WCRP-CCL Special Joint Session

Antalya, Turkey, 18 February 2010

Enhancing Climate Change Research and Application in Developing CountriesFredrick Semazzi, North Carolina State University, USA

with contributions from :

Richard Anyah; U. Connecticut, USARodney Martínez Güingla; CIIFEN, Ecuador Laban Ogallo; ICPAC, KenyaChris Reason; U. Cape Town, S. AfricaLiqiang Sun; IRI, USARichard Washington; Oxford Univ, UK

Outline of Talk

GAPS & OPPORTUNITIES FOR ENHANCING CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES

• Research

• Institutional framework

• Capacity building

• Recommendations

RESEARCH

WMO-RCOF PROCESS

• Serves 11 regions and & covers most of the developing countries in the world

• It represents the state-of-the-art for operational climate prediction in developing countries

• As we think ahead about the potential role of climate research & WCRP-CCL cooperation the RCOF process is the reference we should target for improvement

Existing RCOFs Worldwide

1. GHACOF: Greater Horn of Africa COF

2. SARCOF: Southern Africa COF

3. PRESAO: Western Africa

4. COFPRESAC: Central Africa COF

5. FOCRAII: Forum On regional Climate monitoring, assessment and prediction for Regional Association II (Asia)

6. SSACOF: Southeast of South America COF

7. WCSACOF: Western Coast of South America COF

8. CCOF: Caribbean COF

9. FCCA: Foro Regional del Clima de América Central

10. PICOF: Pacific Islands COF

11. SEECOF: SouthEastern Europe COF

Review for the Tenth Anniversary of RCOFReview for the Tenth Anniversary of RCOF

RCOF RCOF

ResearchResearch

NeedsNeeds

WCRPWCRP

… … But we need an efficient mechanism for collaboration between But we need an efficient mechanism for collaboration between WCRP Research Projects (e.g CLIVAR) & CCL member Nations …WCRP Research Projects (e.g CLIVAR) & CCL member Nations …

• Recommend GFCS to include Framework for Research Incubation Projects (RIPs); e.g., research for integration of

adaptation actions into development plans; cost/benefits analysis research, RCM, capacity building, etc

• Research outcomes may be used to encourage developing countries to invest more in climate research to support in-

country RIPs activities; & break the ‘cycle’• The cycle begins with poor support and funding for research

and climate services for WCRP & CCL communities, • A consequent inability to meet stakeholder needs• Which results in the further erosion of support• Working as partners under the RIPs framework, WCRP & CCL

communities in developing countries can concretely demonstrate the benefits of climate research and climate services & break cycle

• Therefore, creating stakeholders for the climate services who will use and advocate for research and its outcomes.

Research and Development

NCEP

O2A

User Community

R2O

1. Large “volume ” of R&D,funded through AOs,Agency Labs …

2 Smaller set of R&Dproducts suitable foroperations.

3. Systematic transition steps R2O.

4. Systematic transition steps O2A

5. Delivery to diverse USERcommunity

Applying the “Funnel” to the Transition Process

1

2

3

4

NCEPis uniquelypositioned

to provide an operational

infrastructure for the

transition process

5

Operations

GFCS is uniquely positioned to provide an operational infrastructure for the transition process

RIPS

Capacity Building

Goals:

-To increase the pool of experts who can undertake research at the interface of climate change science and other disciplines associated with climate change mitigation/adaptation developmental planning.

-To increase the pool of experts who can integrate climate and impacts disciplines information to minimize vulnerability

- Build on successful partnerships with START

Contribution from Ongoing Research & Capacity Building Activities to the GFCS can be

Streamlined through F-RIPS

E X A M P L E S:E X A M P L E S:

• GIRAFFE (reGionally IntegRated southern AFrican climate and Forecasting for sociEty; South Africa)

• Water Allocation System in Ceara Brazil (IRI)• Climate-Hydroelectric Program in Ecuador• WMO-World Bank Greater Horn of Africa Project• START Capacity Building Program • ICTP Modeling Capacity Building Program• AMMA• East African Community (EAC) Marine Early Warning System (proposed) • Regional Climate Centers (RCCs) capacity building and research program• Google Meningitis project (NCSU)• NSF Lake Victoria RCM research project (NCSU)• Others of equal or greater importance

Recommendations

• WCRP-CCL partnership consider to promote the development of a WCRP-CCL partnership consider to promote the development of a Test-Bed or Framework for Test-Bed or Framework for Research Incubation Projects (RIPs; Research Incubation Projects (RIPs; coordinating mechanism) coordinating mechanism) to identify gaps and undertake research to to identify gaps and undertake research to support the support the end-to-end paradigmend-to-end paradigm from climate observations to from climate observations to decision making; decision making; WCRP & CCL can contribute expert guidanceWCRP & CCL can contribute expert guidance at at multiple levelsmultiple levels

• One of the important focus of this framework should aim at research outcomes and climate services that will encourage developing countries to make further investment in climate research

• WCRP-CCL partnership consider to promote the developmentWCRP-CCL partnership consider to promote the development and implementation of a capacity building framework to increase the pool of experts who can integrate climate and impacts disciplines information to minimize risk and vulnerability to climate change

• All the three areas above, should fully All the three areas above, should fully engage policy engage policy makers/governments of developing countriesmakers/governments of developing countries through CCL through CCL