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Volkswagen Group in ChinaDr. Jörg MullExecutive Vice President, Finance, Volkswagen Group ChinaInvestor Meeting with BoAML, Beijing, 21 May 2012
Current China Automotive Market and Sales Performance
Market & Volkswagen Group Outlook
Volkswagen Group in China
Economic Indicators
Financial Results
Products
Capacity and Investment
2
History
Introduction of Volkswagen Group China
Volkswagen was the automotive pioneer in the modern Chinese market.
1985: Shanghai Volkswagen Automotive Co. (SVW) started production as a joint venture with the Shanghai Automotive Industrial Corporation (or SAIC). Ca. 7.5 million vehicles until February 2012.
1991: FAW-Volkswagen Automotive Co. Ltd. (FAW-VW) started production as the second joint venture in China. Ca. 5.5 million vehicles until February 2012.
2004: Volkswagen Group China was founded to coordinate and manage all activities of Volkswagen in China.
Today: Volkswagen is represented by 17 companies in China (including finance and sales companies).
Total Investments 1984-2011Planned Investments 2012-2016Deliveries to Customers 2011Employees 2011
€ 12.4 Billion€ 14 Billion2.259 Million vehicles48,058
Volkswagen China Investment Company
Beijing
Volkswagen Transmission
Shanghai VolkswagenPowertrain
Shanghai
FAW-Volkswagen(Volkswagen, Audi)
DalianVolkswagen FAW Engine
ChangchunVolkswagen FAW Platform
Chengdu
Nanjing Shanghai Volkswagen
Shanghai Volkswagen(Volkswagen, ŠKODA)
Volkswagen AutomaticTransmission
Volkswagen Production Facilities in China
car production plantscomponent plantsHeadquarter Volkswagen Group China
FAW-Volkswagen
3
FoundationShare
Deliveries 2011
1990FAW 60%, VW AG 30%, AUDI AG 10%
993,000
Successful partnership with FAW and SAIC
Octavia RSFabia Scout SuperbOctaviaFabia
Polo HB CrossPoloPolo NB
Passat LingyuTouran TiguanLavida
Santana Santana Vista
Passat
1984SAIC Motor 50%, VW AG 50%
1,141,000
CC
SagitarJetta Bora
Golf Golf GTI Magotan
A6LA4L Q5
4
Volkswagen
Lamborghini, Bentley
Audi
Locally Produced(‘000 Units)
Import FBU*(‘000 Units)
79.6
279.2 100.0
349.5
FAW-VW
SVW
25.3
24.2
1.1
Total Deliveries Region China 858.9
Deliveries of Volkswagen in China January to April 2012
* incl. Hongkong;
Source: Volkswagen Group China
∑ 50.6 ∑ 808.3
5
Current China Automotive Market and Sales Performance
Market & Volkswagen Group Outlook
Volkswagen Group in China
Economic Indicators
Financial Results
Products
Capacity and Investment
6
Comeback of a world power
Fall of RomanEmpire
Mohammad‘sHegira
Marco Polo‘strips to Asia
Discovery ofAmerica
French and US Revolution
Oilcrisis
IndustrialRevolution
InternetRevolution
Rest ofthe worldJapanEurope &N. America
India
China
100
80
60
40
20
00 500 1000 1500 2009
Share world BIP(Year 1 – 2009; in %)
Year
Source: McKinsey
"For Chinese leadership, it is not surprising that China is on the verge of becoming a superpower, but rather that they have not been for the last 300 years" Henry Kissinger, former US Secretary of State
7
2011 GDP reached a 9.2% growth year on year, and the economy is now in a path of stable growth
CAGR 9.2%
Source: Deutsche Bank, last Update May 2012
CAGR 10.3%
Q4/09
10.7%
Q3/09
8.9%7.9%
6.1%
Q2/09Q1/09 Q4/10Q3/10Q2/10Q1/10
11.9%
9.6%10.3% 9.8%
2009 2010 2011
Q1/11
9.7% 9.5%
Q2/11
9.1%
Q3/11
8.9%
Q4/11
CAGR 9.2%
2012(forecast)
Q2/12E Q3/12E Q4/12EQ1/12
8.1%8.1% 8.7% 8.8%
