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Energy Security and the Role of Nuclear Power

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Virginia Tech Research Center Arlington, Virginia, USA

2

PPT slides will be available at

Energy Security

3

Source of fuel and electricity either from domestic or reliable foreign sources to sustain the country’s

economic growth over the long term.

Issues

Resource Manpower

Infrastructure Economics

Foreign Policy 12/10/14 4 ©Saifur Rahman 2014

Geopolitics

12/10/14 5 ©Saifur Rahman 2014

12/10/14 6 ©Saifur Rahman 2014

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A shift in emerging economies

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Emissions By Fuel Type

Global Energy-Related CO2 Emissions

Carbon I ntensity

12/10/14 8 Sustainable Energy Department

Coal 72%

Oil 7%

Natural Gas 21%

Other 1%

879 713

391

Coal Oil Natural Gas

gCO2e/kWh

Source: IEA CO2 Emissions from Fuel Combustion Statistics (2012)

Sources of Electricity

Oil Coal

Natural gas Hydro

Non-hydro renewables Nuclear

Cross-border power transfer

12/10/14 9 ©Saifur Rahman 2014

12/10/14 10 ©Saifur Rahman

Back-to-Back HVDC Terminal in Bangladesh

India-Bangladesh Cross-Border Power Transfer

Source: Siemens

Oil-fired Power Station

The Shoaiba Power Station in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is the world's largest conventional oil-fired power plant at 5,600 MW. It also powers a desalination plant nearby.

© Marc Roussel/Alstom

Diesel Power Station

24MWe Diesel Power Generating Station in Soroako, Indonesia Foreground: An 8MWe Diesel Generator

Source: Jott Engineering

Coal Power Station

12/10/14 13 ©Saifur Rahman

Drax Power Station in UK, 3960 MW (Labeled the biggest single source of carbon emissions in Britain)

Photograph: John Giles/PA for the Guardian

Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Production

12/10/14 14 ©Saifur Rahman 2014

Source: http://www.arabianoilandgas.com/article-10162-qatargas-loads-out-1000th-cargo-bound-for-usa/#.UwquwHkQ6f0

LNG Production Facility (QatarGas – One of the largest LNG producing facilities, annual capacity of about 42 million tons)

LNG Transport

12/10/14 15 ©Saifur Rahman 2014

Source: http://www.marineinsight.com

LNG Tanker LNG is transported in large cryogenic vessels on a tanker

(Energy Frontier, Japan – DWT 73795 tons)

LNG Import Terminal

12/10/14 16 ©Saifur Rahman 2014

Onshore LNG Terminal (Tokyo’s Largest LNG Terminal at Sodegaura, Chiba)

LNG comes from three sources Offshore LNG Terminal

(The Adriatic LNG Terminal off the coast of Venice, Italy )

TSR(A-+0#,U60$'"(

12/10/14 17 ©Saifur Rahman 2014

Photo by Brian Haux - SkyHawk Photography

The Marsh Landing natural gas-fired power plant in California consisting of four units generating a total of 720MWe

Natural Gas Fired Power Plant

Hydroelectricity

Three Gorges Dam on the Yangtze River, China

700 MW x 22 = 15,400 MW

Non-Hydro Renewables

12/10/14 20 ©Saifur Rahman 2014

Hydro accounts for 75% of renewable electricity

traditional biomass (9.6%)

modern biomass (3.7%)

biofuels (0.8%)

wind (0.3%)

solar (0.2%)

biogas (0.2%)

geothermal (0.2%)

waste (0.1%)

marine (0.01%)

hydro (3.1%)

18.0%renewableenergy

fossil fuels: 79.1%

nuclear: 2.5%

Global Share of Renewable Energy in TFEC, 2010

SOURCE: IEA

COMPOSITION OF RENEWABLE ENERGY

22

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Solar Microgrid in Remote Areas

25

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Zafarana Wind Farm in Egypt

Nuclear Power Plant

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Photograph courtesy Constellation Energy

Nuclear Power Plants - Americas COUNTRY NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY

GENERATION 2013 REACTORS OPERABLE REACTORS UNDER

CONSTRUCTION REACTORS PLANNED REACTORS PROPOSED URANIUM

REQUIRED 2014

billion kWh % e No. MWe net No. MWe gross No. MWe gross No. MWe gross tonnes U

Argentina 6 4 3 1,627 1 27 0 0 3 1,600 213

Brazil 14 3 2 1,901 1 1,405 0 0 4 4,000 325

Canada 94 16 19 13,553 0 0 2 1,500 3 3,800 1,784

Chile 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4,400 0

Mexico 11 5 2 1,600 0 0 0 0 2 2,000 277

USA 790 19 100 99,361 5 6,018 5 6,063 17 26,000 18,816

Source: World Nuclear Association (http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/Facts-and-Figures/World-Nuclear-Power-Reactors-and-Uranium-Requirements/)

Operable = Connected to the grid; Under Construction = first concrete for reactor poured, or major refurbishment under way; Planned = Approvals, funding or major commitment in place, mostly expected in operation within 8-10 years; Proposed = Specific program or site proposals, expected operation mostly within 15 years. 1 ton of U = 1.17 tons of U3O8 (yellow cake) approx.

About 27 tonnes of fresh fuel is required each year by a 1000 MWe nuclear reactor. In contrast, a coal power station requires more than two and a half million tonnes of coal to produce as much electricity (IAEA).

