using iconic status and social science to manage climate ... · using iconic status and social...

12
Using iconic status and social science to manage climate change impacts on the Great Barrier Reef Jeremy Goldberg 1, 2 , Nadine A. Marshall 2 , Alastair Birtles 1 , Peter Case 1 , Erin Bohensky 2 , Matt Curnock 2 , Margaret Gooch 3 , Howard Parry-Husbands 4 , Samantha Stone-Jovicich 1 , Renae C. Tobin 6 , Christopher Villani 4 1 College of Law, Business and Governance, James Cook University, Townsville 2 CSIRO Land and Water Flagship, Townsville 3 Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority, Townsville 4 Pollinate Market Research, Sydney 5 CSIRO Land and Oceans Flagship, Cairns 6 College of Earth and Marine Sciences, James Cook University, Townsville

Upload: others

Post on 18-Jul-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Using iconic status and social science to manage climate ... · Using iconic status and social science to manage climate change impacts on the Great Barrier Reef Jeremy Goldberg1,

Using iconic status and social science to manage climate change impacts on

the Great Barrier Reef Jeremy Goldberg1, 2, Nadine A. Marshall2, Alastair Birtles1, Peter Case1, Erin Bohensky2, Matt Curnock2, Margaret Gooch3, Howard Parry-Husbands4, Samantha Stone-Jovicich1, Renae C.

Tobin6, Christopher Villani4

1 College of Law, Business and Governance, James Cook University, Townsville

2 CSIRO Land and Water Flagship, Townsville 3 Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority, Townsville

4 Pollinate Market Research, Sydney 5 CSIRO Land and Oceans Flagship, Cairns

6 College of Earth and Marine Sciences, James Cook University, Townsville

Page 2: Using iconic status and social science to manage climate ... · Using iconic status and social science to manage climate change impacts on the Great Barrier Reef Jeremy Goldberg1,

• Managing the Great Barrier Reef • Having certainty • Reducing social impacts • Maximising conservation goals • Dealing with climate change

Imagine…

Page 3: Using iconic status and social science to manage climate ... · Using iconic status and social science to manage climate change impacts on the Great Barrier Reef Jeremy Goldberg1,

The Socio-Cultural Context is important

1. Inspiration (includes identity) that implies motivation,

including the ability to energise and direct behaviour.

2. Attitudes (includes values and beliefs) affecting behaviour.

3. Perception of threats will affect environmental policies, and individual decision-making and behaviour

4. Aspirations to visit protected areas influences protection values and perceptions about the location.

Page 4: Using iconic status and social science to manage climate ... · Using iconic status and social science to manage climate change impacts on the Great Barrier Reef Jeremy Goldberg1,

Social and Economic Long- Term Monitoring Program

• Aims • Approach • Baseline

Page 5: Using iconic status and social science to manage climate ... · Using iconic status and social science to manage climate change impacts on the Great Barrier Reef Jeremy Goldberg1,

National Survey • Online survey, 15 - 20 minutes in length

• Samples recruited from a major panel provider in line with quotas representative of the Australian population

• 2,002 Australians between 14 - 64 years of age

Page 6: Using iconic status and social science to manage climate ... · Using iconic status and social science to manage climate change impacts on the Great Barrier Reef Jeremy Goldberg1,

Inspiration

Base: Total sample, Australians aged 14-64 (n=2,002)

Inspiring Australian icons (%)

Key message: The GBR is Australia’s most inspiring icon.

Below is a list of places in Australia that people have said are inspiring. Please rank the following in terms of how inspiring they are to you

6

8

13

12

18

18

16

10

12

12

13

12

22

4

9

10

7

8

10

28

7

36

53

40

14

17

45

53

45

49

50

46

56

38

26

38

57

11

12

10

12

11

9

6

11

5

2

4

3

16

13

9

12

8

9

6

10

5

3

4

2

43

8

7

6

6

6

5

5

3

3

2

2

Great Barrier Reef

Uluru

Outback Australia

Kakadu

The Kimberley Region

Great Ocean Road

Sydney Opera House

Blue Mountains

The Gold Coast

Melbourne Cricket Ground

Bondi Beach

Margaret River

Don'tknow

Notinspiring

Inspiring, but not in my top 3

Third mostinspiring

Second mostinspiring

Mostinspiring

70

33

26

30

25

24

17

26

13

8

10

7

Inspiring (T3B%)

Page 7: Using iconic status and social science to manage climate ... · Using iconic status and social science to manage climate change impacts on the Great Barrier Reef Jeremy Goldberg1,

WORD associations with the “Great Barrier Reef”

