washington voter survey - the stranger · a survey of likely 2011 and 2012 voters in washington...
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WASHINGTON VOTER SURVEY Crosstab Results | September 2011
PREPARED BY STRATEGIES 360
Strategies 360 conducted a telephone survey of 500 voters in the
state of Washington who indicated it was likely they would vote in
the November 2012 General Election. 400 of these interviews were
determined to be likely to vote in the November 2011 General Election.
Interviews were conducted September 11 – September 14, 2011 by
American Directions Group of Spokane, Washington, a market research
!"#$"%&'()*+),)-.")-"/'+'&01-'"%2#3'4")-/'#3)'5)-.6""7'%&1-8'-/%"5'#'"
randomly selected from a list of Washington voters, purchased from
Voter Contact Services, who registered after the 2010 General Election
or voted in either the 2008 or 2010 General Elections.
The margin of error for a survey of 500 interviews is ±4.4% at the 95%
(1-!"8'-('"+'3'+6""90'"$*#.)-"1:"'##1#":1#"/0'";<<")-/'#3)'5"%2=%*$&+'"1:"
+)>'+4"?<@@"31/'#%")%"A;6BC"*/"/0'"BDC"(1-!"8'-('"+'3'+6"90'"$*#.)-"1:"'##1#"
is higher for other subsamples. Other sources of error not accounted for
by the stated statistical margin of error include, but are not limited to,
question wording, question order, and refusal to be interviewed.
!"#"$%$&"'()'%$"*(+(,(-. /#&&$0'+$)1&1" 1(&!
PARTY SELF ID (DEM/LEAN) – All respondents who indicated
they consider themselves to be a Democrat or an Independent who
+'*-%"$1#'"/15*#8%"/0'"E'$1(#*/)("F*#/4"/0*-"/0'"7'&2=+)(*-"F*#/46
PARTY SELF ID (GOP/LEAN) – All respondents who indicated
/0'4"(1-%)8'#"/0'$%'+3'%"/1"='"*"7'&2=+)(*-"1#"*-"G-8'&'-8'-/"501"
+'*-%"$1#'"/15*#8%"/0'"7'&2=+)(*-"F*#/4"/0*-"/0'"E'$1(#*/)("F*#/46
PARTY SELF ID (INDY) – All respondents who indicated they
consider themselves to be an independent and do not lean
/15*#8%"/0'"E'$1(#*/)("1#"7'&2=+)(*-"&*#/)'%6
REGION (KING CNTY) – All respondents who are registered to
vote in King County.
REGION (NORTH PUGET) – All respondents who are
registered to vote in Island, San Juan, Skagit, Snohomish, and
Whatcom Counties.
REGION (WEST WASH) – All respondents who are registered to
31/'")-"H+*++*$I"H+*#>I"H15+)/,I"J#*4%"K*#=1#I"L'::'#%1-I"M)/%*#I"N'5)%I"
O*%1-I"F*()!"(I"F)'#('I"P>*$*-)*I"902#%/1-I"Q"R*0>)*>2$"H12-/)'%6
REGION (EAST WASH) – All respondents who are registered
to vote in Adams, Asotin, Benton, Chelan, Columbia, Douglas,
S'##4I"S#*->+)-I"J*#!"'+8I"J#*-/I"M)//)/*%I"M+)(>)/*/I"N)-(1+-I"
Okanogan, Pend Oreille, Spokane, Stevens, Walla Walla, Whitman,
and Yakima Counties
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
To start, in general, would you say that things here in the country are heading in the right direction or are things
off on the wrong track?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
Right direction 23% 22% 24% 38% 6% 17% 28% 33% 16% 14% 25% 19% 21% 44% 24% 22% 37% 5%
Wrong track 64% 67% 61% 44% 86% 71% 56% 50% 76% 72% 62% 67% 66% 42% 63% 65% 46% 87%
DK/NA/REFUSED 13% 11% 15% 18% 7% 12% 16% 16% 8% 14% 13% 14% 13% 14% 13% 13% 18% 7%
100% 40% 60% 59% 19% 17% 38% 21% 20% 21% 55% 43% 86% 9% 48% 49% 70% 20%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
How about here in Washington State? Would you say that things are heading in the right direction or are things off on
the wrong track?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
Right direction 32% 33% 32% 51% 11% 29% 39% 40% 28% 21% 30% 36% 32% 48% 35% 31% 51% 10%
Wrong track 57% 56% 58% 36% 82% 59% 48% 52% 63% 66% 58% 55% 59% 36% 54% 60% 37% 82%
DK/NA/REFUSED 11% 11% 11% 13% 6% 12% 13% 8% 9% 13% 12% 9% 9% 16% 11% 10% 13% 7%
