BO KE HOACH vA DAu TIT.TONG el)e THONG KE

eONG HoA xA HOI COO NGHlA VIET NAM. .DQc l~p - Tl! do - H~.lllhphuc

Ha N9i, ngay 28 thdng 8 ndm 2013

PHUONG ANDi~u tra chan nufii

(Ban hanh theo Quyet dinh s6 882 /QD-TCTK ngay 28 thdng 8 ndm 2013cua Tong C1jC truong T6ng C1jC Thong ke)

1. M1}.cdich, yeu cftu di~u tra

Cuoc di€u tra nham thu thap thong tin co ban v€ (i) s6 hrong gia sue, giacam va cac vat nu6i khac tai thai diem dieu tra va (ii) san luong san pham channu6i (thit hoi, sua, tnrng gia c~m, ..) san xuat trong ky di€u tra cua t~t ca cac thanhphan kinh t6. Tren co sa d6 tinh toan cac chi tieu thong ke chu yeu cua nganh channu6i phuc vu chi dao di€u hanh san xu~t, 1~pk6 hoach, qui hoach, hoach dinh cacchinh sach phat trien sari xuat chan nu6i cua cac cap, cac nganh.

2. D6i tirong, don vi, pham vi di~u tra

2.1 D6i nrong di~u tra

D6i tuong di€u tra cua cuoc di€u tra chan nu6i g6m cac v~t nu6i Ia gia sue(trau, bo, IQ'n), gia earn (ga, vit, ngan, ng6ng ...) va cac vat nu6i khac (ngua, de,ciru, hirou, ... ) cua t~t ca cac thanh phan kinh t6. Trong Phuong an dieu tra nay,tung loai V?t nu6i (trau, bo, 1Q'n,ga, vit, ngan, ng6ng ... ) con c6 th~ duoc chia thanhcac nh6m khac nhau tuy theo muc dich nu6i, theo giong, theo phuong thuc nu6i(chi ti6t xem Phu /IJC 5).

2.2 Dan vi di~u tra

Dan vi di€u tra cua cuoc di€u tra chan nu6i bao gorn 5 nh6m sau:

(i) Th6n, ~p, ban (sau day vi6t t~t la Th6n);

(ii) Doanh nghiep, hop tac xa c6 chan nuoi trong ky di~u tra (sau day vi6tt~t 1aDN, HTX);

(iii) Trang trai chan nuoi trong ky dieu tra. D6 la ca sa chan nu6i dat tieuchi trang trai I quy dinh tai Thong tir s6 27/20111TT-BNNPTNT ngay 13/4/2011cua B('> Nong nghiep va Phat trien n6ng thon (sau day viet t~t 1aTrang trai);

I Co sa chan nuoi dat tieu chi trang trai chan nuoi la co sa dat gia tri san luong hang h6a tir I ti d6ng/nam tro len.1

(iv) Gia trai chan nuoi trong ky dieu tra. Trong cuoc DiSu tra nay quy irocgia trai la ho chan nuoi 19n hoac gia earn trong ky diSu tra chua dat tieu chitrang trai song co nuoi thirong xuyerr' tir 30 con 19n hoac 1000 con gia c~m (ga,vit, ngan ngong), rieng chim cut tir 10000 con tro len (sau day viSt t~t Ia Giatrai);

(v) HQ nong then, hQ thanh the co chan nuoi trong ky (loai tnr nhirng trangtrai, gia trai).

M6i nhom don vi diSu tra se duoc thu thap nhimg thong tin rieng biet bangtung loai phieu rieng biet theo tung ky dieu tra rieng biet.

2.3 Ph~m vi di~u tra

2.3.1 Theo pham vi liinh thJ

- D6i voi ky dieu tra thai diSm 0114 va 01110: TiSn hanh tren toan bQ cachuyen, thi xa, quan, thanh ph6 thuoc tinh (sau day viSt t~t la Huy~n)4;

- D6i voi ky dieu tra thai diSm 01101 va 0117: TiSn hanh tren toan bQ cactinh, thanh ph6 tnrc thuoc Trung uong (sau day viSt t~t la Tinh).

2.3.2 Theo thiinh phan kinh d

CUQcdiSu tra duoc tiSn hanh d6i voi t~t ca cac thanh phan kinh tS co channuoi gia sue, gia c~m trong ky dieu tra.

3. Thoi di~m di~u tra va thiri ky thu th~p thong tin

3.1 Thoi di~m di~u tra

- CUQcdieu tra chan nuoi duoc tien hanh van thai diSm 01/01; 0114; 0117va 01/10; rieng s6 hrong trau, bo va chan nuoi khac chi dieu tra van thai diem1110.

3.2 Thoi ky thu th~p thong tin

- Ky iliJu tra 01/01: Thai ky thu thap thong tin la 3 thang, tinh tir 01110nam truce den 31112 nam truce nam bao cao. (Do do ky diSu tra nay con goi la kydieu tra qui.)

2 Nuoi thuong xuyen: Trang cuoc di~u tra nay ducc hi~u la thuong xuyen c6 s6 can dat tieu chi gia trai trong chuongtrong narn di~u tra, s6 I§n xuat chuong trong narn tir 2 I§n (d6i voi Io-n) hoac tir 3 I§n tro len (d6i voi gia earn). Trangmot s6 twang hop n~u do mot s6 yeu t6 b~t thirong (djch benh ... ) phai trong chuong tren 6 thang v~n coi la nuoithuong xuyen. B6i voi Gia trai moi nuoi chi tinh d~n thai di~m di~u tra c6 s6 can dat tieu chi.3 HQ nong thon/thanh thi la hQ thuong tru a khu VIlC nong thon/thanh thi, baa gorn mQt nguoi an, a rieng hoac mQtnh6m nguoi a chung va an chung.4 Rieng d6i voi trang trai, gia trai chan nuoi baa gorn ca cac trang trai, gia trai tai khu VIlC thanh thj cua huyen, tinh.