Page 8: Using iconic status and social science to manage climate ... · Using iconic status and social science to manage climate change impacts on the Great Barrier Reef Jeremy Goldberg1,

6

6

7

7

10

8

13

8

2

2

3

4

3

12

3

13

0

1

1

1

3

8

3

9

1

2

3

3

8

15

10

18

1

3

3

3

9

10

8

10

4

5

5

5

12

9

10

11

7

8

11

10

14

11

14

10

7

11

12

13

16

8

16

7

24

22

21

24

17

11

16

9

19

15

14

13

4

3

4

3

29

25

19

17

3

4

3

2

I feel proud that the GBR is aWorld Heritage Area

It is the responsibly of allAustralians to protect the GBR

The GBR is part of myAustralian identity

I am concerned about the impactsof climate change on the GBR

I feel optimistic about thefuture of the GBR

I would not be personally affectedif the health of the GBR declined

I feel confident that theGBR is well managed

It is not my responsibilityto protect the GBR

Attitudes Q: Please indicate how strongly you agree or disagree with each of the following, on the 10-point scale below.

Attitudes toward the Great Barrier Reef

Key message: Australians are concerned about and connected to the GBR.

Top 2%

Top 5% Average*

48 86 8.2

39 80 7.8

33 77 7.4

30 77 7.4

8 55 6.0

7 38 4.8

7 53 5.8

5 31 4.4

Base: Combined sample from Mar’13 and Sep’13 waves of GreenPulse, Australians aged 14-64 (n=2002) *NOTE: Average excludes “don’t know” responses

Page 9: Using iconic status and social science to manage climate ... · Using iconic status and social science to manage climate change impacts on the Great Barrier Reef Jeremy Goldberg1,

Visitation Q: Which of the following best applies to you?

Base: Total sample, Australians aged 14-64 (n=2,002)

Key message: People want to see the GBR. 9

8

36

49

7

I have visited the Great BarrierReef in the last 12 months

I have visited the Great Barrier Reef, but not recently – it was more

than 12 months ago

I have never visited the GreatBarrier Reef, but I would like to at

some stage

I have never visited the Great Barrier Reef, and don’t intend to

44% have been to the GBR

Page 10: Using iconic status and social science to manage climate ... · Using iconic status and social science to manage climate change impacts on the Great Barrier Reef Jeremy Goldberg1,

Q: Using the scale below, please indicate how threatening you think each of the following is to the Great Barrier Reef.

Perceived threats to the Great Barrier Reef (close ended question)

Perception of threats

10

8

8

10

9

12

9

25

10

16

10

14

9

10

3

1

2

1

1

2

1

2

4

4

6

5

7

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

3

2

3

6

6

2

1

2

2

2

3

2

2

3

5

5

7

8

3

3

3

3

3

3

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

6

5

7

7

8

9

8

9

9

11

13

13

14

7

10

8

9

9

11

7

12

12

13

13

14

13

11

14

12

14

13

14

10

15

12

15

12

14

13

14

17

16

15

17

16

13

16

12

13

12

12

9

12

15

14

14

12

13

10

11

9

9

7

7

6

31

25

26

25

22

18

21

18

17

12

9

8

7

Climate change (leading to increased ocean…

Marine debris and beach littering

Agricultural run-off (i.e. pesticides & fertilisers)

Shipping

New shipping ports & port expansions

Commercial fishing

Crown of Thorns Starfish

Coastal development

Land-based mining

Cyclones and tropical storms

Floods

Tourism activities

Recreational fishing

Don't know Not at all threatening 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Extremely threatening 10 Top 2%

Top 5% Average*

43 76 7.8

40 81 7.9

40 75 7.7

39 77 7.7

34 72 7.6

31 72 7.3

31 60 7.6

29 72 7.3

26 61 6.9

21 63 6.6

16 54 6.2

15 53 5.9

13 48 5.7 Base: Combined sample from Mar’13 and Sep’13 waves of GreenPulse, Australians aged 14-64 (n=2,002) *NOTE: Average excludes “don’t know” responses

Page 11: Using iconic status and social science to manage climate ... · Using iconic status and social science to manage climate change impacts on the Great Barrier Reef Jeremy Goldberg1,

Q: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 means you have no trust, and 5 means you have complete trust, how much trust would you have in each of the following when reporting environmental issues?

TRUST IN ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION

Page 12: Using iconic status and social science to manage climate ... · Using iconic status and social science to manage climate change impacts on the Great Barrier Reef Jeremy Goldberg1,

• About managing the Reef • With certainty • To minimise social impacts • To maximise conservation goals • To deal with climate change

Imagine and communicate…