ucar leadership academy january 2007 tim killeen ncar director

UCAR Leadership AcademyJanuary 2007

Tim KilleenNCAR Director

UCAR Leadership AcademyJanuary 2007

Tim KilleenNCAR Director

NCAR’s Role

1. The need to mount an attack on the fundamental atmospheric problems on a scale commensurate with their global nature and importance

2. The fact that the extent of such an attack requires facilities and technological assistance beyond those that can properly be made available at individual universities

3. The fact that the difficulties of the problems are such that they require the best talents from various disciplines to be applied to them in a coordinated fashion, on a scale not feasible in a university department

4. The fact that such an Institute offers the possibility of preserving the natural alliance of research and education without unbalancing the university programs

“1959: There are four compelling reasons for establishing a National Institute for Atmospheric Research:”

“1959: There are four compelling reasons for establishing a National Institute for Atmospheric Research:”

Tim Killeen

Presentation to the Committee on Strategic Guidance for NSF’s Support of the Atmospheric Sciences, October 14, 2004

NCAR’s Role in the Atmospheric Sciences NCAR’s Role in the Atmospheric Sciences

Computing/Cyberinfrastructure Services: Supercomputing, Data Services, Networking

Observation Services: Aircraft and Ground-based Measurement Systems, Field Programs

Science: Community Models, Climate, Chemistry, Meteorology, Sun-Earth System, Environmental and Societal Impacts

Applications: Aviation, Ground Transportation, Homeland Security, etc.

Education: Informal, K-12, Undergraduate and graduate students, Postdocs, Diversity programs, National and International Capacity-building

NCAR TodayNCAR Today

Institution Rankings in the GeosciencesSorted by Citations – June 2006

Institution Rankings in the GeosciencesSorted by Citations – June 2006

Data courtesy of ISI Essential Science Indicators™ – Powered by ISI Web of Knowledge™

“[The NCAR] program [is] of great value to NSF and the nation”

“[NCAR] has used its resources wisely and represents an important U.S. scientific asset.”

“The vision for the future of NCAR outlined in the strategic plan is both truly exciting and important for the country and indeed the entire world.”

• Every recent review has asked NCAR to further its excellence

NSF Review of NCAR Management, March 20 - 22

NSF Review of NCAR Management, March 20 - 22

RANKING INSTITUTION CITATIONS

1 NASA 82,604

2 NOAA 66,179

33 NCARNCAR 50,98550,985

4 University of Colorado 44,795

5University of Washington

44,138

6 Max Planck Society 41,477

7 US Geological Survey 41,246

8 CALTECH 39,499

9 Columbia University 34,264

10University of California,San Diego

31,483

Challenges

World Population Growth 1750-2100

Source: Population Reference Bureau

10

8

6

4

2

1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100

Bill

ion

s

Developing Countries

Industrial Countries

From M. Prather University of California at Irvine

“Global Warming Is 'Real,' Report Finds”“Global Warming Is 'Real,' Report Finds”

NY Times, Jan 13, 2000

“If the floods don't get you... Climate change will have dramatic and widespread effects”

“If the floods don't get you... Climate change will have dramatic and widespread effects”

Financial Times (London),

Jan 22, 2000

“World Bank Sets Up Fund to Assist Pollution-Control Effort”“World Bank Sets Up Fund to Assist Pollution-Control Effort”

The Washington Post, Jan 19, 2000

“Conservationists Win Battles but Fear War Is Lost”“Conservationists Win Battles but Fear War Is Lost”


“Radioactive Waste and Unpaid Bills”“Radioactive Waste and Unpaid Bills”


“Combating West Nile Virus”“Combating West Nile Virus”

NY Times, Dec 20, 1999

“EPA Is Ordering 392 Plants to Cut Pollution in Half”“EPA Is Ordering 392 Plants to Cut Pollution in Half”


“Sprawl Quickens Its Attack On Forests”“Sprawl Quickens Its Attack On Forests”


“Arctic Thawing May Jolt Sea's Climate Belt”“Arctic Thawing May Jolt Sea's Climate Belt”


NCAR’s New Strategic Plan, 2006NCAR’s New Strategic Plan, 2006

Revised, 2006

NCAR scientists, managementand communityparticipants

Approved by UCARBoard of TrusteesOctober 2006

2006 Strategic Plan2006 Strategic Plan

NCAR as…

Integrator - Generating and disseminating knowledge and information across disciplines and from many sources

Innovator - Creating new practices and methods across our service, research and education activities

Community Builder - Organizing and supporting the research community

Enhance science/facility integrative activities, for example:

• Community Climate System Model evolution into “Earth System Model”: carbon, nitrogen cycles, chemistry, human processes

• Airborne, satellite, and ground observing systems: instrument development, miniaturization, tele-science, data systems, field campaigns, etc.