100% 48% 52% 51% 20% 22% 36% 12% 26% 24% 62% 33% 73% 13% 48% 44% 61% 24%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
In your opinion, has the U.S. economy turned the corner on the current crisis, is the worst yet to come, or have things
stabilized but not yet begun to improve?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
Turned the corner 7% 8% 5% 12% 1% 6% 11% 6% 4% 5% 7% 6% 6% 11% 8% 5% 12% *%
Worse yet to come 38% 38% 37% 20% 54% 48% 30% 30% 40% 55% 37% 39% 38% 30% 37% 38% 22% 57%
Stabilized 48% 46% 49% 61% 37% 38% 50% 53% 49% 34% 49% 45% 48% 48% 48% 48% 58% 34%
DK/NA/REFUSED 8% 8% 9% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% 7% 6% 7% 10% 7% 10% 7% 9% 7% 9%
100% 44% 56% 38% 33% 18% 34% 21% 26% 14% 49% 48% 77% 11% 41% 54% 45% 38%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
FAVORABILITY: Barack Obama
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
FAVORABLE 50% 44% 55% 90% 9% 38% 60% 56% 47% 31% 47% 53% 48% 72% 58% 42% 85% 6%
UNFAVORABLE 46% 51% 42% 9% 87% 54% 35% 37% 50% 63% 49% 42% 48% 25% 39% 52% 12% 89%
Very favorable 25% 18% 31% 49% 2% 18% 32% 31% 22% 14% 18% 34% 24% 28% 31% 19% 46% *%
Somewhat favorable 25% 26% 24% 41% 6% 21% 28% 26% 25% 17% 29% 19% 23% 43% 27% 23% 39% 6%
Somewhat unfavorable 14% 16% 13% 6% 21% 21% 16% 8% 13% 17% 17% 10% 14% 16% 16% 13% 8% 21%
Very unfavorable 32% 34% 29% 3% 66% 33% 20% 29% 37% 46% 32% 32% 33% 9% 23% 40% 4% 67%
No opinion 3% 4% 2% 1% 4% 6% 4% 4% 2% 4% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 2% 4%
Unfamiliar *% *% - - *% - - - - 1% - *% *% - *% - - -
FAV - UNFAV 4% -7% 13% 81% -79% -15% 25% 19% -3% -32% -3% 12% *% 47% 19% -10% 73% -83%
DK/NA/REFUSED 1% 1% 1% *% 1% 2% 1% 3% *% 1% *% 2% 1% - *% 2% 1% 1%
100% 52% 48% 13% 23% 29% 20% 43% 13% 19% 23% 77% 100% 13% 87% 28% 23%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
FAVORABILITY: Rick Perry
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
FAVORABLE 21% 26% 16% 6% 38% 21% 18% 16% 23% 29% 21% 22% 21% 19% 20% 22% 8% 37%
UNFAVORABLE 34% 35% 33% 58% 9% 27% 45% 31% 32% 26% 28% 42% 34% 34% 44% 24% 54% 10%
Very favorable 5% 6% 4% 1% 13% 1% 5% 5% 4% 9% 6% 4% 5% - 5% 6% 1% 12%
Somewhat favorable 16% 20% 12% 5% 25% 20% 13% 11% 20% 20% 15% 18% 16% 19% 15% 16% 7% 26%
Somewhat unfavorable 10% 11% 10% 12% 7% 15% 12% 10% 10% 11% 11% 9% 10% 21% 13% 8% 14% 8%
Very unfavorable 24% 24% 23% 46% 2% 12% 33% 22% 22% 15% 17% 33% 24% 13% 30% 16% 41% 2%
No opinion 18% 17% 20% 10% 24% 25% 20% 16% 17% 16% 18% 19% 19% 13% 11% 26% 13% 26%
Unfamiliar 24% 19% 28% 23% 25% 25% 15% 33% 24% 27% 29% 16% 23% 34% 23% 25% 22% 24%
FAV - UNFAV -13% -9% -16% -52% 29% -6% -27% -15% -9% 3% -8% -20% -13% -16% -24% -3% -46% 27%
DK/NA/REFUSED 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 1% 3% 3% 2% 4% 1% 3% - 2% 3% 2% 4%
100% 44% 56% 40% 45% 14% 15% 18% 41% 15% 84% 16% 92% 41% 59% 46% 49%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
FAVORABILITY: Mitt Romney
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
FAVORABLE 38% 43% 33% 20% 59% 42% 36% 30% 38% 48% 34% 43% 38% 34% 35% 40% 24% 58%
UNFAVORABLE 38% 38% 38% 60% 15% 27% 41% 47% 38% 26% 36% 40% 37% 38% 42% 33% 54% 15%
Very favorable 6% 5% 7% 3% 13% 2% 7% 6% 5% 8% 5% 8% 6% 10% 6% 7% 3% 10%
Somewhat favorable 31% 38% 26% 18% 46% 40% 29% 23% 33% 40% 29% 35% 33% 24% 29% 33% 21% 48%
Somewhat unfavorable 22% 25% 20% 32% 12% 20% 23% 26% 21% 20% 26% 18% 22% 19% 26% 19% 28% 13%
Very unfavorable 16% 13% 18% 28% 3% 8% 18% 20% 17% 6% 11% 22% 15% 19% 16% 15% 26% 2%
No opinion 18% 12% 24% 13% 20% 26% 17% 14% 18% 22% 23% 12% 19% 17% 19% 17% 16% 21%
Unfamiliar 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 2% 5% 7% 4% 3% 6% 4% 4% 12% 3% 7% 5% 4%