CAGR 8.5%
8
Current 5-year-plan: New growth model with focus on domestic market
Up to now:Focus on export andquantitative growth
Now:Focus on domestic market and
qualitative growth
11th 5-year-plan2006 – 2010
12th 5-year-plan2011 – 2015
• Multi-National-Companies and infrastructure projects as growth generator
• Big growth in manufacturing trade• Jobs in cities to keep unemployment low
• Internationally comparable price stability and well-adjusted foreign trade balance
• Domestic consumption as growth accelerator• Megacities as growth generator • Focus on environmental protection and
energy efficiency• Encouragement of own innovations• Social stability due to balanced allocation of
prosperity • Selective policies for foreign investment as
well as globalization of Chinese companies
9
Mega and midsized cities will be the engine of GDP growth
Source: McKinsey Insights China 10
3
Big town(<0.5M) 544
Small(0.5-1.5M) 202
Mid-sized(1.5-5.0M) 58
Big(5-10M) 12
Mega(10M+)
2005819 cities
424
335
85
11
2020865 cities
% of GDP
2005 2020
13 27
22
27
15
12
26
10
New cities
37
56
5233
169166
37846
Distribution by city size
Remarks: 6 mega cities in 2010 (Shanghai, Beijing, Chongqing, Shenzhen, Tianjin, Guangzhou)
City Level (Urban Population)
10
23 26
GDP Growth development is expected to differentiate more strongly between the various Chinese regions
Zhejiang
Heilongjiang
Jilin
Liaoning
Hebei Tianjin
Shandong
Henan
Anhui
Jiangsu
Jiangxi
Fujian
Guangdong
Hunan
Hubei
Hainan
Beijing
Shanghai
Inner Mongolia
Shanxi
Guangxi Yunnan
Guizhou
Sichuan
Shaanxi
Ningxia
Gansu Qinghai
Tibet
Xinjiang
Chongqing
Expected GDP Growth 201212-15%
10-12%
8-10%
Estimate of Chinese GDP 2012 per Province
Province ExpectedGrowth 2012
Total GDP 2011 (trillion RMB)
Inner Mongolia 15.0% 1.40Guizhou 14.0% 0.56
Chongqing 13.5% 1.00Shaanxi 13.0% 1.20Hainan 13.0% 0.25Anhui 12.6% 1.50
Sichuan 12.0% 2.00Heilongjiang 12.0% 1.10
Tianjin 12.0% 1.10Shanxi 12.0% 1.10
Jilin 12.0% 1.04Gansu 12.0% 0.52Ningxia 12.0% 0.21Qinghai 12.0% 0.16Yunnan 12.0% 0.88Liaoning 11.0% 2.20Hunan 11.0% 1.96Fujian 11.0% 1.75Guanxi 11.0% 1.20Xinjiang 11.0% 0.66
Tibet 11.0% 0.06Henan 10.0% 2.70Hubei 10.0% 1.80Jiangxi 10.0% 1.20
Shangdong 9.5% 4.54Hebei 9.0% 2.40
Guangdong 8.5% 5.30Zhejiang 8.5% 3.18Jiangsu 8%-10% 4.80
Shanghai 8.0% 1.92Beijing 8.0% 1.60
Data Source: Provincial Government Report 11
Current China Automotive Market and Sales Performance
Market & Volkswagen Group Outlook
Volkswagen Group in China
Economic Indicators
Financial Results
Products
Capacity and Investment
12
After a strong boom in the past two years, passenger car market growth in China is stabilizing
2003
* Estimate; Data Source: CKD – CPCA; FBU - Registration
2011201020092008
2,266
5,503
8,482
11,457
+35%
Total Passenger Car Market – China (incl. HK)‘000 Units
+54%
CAGR +19%
12,386
+9%
2012E
5-10%*
13
2,259 thousand vehicles delivered to customers in 2011
2,259
1,723
313220
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
2,400
1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
ŠKODAAudi
Volkswagen
Volkswagen Group
Deliveries to customers
New record 2011:2.0 million vehicles
Volume doubled in the last 3 years
14
`000 units
The Volkswagen Group is aiming for a new record in the Chinese market as a strategic target for the near future
20112007 2008 2009 2010
1,024910
1,400
1,923
‘000 Units
Source: Volkswagen Group China