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- Ky tliJu Ira 0114:

+ D6i voi HQnong then, Gia trai a Huyen khong di~u tra ky 01101: Thai kythu thap thong tin la 6 thang, tinh tir 01110 nam truce dSn 3113 nam bao cao.

+ D6i voi HQ nong thon, Gia trai a Huyen co di~u tra ky 01/01: Thai kythu thap thong tin la 3 thang, tinh tu 01/01 dSn 31/3 nam bao cao,

+ D6i voi Trang trai, DN, HTX: Thai ky thu thap thong tin la 3 thang, tinhtir 01101 dSn 3113 nam bao cao.

- Ky tliJu Ira 01107: Thai ky thu thap thong tin la 3 thang, tinh nr 01/4 dSn30/6 nam bao cao. (Do do ky diSu tra nay con goi la ky diSu tra qui.)

- Ky au« Ira 01110:

+ D6i voi Thon dS dieu tra sari hrong san pham trau, bo va v~t nuoi khac(cua Trang trai, Gia trai va HQ tren dia ban thon): Thai ky thu thap thong tin la 12thang, tinh tir 01110 nam truce den 30/9 nam bao cao,

. + D6i voi HQ nong thon, Gia trai dS diSu tra san Iuong san pham chan nuoiIon, gia earn aHuyen khong diSu tra ky 01/7: Thai ky thu thap thong tin la 6 thang,tinh tir 01/4 dSn 30/9 nam bao cao,

+ D6i voi HQ nong then, Gia trai dS diSu tra san hrong san pham chan nuoiIon, gia earn a Huyen co diSu tra ky 01/7: Thai ky thu thap thong tin la 3 thang,tinh tir 01/7 dSn 30/9 nam bao cao.

+ D6i voi Trang trai, DN, HTX dS diSu tra san hrong san pham chan nuoiIon, gia earn: Thai ky thu thap thong tin la 3 thang, tinh nr 01/7 dSn 30/9 nam baocao.

3.3 Tho'i gian di~u tra:

Thai gian thu thap thong tin tai dia ban m6i ky la 7 ngay tinh tir thai diemdiSu tra.

4. NQidung di~u tra, phi~u di~u tra

4.1 NQi dung di~u tra

Ngoai thong tin dinh danh cua don vi dieu tra, cuoc dieu tra chan nuoi taptrung vao 2 nhom noi dung sau:

(i) S6 hrong d~u con cua tung loai gia sue, gia earn, v~t nuoi khac hien co taithai diem diSu tra.

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(ii) San luong san pham chan nuoi gia sue, gia earn va v~t nuoi khac thuduoc trong thai ky diSu tra.

4.2 Phi~u di~u tra

Co 7 loai phieu diSu tra duoc sir dung trong cuoc dieu tra nay, bao gom:

(1) PhiSu sf; 01-N/DT.CNUOI-DN: PhiSu dieu tra toan bi) nam vS chan nuoitrau, be va v~t nuoi khac cua doanh nghiep/H'I'X (ap dung cho ky diSu tra 01110hang nam);

(2) PhiSu sf; 02-Q/DT.CNUOI-DN: PhiSu dieu tra toan bi) quy vS chan nuoiIon va gia c~m cua doanh nghiep/H'l'X (ap dung ap dung cho cac ky diSu tra 01/01,01/4,0117 va 01110 hang nam);

(3) Phieu sf; 03-Q/DT.CNUOI- TT: Phieu diSu tra toan bi) quy vS chan nuoiIon va gia earn cua trang trai (ap dung ap dung cho cac ky diSu tra 01101, 01/4,0117 va 01110 hang nam);

(4) Phieu sf; 04-3.6T/DT.CNUOI-G.HNT: PhiSu dieu tra mfru vS chan nuoi-1Q1l va gia earn cua gia trai, hi) a nong thon (ap dung cho cac kY diSu tra 0111,01/4,0117 va 01110 hang nam);

(5) PhiSu sf; 05-N/DT.CNUOI- TT.HNT: PhiSu dieu tra mfru vS san hrongsan pharn chan nuoi trau, be cua trang trai/ho nong thon (ap dung cho ky diSu tra01/1 0 hang nam);

(6) PhiSu sf; 06-6T/DT.CNUOI-HTT: Phieu diSu tra toan bi) vS chan nuoicua hi) a thanh thi (ap dung cho cac ky diSu tra 0114 va 01110 hang nam);

(7) PhiSu sf; 07-N/DT.CNUOI-Thon: PhiSu diSu tra vS chan nuoi trau, beva v~t nuoi khac cua hi), trang trai tren dia ban thon (ap dung cho ky diSu tra 01110hang nam).

5. Phan loai, danh muc Stf dy.ng trong di~u tra

Ap dung 3 bang danh muc cho cuoc diSu tra:

(1) Bang phan nganh kinh tS: Ap dung bang H~ thong nganh kinh tS VietNam 2007 ban hanh theo Quyet dinh s6 10/2007/QD-TTg ngay 23/0112007 cuaThu urong Chinh phu (VSIC 2007);

(2) Danh muc cac don vi hanh chinh: Ap dung bang danh muc cac don vihanh chinh Viet Nam ban hanh theo Quyet dinh s6 124/2004/QD- TTg ngay08/07/2004 cua Thu tuong Chinh phu va duoc cap nhat dSn thai diem dieu tra;

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(3) Danh muc san pham nong nghiep: Ap dung Bang h~ thong nganh sanpharn Viet Nam ban hanh theo Quyet dinh s6 39/2010/QD-TTg ngay 11105/2010cua Thu nrong Chinh phu.

6. Loai di~u tra, phuong phap thu th~p thong tin

6.1 Loai di~u tra

CUQcdieu tra duoc thuc hien kSt hop giira diSu tra toan bQ voi diSu tra chonm~u a cac ky diSu tra khac nhau.

6.1.1 D6i voi kjJ tliJu Ira 01/10

6.1.1.1 Di~u tra toan bo:

- DiSu tra toan bQ cac Thon dS thu thap s6 lieu vS s6 hrong d~u con trau, bo;s6 hrong va va san pham chan nuoi v~t nuoi khac cua HQ, Trang trai tren dia banThon.