FAV - UNFAV -0% 5% -5% -40% 44% 15% -5% -17% *% 22% -2% 3% 1% -4% -7% 6% -30% 43%
DK/NA/REFUSED 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% - 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% - - 3% *% 2%
100% 55% 45% 16% 36% 37% 33% 51% 14% 42% 58% 88% 88% 16% 52%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
FAVORABILITY: Chris Gregoire
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
FAVORABLE 43% 37% 49% 73% 11% 38% 50% 45% 45% 30% 37% 52% 42% 53% 50% 37% 68% 12%
UNFAVORABLE 47% 54% 41% 20% 81% 48% 40% 46% 46% 60% 52% 41% 48% 35% 43% 53% 23% 79%
Very favorable 17% 11% 22% 32% 1% 9% 22% 19% 15% 10% 11% 26% 16% 26% 18% 15% 29% 1%
Somewhat favorable 27% 26% 27% 41% 9% 29% 29% 26% 30% 20% 26% 26% 27% 27% 32% 21% 39% 11%
Somewhat unfavorable 17% 19% 16% 12% 24% 18% 17% 16% 17% 19% 19% 15% 17% 20% 17% 17% 13% 22%
Very unfavorable 30% 36% 25% 8% 57% 30% 23% 30% 29% 41% 33% 26% 31% 15% 25% 35% 10% 57%
No opinion 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 10% 8% 4% 4% 7% 8% 3% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6% 4%
Unfamiliar 3% 2% 3% 2% 4% 2% - 4% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 6% 1% 4% 2% 3%
FAV - UNFAV -4% -17% 8% 53% -70% -10% 10% -1% -1% -30% -15% 11% -6% 18% 7% -16% 44% -67%
DK/NA/REFUSED 1% 1% 1% *% 1% 2% 2% 1% *% - - 2% 1% - *% 2% 1% 1%
100% 30% 70% 15% 40% 45% 69% 16% 15% 100% 100% 15% 85% 45% 40%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
FAVORABILITY: Jay Inslee
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
FAVORABLE 30% 31% 29% 48% 11% 24% 42% 30% 27% 15% 25% 36% 30% 28% 37% 22% 43% 12%
UNFAVORABLE 17% 20% 15% 7% 30% 16% 19% 18% 17% 15% 13% 24% 18% 8% 13% 21% 9% 27%
Very favorable 12% 9% 14% 22% 1% 8% 18% 13% 10% 3% 7% 19% 12% 4% 17% 7% 21% 1%
Somewhat favorable 18% 22% 15% 26% 10% 16% 23% 17% 17% 12% 19% 17% 18% 25% 21% 15% 23% 11%
Somewhat unfavorable 11% 13% 10% 5% 18% 10% 12% 11% 12% 7% 9% 14% 11% 1% 9% 13% 7% 14%
Very unfavorable 6% 7% 5% 1% 11% 7% 7% 7% 5% 8% 4% 9% 7% 7% 4% 9% 2% 12%
No opinion 21% 21% 22% 17% 22% 28% 22% 16% 21% 26% 21% 22% 20% 29% 24% 18% 21% 21%
Unfamiliar 29% 27% 31% 25% 33% 28% 15% 31% 30% 43% 37% 17% 29% 31% 22% 35% 25% 36%
FAV - UNFAV 12% 11% 14% 42% -19% 8% 22% 12% 10% - 12% 12% 13% 20% 25% 1% 34% -15%
DK/NA/REFUSED 3% 2% 4% 3% 5% 3% 2% 4% 4% 1% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 5%
100% 31% 69% 33% 49% 18% 21% 20% 40% 6% 65% 26% 84% 7% 48% 44% 36% 51%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
FAVORABILITY: Rob McKenna
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
FAVORABLE 35% 37% 33% 25% 50% 29% 40% 32% 34% 37% 34% 37% 36% 27% 36% 34% 27% 47%
UNFAVORABLE 20% 21% 19% 34% 8% 13% 24% 23% 22% 11% 17% 25% 21% 15% 25% 16% 32% 7%
Very favorable 11% 10% 12% 6% 20% 10% 14% 11% 11% 9% 9% 15% 11% 9% 14% 9% 6% 19%
Somewhat favorable 24% 27% 21% 19% 30% 19% 26% 21% 23% 28% 25% 22% 25% 17% 22% 25% 21% 28%
Somewhat unfavorable 13% 13% 13% 22% 6% 9% 12% 20% 15% 6% 13% 14% 14% 9% 16% 11% 20% 5%
Very unfavorable 7% 8% 6% 12% 2% 4% 12% 3% 7% 5% 4% 10% 7% 6% 9% 5% 11% 1%
No opinion 24% 23% 25% 21% 21% 37% 21% 21% 24% 29% 26% 20% 23% 33% 19% 29% 22% 23%
Unfamiliar 18% 16% 20% 17% 18% 19% 13% 20% 18% 22% 20% 15% 18% 23% 16% 20% 17% 20%
FAV - UNFAV 15% 16% 14% -9% 42% 16% 16% 9% 12% 26% 17% 13% 16% 12% 11% 18% -4% 40%
DK/NA/REFUSED 3% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 1% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3%
100% 29% 71% 48% 34% 13% 27% 19% 37% 7% 66% 34% 86% 8% 56% 38% 45% 44%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
FAVORABIILTY: The Tea Party Movement
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