Nuclear Power Plants - Europe COUNTRY NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY

GENERATION 2013 REACTORS OPERABLE REACTORS UNDER

CONSTRUCTION REACTORS PLANNED REACTORS PROPOSED URANIUM

REQUIRED 2014

billion kWh % e No. MWe net No. MWe gross No. MWe gross No. MWe gross tonnes U

Belgium 41 52 7 5,943 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,017

Bulgaria 13 31 2 1,906 0 0 1 950 0 0 321

Czech Republic 29 36 6 3,766 0 0 2 2,400 1 1,200 563

Finland 23 33 4 2,741 1 1,700 0 0 2 2,700 480

France 406 73 58 63,130 1 1,720 1 1,720 1 1,100 9,927

Germany 92 15 9 12,003 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,889

Hungary 15 51 4 1,889 0 0 2 2,400 0 0 357

Italy 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Netherlands 3 3 1 485 0 0 0 0 1 1,000 103

Poland 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6,000 0 0 0

Romania 11 20 2 1,310 0 0 2 1,440 1 655 179

Slovakia 15 52 4 1,816 2 942 0 0 1 1,200 392

Slovenia 5 34 1 696 0 0 0 0 1 1,000 137

Spain 54 20 7 7,002 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,274

Sweden 64 43 10 9,487 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,516

Switzerland 25 36 5 3,252 0 0 0 0 3 4,000 521

United Kingdom 64 18 16 10,038 0 0 4 6,680 7 8,920 1,738

Source: World Nuclear Association (http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/Facts-and-Figures/World-Nuclear-Power-Reactors-and-Uranium-Requirements/)

Nuclear Power Plants Middle East & Africa

COUNTRY NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION 2013

REACTORS OPERABLE REACTORS UNDER CONSTRUCTION

REACTORS PLANNED REACTORS PROPOSED URANIUM REQUIRED

2014 billion kWh % e No. MWe net No. MWe gross No. MWe gross No. MWe gross tonnes U

Egypt 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1,000 1 1,000 0

Iran 4 2 1 915 0 0 1 1,000 1 300 174

Israel 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1,200 0

Jordan 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1,000 0

Saudi Arabia 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 17,000 0

South Africa 14 6 2 1,830 0 0 0 0 6 9,600 305

Turkey 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4,800 4 4,500 0

UAE 0 0 0 0 3 4,200 1 1,400 10 14,400 0

Source: World Nuclear Association (http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/Facts-and-Figures/World-Nuclear-Power-Reactors-and-Uranium-Requirements/)

Nuclear Power Plants Central Asia

COUNTRY NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION 2013

REACTORS OPERABLE REACTORS UNDER CONSTRUCTION

REACTORS PLANNED REACTORS PROPOSED URANIUM REQUIRED

2014

billion kWh % e No. MWe net No. MWe gross No. MWe gross No. MWe gross tonnes U

Armenia 2 29 1 376 0 0 1 1,060 87

Belarus 0 0 0 0 2 2,400 0 0 2 2,400 0

Kazakhstan 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 600 2 600 0

Lithuania 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1,350 0 0 0

Russia 162 18 33 24,253 10 9,068 31 32,780 18 16,000 5,456

Ukraine 78 44 15 13,168 0 0 2 1,900 11 12,000 2,359

Source: World Nuclear Association (http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/Facts-and-Figures/World-Nuclear-Power-Reactors-and-Uranium-Requirements/)

Nuclear Power Plants - Asia COUNTRY NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY

GENERATION 2013 REACTORS OPERABLE REACTORS UNDER

CONSTRUCTION REACTORS PLANNED REACTORS PROPOSED URANIUM

REQUIRED 2014

billion kWh % e No. MWe net No. MWe gross No. MWe gross No. MWe gross tonnes U

Bangladesh 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2,000 0 0 0

China 105 2 21 18,075 27 29,548 60 66,220 120 124,000 6,296

India 30 3 21 5,302 6 4,300 22 21,300 35 40,000 913

Indonesia 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 30 4 4,000 0

Japan 14 2 48 42,569 3 3,036 9 12,947 3 4,145 2,119

Korea DPR (North) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 950 0

Korea RO (South) 133 28 23 20,656 5 6,870 6 8,730 0 0 5,022

Malaysia 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2,000 0

Pakistan 4 4 3 725 2 680 0 0 2 2,000 99

Thailand 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5,000 0

Vietnam 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4,000 6 6,700 0

Source: World Nuclear Association (http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/Facts-and-Figures/World-Nuclear-Power-Reactors-and-Uranium-Requirements/)

Nuclear Fuel is a Big Issue

12/10/14 32 ©Saifur Rahman 2014

Source: http://web.ead.anl.gov/uranium/guide/prodhand/sld001.cfm

Nuclear Power Issues

Monitoring and Control (BAERA) Trained Manpower – Regulatory and Operation

Operational Safety Fuel Security

Spent Fuel Nuclear Accidents

12/10/14 33 ©Saifur Rahman 2014

Fukushima Dai-ichi Plant Before the Accident

12/10/14 34 ©Saifur Rahman 2014

Photo: Kazuhiro Nogi | AFP | Getty Images

Fukushima Dai-ichi Plant After the Accident

12/10/14 35 ©Saifur Rahman 2014

36

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Saifur Rahman

Email: [email protected]

www.saifurrahman.org