- DiSu tra toan bQ Trang trai, DN, HTX dS thu thap s6 lieu (i) s6 hrong d~uc~n va (ii) san hrong san pham chan nuoi 19n va gia c~m.

- DiSu tra toan bQ cac ho thuoc khu V\l'C thanh thi co chan nuoi trau, bo, 19n,gia c~m dS thu thap s6 lieu vS s6 hrong d~u con.

6.1.1.2 Di~u tra chon mdu

- Thuc hien diSu tra chon m~u d6i voi HQ co chan nuoi trau/bo dS thu thaps6 lieu vS san pham chan nuoi trau/bo. Cach thirc chon m~u duoc huang d~n taiPhl} luc 3.

- Thuc hien diSu tra chon m~u d6i voi HQ/Gia trai co chan nuoi lon/gia earndS thu thap s6 lieu: (i) s6 hrong d~u con va (ii) san pham chan nuoi lon/gia earn.Cach thirc chon m~u diroc huang d~n tai Phu luc 1 va Phu luc 4.

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Bang 1. Dan vi, d6i nrong, nQi dung diSu tra ky 01110

Dan vi D6i nrongdieu tra diSu tra----------~------------------------------------~

DiJu Ira loan b~--~------~------------------------------------~

NQi dung diSu tra

Trau, bo S6 hrong trau, bo tai thai diem 01/1 0f-

V~t nuoi khac So hrong vat nuoi khac tai thai di~m 01110r-----t--------__+_

Lon/gia c~m - So hrong d~u con lon/gia earn tai thai di~m 01110- San hrong san pham thu duoc trong 3 thang, tinhtir 0 117 d~n 30/9 nam bao cao

TT

IThon

2 Trang trai

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TT Dan vi D6i tuongNQi dung di~u tra

di~u tra di~u tra3 DN,HTX Lon/gia cam - S61uQng d~u can lon/gia c~m tai thai diem 01/10

- San luong san pham thu duoc trong 3 thang, tinhtir 0117 d~n 3019 nam baa cao

Trau, bo, v~t - S61uQ11gtrau, bo, v~t nuoi khac tai thai di~m0 III 0nu6i khac - San hrong san pham thu ducc trong 12 thang, tinh

tir 01/10 nam truce d€n 3019 nam baa cao

4 HQ thanh Trau, bo, Ion, - S6 hrong d~u can tai thai di~m 01/10,

thi gia earn

II BiJu tra mau

1 HQ nong Trau, bo San hrong san pham thu diroc trong 12 thang, tinhthon tir 1/10 nam truce d€n 3019 narn baa cao

2 HQ nong - S6 lUQ11gd~u can lon/gia dm tai thai di~m 01/10thon . LQ'nIgia earn - San hrong san pham:..

(i) Thu duoc trong 6 thang (tinh tir 01/4 d~n 30/93 Gia trainam baa cao) d6i voi nhirng Huyen khongdi~u tra ky 0117

(ii) Thu ducc trong 3 thang (tinh tir 0117 den 30/9nam baa cao) d6i voi nhtrng Huyen co di~u traky 0117

6.1.2 B6i voi ky iliJu tra 01/4

6.1.2.1 Di~u tra toan bo:

- Di~u tra toan bQ Trang trai, DN, HTX dS thu thap s6 lieu (i) s6 hrong d~ucon va (ii) san hrong sari pham chan nuoi Ion va gia c~m.

- Di~u tra toan bQ cac hQ thuoc khu Vl,IC thanh thi co chan nuoi Ion, gia earndS thu thap s6 lieu v~ s6 hrong d~u con.

6.1.2.2 Di~u tra chon mdu

Thuc hien di~u tra chon m~u d6i voi HQ/Gia trai co chan nuoi lon/gia earndS thu thap s6 lieu: (i) s6 hrong d~u con va (ii) sari pham chan nuoi lon/gia earn.each thirc chon m~u duoc huang d~n tai Phu luc 1 va Phu luc 4.

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Bang 2. Don vi, d6i nrong va noi dung diSu tra ky diSu tra 0114

Dan vi DTDai tirong

NQi dung dieu tradiSu tra

,I Dieu tra toan bfJ1 Trang trai Lon/gia dim - S6 hrong d~u can lon/gia c~m tai thai diem 0114

2 DN,HTX Lon/gia dim - San hrong san pham thu duoc trong 3 thang, tinh nr0110 1 d~n 3113 narn baa cao

3 Ho thanhthi Lon/ gia dim - So hrong d~u can lon/gia earn tai thai diem 0114II DiJu tra mau1 HQ nong Lon/ gia earn - So hrong dau can lon/gia earn tai thai diem 0114

than - San luong san pham:2 Gia trai Lon/ gia earn (i) Thu duoc trong 6 thang (tinh tir 01110 nam

tnnrc d~n 3113 nam baa cao) d6i voi nhtrngHuyen khong di~u tra ky 0111

(ii) Thu duoc trong 3 thang (nr 01/01 d~n 3113nam baacao) d6i voi nhung Huyen co di~u tra 10' 01101

6.1.3 DBi voi kjJ diJu tra 01/01 va 01/7

6.1.3.1 Di~u tra toan b(J

Thuc hien dieu tra toan bQ d6i voi Trang trai va DN, HTX d@thu thap s6lieu s6 hrong d~u con va san hrong san pham chan nuoi Ion va gia earn.

6.1.3. 2 Di~u tra chon mdu

Thirc hien dieu tra chon mfiu d6i voi HQ va Gia trai dS thu thap s6 lieu s6luong d~u con va san hrong san pham chan nuoi lon/gia earn. each thirc chon mfiuduoc huang dfin tai Phu luc 2 va Phu luc 4.