FAVORABLE 30% 37% 25% 7% 64% 22% 22% 20% 35% 46% 32% 29% 30% 23% 26% 34% 9% 59%
UNFAVORABLE 52% 48% 55% 86% 17% 43% 64% 60% 48% 35% 47% 58% 52% 54% 60% 44% 80% 18%
Very favorable 13% 14% 11% 2% 28% 10% 11% 7% 14% 19% 11% 16% 13% 8% 10% 15% 4% 28%
Somewhat favorable 18% 22% 14% 5% 36% 12% 11% 13% 22% 27% 21% 14% 18% 15% 16% 20% 6% 31%
Somewhat unfavorable 14% 16% 12% 14% 11% 18% 16% 19% 10% 16% 17% 9% 15% 10% 15% 13% 16% 14%
Very unfavorable 38% 32% 42% 71% 6% 24% 48% 41% 39% 19% 30% 49% 37% 43% 45% 31% 64% 4%
No opinion 13% 11% 14% 5% 13% 27% 12% 14% 9% 16% 16% 9% 13% 17% 12% 14% 7% 18%
Unfamiliar 3% 1% 4% 2% 2% 5% 2% 3% 4% 1% 3% 2% 2% 6% 2% 4% 3% 2%
FAV - UNFAV -21% -12% -30% -79% 47% -21% -43% -40% -13% 11% -15% -28% -21% -31% -34% -9% -70% 41%
DK/NA/REFUSED 2% 3% 2% - 4% 4% - 3% 4% 2% 2% 3% 2% - 1% 4% *% 4%
100% 52% 48% 54% 32% 19% 51% 16% 58% 42% 85% 20% 73% 9% 52%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
If the election for President were held today, and the choices were Democrat Barack Obama or Republican Rick Perry, for
whom would you vote?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
TOTAL OBAMA 51% 46% 56% 92% 8% 42% 62% 58% 48% 36% 48% 56% 49% 75% 60% 43% 89% 5%
TOTAL PERRY 37% 40% 35% 3% 80% 37% 27% 29% 42% 52% 43% 31% 39% 18% 32% 42% 7% 81%
Obama 50% 46% 54% 91% 7% 42% 62% 58% 47% 34% 46% 55% 48% 75% 59% 42% 87% 5%
Lean Obama 1% *% 1% 2% 1% - - - 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 2% *%
Perry 36% 39% 33% 3% 79% 32% 26% 28% 41% 50% 41% 29% 37% 16% 29% 42% 6% 78%
Lean Perry 2% 1% 2% - 2% 5% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% *% 1% 2%
Other (DNR) 4% 6% 2% 2% 4% 5% 2% 5% 3% 6% 3% 4% 4% 1% 2% 4% 2% 3%
OBAMA - PERRY 14% 6% 21% 90% -73% 5% 35% 28% 6% -16% 5% 25% 10% 57% 28% 1% 82% -75%
DK/NA/REFUSED 8% 8% 8% 3% 8% 16% 9% 8% 6% 6% 7% 10% 9% 7% 6% 10% 3% 11%
100% 49% 51% 16% 35% 37% 36% 17% 26% 15% 47% 50% 93% 7% 34% 66% 18% 49%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
If the election for President were held today, and the choices were Democrat Barack Obama or Republican Mitt Romney,
for whom would you vote?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
TOTAL OBAMA 49% 44% 53% 92% 5% 36% 56% 57% 47% 33% 46% 52% 47% 65% 56% 41% 85% 4%
TOTAL ROMNEY 40% 44% 36% 4% 83% 43% 31% 33% 43% 54% 43% 35% 41% 32% 36% 44% 9% 84%
Obama 46% 41% 51% 88% 5% 33% 54% 57% 44% 31% 42% 51% 45% 59% 53% 40% 81% 3%
Lean Obama 2% 2% 2% 3% *% 3% 2% *% 3% 2% 3% 1% 2% 5% 3% 1% 3% 1%
Romney 37% 41% 34% 3% 80% 38% 29% 31% 41% 53% 41% 33% 38% 28% 34% 41% 7% 80%
Lean Romney 2% 3% 2% *% 4% 5% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 3% 2% 3%
Other (DNR) 4% 5% 3% 2% 4% 7% 2% 6% 5% 5% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 6% 3% 4%
OBAMA - ROMNEY 9% -0% 17% 88% -78% -7% 25% 24% 3% -21% 2% 17% 6% 32% 20% -3% 76% -80%
DK/NA/REFUSED 8% 8% 7% 2% 7% 14% 11% 3% 5% 8% 7% 8% 8% - 6% 8% 4% 9%
100% 49% 51% 13% 33% 35% 47% 7% 22% 21% 57% 43% 91% 40% 53% 27% 43%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
If the election for US Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican
candidate?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
TOTAL DEMOCRATIC 44% 41% 48% 84% 3% 35% 48% 57% 43% 29% 40% 50% 44% 50% 49% 39% 76% 5%
TOTAL REPUBLICAN 37% 43% 31% 3% 87% 22% 28% 31% 39% 53% 42% 30% 37% 30% 34% 40% 6% 80%
Democratic 38% 33% 44% 75% 2% 28% 41% 53% 39% 22% 33% 45% 38% 45% 45% 32% 68% 3%
Lean Democratic 6% 8% 4% 9% 1% 7% 7% 4% 4% 7% 7% 4% 6% 5% 4% 7% 9% 2%
Republican 34% 39% 29% 3% 80% 20% 27% 28% 35% 48% 39% 27% 35% 25% 31% 37% 5% 74%
Lean Republican 3% 4% 2% - 7% 1% 1% 4% 4% 5% 2% 3% 3% 5% 3% 3% 1% 6%
Other (DNR) 5% 5% 5% 2% 2% 18% 4% 1% 6% 8% 4% 6% 5% - 3% 7% 3% 4%
