webcast – conference call february 29 , 2012€¦ · 4q11. 9 2011 results upstream adjusted...

26
Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 th , 2012 Miguel Martínez CFO

Upload: others

Post on 10-Jul-2020

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results

WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALLFebruary 29th, 2012

Miguel MartínezCFO

Miguel MartínezCFO

Page 2: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

1

Disclaimer

ALL RIGHTS ARE RESERVED

© REPSOL YPF, S.A. 2012

Repsol YPF, S.A. is the exclusive owner of this document. No part of this document may be reproduced (including photocopying), stored, duplicated, copied, distributed or introduced into a retrieval system of any nature or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written permission of Repsol YPF, S.A.

This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe shares, in accordance with the provisions of the Spanish Securities Market Law (Law 24/1988, of July 28, as amended and restated) and its implementing regulations. In addition, this document does not constitute an offer of purchase, sale or exchange, nor a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities in any other jurisdiction. In particular, This document does not constitute an offer to purchase, subscribe, sale or exchange of RepsolYPF's or YPF Sociedad Anonima's respective ordinary shares or ADSs in the United States or otherwise. Repsol YPF's and YPF Sociedad Anonima's respective ordinary shares and ADSs may not be sold in the United States absent registration or an exemption from registration under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

Some of the above mentioned resources do not constitute proved reserves and will be recognized as such when they comply with the formal conditions required by the U. S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

This document contains statements that Repsol YPF believes constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements may include statements regarding the intent, belief, or current expectations of Repsol YPF and its management, including statements with respect to trends affecting Repsol YPF’s financial condition, financial ratios, results of operations, business, strategy, geographic concentration, production volume and reserves, as well as Repsol YPF’s plans, expectations or objectives with respect to capital expenditures, business, strategy, geographic concentration, costs savings, investments and dividend payout policies. These forward-looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond Repsol YPF’s control or may be difficult to predict.

Repsol YPF’s future financial condition, financial ratios, results of operations, business, strategy, geographic concentration, production volumes, reserves, capital expenditures, costs savings, investments and dividend payout policies, as well as future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining margins and exchange rates, could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any such forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause such differences include, but are not limited to, oil, gas and other price fluctuations, supply and demand levels, currency fluctuations, exploration, drilling and production results, changes in reserves estimates, success in partnering with third parties, loss of market share, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, the risks of doing business in developing countries, legislative, tax, legal and regulatory developments, economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions, political risks, wars and acts of terrorism, natural disasters, project delays or advancements and lack of approvals, as well as those factors described in the filings made by Repsol YPF and its affiliates with the Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores in Spain, the Comisión Nacional de Valores in Argentina, and the Securities and Exchange Commission in the United States. These documents are available on Repsol YPF’s website (www.repsol.com). In light of the foregoing, the forward looking statements included in this document may not occur.

Repsol YPF does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realized.

The information contained in the document has not been verified nor revised by the External Auditors of Repsol YPF.

Page 3: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

2

Agenda

1.Principal Events

• 4Q 2011 and Annual Results

2.Strategy delivery

3.2012 Outlook

Page 4: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

3

Agenda

1.Principal Events

• 4Q 2011 and Annual Results

2.Strategy delivery

3.2012 Outlook

Page 5: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

4

Principal Events

• Light-heavy crude differentials• Gasoline margins• Middle distillates margins• Energy cost

Despite adverse conditions, progress is being made to set solid ground for medium and long term plans

Refining: Tough environment in Europe

Upstream: Disruption of operations Argentina

• Conflict of Libya• Maintenance on Trinidad & Tobago

• Strikes• Inflation• Removal of Petroleo Plus Program

Page 6: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

5

Agenda

1.Principal Events

• 4Q 2011 and Annual Results

2.Strategy delivery

3.2012 Outlook

Page 7: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

6

ResultsCCS Adjusted Operating Income

43434715

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

FY 10 FY 11

7811056

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

4Q 10 4Q 11

Million €

Page 8: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

7

ResultsCCS Adjusted Net Income

19232032

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

FY 10 FY 11

355499

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

4Q 10 4Q 11

Million €

Page 9: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

8

4Q 2011 UpstreamAdjusted Operating Income

Million €

361

137

196

(288)

8

(32)

10

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

4Q10 Price effect netof taxes

Volume ExplorationCosts

Exchange rate Depreciation &Others

4Q11

Page 10: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

9

2011 Results UpstreamAdjusted Operating Income

Million €

1473

648

108

1301

101

(953) (76)

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

2010 Price effectnet of taxes

Volume ExplorationCosts

Exchangerate

Depreciation& Others

2011

Page 11: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

10

4Q 2011 DownstreamCCS Adjusted Operating Income

Million €

164 18133

102

(35)

(116)

0

50

100

150

200

4Q10 RefiningActivity

Marketing &LPG

Chemical Others 4Q11

Page 12: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

11

2011 Results DownstreamCCS Adjusted Operating Income

Million €

977

5

792

66

(253) (3)