Bang 3. Dan vi, d6i nrong, nQi dung diSu tra cac ky 01101 va 0117

TT

Dan vi Doi nrongdiSu tra diSu tra

NQi dung diSu tra

I Di~u tra toan bo12

Tran tr~i Lon/gia earnDN,HTX

- So hrong dau eon lon/gia earn tai thai diem 01101va 0117- San hrong san pham thu duoc trong 3 thang tinh d~ntnroc thai diem 01101 va 01/7

II Di~u tra mJu1 H<)nong

thon LQ'nI gia earn2 Gia trai

- So hrong dau eon lon/gia earn tai thai diem 01101va 0117- San luong san pharn thu duoc trong 3 thang tinh dentnroc thai diem 01/01 va 01/7

T6ng hQ'P cac loai dieu tra theo loai s6 lieu, loai don vi dieu tra va noi dungdieu tra cua cac ky diSu tra duoc thS hien tai Bang 5.

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Bang 5. T6ng hop cac loai diSu tra theo loai s6 lieu, loai don vi dieu tra va noi dung diSu tra cua cac ky diSu tra

KyNQi dung diSu tra theo loai V?t nuoi

Don vi diSu Lo~i Trau, bo LQ1l Gia c~m V?t nuoi khacdiSu Loai s61i~u

tra diSu tra SL d~u SLd~u SLd~utra SP thu SLd~u SP thu SP thu SP thucon duoc con dugc con dugc con diroc

0114 DN,HTX Toan bQ Thai diem x xTrang trai Thai ky (3 thang) x xHQ nong than M~u Thai diem x xGia trai Thai ky (3-6 thang) x xHQ thanh thi Toan bQ Thai diem x x

0117 DN,HTX Toan bQ Thai diem x xTrang trai Thai ky (3 thang) x xHQ nong than M~u Thai diem x xGia trai Thai ky (3-6thang) x x

01110 DN,HTX Toan bQ Thai diem x x x xThai ky (12 thang) x x x x

Trang trai Toan bQ Thai diem x xThai ky (3 thang) x x

M~u Thai ky (12 thang) xHQ nong than M~u Thai diem x x

Thai ky (3 -6 thang) x xThai ky (12 thang) x

Gia trai M~u Thai diem x xThai ky (3-6thang) x x

Than Toan bQ Thai diem x x8

NQi dung diSu tra theo loai V?t nuoiKy

Dan vi diSu Loai Trau, bo Lon Gia c~m V?t nuoi khacdiSu Loai s6 lieutra diSu tra SL d~u SL d~utra SL d~u SP thu SL d~u SP thu SP thu SP thucon dugc con dugc con dugc con dugc

Thai ky (12 thang) xHQ thanh thi Toan bQ Thai diem x x x

01101 DN,HTX Toan bQ Thai diem.

x x -Trang trai Thai ky (3 thang) x xHQnong thon M~u Thai diem x xGia trai Thai ky (3-6 thang) - ' . x x

Ghi chu: Ky thu thap thong tin vS san hrong san pham thu duoc tai cac ky diSu tra 0114 va 01110 cua cac HQm~u va Giatrai m~u co thS la 3 thang hoac 6 thang tuy thuoc vao viec nhtrng don vi diSu tra nay thuoc vao Huyen duoc chon vao m~u dieutra ky 01101 hoac 0117 tnroc do hay khong. (Chi tiSt xem phan tuong ling cua Bang 1 va Bang 2.)

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6.2 L~p bang ke don vi di~u tra

Bang ke Trang trai, Gia trai va H<) co chan nuoi hang nam duoc l~p 2 l~nvao cac ky diSu tra 0114 va 01110 dS phuc vu viec xac dinh s6 hrong don vi diSutra, chon m~u va suy rong kSt qua dieu tra m~u cho 4 ky diSu tra.

Bang ke cac 10~i don vi diSu tra vao ky diSu tra 0114 se su' dung cho 2 ky diSu tra0114 va 0117. Bang ke cac 10~i don vi dieu tra vao ky diSu tra 01110 se su dung cho 2 kydiSu tra: 01110 va 01101. Viec l~p bang ke timg loai don vi dieu tra nhtr sau:

- Bang kS Trang trai/Gia trai co dSn thoi diSm 0114 va 01110: Can cu danh sach cacTrang trai/Gia trai nr ID1NN gk nhat; kSt qua DiSu tra trang trai gk nhat, kSt qua l~p bangke/diSu tra trang trai, gia trai 10' tnroc va cac nguon s6 lieu khac cua dia phuong (thu y...), ChiC\lC Th6ng ke clp Huyen t6 chirc ra soat, l~p danh sach cac Trang trai (m~u Bang ke01/BKCHN-TT) va danh sach cac Gia trai (m~u Bang ke O2IBK.CHN-GT va 03/BK.CHN-G1) tren dia ban cac Xa cua Huyen tai thoi diSm 01/4 va 01110. Bang ke diroc l~p rieng chotung Trang trai/Gia trai Ion va gia ck. Truong hop Trang trai/Gia trai nuoi ca 2 loai Ion va giack va dSu dat tieu chi cua tung loai thi duoc l~p danh sach trong ca 2 bang ke.

- Bang ke H<)nong than trong ky co chan nuoi quy mo dum. 30 con Ion hoac dum1000 con gia ck (rieng chim cut dum 10.000 con) cua Than dai dien: Can cir vao cacnguon tai lieu sAnco cua xa, than (TD1NN gk nhat, thu y, kSt qua l~p bang ke kY di~u tratnroc ...), Chi C\lC Th6ng kS Huyen t6 chirc l~p bang ke cac h<)co chan nuoi dum 30 conIon hoac dum 1000 con gia ck (rieng chim cut dum 10.000 con) cua Than dai dien taithoi diSm 114va 01110 (m~u Bang ke 04/BK.CHN-HONT). Bang ke nay la din ctf dS tinhtY l~ h<)co chan nuoi loai v~t nuoi diSu tra cua huyen va la can cir dS chon h<)m~u.

Cach lap: Tir danh sach co s~n cac h<) trong than duoc lap theo thir tv dia 1ytv nhien (tu d~u Than dSn cu6i Thou hoac theo huang Bic - Nam hoac Dong -Tay), tnrong than/can b<), cong tac vien thu y hoac nguoi duoc giao tien hanh rasoat, l~p danh sach h<)co chan nuoi theo biSu m~u va danh thir tir tir 1 dSn hSt.