DEM - GOP 8% -2% 17% 81% -85% 14% 20% 26% 4% -24% -2% 19% 6% 20% 15% -1% 71% -76%
DK/NA/REFUSED 14% 11% 17% 12% 8% 25% 20% 10% 12% 10% 14% 14% 14% 20% 14% 15% 15% 11%
100% 38% 62% 37% 19% 34% 45% 13% 27% 14% 57% 40% 85% 12% 47% 53% 54% 27%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
If the election for Governor of Washington were held today, and the choices were Democrat Jay Inslee or Republican Rob
McKenna, for whom would you vote?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
TOTAL INSLEE 39% 35% 43% 75% 3% 30% 45% 46% 41% 25% 36% 43% 39% 54% 45% 35% 67% 4%
TOTAL MCKENNA 46% 51% 42% 12% 89% 46% 39% 42% 46% 62% 52% 39% 47% 37% 45% 48% 18% 87%
Inslee 37% 32% 42% 71% 3% 29% 42% 43% 39% 24% 33% 42% 37% 49% 43% 32% 64% 3%
Lean Inslee 2% 3% 1% 4% - 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 3% 1% 2% 5% 2% 3% 4% 1%
McKenna 45% 49% 40% 11% 86% 45% 37% 42% 44% 58% 50% 38% 45% 37% 42% 47% 17% 84%
Lean McKenna 2% 1% 2% *% 3% 1% 2% - 2% 4% 2% 1% 1% - 2% 1% 1% 3%
Other (DNR) 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% - 1% 2% 2% 1%
INSLEE - MCKENNA -7% -16% 1% 63% -86% -16% 6% 4% -5% -37% -16% 4% -8% 16% *% -13% 49% -83%
DK/NA/REFUSED 13% 13% 13% 11% 7% 21% 14% 12% 12% 12% 11% 16% 13% 9% 9% 16% 13% 8%
100% 48% 52% 37% 18% 32% 34% 15% 30% 19% 47% 51% 87% 6% 34% 60% 51% 24%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
(ONLY ASKED OF 2011 VOTERS) This proposal concerns state expenditures on transportation. It would prohibit the use of
motor vehicle fund revenue and vehicle toll revenue for non-transportation purposes, and require that road and bridge
tolls be set by the legislature and be project-specific. If the election were held today, would you vote in favor or
against this proposal?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 46% 54% 43% 36% 17% 28% 14% 38% 20% 45% 54% 88% 7% 58% 41% 51% 37%
TOTAL IN FAVOR 50% 58% 44% 43% 60% 48% 52% 51% 51% 45% 52% 49% 50% 56% 50% 51% 43% 61%
TOTAL AGAINST 31% 31% 30% 35% 25% 33% 28% 29% 32% 34% 31% 30% 31% 27% 32% 27% 36% 22%
In favor 46% 53% 41% 40% 54% 46% 49% 44% 49% 38% 46% 47% 46% 56% 45% 48% 40% 56%
Lean in favor 4% 4% 3% 3% 6% 1% 3% 7% 2% 7% 6% 2% 4% - 4% 3% 3% 5%
Against 28% 28% 28% 32% 23% 32% 25% 27% 30% 32% 28% 28% 28% 27% 30% 25% 33% 20%
Lean against 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% - 3% 3% 3% 2%
FOR - AGAINST 20% 27% 13% 8% 35% 15% 23% 22% 19% 11% 21% 19% 19% 29% 18% 24% 6% 39%
DK/NA/REFUSED 19% 12% 26% 22% 15% 20% 20% 20% 18% 21% 17% 21% 19% 17% 18% 21% 21% 17%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
(ONLY ASKED OF 2011 VOTERS) This proposal concerns liquor, beer, wine, and hard liquor. It would close state liquor
stores and sell their assets, license private parties to sell and distribute spirits, set license fees based on sales,
regulate licensees, and change regulation of wine distribution. If the election were held today, would you vote in
favor or against this proposal?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 46% 54% 43% 36% 17% 28% 14% 38% 20% 45% 54% 88% 7% 58% 41% 51% 37%
TOTAL IN FAVOR 51% 62% 41% 38% 62% 55% 53% 45% 49% 54% 54% 48% 50% 63% 52% 49% 38% 63%
TOTAL AGAINST 44% 36% 52% 58% 32% 42% 41% 50% 45% 45% 41% 47% 44% 37% 43% 46% 57% 30%
In favor 47% 59% 37% 35% 59% 51% 48% 45% 47% 49% 50% 45% 47% 57% 48% 46% 34% 60%
Lean in favor 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 5% - 2% 5% 4% 3% 3% 7% 4% 3% 4% 3%
Against 44% 35% 51% 57% 31% 41% 41% 50% 44% 44% 40% 47% 44% 37% 42% 46% 57% 30%
Lean against 1% 1% 1% *% 1% 1% - - 1% 1% 1% - 1% - 1% - 1% 1%
FOR - AGAINST 7% 26% -10% -19% 30% 13% 12% -5% 4% 9% 13% 2% 6% 26% 9% 3% -19% 32%
