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SouthAfrican Journal of Science VoL 93 April 1997 50 YEARS OF'MRS PLES': RESEARCH BRIËFS 171 Variability in Plio-Pleistocene climates,habitats, and ungulate biomassin southern Africa J. FrancisThackeray and S. Reynolds Vrba,t and de Monecal and Bloemendal2 haveemphasised the importance of climatic change, particularly temperature, in the context of evolution on the African continent withinthe past5 miLlion years. There is no doubt thatlong-term changes in climate would have affected African habitats, which in turn would have affectedthe distribution and abundance of populations of variousmammalian taxa,incLuding ungulates and hominids. In thisstudywe explorerelationships between oxygen isotope ratios (as determinedfrom Shackleton's3 analysisofforamin{era from deep-sea cores),and estimates of ungulate biomass as determined from faunal assemblages from Plio-Pleistocene sitesin southern Africa, using an approach outlined previously.aWe go further to assess temporal variability in ungulatebiomass in termsof changes in habitat, gene pools and hominid evolution. Damuths has previously shown a general relationshipbetween mean adult body weightandpopulation density of mamma- lian taxa. The relationship has beenused in conjunction with dataon modern Afri- can ungulates to obtainungulate biomass for areas in sub-Saharan Africa.a Esti- matesof mean adult body mass of any mammalian species is a requirement if the same relationship is to be applied to faunal assemblages from palaeontological sites of known age. For purposes of this study, we have obtainedthe following general equation for estimating mean adult body mass (MAB) from first lower molar dimensions (Mt), based on collections of extantmammalian species represented in collections at theTransvaal Museum: LogMAB = 3.4421og Mr - 2.263 (r = 0.91) We haveusedthis relationship, in combi- nation with faunal data from Plio-Pleis- tocene sites in the interior of southern Africa,6 to estimate ungulate biomass for particularassemblages of ungulatetaxa for which age estimatesare available. Included in this analysis are assemblages from Sterkfontein (Members 4 and 5), Swartkrans (Members 7,2 and3), Krom- draai A, Kromdraai B (Member 3), Maka- pansgat, Plovers Lake, Cornelia, Florisbad, Equus Cave and the Cave of Hearths. The estimates of ungulate bio- mass (UB) for inland South African assemblages were obtained using the approach described by Thackeraya for modern fàunafrom sub-Saharan environ- ments. The results were thencompared to pene-contemporaneous oxygen isotope ratios obtained from Plio-Pleistocene deep-sea cores,3 averaging isotope data within intervals of circa 100000 years. The following relationship wasobtained: UB = 25.8 6 t{O -72.9, (r = 0.75) where UB refersto ungulate biomass pre- dicted for past environments in the interior of southernAfrica (including the Sterk- fontein valley),in units of kilograms per hectare (kg ha-'). This equation was then used to assess ungulate biomass variability for southern African palaeoenvironments, based on Shackleton's high resolution oxygen isotope record from deep-sea cores (ODPsites 677 and846). Results are shown in Fis. 1. South African inland siûEs 1.0 2.O 3.0 Millions dy€ars before presont Fig. 1. Estimated ungulate biomass (kg per hectare) for interior regions of southern Africa includingthe Sterkfontein valley,South Africa.Relatively low ungulate biomass values canbe associated with a relatively high degree of woodland andforest cover, duringperiods between 3 and2 million years ago, asopposed to higher ungulate bio- massvalues for later intervals, associated with a greater degree of mixed grassland savanna. Such fluctuations in ungulate biomass at intervals of lessthan 100 000 years imply episodes of expansion of woodland and forest habitats (in warm,moist intervals), followedby contraction and fragmentation of such habitats during cooler intervals, allowing for gene flow between certain populations (including homin- ids). Episodic gene flow may have contributed to the perpetuation of lineages. Two observations can be made, using modern ungulatebiomassestimates and present-day Afiican habitats as a frame of reference,a for assessing relativechanges in ungulate biomass in the interiorregions of South Africa: 1) Relatively low ungulate biomass estimatesare obtained for the period between 3 and2 million years ago (Myr), associated with limited temooral variabil- ity in biomass. 2) Higher biomass estimates are obtained within the periodbetween 2 and 1 Myr, associated with an increased degree of temporal variability in biomass. 3) Yet higher ungulate biomass esti- matesare obtainedfbr the period since 1 Myr, associated with a still greater degree of temporal variability. From the studyof ungulate biomass in modernAfiican habitats,4 it was evident that low biomass estimates can be associ- ated with woodlandand forest environ- ments; higherungulate biomass estimates can be associated with mixed woodland savanna habitats. The low ungulate bio- mass estimates for the interior regions of southern Africa between 3 and 2 Myr can be interpreted in terms of a greater degree of woodlandand forest, as compared to modern environments in the same area. Higher ungulate biomass estimatesfor later periods, associated with a greater degree of temporal variabilityin biomass, can be interpreted in terms of a greater degree of mixedgrass- land savanna and a greater temporalvaria- bility in habitats, at intervals of less than 100000 years. We infer that wood- land habitats can have expanded and con- tracted within intervals of less than 100000 years, in response to global changes in cli- mate (primarily tem- perature), associated with Milankovitch cy- cles within the last 3 million years. Today woodland habitats in parts of subequatorial Africa separate Ser- engeti grasslandsin EastAfrica from grass- lands on the highveld of South Africa. How- 60 E 6 Ë _P 50 ô o g4 q o Eso o ô o Ë20 E o c rio '*,*-,