- Bang ke H<) thanh thi co chan nuoi trau, be; 19'11quy mo duoi 30 con; giac~m duoi 1000 con cua toan b<)cac t6 dan pho/khu ph6/tiSu khu/phirong/thi tr~n cochan nuoi. Can cir vao cac nguon tai lieu s~n co (thu y, kSt qua lap bang ke ky diSutra tnroc, TDT NN g~n nh~t...) va m~u bang ke (m~u Bang ke 05/BK.CHN-HOTT), can b<)thong ke phirong l~p cac danh sach sau:

(i) Danh sach cac h<)co chan nuoi trau, be; h<)nuoi dum 30 con 19'11hoac dum 1000con gia ok cua tung t6 clanph6 /khu ph6/tiSu khu/phuong/thi tran tai thoi diem 01110;

(ii)Danh sach h<)coo nuoi lon dum 30 con hoac dum 1000 con gia dm tai thai diSm01/4.

Trong qua trinh thu thap s6 lieu tai don vi, Chi C\lC Th6ng ke phoi hop chatche voi UBND Xa, phirong, thi tr~n dS d6i chieu, b6 sung nhtrng don vi diSu tra

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con thieu, loai bo nhirng tnrong hQ'P khong thuoc dien diSu tra nham tranh trung,sot.

6.3 Phuong phap thu th~p sc3li~u

Ap dung hai phuong phap thu thap s6 lieu la true tiep va gian tiep,

- 6.3.1 Thu th~p trtrc tiip

Ap dung phuong phap thu thap true tiSp d6i voi don vi diSu tra la Trang trai,Gia trai, HQ. fliSu tra vien den Trang trai, Gia trai, HQ g~p chu Trang trai, Gia trai,HQ (hoac ngiroi hi@u biSt tinh hinh chan nuoi cua Trang trai, Gia trai, HQ) d@phongv~n true tiSp kSt hQ'P voi quan sat, dem dan gia sue, gia earn d@ghi phieu diSu tra.

6.3.2 Thu th~p gidn tiip

Ap dung phuong phap thu thap gian tiSp d6i voi don vi diSu tra la DN, HTXva Than. Can bQ Chi cue Thong ke c~p Huyen huang d~n phuong phap ghi phieucho can bQ thong kS hoac kS toan cua don vi, tnrong Than hoac can bo/cong tacvien thu y.~.. Can cir vao h~ thong s6 sach kS toan cua don vi hoac cac thong tinlien quan, nhtrng ngiroi nay tir dien phieu diSu tra va giri phieu da: dien du thong tinlai cho Chi cue Th6ng ke. Can bQ Chi cue Th6ng ke co trach nhiem ki@m tra vanghiem thu phieu hoan chinh.

7. Phuong phap xii' ly thong tin, suy rQng va tang hop k~t qua di~u tra

7.1 Phuong phap xii' ly thong tin

Thong tin thu thap duoc xu 1;' bang phan mem, bao gom cac noi dung sau:

- Nhap tin s6 lieu bang phan mSm: S6 lieu tir cac phieu dieu tra diroc nhaptin tai cac Chi cue Th6ng ke Huyen hoac Cue Thong ke Tinh tren cung motchuong trinh phan mem thong nh~t do T6ng cue Th6ng ke xay dung.

- Nghiem thu s6 lieu: S6 lieu diroc nghiem thu a c~p tong hQ'P true tiep,

- Bao cao ket qua diSu tra: Cue Th6ng ke Tinh truyen toan bQ co sa du lieudiSu tra, bao cao giai trinh, bi@u tong hQ'P vS T6ng cue cham nhat sau 1 thang;rieng ky dieu tra thang truyen tnrc tiep vS T6ng cue ngay sau khi nhap tin xong.

7.2 Suy rQng va tang hop k~t qua di~u tra

7.2.1 Quy t/jnh chung vi tinh todn, suy rrng, tang hop

a. Viec suy rong diroc thirc hien truce hSt cho tung loai v~t nuoi cua tirngloai don vi dieu tra (Ion, ga, vit, ngan, ngong ...) trong timg c~p don vi hanh chinh

11

(Huyen, Tinh, toan quoc). Rieng d6i voi HQ mfiu con duoc tinh toan, suy rong theotung nhom quy rno nuoi tai thai diem diSu tra; cu thS nhu sau:

- HQ chan nuoi Ion gom 3 nhom theo quy mo nuoi: (i) diroi 10 con; (ii) tir10-19 con; va ur (iii) 20 - 29 con.

- HQ chan nuoi gia earn gom 3 nhom theo quy mo nuoi: (i) duoi 50 con; (ii)tir 50-499 con; (iii) tir 500-999 con. Rieng chim cut gom 2 nhorn theo quy monuoi: (i) duoi 1000 con; (ii) tir 1000- 9999 con.

b. Cftp hanh chinh hoac lanh th6 duoc suy rong va don vi thuc hien suy rongtuy theo nrng ky dieu tra; cu thS nhu Bang 6 duoi day.

Bang 6. Cftp suy rong theo don vi hanh chinh hoac lanh th6 va don vi thirchien suy rong kSt qua diSu tra

T Ky diSu tracap suy rong theo don vi Ban vi thirc hien

T hanh chinh hoac lanh th6 suy rong1 Ky dieu tra 0114 va 01110 Huyen Chi C\lCThong ke

Tinh C\lC Th6ng ke2 Ky diSu tra 01101 va 0117 Tinh C\lC Th6ng ke

c. T6ng hop d6i voi diSu tra toan bQ bao gom 2 noi dung:

- T6ng hQ'P tong s6 d~u con cua tung loai V?t nuoi tai thai diem di~u tra

- T6ng hop tong san hrong san pham thu duoc trong ky5d. Tinh toan, suy rong d6i voi dieu tra chon mfiu:

- Viec suy rong g6m (i) tong s6 hrong d~u con tai thai diSm diSu tra va (ii)tong san hrong san pham chan nuoi trong ky dieu tra duoc thuc hien cho tungnhom trong tung loai V?t nuoi cua tung loai don vi dieu tra.