DK/NA/REFUSED 5% 2% 7% 4% 7% 3% 7% 5% 6% 1% 5% 5% 5% - 5% 5% 4% 7%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
Changing directions, do you generally approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as President?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
TOTAL APPROVE 49% 42% 54% 89% 7% 38% 58% 62% 45% 29% 46% 52% 47% 63% 56% 42% 82% 6%
TOTAL DISAPPROVE 48% 52% 44% 10% 89% 57% 39% 35% 53% 65% 49% 47% 50% 31% 43% 53% 16% 91%
Strong approve 18% 12% 23% 36% 1% 10% 25% 17% 18% 9% 14% 23% 17% 25% 24% 12% 33% 1%
Somewhat approve 31% 30% 31% 53% 6% 28% 33% 45% 28% 20% 32% 29% 30% 38% 32% 30% 50% 6%
Somewhat disapprove 15% 17% 13% 8% 21% 20% 13% 6% 16% 20% 17% 13% 15% 14% 16% 14% 11% 22%
Strong disapprove 33% 36% 31% 2% 68% 37% 26% 29% 37% 45% 33% 34% 35% 17% 27% 39% 5% 69%
APPROVE - DISAPPROVE 1% -10% 10% 79% -82% -19% 19% 27% -7% -36% -3% 5% -2% 32% 13% -11% 67% -84%
DK/NA/REFUSED 3% 5% 2% 1% 3% 5% 3% 3% 2% 6% 5% 1% 3% 6% 2% 4% 2% 3%
100% 73% 27% 8% 32% 29% 30% 14% 21% 34% 85% 15% 70% 16% 21% 64% 29% 28%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
Do you generally approve or disapprove of the way the US Congress is handling its job?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
TOTAL APPROVE 14% 9% 18% 13% 14% 12% 12% 17% 14% 13% 16% 11% 14% 13% 12% 16% 13% 14%
TOTAL DISAPPROVE 81% 86% 77% 83% 80% 82% 83% 76% 82% 82% 77% 86% 82% 81% 84% 78% 84% 78%
Strong approve *% 1% - *% 1% - 1% - 1% - *% *% *% - 1% - *% 1%
Somewhat approve 13% 9% 18% 13% 14% 12% 11% 17% 13% 13% 15% 11% 13% 13% 11% 16% 13% 14%
Somewhat disapprove 27% 30% 24% 22% 37% 23% 23% 21% 29% 31% 31% 22% 28% 21% 25% 29% 21% 34%
Strong disapprove 54% 56% 52% 61% 42% 59% 59% 55% 53% 51% 47% 64% 54% 60% 59% 49% 63% 44%
APPROVE - DISAPPROVE -67% -76% -59% -70% -65% -70% -70% -59% -68% -69% -62% -74% -68% -68% -72% -63% -71% -63%
DK/NA/REFUSED 5% 5% 6% 3% 6% 6% 5% 7% 4% 5% 7% 3% 5% 6% 4% 6% 3% 8%
100% 41% 59% 27% 39% 20% 31% 23% 23% 19% 77% 23% 77% 10% 36% 58% 25% 57%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job that Chris Gregoire is doing as Governor of Washington?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
TOTAL APPROVE 47% 40% 54% 79% 14% 42% 56% 48% 48% 35% 42% 54% 47% 59% 54% 41% 73% 14%
TOTAL DISAPPROVE 47% 56% 39% 17% 81% 50% 41% 41% 47% 61% 51% 42% 49% 26% 42% 52% 23% 80%
Strong approve 17% 10% 24% 32% 1% 13% 19% 21% 16% 12% 12% 24% 17% 21% 17% 17% 29% 3%
Somewhat approve 31% 30% 31% 47% 12% 29% 37% 27% 32% 23% 30% 30% 29% 38% 36% 25% 43% 11%
Somewhat disapprove 20% 26% 15% 9% 32% 23% 20% 12% 21% 25% 25% 15% 20% 16% 18% 22% 11% 33%
Strong disapprove 27% 29% 24% 9% 49% 27% 21% 29% 25% 36% 27% 28% 29% 10% 24% 30% 12% 47%
APPROVE - DISAPPROVE 1% -16% 15% 61% -67% -8% 15% 7% 2% -26% -9% 12% -2% 34% 12% -10% 50% -66%
DK/NA/REFUSED 6% 5% 6% 4% 5% 8% 3% 11% 5% 4% 7% 3% 5% 15% 4% 7% 4% 6%
100% 40% 60% 29% 33% 28% 18% 33% 30% 14% 75% 25% 71% 23% 38% 59% 41% 39%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
Do you generally approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
TOTAL APPROVE 33% 27% 37% 62% 5% 21% 40% 44% 23% 28% 30% 34% 33% 26% 34% 31% 54% 4%
TOTAL DISAPPROVE 59% 67% 52% 32% 87% 67% 52% 48% 68% 64% 60% 59% 59% 58% 59% 59% 39% 87%
Strong approve 7% 5% 9% 16% - 3% 11% 9% 7% 3% 4% 11% 8% 6% 8% 7% 13% 1%
Somewhat approve 25% 22% 28% 46% 5% 18% 29% 36% 16% 25% 26% 23% 26% 20% 26% 24% 42% 2%
Somewhat disapprove 28% 31% 25% 24% 30% 32% 25% 24% 33% 23% 29% 26% 26% 36% 33% 23% 26% 29%
Strong disapprove 31% 36% 27% 8% 57% 35% 27% 24% 35% 41% 31% 33% 33% 22% 27% 36% 13% 58%
APPROVE - DISAPPROVE -26% -40% -15% 30% -82% -46% -12% -4% -45% -36% -30% -24% -26% -31% -25% -28% 15% -84%
