationing CN CN rationed 208 hopper car orders in week 50. Preliminary reporting from shippers does not indicate ongoing rationing of hopper cars orders in week 51. Through the first 50 weeks of the current grain year, CN has rationed 21,766 hopper car orders as compared to 12,023 for the same period last year. YTD 2019/2020 orders have been rationed across all corridors as shown below: Vancouver (10,595) Prince Rupert (5,388) Thunder Bay (1,494) 1 | Weekly Performance Update - To Grain Week 50 (Grain Year 2019-20) Covering 90% of grain movement originating in Western Canada

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Page 1: Weekly Performance Update - To Grain Week 50 (Grain Year 2019 … · 2020-08-11 · CP€saw performance hold or improved in 4 of 5 corridors with only a slight decline in performance

Week 50 Performance

CN and CP supplied a combined 79% of hopper cars ordered in grain week 50, a slight decrease from last week's 80%, marking a slight increase in performance for both railways. Despite the slight increase in individual performance the overall system performance for the two railways combined declined slightly reflecting the higher percentage of orders for CN which had the poorest performance. CN's performance was below the 90% threshold for the sixth consecutive week and below the 70% threshold for the third consecutive week, supplying 66% of cars ordered. CP's performance improved modestly week over week, supplying 96% of cars ordered as compared to 94% in the prior week. CN and CP combined will enter week 50 with 1,819 outstanding cars - a net 7% increase (+119) from the 1,700 cars outstanding at the end of last week. The change in the outstanding car count represents an increase in the number of outstanding hopper cars on CN by (+404) and a decrease in the number of outstanding hopper cars on CP by (-285).

In week 50, CN corridor performance improved or remained the same in 3 of 6 corridors relative to last week's performance. The most notable declines in performance were seen in the Prince Rupert and Eastern Canada corridors which saw 39% and 36% of cars orders for week 50 supplied on time. CP saw performance hold or improved in 4 of 5 corridors with only a slight decline in performance seen in the Vancouver Bulk corridor.  All CP served corridors received 95% or more of cars ordered for week 50 supplied on time. 

With the exception of one week 49 order all other outstanding orders remain current - i.e. unfulfilled week 50 orders. 

CN 

• CN supplied 66% of hopper cars ordered for week 50, representing a slight improvement from last week's 64% order fulfillment performance. CN supplied 3,589 of 5,432 cars ordered, failing to supply 1,843 cars ordered.

• During week 50, CN supplied a total of 4,765 hoppers with 1,181 being outstanding orders placed prior to week 50 (see table page 3).

• CN's performance was inconsistent across shippers with 43% of shippers receiving 65% or less of cars ordered on time.

• Shipper demand remained above the 4,000-car threshold for the twenty-eighth consecutive week of the current grain year.

• Shipper demand for hopper cars is 18% lower in week 51, declining to 4,429.• Heading into week 51, CN has 1,701 outstanding orders, reflecting a 31% increase (+404) from the 1,297 outstanding

orders at the beginning of week 50.       

CP

• CP fulfilled 96% of hopper cars ordered for week 50, reflecting a slight increase from the 94% seen last week.• For week 50, CP supplied 4,075 of 4,245 cars ordered, failing to supply 170 cars ordered.• During week 50, CP supplied a total of 4,480 hoppers including 403 for previously outstanding orders. (see table page

3).• Shipper demand remained above 4,000 cars for the eighteenth consecutive week in the current grain year and falling

below 5,000 cars for the first time in seven weeks.• Shipper demand for hopper cars will increase 32% to 6,041 in week 51.• CP's performance was consistent across shippers with 89% of shippers receiving 94% or more of cars ordered on time.• Heading into week 51, CP has 118 outstanding orders, representing a 71% decrease (-285) from the 403 outstanding

orders entering week 50.

Hopper Car Rationing

CN 

• CN rationed 208 hopper car orders in week 50. • Preliminary reporting from shippers does not indicate ongoing rationing of hopper cars orders in week 51. • Through the first 50 weeks of the current grain year, CN has rationed 21,766 hopper car orders as compared to 12,023

for the same period last year. • YTD 2019/2020 orders have been rationed across all corridors as shown below:

◦ Vancouver (10,595)◦ Prince Rupert (5,388)◦ Thunder Bay (1,494)

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Weekly Performance Update - To Grain Week 50 (Grain Year 2019-20)Covering 90% of grain movement originating in Western Canada

Page 2: Weekly Performance Update - To Grain Week 50 (Grain Year 2019 … · 2020-08-11 · CP€saw performance hold or improved in 4 of 5 corridors with only a slight decline in performance

◦ Eastern Canada (3,804)◦ All Other (485)