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  • South African Journal of Science VoL 93 April 1997 50 YEARS OF'MRS PLES' : RESEARCH BRIËFS 171

    Variability in Plio-Pleistocene climates, habitats,and ungulate biomass in southern AfricaJ. Francis Thackeray and S. Reynolds

    Vrba,t and de Monecal and Bloemendal2 have emphasised the importance of climaticchange, particularly temperature, in the context of evolution on the African continentwithin the past 5 miLlion years. There is no doubt that long-term changes in climate wouldhave affected African habitats, which in turn would have affected the distribution andabundance of populations of various mammalian taxa, incLuding ungulates and hominids.In this study we explore relationships between oxygen isotope ratios (as determinedfromShackleton's3 analysis offoramin{era from deep-sea cores), and estimates of ungulatebiomass as determined from faunal assemblages from Plio-Pleistocene sites in southernAfrica, using an approach outlined previously.a We go further to assess temporalvariability in ungulate biomass in terms of changes in habitat, gene pools and hominidevolution.

    Damuths has previously shown a generalrelationship between mean adult bodyweight and population density of mamma-lian taxa. The relationship has been usedin conjunction with data on modern Afri-can ungulates to obtain ungulate biomassfor areas in sub-Saharan Africa.a Esti-mates of mean adult body mass of anymammalian species is a requirement if thesame relationship is to be applied to faunalassemblages from palaeontological sitesof known age. For purposes of this study,we have obtained the following generalequation for estimating mean adult bodymass (MAB) from first lower molardimensions (Mt), based on collections ofextant mammalian species represented incollections at the Transvaal Museum:

    Log MAB = 3.4421og Mr - 2.263 (r = 0.91)

    We have used this relationship, in combi-nation with faunal data from Plio-Pleis-tocene sites in the interior of southernAfrica,6 to estimate ungulate biomass forparticular assemblages of ungulate taxafor which age estimates are available.Included in this analysis are assemblagesfrom Sterkfontein (Members 4 and 5),Swartkrans (Members 7,2 and 3), Krom-draai A, Kromdraai B (Member 3), Maka-pansgat, Plovers Lake, Cornelia,Florisbad, Equus Cave and the Cave ofHearths. The estimates of ungulate bio-mass (UB) for inland South Africanassemblages were obtained using theapproach described by Thackeraya formodern fàuna from sub-Saharan environ-ments. The results were then compared topene-contemporaneous oxygen isotoperatios obtained from Plio-Pleistocenedeep-sea cores,3 averaging isotope datawithin intervals of circa 100 000 years.

    The following relationship was obtained:UB = 25.8 6 t{O -72.9, (r = 0.75)

    where UB refers to ungulate biomass pre-dicted for past environments in the interiorof southern Africa (including the Sterk-fontein valley), in units of kilograms perhectare (kg ha-'). This equation was thenused to assess ungulate biomass variabilityfor southern African palaeoenvironments,based on Shackleton's high resolutionoxygen isotope record from deep-seacores (ODP sites 677 and 846). Results areshown in Fis. 1.

    South African inland siûEs

    1.0 2.O 3.0

    Millions dy€ars before presont

    Fig. 1. Estimated ungulate biomass (kg per hectare) for interiorregions of southern Africa including the Sterkfontein valley, SouthAfrica. Relatively low ungulate biomass values can be associated witha relatively high degree of woodland and forest cover, during periodsbetween 3 and 2 million years ago, as opposed to higher ungulate bio-mass values for later intervals, associated with a greater degree ofmixed grassland savanna. Such fluctuations in ungulate biomass atintervals of less than 100 000 years imply episodes of expansion ofwoodland and forest habitats (in warm, moist intervals), followed bycontraction and fragmentation of such habitats during cooler intervals,allowing for gene flow between certain populations (including homin-ids). Episodic gene flow may have contributed to the perpetuation oflineages.