7.2.2 Ciing thtrc tJng quat eho suy r9ng tt8i voi au« tra chon mau

7.2.2.1 C6ng thuc tong quat eho suy rong sc5 ddu eon timg loai vdt nu6i

Cong tlnrc tong quat cho suy rong s6 d~u con cua mot loai V?t nuoi cu thS(Ion, ga, vit, ngan, ngong, chim cut) theo quy rno thuoc mot loai don vi diSu tra cuthS tai thai diem dieu tra co dang:

5 San pham thu duoc trong ky bao g6m trong IUQ'ngban, gi~t thjt Ion, gia earn (ga, vit, ngan, ng6ng nuoi thjt), traubo gi~t thjt; s6 tnrng ga (tinh rieng cho ga cong nghiep va ga khac), vjt, ngan, ng6ng, kh6i IUQ'ngsua bo, ,....

12

Trang Cong thiec (1):

- S6 d~u con v~t nuoi binh quan 1 don vi miu tai thai diSm diSu tra duocxac dinh theo cong thirc:

86 dau con vatnuoi tai thai =diem di~u tra

86 dau con vat nuoi blnhquan 1 don vi mau taithai diem dieu tra

86 dau con vat nuoi blnhquan 1 don vi mau tai thai

diem dieu tra

T6ng 56 vat nuoi= cua cac don vi mau

tai thai diem di'~u tra

xT 6ng 56 don vi c6

chan nuoi vat nuoi taithai diem dieu tra .

(1)

T6ng 56 don vi mauc6 chan nuoi vat nuoitai thai diem di'eu tra

(2)

S6 lieu "T6ng s6 v~tnuoi cua cac don vi miu tai thai diSmdiSutra" va "T6ng s6 don vimiu co channuoi v~ nuoi tai thai diemdiSutra" duoc t6nghQIJnr thong tin cuaky diSutra

- T6ng s6 don vi co chan nuoi v~t nuoi duoc xac dinh nhir sau:

(i) B6i voi Gia trai: Can cir vao kSt qua ra soat, l~p bang ke Gia trai cac ky0114 va 01110. Quy uoc: S6 gia trai tai thai diem 01110 bang (=) s6 gia trai tai thaidiem 01101; S6 gia trai tai thai diSm 0114 bang (=) s6 gia trai tai thai diem 0117.

(ii) B6i voi HQ nong then: T6ng s6 don vi co chan nuoi v~t nuoi diroc xacdinh theo cong thirc:

T6ng 56 He'>nongthan c6 chan nuoivat nuoi tai thaidiem die'u tra

=T6ng 56 He'>nangthan tai thai diem x

d'ieu tra

Trang Cong thuc (3):

+ T6ng s6 HQ nong thon co chan nuoi tai thai diem diSu tra (la s6 hQ cochan nuoi loai v~t nuoi diroc du bao a cac thai diem 01/01; 0114; 0117; 01110);

+ Tong s6 hQ nong thon tai thai diSm diSu tra (01/01; 0114; 0117; 01110):Dircc tinh toan tren co sa bao cao tree tinh s6 hQ cua cac xii hoac tir cac nguondiSu tra cua nganh thong ke;

TV 1$he'>nang than c6 channuoi vat nuai cua cac than daidien de tinh tv 1$he'>c6 channuoi tai thai diem dieu tra (%)

(3)

+ Ty l~ HQ nong then co chan nuoi vat nuoi cua cac then dai dien tai thaidiem tra: Diroc tinh tren co sa tong s6 hQ co chan nuoi v~t nuoi thai diSm chia chotong s6 hQ cua cac thon dai dien diroc chon dS l~p bang ke cua huyen.

TV 1$ he'>nang thanc6 chart nuoi vatnuol tai thai die~

dieu tra

T6ng 56 he'>c6 chan nuoi loaivat nuoi cua cac than dai

= di$n de tinh tV 1$he'>c6 channuoi tai thai diem dieu tra

T6ng 56 he'>nang than cuacac than d<;lidien de tinh tV ( 4 )1$he'>c6 chan nuoi tai thai

diem di~u tra

13

----------------------------~==============~======~~--~======-

Do viec l~p bang ke cac hQ co chan nuoi chi thuc hien vao ky di@utra 01/4 va01/10 nen quy uoc: S6 hQ co chan nuoi v~t nuoi tai thai diSm 01/10 nam truce bang(=) s6 hQ co chan nuoi v~t nuoi tai thai diSm 01/01 nam bao cao; S6 s6 hQ co channuoi v~t nuoi tai thai diSm 01/4 bang (=) s6 ho co chan nuoi vat nuoi tai thai diSm01/7.

Tong C\lC se gill cac tinh Danh sach cac thon dai dien dS tinh ty l~ hQ co channuoi.

7.2.2.2 Cong thuc tong quat cho suy rong cho nhom vdt nuoi (Ion thit, 19'nnai, ga tha nuoi thit, ga mai de nuoi tha, ga CN nuoi thit, ga mai de CN, vit mdide...) trang tong dan.

Cong thirc tong quat cho suy rong s6 d~u con cua mot nhorn v~t nuoi cualoai v~t nuoi cu thS thuoc mot loai don vi di@u tra (suy rong rieng cho Gia trai vaHQ) tai thai diSm dieu tra nhir sau:

se dau can cuanh6m vat nu6i tai thai

die~ dieu t~a=

se dau cancua loai vatnu6i tai thaidiem dieu tra

x

Ty tronq nh6m vatnuoi tai thai diemdieu tra cua don vi

dieu tra .

(5)

Trang Cong thtcc (5):

+ S6 v~t nuoi tai thai diSm di@utra duoc xac dinh aMuc 7.2.2.1 (C6ng thirc (1).