CP 

• CP rationed zero hopper car orders in week 50. • Preliminary indications suggest that there will be no rationing in week 51. • Through the first 50 weeks of the current grain year, CP has rationed 102 hopper car orders for ATC shippers, as

compared to 215 for the same period last year. • YTD 2019/2020 orders have been rationed across all corridors as shown below:

◦ Vancouver (26)◦ All Other (76)

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Weekly Performance Update - To Grain Week 50 (Grain Year 2019-20)Covering 90% of grain movement originating in Western Canada

Page 3: Weekly Performance Update - To Grain Week 50 (Grain Year 2019 … · 2020-08-11 · CP€saw performance hold or improved in 4 of 5 corridors with only a slight decline in performance

Performance Dashboard

Hopper Car Demand Cars Shipped

Week 50 This Year Last YearThis Year versus

Last Year

This Year

Last Year

This Year vs. Last

Year YTDWeekly Average YTD

Weekly Average YTD

Weekly Average

CN 5,432 3,041 2,391 226,377 4,527 210,361 4,207 16,016 320

CP 4,245 3,901 344 234,357 4,687 202,732 4,054 31,625 632

9,677 6,942 2,735 460,734 9,214 413,093 8,261 47,641 952

Railway Corridor Week 50 YTD

CN N.A. Domestic 34 22,135

Prince Rupert 776 56,920

Thunder Bay 996 23,198

Vancouver 2,331 96,622

Total 4,137 198,875

CP N.A. Domestic 138 21,283

Thunder Bay 1,809 58,910

Vancouver 3,538 150,521

Total 5,485 230,714

Empty Hopper Cars Supplied - Week 50 (All Want Weeks) Supplied by Block Size

Current Week Orders

Prior Week Orders Future Week Orders Total Cars Supplied

This Year

Last Year This Year

Last Year This Year

Last Year

ThisYear Last Year

CN 3,584 2,841 1,181 330 2 4,765 3,173

CP 3,961 2,574 403 428 116 458 4,480 3,460

7,545 5,415 1,584 758 116 460 9,245 6,633

Week 50 Year to DateBlock Size CN CP Total CN CP Total

1 0% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3%

25 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2%

50 8% 7% 7% 9% 7% 8%

100 90% 88% 89% 85% 88% 87%

Current Week Order Fulfillment

CN CP Total

Current Week Hopper Car Demand 5,432 4,245 9,677Current Week Order Fulfillment

Supplied in Current Week 3,584 3,961 7,545

Supplied Early 5 114 119

Total Cars Supplied for Want Week 3,589 4,075 7,664

Current Week Unfulfilled Demand (1,843) (170) (2,013)

% Current Week Orders Supplied 66% 96% 79%

66% 96%

Loaded Dwell Time (Hours) at Origin (All Traffic) Dwell Time (Hours) at Destination (All Traffic)

Week 50 Year to Date

This Year Last Year This Year Last YearCN 56 53 61 47CP 45 31 48 55

Week 50 Year to DateThis Year Last Year This Year Last Year

Vancouver CN 10 27 20 21CP 20 37 27 24

Thunder Bay CN 41 106 43 40CP 46 28 47 48

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Weekly Performance Update - To Grain Week 50 (Grain Year 2019-20)Covering 90% of grain movement originating in Western Canada

Page 4: Weekly Performance Update - To Grain Week 50 (Grain Year 2019 … · 2020-08-11 · CP€saw performance hold or improved in 4 of 5 corridors with only a slight decline in performance

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Weekly Performance Update - To Grain Week 50 (Grain Year 2019-20)Covering 90% of grain movement originating in Western Canada

Page 5: Weekly Performance Update - To Grain Week 50 (Grain Year 2019 … · 2020-08-11 · CP€saw performance hold or improved in 4 of 5 corridors with only a slight decline in performance

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Weekly Performance Update - To Grain Week 50 (Grain Year 2019-20)Covering 90% of grain movement originating in Western Canada

Page 6: Weekly Performance Update - To Grain Week 50 (Grain Year 2019 … · 2020-08-11 · CP€saw performance hold or improved in 4 of 5 corridors with only a slight decline in performance

Corridor Performance

Total Hopper Car Supply by Corridor for Current Year Orders - To Week 50

Railway Corridor Ordered Supplied Unfulfilled Demand %Supplied

CN Vancouver Bulk 105,707 93,677 (12,030) 89%

Thunder Bay 25,247 23,346 (1,901) 92%

Prince Rupert 64,196 56,920 (7,276) 89%

Vancouver Other / W. Canada 4,879 4,097 (782) 84%

USA / Mexico 4,017 3,500 (517) 87%

Eastern Canada 22,331 17,913 (4,418) 80%

Total 226,377 199,453 (26,924) 88%

CP Vancouver Bulk 147,260 144,520 (2,740) 98%

Thunder Bay 59,659 59,049 (610) 99%

Vancouver Other / W. Canada 9,289 8,962 (327) 96%

USA / Mexico 11,409 11,261 (148) 99%

Eastern Canada 6,740 6,469 (271) 96%

Total 234,357 230,261 (4,096) 98%

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Weekly Performance Update - To Grain Week 50 (Grain Year 2019-20)Covering 90% of grain movement originating in Western Canada