0

500

1000

2010 RefiningActivity

Marketing &LPG

Chemical Others 2011

Page 13: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

12

4Q 2011 YPFAdjusted Operating Income

Million €

371274

32

149

280

(158)

(155)

(245)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

4Q10 Price increasesin domestic

markets

Export prices &internationalprice related

products net oftaxes

Volume sales &Purchases

Gas Costs Others 4Q11

Petróleo Plus

Page 14: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

13

2011 Results YPFAdjusted Operating Income

Million €

1625 1352

37

581

789

(62)

(737)

(616)(265)

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

2010 Priceincreases in

domesticmarkets

Export prices& internationalprice relatedproducts net

of taxes

Volume sales& Purchases

Gas Costs ExchangeRate

Others 2011

Page 15: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

14

185214

0

50

100

150

200

4Q 10 4Q 11

Gas NaturalAdjusted Operating Income

849 821

0

200

400

600

800

2010 2011

Million €

Page 16: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

15

Agenda

1.Principal Events

• 4Q 2011 and Annual Results

2.Strategy delivery

3.2012 Outlook

Page 17: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

16

Strategy DeliveryUpstream: Development

Declaration of commercialityPerlaGuara (Sapinhoa)Reggane

RRR: 162%

1099

1167

1000

1100

1200

2010 2011

2016

2696

1000

2000

3000

2010 2011

M boe M boeProved Reserves 3P Reserves

790 MBoe moved from contingent resources to 3P reserves

Page 18: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

17

Strategy DeliveryUpstream: Exploration

6 discoveries throughout the year

Contingent resourcesAddition

720 MBOE

In the last 4 years, 5 discoveries ranked among the top 5 and top 10 best discoveries of the year

4 in Brazil(Guara Norte, Carioca NE,

Gavea and Malombe)

1 in the US (Buckskin 2)

1 in Libya(A1-130)

+

+ New resources from: exploration wells, inorganicacquisitions, existing fields adjustments

Page 19: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

18

Strategy DeliveryUpstream: Acreage

• Folded Belt: Iraq, Tunisia, Indonesia and Peru

• Carbonates: Angola, Colombia and Ireland

• North Atlantic Margin: NE Canada, Norway, Portugal and Ireland

• West Siberian Basin in Russia

79,000 km2 of new acreage in 13 countries

Page 20: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

19

Strategy DeliveryAcquisitions

Carry out jointly exploration activity in Alaska’s prolific North SlopeRepsol will have a 70% working interest

ALASKA: AGREEMENT WITH “70 & 148 LLC” AND “GMT EXPLORATION LLC”

Repsol to acquire 1,500 km2 in producing areas “Original Mississippian” and “Mississippian Extension”.Repsol to invest $ 1 Billion in the next 3 years and to incorporate reserves and production since 2012.Net production of 90 kboed expected by 2019.

USA: AGREEMENT WITH SANDRIDGE

Creation of a 840 M$ JV in the Russian Federation, largest gas and oil producer in the world.Alliance Oil contributed 2 producing assets valued at 570 M$.Eurotek worth 230 M$ is contributed by Repsol.

RUSSIA: JV WITH ALLIANCE OIL

Deals aligned with strategy of searching new platforms for future growth with limited geographical and financial exposure

Page 21: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

20

Strategy DeliveryDownstream

Cartagena Bilbao

• Start up of new units with no operational disruption

• Premium cash flow expected for 2012

Successfully Refinery Upgrades Projects

Page 22: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

21

Repsol57.4%

Petersen25.5%

Free Float17.1%

Strategy DeliveryYPF

Current participation to 57.4%

Exercise of Petersen Group 10% buy option

17% IPO

More balanced shareholder structure with institutional and minority shareholders

Page 23: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

22

Strategy DeliveryYPF

Acreage YPF: 12,000 Km2

Test area 1,100 km2

3P reserves 116 MBOEContingent resources 1,525 MBOE

Prospective resources in 8,071 Km2

21,167 MBOE

Vaca Muerta

Confirmation of the unconventional potential

Page 24: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

23

Agenda

1.Principal Events

• 4Q 2011 and Annual Results

• Financial Overview

2.Strategy delivery

3.2012 Outlook

Page 25: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

24

DOWNSTREAMPremium delivered by new projects

Marketing business demand challenging

Investment: 0,9 B €

YPF Development of area 1 Vaca Muerta

UPSTREAM

Libya to start delivering back results and cash flow

Start ups: Margarita (Bolivia) and Kinteroni (Peru)

Total production: 335,000 bpd

Exploratory drilling program: 23 to 34 wells

Capex: 2.4 B €

2012 Outlook

Page 26: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 29 , 2012€¦ · 4Q11. 9 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income ... Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL

Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2011 Results

WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALLFebruary 29th, 2012

Miguel MartínezCFO

Miguel MartínezCFO