+ Ty trong nhom v~t nuoi trong ky dieu tra (ty trong Ion thit/lon nai/ga nuoithit/ga de tnrng/vit mai de/ngan mai de .... ) tai thai diem di@u tra duoc xac dinhtheo cong thirc:

Ty tronq nh6mvat nu6i tai thai =diem die'u tra

s6 dau can cuanh6m vat nu6i cuacac don vi mau taithai diem' dieu tr~

se dau can cualoai vat nu6i cua X 100cac don vi mau taithai diem' dieu tr~

(6)

7.2.2.3 Cong uc tong quat cho suy rong san luong san phdm chdn nuoi

San pham chan nu6i thu duoc la thit ban, giSt cua gia sue, gia earn (bo, Ion,ga, vit, ngan, ngong ...) nuoi 1fty thit; tnrng gia c~m (ga, vit...) mai de; sua (bo,de, ...) nuoi Ifty sua ...

Luong san pham chan nuoi thu duoc la trong hrong (kg) thit ban, giSt cuagia sue, gia earn nuoi Ifty thit; s6 hrong tnrng cua gia c~m mai de; kh6i luong (lit)sua cua gia sue nuoi Ifty sua ...

14

Cong thirc tong quat cho suy rong tong hrong sari pham chan nuoi thu duoccua mot nhom vat nuoi cu th@thuoc mot loai don vi diSu tra (Gia trai, HC)) trong kydiSu tra nhir sau:

Tong 1U'Q'ngsanpharn chan nu6ithu duoc trongky di~u tra

=

LU'Q'ngsan phamchan nu6i blnh quan 1vat nu6i cua cac don xvi mau trong ky di~u

tra

Tong so vat nu6i chothu san pharn channu6i trong ky di~u tra

(7)

Trang Cong thuc (7):

- LUQ'ngsan pham chan nuoi binh quan 1 v~t nuoi cua 1 don vi m~u trongky diSu tra duoc xac dinh theo cong thirc:

LU'Q'ngsan pharn channu6i blnh quan 1 vatnu6i cua cac don virnau trong ky di~u tra

=

Tong 1U'Q'ngsanpharn cua vat nu6icua cac don vi mautrong ky di~~ tra

Tong s6 vatnu6i cho thusan pharn cuacac don vi

mau trong kydi~u tra

(8)

Trong do:

- T6ng hrong san pham cua v~t nuoi cua cac don vi m~u trong ky diSu tra lat6ng trong hrong ban, giSt thit cua dan Ion thit (ga, vit, ngan ngong nuoi thit; trau,bo); s6 tnrng ga (vit, ngan, ngong); san hrong sua (bo, de) cua cac don vi m~u;

Cac chi tieu "T6ng hrong san pham cua v~t nuoi cua cac don vi m~u trongky diSu tra" va "T6ng s6 v~t nuoi cho thu san pham cua cac don vi m~u trong kydieu tra" duoc tong hQ'Ptir thong tin cua ky dieu tra hoac s6 lieu d~u con ky diSutra truce (d6i voi gia earn mai de, bo sfra),

- T6ng s6 vat nuoi cho thu san pham chan nuoi trong ky dieu tra duoc xacdinh nhir sau:

(i) D6i voi ga mai de/v it de, bo cai sua (cho sari pham khong qua giet thit):T6ng s6 v~t nuoi cho thu san pham chan nuoi trong ky dieu tra la s6 ga mai de, bocai sua ... co tai d~u ky diSu tra (tire la s6 cua ky diSu tra g~n nh~t tnroc day). Riengd6i voi ky diSu tra 01110/2013 thi quy iroc l~y s6 lieu tai thai diem 01110/2013.

(ii) D6i voi s6 v~t nuoi ban, giSt thit (Ion, trau, bo, ga, ...), s6 v~t nuoi cho thusan pharn dtroc xac dinh theo cong thirc:

Tong s6 vat nu6i chothu san pharn channu6i trong ky di~u tra

=s6 vat nu6itai thiYi di~m. di~u tra

Ty I~ vat nu6i cho thux san pharn chan nu6i

trong ky di~u tra(9)

15

Trang C6ng thiec (9):

+ S6 v~t nuoi tai thai diSm diSu tra duoc xac dinh aMuc 7.2.2.2 (Cong thirc(5) .

+ Ty l~ vat nuoi cho san pham chan nuoi (ry l~ lon/ga/vit/ngan/ngong nuoithit ban, giet thit (rieng vit, khong tinh s6 vit thai vu/vit chay dong) trong ky diSutra duoc xac dinh theo cong thirc:

Ty 1$vat nu6icho thu sanpham channu6i trong ky

dieu tra

=

Tong so vat nu6i chothu san pharn channu6i cua cac don virnau trong ky dieu tra

Tong so vat nu6icua cac don vi

mau tai thai die~d~u ky dieu tra

X 100 (10)

Trang C6ng thuc (10):

+ S6 lieu "T6ng s6 v~t nuoi cho san pham chan nuoi cua cac don vi m~utrong ky dieu tra" diroc t6ng hop tir thong tin cua ky dieu tra.

+ S6 lieu "T6ng s6 v~t nuoi cua cac don vi m~u tai thai diem d~u ky diSutra" co diroc nr thong tin cua ky diSu tra cling IOC;lithai ky dieu tra truce do, tinhtren cling don vi diSu tra. Vi du: s6 lieu d~u ky cua ky diSu tra 01/7/2014 la sf> v~tnuoi co tai thai diem 0114/2014 (tren cling don vi mau); s6 lieu d~u ky cua ky diSutra 01110/2014 la s6 v~t nuoi co tai thai diem 01/4/2014 (ddi voi nhfrng huy~nkhong diSu tra ky 0117) va la s6 v~t nuoi co tai thai diem 0117 (ddi voi nhfrnghuyen co diSu tra ky 01/7).

Rieng ky dieu tra d~u tien (01110/2013) thi quy uoc s6 lieu d~u ky diSu trabang s6li~u tai thai diSm diSu tra (01110/2013).