DK/NA/REFUSED 8% 6% 11% 6% 8% 12% 8% 8% 9% 8% 10% 7% 8% 16% 7% 10% 7% 9%
100% 33% 67% 32% 32% 27% 30% 16% 33% 19% 66% 34% 78% 16% 39% 61% 42% 39%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
Do you generally approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
TOTAL APPROVE 24% 24% 23% 10% 45% 14% 22% 19% 23% 35% 26% 21% 23% 21% 20% 27% 13% 38%
TOTAL DISAPPROVE 70% 71% 69% 85% 49% 76% 73% 72% 71% 57% 66% 74% 71% 67% 73% 66% 83% 54%
Strong approve 3% 2% 4% 1% 5% 3% 5% 4% 1% 3% 2% 4% 3% 6% 2% 4% 2% 6%
Somewhat approve 21% 22% 19% 9% 40% 11% 17% 15% 22% 32% 23% 17% 20% 15% 18% 23% 11% 32%
Somewhat disapprove 27% 28% 25% 15% 34% 42% 25% 21% 29% 26% 32% 20% 28% 25% 25% 28% 18% 39%
Strong disapprove 43% 42% 43% 70% 15% 34% 48% 51% 43% 31% 34% 54% 43% 42% 48% 38% 65% 15%
APPROVE - DISAPPROVE -46% -47% -46% -74% -4% -62% -51% -53% -48% -22% -41% -53% -48% -46% -53% -40% -70% -16%
DK/NA/REFUSED 7% 5% 8% 5% 6% 10% 5% 9% 6% 8% 8% 5% 6% 12% 6% 7% 4% 8%
100% 37% 63% 31% 30% 28% 23% 24% 27% 24% 69% 31% 77% 16% 45% 55% 30% 43%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
Do you think it should be legal or illegal for gay and lesbian couples to get married?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
Legal 54% 54% 53% 80% 22% 56% 58% 61% 52% 42% 55% 51% 53% 60% 60% 47% 78% 24%
Illegal 35% 34% 35% 10% 67% 28% 24% 31% 40% 46% 34% 36% 36% 22% 29% 41% 13% 63%
DK/NA/REFUSED 12% 12% 12% 10% 11% 16% 18% 8% 8% 12% 11% 13% 11% 18% 11% 12% 9% 12%
100% 48% 52% 36% 32% 25% 47% 11% 22% 20% 53% 45% 78% 13% 45% 50% 40% 37%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
Do you think the use of marijuana should be made legal, or not?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
Should be legal 46% 56% 37% 59% 25% 56% 54% 54% 43% 32% 48% 43% 45% 51% 48% 43% 60% 26%
Should not be legal 46% 37% 54% 33% 69% 36% 36% 39% 52% 59% 47% 46% 47% 45% 46% 48% 31% 69%
DK/NA/REFUSED 8% 7% 8% 8% 6% 8% 11% 7% 5% 9% 5% 10% 8% 4% 6% 10% 8% 6%
100% 44% 56% 45% 27% 20% 42% 14% 21% 23% 37% 54% 88% 5% 37% 61% 56% 26%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
Do you think the State of Washington should tax the legal sale of MEDICAL marijuana, or not?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
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DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
Should impose tax 70% 77% 64% 73% 63% 75% 68% 71% 69% 73% 74% 63% 69% 73% 72% 67% 76% 63%
Should not impose tax 22% 16% 26% 20% 26% 17% 25% 17% 21% 20% 20% 24% 22% 22% 22% 22% 18% 24%
DK/NA/REFUSED 9% 7% 10% 7% 11% 8% 7% 12% 10% 7% 6% 13% 9% 4% 6% 12% 6% 13%
100% 38% 62% 34% 41% 17% 25% 23% 36% 16% 37% 60% 93% 4% 34% 66% 36% 54%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
Please tell me how you would vote on this proposal. This measure concerns dedicating funds designated for educational
purposes. It would create an education trust fund for smaller classes, extended learning programs, certain salary
increases, preschool access, and expanded college enrollments and scholarships, funded by increasing retail sales tax
by 1%. If the election were held today, would you vote in favor or against this proposal?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
=========== ================== ========================= ============ =========== =========== ===========
DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
TOTAL IN FAVOR 51% 44% 57% 72% 32% 44% 51% 58% 47% 45% 53% 48% 50% 74% 55% 48% 68% 30%
TOTAL AGAINST 43% 51% 36% 24% 62% 48% 41% 37% 48% 51% 42% 46% 44% 26% 40% 46% 27% 64%
In favor 47% 42% 51% 68% 28% 37% 49% 53% 41% 42% 48% 45% 45% 72% 51% 44% 65% 24%
Lean in favor 4% 2% 6% 3% 4% 7% 2% 5% 5% 3% 5% 3% 4% 2% 3% 5% 4% 6%
