water supply assessments in arid environments, a gis solution

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WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENTS IN ARID ENVIRONMENTS- INNOVATIVE WEATHER DATA/GIS APPROACH CALCIMA 2014 Annual Education Conference November 5, 2014 San Diego, California Joe Zilles, P.G. GIS by Alex Makovics

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WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENTS IN ARID ENVIRONMENTS-

INNOVATIVE WEATHER DATA/GIS APPROACHCALCIMA 2014 Annual Education Conference

November 5, 2014San Diego, California

Joe Zilles, P.G.GIS by Alex Makovics

WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK

CALIFORNIA REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT SB221/610 CEQA Local Kern County Policy 41

Review of development proposals Evaluation of substantial groundwater depletion

REGIONAL SETTING

SITE SETTING Location: Western Mojave Desert

Southeast of Tehachapi Mountains Project: Approximately 7,700 acres Project Demand: 41 acft/year (O&M) Annual Precipitation – 6.1 to 11.4 inches/year Evaporation Rate – 57 to 66 inches/year Current Local Demand: 2,555 acft/year

(commercial, residential, agricultural)

CHALLENGESs Low Rainfall/High Evaporation Define the Supply Regime Show Project Demand Does Not

Exceed Available Supply Make a Connection Between

Published Data and the Project Demand

ESSENTIALS TO CALCULATING WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT

Precipitation Evaporation Run-off /Recharge Underflow (Groundwater) Predicted Future Water Use Normal, Single Dry and Multiple Dry

Years Impacts

STARTERS Precipitation 6.1-11.4 inches/year Evaporation 57-66 inches/year Irrigation returns (30% of total

irrig. demand 2,362=709 acft/yr/project area) (USGS, 2003)

Mountain Front Recharge (Upper Alluvial Fan and fractured bedrock) = 40,700 af/yr (USGS, 2003)

Bedrock Recharge Efficiency (Maxey-Eakin, 1949) 2, 3, and 8% depending on

elevation = 176 af/yr/project area

Current Area Demand = 2,555 af/yr

WatershedDefined

27,000 Acres Acreage per

500 foot elevation contour

Rainfall Data Re-Examined Detailed GIS

Weather Data (Prism Climate Group, Oregon State University, 2010)

Rainfall Data per 800 meter grid

Data recorded per month

Data recorded back to 1971

Rainfallper grid cellaveraged from 1971-2000(Prism 2010)

November-February

Rainfall totals within 1,000 foot elevation

contours 5000-6000 feet-4,144

acft 6000-7000 feet-2,677

acft 7000-8000 feet-1,407

acft Total Rainfall 8,228

acft

Mountain Front RechargeWatersh

ed Elevatio

n(feet msl)

Average Precipitation

Nov-Feb (acft)

Bedrock Recharge Efficiency

Loss (%-acft)

Mountain Front Recharge (less on site bedrock recharge) (acft)

5000-6000

4,144 2%-83 4,061

6000-7000

2,677 3%-80 2,597

7000-8000

1,407 8%-13 1,294

8,228 176 Total 8,052

OutcomeRecharge Source

Normal Year Single Dry Year

Multiple Dry Year

Mountain Front 8,052 4,239 6,646Irrigation Percolation

709 709 709

Total Recharge 8,761 4,948 7,355(ET) 4,493 4,493 4,493Net GW Recharge

4,268 455 2,862

Future Demand=2,633

Recharge>Demand

Recharge<Demand

Recharge>Demand

THANK YOU

Joe Zilles, P.G., Principal Geologist(916)[email protected]