2,259
2012E
15
In Jan-Apr 2012, the Volkswagen Group maintained its Number 1 position by market share in China Mainland
Market Share China Mainland(2012 Jan-Apr)
VolkswagenGroup
16
214,000
216,000
227,000
576,900
234,000
235,000
258,000
652,000
Volkswagen brand maintained the 1st place in the Chinese Passenger Car market
Data Source: Manufacturers exchange data; Volkswagen Group China
Constant Growth of Volkswagen BrandMarket Leader in China Passenger Car Market
628780 843
1,116
1,5101,723
2007 2008 201020092006
Deliveries to customers
2011 Jan-Apr2012 Jan-Apr
+13%
+9%
+8%
+13%
2011 2012E
In Units In ‘000 Units
17
69,000
43,000
110,000
74,500
71,000
63,000
101,000
79,600
ŠKODA Brand growing further in 2012
Data Source: Manufacturers exchange data; Volkswagen Group China
2007 2008 201020092011 Jan-Apr
+7%
+3%
+49%
ŠKODA Brand Competitiveness ŠKODA Brand is Growing Fast
2012E2012 Jan-Apr
-9%
2011
Deliveries to customersIn Units In ‘000 Units
18
Significant growth of dealer networks planned
~3,000
1,590
1,120
230240
>1,900
>500
>500
2011 Mid-term
19
Current China Automotive Market and Sales Performance
Market & Volkswagen Group Outlook
Volkswagen Group in China
Economic Indicators
Financial Results
Products
Capacity and Investment
20
Volkswagen will continue to launch new products in China, in order to satisfy customer demands (local production)
Audi A6 L
2011+8
+5
+8
Sagitar
Passat Polo NB Fabia
201420132012+8
+7
Magotan
21
Lavida
22
Volkswagen Passat – Special design elements for Chinese customers
Passat USA Passat China
Radiator grill
Speaker cover
Tire programm Tail Lamps
23
Corporate module concept with localized components
Charging Unit
Air condition
Power Electronics
E-Motor & Transmission
Battery system
Corporate Module Shelf
High-voltagepower cables
Heating
Air Conditioning
Infotainment
Battery & BatteryMgmt.
Remote Access / Online Services
Power Electronics
E-Power brakeunit
E-Motor & Transmission
Local Components
Example Localized Componentin Corporate Module Shelf
Corporate Module Concept with Localization in China
24
Volkswagen’s development: Fuel consumption reduction to e-mobility
2010
RecuperationStart-stop
Rolling resistance
Emissions for fleet
Future Technologies
Optimised transmission
New engine generation
(for new models)
New TSI generation
Models with innovative technology
E-Traction
[CO2/km] [Volume]
>100 vehicles
Field test
Various models
>10,000 vehicles
Series
2 models
E-optimized series
Range100-200 km
Range options
2010-2013 2014-2018 After 2018
>100,000 vehicles
Phase 1: Test
3-phase introduction of e-mobility in China
Phase 2: Start of series production Phase 3: Mass market
25
Current China Automotive Market and Sales Performance
Market & Volkswagen Group Outlook
Volkswagen Group in China
Economic Indicators
Financial Results
Products
Capacity and Investment
26
Chengdu
Beijing
The investment strategy of Volkswagen Group China is self-funded through the Joint Ventures
Source: Volkswagen Group China
North
East
“Go South Strategy”
“Go West Strategy”
FAW-VW
SVW
FAW-VW
FAW-VW
Changchun
Shanghai
Foshan
Yizheng
Ningbo
Existing vehicle plant
New vehicle plant / expanding capacity
Nanjing
Headquarters
Urumqi
SVW
2012 - 2016 € 14.0bn
Total Investments
27
Volkswagen Group China capacity increase(‘000 Units)
Source: Volkswagen Group China
More working days (wd)
Further capacity optimization
2011 2014
