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Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,* , N. S. A. Hamid 1,2 , N. Misran 1,3 , A. M. Hasbi 1,3 & K. Yumoto 4 1 Institute of Space Science (ANGKASA), Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 Bangi, Malaysia 2 School of Applied Physics, Faculty of Science & Technology, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 Bangi, Malaysia 3 Faculty of Engineering & Built Environment, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 Bangi, Malaysia 4 Space Environment Research Center, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan *Email : [email protected] , [email protected] 1 ISWI - Helwan, Egypt - 6-10 November 2010

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Page 1: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic

Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations

G. Gopir1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid1,2, N. Misran1,3, A. M. Hasbi1,3 & K. Yumoto4

1Institute of Space Science (ANGKASA), Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 Bangi, Malaysia2School of Applied Physics, Faculty of Science & Technology, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600

Bangi, Malaysia3Faculty of Engineering & Built Environment,

Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 Bangi, Malaysia4Space Environment Research Center, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan

*Email: [email protected], [email protected]

1ISWI - Helwan, Egypt - 6-10 November 2010

Page 2: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

CONTENTS

• Introduction• Objectives• Data• Methodology• Result and Discussion• Conclusion

2ISWI - Helwan, Egypt - 6-10 November 2010

Page 3: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

INTRODUCTION• The geomagnetic field, or Earth’s magnetic field:

– known to be scaling, fractal and self-affine due to modulations by the magnetosphere and lithosphere

– also non-stationary and contains transients during active or disturbed periods

• thus geomagnetic time series could be analyzed using wavelet to extract the fractal parameter of Hurst exponent

• Here, we apply the wavelet variance analysis to calculate the Hurst exponent for the horizontal component of the geomagnetic field– observed by the global network of the Magnetic Data

Acquisition System (MAGDAS)– developed and installed by the Space Environment Research

Center (SERC) of Kyushu University, Japan.

3ISWI - Helwan, Egypt - 6-10 November 2010

Page 4: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

OBJECTIVES

• Use wavelet analysis to calculate the Hurst exponent and determine fractal nature of geomagnetic field

• Determine whether geomagnetic field for solar quiet and active periods have significantly different Hurst exponents

• Determine whether geomagnetic activity could be quantified by fractal exponent

4ISWI - Helwan, Egypt - 6-10 November 2010

Page 5: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

DATA

• Time series for horizontal component, H, of geomagnetic field measured by MAGDAS

• Data from MAGDAS equatorial stations of Cebu and Davao in the Philippines (UT+9); and Langkawi in Malaysia (UT+8)

• Data sampled continuously with minute and second samplings for periods of one day and one month covering solar quiet and active periods

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Page 6: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

MAGDAS DATA AND STATIONS

• Extreme values of the geomagnetic indices of Dst, Kp and Ap in nanotesla (nT) for the studied days of August 2005 (from from World Data Center for Geomagnetism, Kyoto). The days are classified as quiet (QD) or active (AD) based on the threshold values of 50, 4 and 6 nT for Dst, Kp and Ap, respectively.

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Station, Geographical Geomagnetic Period and remarkscountry coordinate coordinate

Cebu 10.36°N, 123.91°E 2.53°N, 195.06°E 11 Aug 2005 - daily, quiet, min, secPhilippines 24 Aug 2005 - daily, active, min, secDavao 7.00°N, 125.40°E 1.02°S, 196.54°E 11 Aug 2005 - daily, quiet, min, secPhilippines 24 Aug 2005 - daily, active, min, sec

Feb 2007 - monthly, quiet, minLangkawi 6.30°N, 99.78°E 2.32°S, 171.29°E Feb 2007 - monthly, quiet, minMalaysia

Day Dst Kp Ap Classification

11 Aug 2005 20 2 6 Quiet day (QD)24 Aug 2005 -216 9 110 Active day (AD)

Page 7: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

DAILY DATA – MINUTE SAMPLING

The horizontal geomagnetic field component, H, sampled at time t of every minute at the MAGDAS stations of (a) Cebu on 11 August 2005, (b) Cebu on 24 August 2005, (c) Davao on 11 August 2005, and (d) Davao on 24 August 2005