    Two observations can be made, usingmodern ungulate biomass estimates andpresent-day Afiican habitats as a frame ofreference,a for assessing relative changesin ungulate biomass in the interior regionsof South Africa:

    1) Relatively low ungulate biomassestimates are obtained for the periodbetween 3 and 2 million years ago (Myr),associated with limited temooral variabil-ity in biomass.

    2) Higher biomass estimates areobtained within the period between 2 and1 Myr, associated with an increaseddegree of temporal variability in biomass.

    3) Yet higher ungulate biomass esti-mates are obtained fbr the period since 1Myr, associated with a still greater degreeof temporal variability.

    From the study of ungulate biomass inmodern Afiican habitats,4 it was evidentthat low biomass estimates can be associ-ated with woodland and forest environ-ments; higher ungulate biomass estimatescan be associated with mixed woodlandsavanna habitats. The low ungulate bio-mass estimates for the interior regions ofsouthern Africa between 3 and 2 Myr canbe interpreted in terms of a greater degreeof woodland and forest, as compared tomodern environments in the same area.Higher ungulate biomass estimates forlater periods, associated with a greater

    degree of temporalvariability in biomass,can be interpreted interms of a greaterdegree of mixed grass-land savanna and agreater temporal varia-bility in habitats, atintervals of less than100 000 years.

    We infer that wood-land habitats can haveexpanded and con-tracted within intervalsof less than 100 000years, in response toglobal changes in cli-mate (primarily tem-perature), associatedwith Milankovitch cy-cles within the last 3million years. Todaywoodland habitats inparts of subequatorialAfrica separate Ser-engeti grasslands inEast Africa from grass-lands on the highveldof South Africa. How-

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  • 172 50 YEARS OF,MRS PLES,: RESEARCH BRIEFS South African Journal oJ Science VoL 93 April 1997

    Emphasis on Human Origins, eds E.S. Vrba,G.H. Denton, T.C. Partr idge and L.H. Burckle,pp. 262-288. Yale University Press, NewHaven.

    3. Shackleton N.J. (1 995). New data on the evo-lut ion of Pl iocene c l imat ic var iabi l i ty . ln Paleo-climate and Evolution, with Emphasis onHuman Oi lgns, eds E.S. Vrba, G.H. Denton,T.C. Partridge and L.H. Burckle, pp.242-248.Yale Univers i ty Press, New Haven,

    4.Thackeray J.F. (1995). Explor ing ungulatedivers i ty , b iomass, and c l imate in modern andpasl environments. ln Paleoclimate and Evo-lution, with Emphasis on Human Origins, edsE.S. Vrba, G.H. Denton, T.C. Partr idge andL.H. Burckle, pp. 479-482. Yale UniversityPress, New Haven.

    5. Damuth J. (1981). Populat ion densi ty andbody s ize in mammals. Nature29O,699-700.

    6. Smithers R.H.N. (1983). The Mammals of theSouthern Af rican Subreglon. University o{Pretor ia, Pretor ia.

    The authors are in the Department of Palaeon-tology and Palaeoenvironmental Studies,Transvaal Museum, P.O. Box 413, Pretoria,000 I South Africa.

    ever, episodic cold or cool intervals, occur-ring at intervals of 100 000 years or less,would have led to repeated episodes offragmentation of woodland habitats, allow-ing for episodic gene flow to occurbetween populations of various taxa (e.g.wildebeest) that would otherwise havebeen separated by woodland, as is the casetoday for East African and South Africanpopulations of blue wildebeest, Connocha-etes taurinus, a single species separatedtoday by Miombo woodland. We suggestthat episodic expansion and contraction ofwoodland habitats (occurring at intervalsof less than 100 000 years) were of suchshort duration that speciation

    'events'

    would not always be expected as a result ofhabitat fragmentation linked to climaticchange over the African continent; instead,high genetic variability may have beenmaintained within lineages, such thatboundaries between species and genera(hominid or ungulate) may be especiallydifficult to recosnise.

    We recommend that hominid fossilsfrom sites in East and South Africa bestudied without necessarily attempting to'pigeon-hole' particular fossils into one orother taxon, recognising that boundariesbetween taxa may be blurred on accountof episodic expansion and contraction ofhabitats, associated with repeated episodesof gene flow between populations of taxathat were only temporally isolated by hab-itat changes.