Define and implement new large scale integrative science activities in close cooperation with the community, for example:

• Climate/clouds/water cycle/ecosystems

• Impacts/adaptation/vulnerability/sustainability

NCAR in the Next Decade:

Traditional and New Modalities NCAR in the Next Decade:

Traditional and New Modalities

Accelerate Scientific Progress with new cyberinfrastructure:

• Tools: Data Assimilation, Grids, Earth System Modeling Framework, GIS

• Services: Capacity and capability computing, Community Data Portal

Build Deeper Connections - for example:

• With the Universities and other partners

• With the operational forecasting community

• With minority-serving universities & colleges by exchanging visitors, hosting students, and providing technical assistance

• With business and government decision-makers through sustained dialogue, answering questions, and creating new information products

• With the international science community

NCAR in the next Decade (continued)NCAR in the next Decade (continued)

The Overarching Challenge: Service and leadership for the community

• Need to address complex, large-scale, important science problems. NCAR will play a leading role.

• Need to build and deploy enabling cyberinfrastructure and observing facilities. NCAR will play a leading role.

• Need to further define community model concept and process science. NCAR will play a leading role.

• Need community and capacity-building: public, K-12, postdocs, grad students, faculty, teams, etc. NCAR will play a leading role.

• Need to further develop a diverse and creative workforce. NCAR will play a leading role.

Challenges and Opportunities: NCAR as an Integrator Challenges and Opportunities: NCAR as an Integrator

Organization & Budget

Member Institutions

Board of Trustees

UCAR President Richard Anthes

Finance & AdministrationKaty Schmoll, VP

Corporate Affairs

Jack Fellows, VP

UCAR ProgramsJack Fellows, Director

Kathryn Strand, Manager, Budget and Administration

NCARTim Killeen, Director

Larry Winter, Deputy Director

Education and Outreach

Roberta Johnson

CISL EOL ESSL RAL SERE COMET DLESECOSMIC

GLOBE JOSS NSDL

UNIDATA VSP

FY2006 NCAR Expenditures by Fund Source

FAA$12.3

8%

DOD$11.1

7%

NASA$7.6 5%

UNIV$4.8 3%

NSF$81.4 55%

NSF-Spec$10.1

7%

NSF-HIAPER$9.5 6%

DOE$3.6 2%

OTHER$2.3 2%

NOAA$3.6 2%

COMM$1.8 1%

FOREIGN$2.4 2%

NCAR All-Funds Summary

NCAR All Funds Summary

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

FY97 FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06

$ x

1,00

0

TOTAL

NSF SPEC (exp)

NON-NSF (exp)

OTHER BASE TRSF

USWRP

OPP FUNDS

STRAT INITIATIVES

NSF BASE (Target)

HIAPER Funds

A Few Recent Highlights

The Nested Regional Climate Model Integrating WRF and CCSM to model across scales

A 2-way Nested Regional Climate Model (NRCM) provides an integrating research tool that is essential to address upscaling and downscaling issues.