Upwardflexibility
~47%
250 wd
250 wd
3 additional plants+
significant increasein one existing plant
1,500
700
3,000
28
Current China Automotive Market and Sales Performance
Market & Volkswagen Group Outlook
Volkswagen Group in China
Economic Indicators
Financial Results
Products
Capacity and Investment
29
Volkswagen Group China – Achievements
Deliveries to Customers
Production (100%)1)
Operating profit (quotal)1)
(’000 Units)
(’000 Units)
(€ m)
Source: Volkswagen Group China1) SVW Group/FAW-VW Group
1,024
975
395
2008
1,400
1,387
831
2009 2010
1,923
1,914
1,907
2011
2,259
2,202
2,616
2012 Q1
634
611
848
30
Current China Automotive Market and Sales Performance
Market & Volkswagen Group Outlook
Volkswagen Group in China
Economic Indicators
Financial Results
Products
Capacity and Investment
31
Total Passenger Car Market in China will develop further in the future
Source: Volkswagen Group China / IHS Global Insight
2020E2011
12,386
>15,000
>20,000
>7%
‘000 Units
2013E2012E
Average AnnualGrowth Rate
Total Passenger Car Market Forecast – China (incl. HK)
5-10%
>8%
32
33
The Chinese market has still an enormous growth potential
Source: VDA, Jahrbücher „Tatsachen und Zahlen“
Vehicle penetration of passenger cars and LCVs, 2011(units per 1,000 inhabitants)
58
366
553577
776
ChinaSouth Korea
GermanyJapanUSA
23 in 2006
Appendix
The economy of China is on a track towards normalization
Economic Indicators Unit 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 E
GDP [Growth rate] 9.6% 9.2% 10.3% 9.2% 8.5%
Consumption (public +private) [Growth rate] 21.6% 15.5% 18.4% 17.1% 16.8%
Inflation [CPI] 5.9% -0.7% 3.3% 5.4% 3.1%
Investment [Growth rate] 26.1% 30.1% 23.8% 23.8% 17.0%
Key Interest rate -- 1.80% 1.80% 2.25% 2.25% --
Shanghai Composite Index -- 1,820 3,277 2,808 2,823 --
Export [Growth rate] 17.2% -16.0% 31.3% 20.3% 9.7%
Import [Growth rate] 18.5% -11.2% 38.7% 24.9% 10.0%
Foreign Direct Investment [Bn. USD] 92.4 90.0 105.7 100.0 70
Exchange rate as of the end of the report period [RMB/USD] 6.83 6.83 6.78 6.46 6.30
Exchange rate as of the end of the report period [RMB/Euro] 9.66 9.80 8.97 9.01 8.19
Data Source: Deutsche Bank 35
Industry stock levels increased to 2.3 month by the end of April 2012
Data Source: CPCA, Volkswagen Group China
(<1.2)
Current stock level (in months) of major OEMs
Volkswagen Group
Comp.10
Comp.11
Comp.15
Comp.5
Comp.9
SVWVW
Comp.6
Comp.8
AudiComp.3
Comp. 2
Comp. 1
Comp.4
FAW-VWVW
Comp.14
Comp.13
ŠKODAComp.7
(>1.5) (1.3~1.5)4.3 4.3
3.6
2.62.8
1.9 1.8 1.81.6
1.81.51.6 1.4
1.1
1.7 1.6
Industry Average
2.9
Volkswagen Group
1.51.5
Comp.12
2.3
36
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements and information on the business development of the Volkswagen Group. These statements may be spoken or written and can be recognized by terms such as “expects”, “anticipates”, “intends”, “plans”, “believes”, “seeks”, “estimates”, “will” or words with similar meaning. These statements are based on assumptions relating to the development of the economies of individual countries, and in particular of the automotive industry, which we have made on the basis of the information available to us and which we consider to be realistic at the time of going to press. The estimates given involve a degree of risk, and the actual developments may differ from those forecast.
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