    This research has been supported by a grantfrom the Foundation for Research Develop-ment.

    1. Vrba E.S. (1995). On the connectionsbetween oaleoclimate and evolution. ln Pale-oclimate and Evolution, with Emphasis onHuman Origins, eds E.S. Vrba, G.H. Denton,T.C. Partr idge and L.H. Burckle, pp. 24-48.Yale University Press, New Haven.

    2.De Menocal P.B. and Bloemendal J. (1995).

    Pl io-Pleistocene c l imat ic var iabi l ty in sub-tropical Afr ica and the paleoenvironment of

    hominid evolut ion: a combined data-modelapproach. ln Paleoclimate and Evolution, with

    Evaluating public awareness of 6Mrs Ples' andpalaeontological heritageJ.F. Thackeray and Kathryn Mathers

    Museums in South Africa are positionedto play a fundamental and vital role inimproving science and technology educa-tion, and raising awareness of our richpalaeontological heritage. Their objecfcantred educational approach is appropri-ate for people of all ages and educationalachievement. In South Africa, manymuseums are already in line with the newapproach to school education, which ismultidisciplinary and skills-orientated.Museum programmes, however, like mosteducational programmes, are seldom eval-uated. At present we do not have a clearidea of the impact of activities and dis-plays at our museums, in terms of educa-tional value, attitudes of visitors and theirperception of a subject.

    Palaeoanthropology in this country is aheld that has not been well covered inschool curricula, and only tentativelyaddressed by many museums. The Trans-vaal Museum is promoting public aware-ness of South Africa's palaeontologicalheritage in 1997, the year in which the50th anniversary of the discovery of 'Mrs

    Ples' is celebrated. This offers an opportu-nity to evaluate knowledge before andafter publicity associated with exhibitions,including the display of the original 'Mrs

    Ples', during the month of April, at theTransvaal Museum in Pretoria and then at

    the Science Festival in Grahamstown.We have launched a long-term project

    to evaluate the effect of certain museumexhibitions and their educational, outreachand lecture programmes on the knowledgeand perceptions of the South African pub-lic. The project started at the end of 1996when we established a database on publicknowledge of fossils, focusing on 'Mrs

    Ples' in particular.A single-page questionnaire was used to

    interview 502 people in the Pretoria areain November and December 1996, and inJanuary 1997. Most of the respondentswere interviewed in shopping centres andat the Pretoria Zoo, while a subsampleincluded people at the Transvaal Museum.Where necessary, interviewers translatedthe questions for respondents.

    The majority of respondents (approxi-mately 607o) were African languagespeakers, about 20Vo were Afrikaansspeakers, and another 207o spoke English.Most of the respondents (about 807o) werebetween the ages of 18 and 45 years.Approximately ljVo were younger than 18,and almost 107o were older than 45 years.

    Professionals and students account foralmost 507o of the metropolitan sample;the other 507o include individuals in serv-ice, clerical and production industries, aswell as housewives and schoolchildren

    (each comprising about 10Vo of the sam-ple, respectively). People in the technicalprofessions (27o) and retired individualsare under-represented. The sample istherefbre not representative of the SouthAfrican population, but is a good crosssection of a metropolitan community.

    Results are presented first for the metro-politan sample, excluding individuals vis-iting the Transvaal Museum. Only l3.3%oof this sample said they had heard of 'Mrs

    Ples', and a slightly higher proportion(18.0%) had heard of australopithecines.A yet larger proportion of the sample(457o) knew about fossils. Surprisingly,given the lack ofknowledge about austral-opithecines and'Mrs Ples', many respond-ents in the metropolitan sample havevisited Sterkfontein (317o), and the major-ity had visited a museum (80%), includingthe Transvaal Museum (677o).

    In a separate study in January 1997, vis-itors to the Transvaal Museum were askedthe same set of questions. Sixty-five percent of the respondents indicated that theywere aware of 'Mrs Ples' after they hadgone through the 'Genesis II' hall f'eatur-ing exhibitions of australopithecines.

    Recent effbrts to promote an awarenessof 'Mrs Ples' through publicity in newspa-pers, a Youthlink programme (Ecolirrk'97) run at the Transvaal Museum, and

    J.F. Thackeray is in the Department of Palaeon-

    tology and Palaeoenvironmental Studies,

    Transvaal Museum; Kathryn Mathers is in the

    Department of Anthropology and Archaeology,

    University of South Africa.