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Hopper Cars Supplied in the Want Week by Corridor - To Week 50

Week 50 Year to Date

Railway Corridor Ordered Supplied %Supplied Ordered Supplied %Supplied

CN Vancouver Bulk 2,919 2,161 74% 105,707 85,161 81%

Thunder Bay 718 708 99% 25,247 21,499 85%

Prince Rupert 1,426 563 39% 64,196 50,978 79%

Vancouver Other / W. Canada 7 7 100% 4,879 3,739 77%

USA / Mexico 29 29 100% 4,017 3,226 80%

Eastern Canada 333 121 36% 22,331 15,943 71%

CN Total 5,432 3,589 66% 226,377 180,546 80%

CP Vancouver Bulk 2,870 2,724 95% 147,260 135,706 92%

Thunder Bay 1,250 1,226 98% 59,659 56,841 95%

Vancouver Other / W. Canada 47 47 100% 9,289 7,907 85%

USA / Mexico 53 53 100% 11,409 10,010 88%

Eastern Canada 25 25 100% 6,740 6,130 91%

CP Total 4,245 4,075 96% 234,357 216,594 92%

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Weekly Performance Update - To Grain Week 50 (Grain Year 2019-20)Covering 90% of grain movement originating in Western Canada

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Origin Dwell Performance

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Weekly Performance Update - To Grain Week 50 (Grain Year 2019-20)Covering 90% of grain movement originating in Western Canada

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Destination Dwell Performance

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Weekly Performance Update - To Grain Week 50 (Grain Year 2019-20)Covering 90% of grain movement originating in Western Canada

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Port Terminal - Unloading Time

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Weekly Performance Update - To Grain Week 50 (Grain Year 2019-20)Covering 90% of grain movement originating in Western Canada

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Glossary of Terms

Hopper Car Demand The total number of hopper cars ordered for a given want week for each of CN and CP. Demand data is presented for the current week report and for the grain year to date. Comparisons are provided for the current grain versus the prior grain year.

Empty Hopper Cars Supplied

A count of all empty hopper cars supplied for the grain service week being reported on. Supply is categorized based on whether it is for the current want week, for prior week orders or for future week orders (supplied early).

Supplied by Block Size Percentage distribution of total hopper car supply for the current report week and year to date (YTD) based on the block size ordered by shippers and as reported by shippers.

Hopper Cars Supplied in Want Week

A count of all empty hopper cars supplied for a want week in that want week including cars supplied early which are considered on time.

Want Week Order week as defined by the railways

Cars Supplied Early Cars supplied for orders in a given want week supplied in advance of that week – these cars are considered on time for performance measurement purposes.

Cars Supplied Late Cars supplied during a grain service week that are for a prior week’s orders.

Hopper Car Orders Supplied Within the Want Week

The number of hopper cars supplied by the railways during or in advance of the want week expressed as a percentage of total orders for the week.

Future Week Orders Orders supplied in a given grain service week that are for orders in weeks after the week for which performance is being reported. – Reference Page 1 – Empty Hopper Cars Supplied

Prior Week Orders Orders supplied in a given grain service week that are for orders in weeks prior to the week for which performance is being reported. – Reference Page 1 – Empty Hopper Cars Supplied

Outstanding Orders Orders that shippers expect to have fulfilled by the railways that remain unfulfilled as of the report date. This excludes bad order cars, shorted cars, denied orders and railway cancellations.

Unfulfilled Demand The calculation of total unfulfilled demand for hopper cars represents the accumulated difference across all grain weeks in the year between the number of cars ordered by shippers and the number of cars supplied by the railway for those orders. This total unfulfilled demand includes orders not filled as a result of bad order and shorted cars and as such represents the volume of missed and deferred shipper orders.

Origin Dwell The elapsed time from the release of loaded cars by shippers to the time the railways physically pull the cars from a shipper’s siding for movement to destination.

Destination Dwell The elapsed time from the time a railcar arrives at the destination railway yard to the time it is placed at the receiver’s facility for unloading.

Unloading Time The average time elapsed between the placement of a loaded car at the receiver’s facility and the release of the empty car back to the railway.

Port Terminal Unloading Time

The average elapsed time between the placement of a loaded car for unloading to the release of the empty car. This measure is based on railway reported placement and empty release events.

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Weekly Performance Update - To Grain Week 50 (Grain Year 2019-20)Covering 90% of grain movement originating in Western Canada