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Page 8: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS- of daily H data, minute sampling

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Station Cebu DavaoDate 11-Aug-05 24-Aug-05 11-Aug-05 24-Aug-05

Count 1440 1440 1440 1440Minimum (nT) 38909 38612 39069 38757Maximum (nT) 38969 39036 39139 39212Range (nT) 60 424 70 455Average (nT) 38929 38852 39092 39003Median (nT) 38921 38823 39080 38971Standard deviation (nT) 17.97 118.62 21.66 127.20Coefficient of variance (%) 0.05 0.31 0.06 0.33Skewness 1.058 -9.092 21.009 0.036Kurtosis 2.60 1.86 2.42 1.79

Descriptive statistical parameters of the horizontal geomagnetic field, H, sampled every minute at the MAGDAS stations of Cebu and Davao in the Philippines for the quiet and active days of August 2005.

Page 9: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

MONTHLY DATA – MINUTE SAMPLING

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Station Davao Langkawi

Count 40320 40320Minimum (nT) 39043 40404Maximum (nT) 39230 40571Range (nT) 187 167Average (nT) 39113 40467Median (nT) 39101 40461Standard deviation (nT) 31.5 25.3Coefficient of variance (%) 0.08 0.06Skewness 1.30 1.27Kurtosis 3.92 4.37

The horizontal geomagnetic field, H, sampled every minute at time t for February 2007 at the MAGDAS stations of (a) Davao in the Philippines and (b) Langkawi in Malaysia.

Page 10: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

METHODOLOGY

• Continuous wavelet transform of horizontal geomagnetic field time series

• Uses Mexican hat mother wavelet• Variance of wavelet transforme determined

and scaling gives Hurst exponent, or Hurst coefficient

• Wavelet variance method verified by simulation of fractional Brownian motion (FBM) time series

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Page 11: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

WAVELET VARIANCE ANALYSIS• Continuous wavelet transform, or coefficient, for time series f(t):

• Here g* is complex conjugate of g, and g is mother wavelet,• With t - position or translation parameter;

– a – scale or dilatation parameter

• Plot of modulus square of W(t,a) in t-a plane is known as scalogram

• Here use Mexican hat mother wavelet,

• Variance of W(t,a), • If time series is scaling (linear), v(a) is a power law in a,

– exponent of wavelet variance

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Page 12: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

WAVELET HURST EXPONENTAND FBM

• Double log plot of v(a) versus a gives • Wavelet Hurst exponent, Hw, is defined for ,

– FGN – fractional Gaussian noise– FBM – fractional Brownian motion

• FBM is defined by Mandelbrot and Ness (1968),

• Or use the more recent definition of Abry and Sellan (1996)– In MATLAB, just a function away

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Page 13: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

WAVELET ANALYSIS OF DAILY DATA- average subtracted from time series

The variation of horizontal geomagnetic field component, H, from the daily average and sampled at time t of every minute for the quiet day (QD) of 11 August 2005 and for the active day (AD) of 24 August 2005 at the MAGDAS stations of Cebu and Davao in the Philippines.

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Page 14: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

DAILY DATA - SCALOGRAM

Scalograms of the Mexican hat wavelet transform for the horizontal geomagnetic field at the Cebu MAGDAS station with minute sampling on the quiet day of (a) 11 August 2005 and on the active day of (b) 24 August 2005.

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Page 15: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

DAILY DATA – wavelet transform coefficient

The wavelet transform coefficient, W(a,t), with Mexican hat mother wavelet for the horizontal geomagnetic field of the Cebu MAGDAS station with minute sampling on the quiet day of 11 August 2005.

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Page 16: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

DAILY DATA – wavelet variance

Log of the Mexican hat wavelet variance, V(a), versus log of scale, a for the minute sampling of MAGDAS data at (a) Cebu on 11 August 2005, (b) Cebu on 24 August 2005, (c) Davao on 11 August 2005, and (d) Davao on 24 August 2005.

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Page 17: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

DAILY DATA – wavelet Hurst exponentsHurst coefficients, Hw, derived from the wavelet variance analysis using the

Mexican mother wavelet for the daily horizontal geomagnetic field at the MAGDAS stations of Cebu and Davao during the quiet day (QD) of 11 August 2005 and the active day (AD) of 24 August 2005.

