unit 4: macro failures asymmetric information 4/26/2011
TRANSCRIPT
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Unit 4: Macro FailuresUnit 4: Macro Failures
Asymmetric InformationAsymmetric Information4/26/20114/26/2011
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Financial StructureFinancial Structure
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Financial StructureFinancial Structure• business financing
1. stocks not the primary source2. debt & equity securities not the primary source3. indirect financing > direct financing (many times >)4. financial intermediaries the primary source
5.financial system among most regulated sectors6.only large corporations have easy access to securities7.most debt contracts involve collateral8.debt contracts complicated & regulate behavior
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Transaction CostsTransaction Coststransaction costs transaction costs –
time & money spent trying to exchange financial assets, goods, or services
Broker commissions aretransaction costs of trading stocks.ATM fees are transaction costs of withdrawing money from banks.
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Transaction CostsTransaction CostsTransaction costs lead to less
transactions being profitable, which leads to less transactions being made.Recall that all voluntary transactions
take place because traders value what they get more than what they give.
Thus all transactions increase welfare. Because transaction costs decrease transactions, they decrease welfare.
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Transaction CostsTransaction Costs
In the context of the stock market, transaction costs means less
investment and less diversification (more portfolio risk).
Transaction costs can be reduced through financial intermediaries.
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Financial IntermediariesFinancial Intermediariesfinancial intermediaries financial intermediaries –
institutions that borrow funds fromsavers and make loans to others
(e.g., banks, insurance companies,mutual funds, pension funds)
Lowers transaction costs• take advantage of economies of scale• develop expertise to lower costs
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Asymmetric InformationAsymmetric Information
asymmetric information asymmetric information –unequal knowledge each party to a
transaction has about the other party
Types• adverse selection (before transaction)• moral hazzard (after transaction)
vs.
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adverse selection adverse selection –ex-ante (before transaction)
asymmetric information;the most undesirable people
(from the other party’s point of view)are the ones most likely to want
to engage in the financial transaction
Adverse SelectionAdverse Selection
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Used car marketThe seller has more information than
the buyer about the car’s quality.If buyers assume the car has the average condition and thus pay an average price,then that’s a bad deal for everyone with
above average cars, so they don’t sell.Only those with below average cars
(lemons) sell. This leads to far less sales.Seller warranties solve this problem.
Adverse SelectionAdverse Selection
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Financial markets have similar problems.
Avoiding adverse selection• private investors research companies• government requires audits & disclosures• financial intermediaries use expertise• collateral & net worth mitigate default
Adverse SelectionAdverse Selection
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Moral HazardMoral Hazard
moral hazard moral hazard –ex-post (after transaction)asymmetric information;
the risk that one party to a transaction will engage undesirable behavior
(from the other party’s point of view)
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Moral HazardMoral HazardMoral hazard in equity contracts
Managers have an incentive for fancy offices or embezzling money rather
than making a profit.
principal-agent problem principal-agent problem –managers act in their interest rather
than in the interest of the ownersdue to a different set of incentives
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Moral HazardMoral Hazard
Avoiding moral hazard in equity contracts• investors audit firms• government: audits & penalties for fraud• venture capital firms in management• use debt contracts instead
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Moral HazardMoral HazardMoral hazard in debt contracts Borrowers have incentives to
take on projects that are riskierthan the lenders would like.
For example, if I have fire insuranceI may roast marshmallows over a
bonfire in the middle of my living room.
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Moral HazardMoral HazardAvoiding moral hazard in debt contracts• collateral & net worth align incentives• monitoring and restrictive covenants
o discourage undesirable behavioro encourage desirable behavioro keep collateral valuable
• financial intermediaries use expertise
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Financial StructureFinancial Structure• business financing
1. stocks not the primary source2. debt & equity securities not the primary source3. indirect financing > direct financing (many times >)4. financial intermediaries the primary source
5.financial system among most regulated sectors6.only large corporations have easy access to securities7.most debt contracts involve collateral8.debt contracts complicated & regulate behavior
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Financial StructureFinancial Structure
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Conflict of InterestConflict of Interestconflict of interest conflict of interest –
type of moral hazard problemcaused by economies of scope;
organization is involved in multiple objectives and has conflicts between
those objectives (one corrupts the other)
economies of scope economies of scope –ability to use one resource to provide many different products and services
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Conflict of InterestConflict of InterestConflict of interest examples• investment banks: underwriting & research
o research optimistic for IPO issuers• accounting firms: auditing & consulting
o opinions skewed for future consultingo opinions audit systems of consultants
• credit rating agencies: rating & consultingo ratings skewed for future consultingo ratings on structure of consultants