7.2.3 Tinh todn, suy rpng tang hop tlai voi Hp m6.u trong ky tliJu tra 01/4va 1/10

CUQcdiSu tra chan nuoi co d6i nrong va don vi diSu tra khac nhau, noi dungdiSu tra da dang, ky dieu tra nhieu, s6 lieu vira thai ky, vira thai diSm... nen vieckhai qua hoa duoi dang cong thirc se phirc tap. f)S don gian hoa va thuan tien choviec tinh toan, suy rong, t6ng hop a Cue Th6ng ke, trong Phuong an nay sir dungmot vi du cu thS lam m~u dS ap dung cho cac tnrong hop tuong tu khac, Cu thScua ky diSu tra 01110 sau:

7.2.3.1 Dc5ivoi kj)(1i~u tra 0111012013 (kj; ai~u tra adu tien)

a) Ifac luoog s6 luoog d~u con cua tUng nhom vat nuoi

16

-Gia sir: Chon nh6m ga thit nuoi tha trong loai v~t nu6i ga (gom cac nh6mv~t nu6i la ga thit, ga mai de, ga thit nuoi tha, ga thit nu6i c6ng nghiep, ga mai denu6i tha, ga mai de nu6i c6ng nghiep) cua HQ c6 qui m6 nu6i diroi 10 con trong kydi€u tra 01110/2013 cua Huyen A.

Yeu c~u : Voc hrong s6 luong ga thit nu6i tha cua cac HQ c6 qui m6 nuoidiroi 10 con thai diem 01110/2013.

Cac bu6c thuc hien:

- Buac 1. T6ng hop tong s6 hrong ga, ga nuoi tha, s6 hrong ga thit nuoi thacua cac HQ nu6i duoi 10 con tai thai diem 0111012013 cua Huyen A nr cac phieudi€u tra HQ.

- Buac 2. Tinh s6 hrong ga binh quan 1 hQ nu6i dtroi 10 con tai thai di~m01110/2013 cua Huyen A tir cac phieu di€u tra.

C6ng thirc tinh:

n

LXii=lXi = -- (can/h9)

n(11)

Trang Cong thuc (J 1):

+ Xi la s6 hrong ga binh quan 1 hQ nuoi duoi 10 con cua hQ m~u tai thaidi~m 01110/2013 cua Huyen A.

+ Xi la s6 ga cua HQ m~u thir i nu6i diroi 10 con ga tha tai thai di~m01110/2013 cua Huyen A.

+ n la s6 hQm~u nu6i diroi 10 con ga tai thai diem 01110/2013 cua Huyen A.

- Buac 3. Tinh ty trong ga thit nuoi tha trong tong s6 ga duoi 10 con cuaHuyen A ill cac phieu di€u tra.

C6ng thirc tinh:

(12)

Trang Cong thuc (J 2):

17

+ 1;) la ty trong ga thit nuoi tha trong tong dan ga duoi 10 can cua hO m~utai thai di~m 01110/2013 cua Huyen A.

+ S ij la s6 ga thit nuoi tha cua HO m~u thir i nuoi duoi 10 can ga tai thaidiem 0111012013 cua Huy~n A

+ Xi la s6 ga cua HO mau thir nuoi duoi 10 can ga tai thai diem01110/2013 cua Huyen A.

- Buae 4. V6c IUQ'ng tong s6 HO nuoi duoi 10 can ga tai thai di~m01110/2013 cua Huyen A.

Cong thirc tfnh:

(13)

Trong Cong thuc (13):

+ Hi la uoc IUQ'ngtong s6 HO c6 chan nuoi duoi 10 can ga tai thai diem01110/2013 cua Huyen A.

+ H la tong s6 hOnong than tai thai diem 01/10/2013 cua Huyen A.

+ "(duoc xac dinh theo cong thirc:

- ht, = hni xl00 (%)

n

(14)

Trang cong thirc (14):

+ hni , hn lfrn hrot la t6ng s6 hO c6 chan nuoi ga duoi 10 can va tong s6 hOnong than tai thai diem 01110/2013 cua cac than m~u. S6 li~u nay ducc tong hoptir danh sach bang ke cac than dai dien d~ tfnh ty l~ ho c6 chan nuoi cua huyen A;

Buae 5. Suy rong s6 IUQ'ngga cua cac Ho nuoi duoi 10 can ga nuoi thatai thai di~m 01110/2013 cua huyen A.

Cong thirc tfnh:

(con)(15)

18

- Buoc 6. Suy rong s6 hrong ga thit nuoi tha cua cac H9 nu6i diroi 10 canga nuoi tha tai thai diem 01110/2013 cua huyen A.

C6ng thirc tinh:

(con)(16)

Trong do:

+ ~j la tree hrong t6ng s6 hrong ga thit nu6i tha cua cac H9 nu6i diroi 10

can ga thai di€m 01/10/2013 cua huyen A.

b) V6c 1uang 1uO'ngsan ph~m chan nu6i thu duO'c trong ky cua tUng nh6mvat nu6i

Gia sir: V~n sir dung gia sir cua Muc 7.2.3.1.

Yeu c~u: V6c hrong trong luong ga ban, gi~t thit d6i voi nh6m ga nuoi thacua cac H9 c6 qui m6 nuoi duoi 10 can thai di€m 01110/2013. (Day chinh la tongsan hrong san pham chan nuoi thu duoc trong ky.)

Cac bu6c thuc hien:

- Butrc 1. Tong hop tong s6 can ban, gi~t thit va t6ng trong hrong ban, gi~tthit d6i voi ga nu6i tha; s6 can ga thit nuoi tha cua cac H9 m~u nuoi duoi 10 canga trong ky di~u tra co xuat chuong trong ky (tir 01/4 d~n 30/9/2013) cua Huyen Atir cac phieu di~u tra H9 m~u.

- Buoc 2. Tinh trong hrong binh quan 1 can ga nuoi tha ban, giet thit cua 1H9 m~u c6 quy mo nuoi duoi 10 can trong ky di~u tra cua Huyen A

C6ng thirc tinh:

(kg/con)(17)

Trong do:

+ q la trong hrong binh quan 1 can ga nuoi tha ban, gi~t thit cua cac H9 m~unuoi duoi 10 can ga trong ky di~u tra cua Huyen A.

19