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Station Sampling Date

11-Aug-05 (QD) 24-Aug-05 (AD)

Cebu Minute 0.48±0.02 0.75±0.01Second 0.47±0.02 0.73±0.01

Davao Minute 0.36±0.01 0.61±0.02Second 0.38±0.01 0.62±0.01

Hw of 0.36-0.48 (i.e. anti-persistent) for solar quiet day (QD)

and 0.61-0.75 (persistent) for active day (AD)for the second and minute sampled horizontal geomagnetic field

Page 18: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

MONTHLY DATA WAVELET ANALYSIS- average subtracted

The variation of horizontal geomagnetic field component, H, from the monthly average and sampled at time t of every minute for the quiet month of February 2007 at the MAGDAS stations of (a) Davao in the Philippines and (b) Langkawi in Malaysia.

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Page 19: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

MONTHLY DATA - SCALOGRAM

Scalograms of the Mexican hat wavelet transform for the horizontal geomagnetic field sampled every minute in February 2007 at the MAGDAS station of (a) Davao and (b) Langkawi.

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Page 20: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

MONTHLY DATA – wavelet transform coefficient

The wavelet transform coefficient, W(a,t), with Mexican hat mother wavelet for the horizontal geomagnetic field of the Davao MAGDAS station with minute sampling during the quiet month of February 2007.

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Page 21: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

MONTHLY DATA – wavelet variance

Log of the Mexican hat wavelet variance, V(a), versus log of scale, a, for the minute sampling of MAGDAS data in February 2007 at (a) Davao and (d) Langkawi

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Page 22: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

MONTHLY DATA– wavelet Hurst exponents

Hurst coefficients, Hw, derived from the wavelet variance analysis using the Mexican mother wavelet for the horizontal geomagnetic field with minute sampling at the MAGDAS stations of Davao and Langkawi during the quiet month of February 2007.

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Hw of 0.35-0.43 (i.e. anti-persistent) for this solar quiet month

for the minute sampled horizontal geomagnetic fieldat both stations

Station H w

Davao 0.35±0.01Langkawi 0.43±0.02

Page 23: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

Wavelet Hurst exponents of SIMULATED FBM TIME SERIES

Hurst exponents, Hw, derived from the wavelet variance analysis using the Mexican mother wavelet for simulated fractional Brownian motion (FBM) time series with input Hurst exponents of H. The sample sizes N are chosen to represent the number of minutes and seconds in a day, respectively.

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Hw tend to diverge at larger H (i.e. nearer 1 or more persistent) for a smaller size sample (i.e. shorter time series).

Thus the larger the sample size of the time series, the better

NH 1440 86400

0.4 0.40±0.00 0.41±0.010.5 0.50±0.01 0.50±0.000.6 0.62±0.01 0.60±0.010.7 0.65±0.02 0.71±0.01

Page 24: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

CONCLUSION• Calculated Hurst exponents of horizontal geomagnetic field

time series at equatorial regions using wavelet variance analysis

• Found that the horizontal geomagnetic field is moderately anti-persistent (wavelet Hurst exponent of 0.35 – 0.48) during solar quiet period and persistent (wavelet Hurst exponent of 0.61 – 0.75) during solar active period.

• Similar trends of Hurst exponents were observed for different sampling rates and different locations

• The Hurst exponent, specifically derived by the wavelet variance method, could be used to quantify geomagnetic activity.

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Page 25: Wavelet Based Estimation of the Hurst Exponent for the Horizontal Geomagnetic Field at MAGDAS Equatorial Stations G. Gopir 1,2,*, N. S. A. Hamid 1,2, N

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTAND THANK YOU

We thank the Space Environment Research Center (SERC) of Kyushu University, United Nation (UN), National Aeronautic and Space Administration (NASA), Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) and Helwan University for financial support and organisation of ISWI Workshop. This work was also supported by the Ministry of Higher Education (MOHE) of Malaysia under grant UKM-LL-02-FRGS0002-2007.

SHUKRAN …

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