Against 40% 48% 33% 22% 60% 43% 38% 35% 43% 51% 39% 43% 42% 22% 38% 42% 24% 62%
Lean against 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 5% 3% 2% 4% - 2% 3% 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 2%
DK/NA/REFUSED 6% 5% 6% 4% 6% 8% 8% 5% 6% 4% 5% 7% 6% - 5% 6% 5% 6%
100% 42% 58% 29% 32% 25% 41% 14% 31% 14% 48% 47% 81% 38% 51% 40% 37%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
The state of Washington is facing a budget deficit of over $1.5 billion. As you may know, the legislature can reduce
this budget deficit by cutting spending, raising taxes, or a combination of the two. Ideally, how would you prefer to
see the legislature attempt to reduce the state of Washington s budget deficit?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
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DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
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BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
ALL OR MOSTLY CUTS 40% 43% 37% 19% 69% 35% 30% 37% 44% 56% 42% 38% 41% 28% 36% 44% 19% 67%
EQUAL CUTS AND TAXES 44% 43% 44% 53% 25% 55% 52% 38% 43% 33% 43% 44% 42% 52% 47% 40% 57% 26%
ALL OR MOSTLY TAXES 11% 10% 12% 23% 1% 4% 13% 18% 9% 6% 12% 10% 11% 18% 15% 8% 20% 2%
Only with spending cuts 19% 22% 17% 8% 32% 20% 12% 21% 20% 27% 20% 17% 21% 3% 16% 22% 7% 32%
Mostly with spending 21% 22% 21% 12% 38% 14% 17% 16% 24% 29% 22% 21% 21% 25% 20% 22% 12% 35%
cuts
Equally with spending 44% 43% 44% 53% 25% 55% 52% 38% 43% 33% 43% 44% 42% 52% 47% 40% 57% 26%
cuts and tax increases
Mostly with tax 8% 7% 9% 17% 1% 3% 9% 13% 7% 5% 10% 6% 8% 13% 12% 5% 15% 1%
increases
Only with tax increases 3% 3% 3% 6% 1% 1% 4% 4% 2% 1% 2% 4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 5% 1%
DK/NA/REFUSED 5% 4% 6% 4% 5% 7% 5% 7% 5% 5% 3% 8% 6% 2% 2% 8% 5% 5%
100% 35% 65% 37% 31% 25% 29% 24% 29% 20% 30% 65% 96% 4% 17% 83% 47% 32%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
How much, if anything, have you heard about the jobs plan proposed by President Obama that may cost about $447 billion?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
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DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
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BASE 100% 47% 53% 43% 34% 19% 31% 17% 32% 20% 58% 41% 87% 9% 48% 50% 52% 36%
A lot 28% 32% 25% 28% 28% 32% 32% 26% 30% 27% 23% 35% 28% 24% 34% 23% 28% 29%
A little 53% 55% 52% 55% 56% 48% 59% 50% 50% 51% 57% 49% 53% 55% 51% 55% 55% 52%
Nothing 18% 12% 22% 17% 16% 19% 6% 24% 21% 21% 19% 15% 17% 19% 13% 21% 17% 18%
DK/NA/REFUSED 1% *% 1% *% - 2% 2% - - 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% *% *% 1%
100% 28% 72% 23% 49% 85% 24% 62% 38% 77% 23% 72% 28% 23% 49%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0
A Survey of Likely 2011 and 2012 Voters in Washington State
From what you ve read and heard, do you think this plan is a good idea or a bad idea?
GENDER PARTY SELF ID GEOGRAPHY AGE RACE COLLEGE ED. 08 PRES.
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DEM/ GOP/ KING NORTH WEST EAST 18 - 55 OR ALL COLL. NO VOTED VOTED
TOTAL MALE FEMALE LEAN LEAN INDY CNTY PUGET WASH WASH 55 YRS OLDER WHITE OTHER DEGREE DEGREE OBAMA MCCAIN
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BASE 100% 47% 53% 44% 34% 19% 28% 18% 33% 21% 59% 40% 88% 7% 49% 49% 52% 38%
Good idea 43% 45% 42% 72% 9% 41% 60% 48% 41% 23% 39% 50% 42% 58% 54% 33% 70% 9%
Bad idea 36% 40% 32% 8% 72% 37% 32% 25% 35% 52% 38% 32% 38% 15% 31% 41% 10% 70%
DK/NA/REFUSED 21% 15% 26% 20% 20% 23% 8% 27% 24% 24% 23% 19% 20% 27% 16% 26% 20% 21%
P R E P A R E D B Y S T R A T E G I E S 3 6 0