More information: http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/modeling/nrcm/

Precipitable Water Whole-year animation for 1996

QuickTime™ and aBMP decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Facilities: The High-Performance Instrumented Platform for Environmental Research (HIAPER)

• Custom designed for unprecedented research

• Satellite communications allow greater, real-time participation from investigators and students at remote locations

• Delivered on time and under budget

Projections of Degradation of Near-Surface Permafrost with CCSM3

Animation of Near-surface Permafrost Changes

QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor


Solar B (Hinode) Launch, Sep 22, 2006

HAO-developed Spectral Polarimeter:

Already providing line of sight magnetic fields with good signal to noise for the quiet Sun

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor


Web-based Turbulence Display System for Pilots

/EXPERIMENTAL TURBULENCE FI UAL███/AN N███UA UPLINK-- 05 Sep 2006 21:38:13Z FL 300 orient. 83 deg'+'=waypoint, '*'=route, 'X'=aircraft at 38.3N, 80.6W' '=no_data, 'o'=smooth, 'l'=light, 'M'=mod, 'S'=severe-----------------------(52 to IAD)------------------------ | * | *MM | *MM | *MM | l lll M *MMM | lollo *lMl | oolo *l | oo * | * |080 * M |llllllll ll *MM |lllllllllllllll l *lll |lllllllllollllllll *MMl l |MMllllllllooollllll *MMl l |MMMl lllllllllollll *MM l |MMMM llll llol ll *MM | MMMM ll *MMS | MMM *MSS | MM *MSS +PUTTZ +MSS | * SSSSSSMSS M | l S*SSSSSSSSSMSS M | lllS*SSSMSSSSSMSS l | lSMS*SMMMMSSSSMSS l | SSMM*MMMMMMMMMSS M | MM*SMMMMMMMMlllllMSS M | M*SSMMMMMMMMllllllMMM M | *MMMMMMMMMMMMMllllMMM | * MMlllMMMlMllllllMlll |040 * lllllllllllllllllMMllll | * llllllllllllllllS | * llllllllllMMS | * lllllllSSS | * lllllSSS | * lllMMS | * l llMM | * MM M | MM*MM oMSS | SM*MMMMM | MM *MM lMM | MMMSS S * l llM | MMMSSM * lllllll ol |l MMMM * lllllo | MMMMM * llllll | M * lllll | SSS * llllll | SSS M l * llll | SSS Mlllll *llM | MM lMlllll * l-------|---------valid-|--------X--------|-----------------90 +90|Left 40 2135Z (18 from 3819N/8058W) Right 40

Sample uplink message Flight information

Legend

Route

Severe turbulence

Aircraft position

Waypoint

Vertical cross-section

NTDA Demonstration Concept

Java web-based turbulence display

Moderate turbulence

Severe turbulence

In situ turbulence reports

Moderate turbulence

Implications of Ocean Acidification

• Ocean chemistry is changing to a state that has not occurred for millions of years

• Shell-building in marine organisms will slow down

• Reef-building will decrease, stop, or reverse

• Fundamental changes will occur in marine ecosystems

Early-career Scientists & Increasing Diversity

• Since 2001, 34 new early-career scientists• Steady progress increasing diversity

Female Scientists

Women Scientists at NCAR and on Faculties of Top 50 University Departments in Selected Disciplines

(Percentages at August 2005)

Career Level (% Women)

Scientist I & II (Asst Prof)

Scientist III (Assoc Prof)

Sr. Scientist (Full Prof)

Rank Discipline % Women Discipline % Women Discipline % Women

1 NCAR 31.88 Biology 24.87 Biology 14.79

2 Biology 30.20 NCAR 24.32 Astronomy 9.75

3 Civil Eng 22.26 Chemistry 20.50 NCAR 9.46

4 Chemistry 21.47 Chemical Eng 19.19 Computer Sci 8.33

5 Chemical Eng 21.38 Astronomy 15.69 Chemistry 7.62

6 Astronomy 20.18 Computer Sci 14.41 Physical Sci 6.36

7 Math & Stat 19.60 Physical Sci 14.18 Physics 5.24

8 Engineering 16.94 Math & Stat 13.19 Math & Sci 4.56

9 Physical Sci 16.13 Civil Eng 11.50 Chemical Eng 4.37

10 Mechanical Eng 15.65 Engineering 11.17 Electrical Eng 3.85

11 Physics 11.15 Electrical Eng 9.84 Engineering 3.68

12 Electrical Eng 10.86 Physics 9.41 Civil Eng 3.52

13 Computer Sci 10.82 Mechanical Eng 8.89 Mechanical Eng 3.17

Departments are ranked b y NSF according to research expenditures in that discipline. Adapted from Science, Vol. 309, No. 5738, 19 August 2005 p. 1190. “More Women in Science” article by Jo Handelsman et al. According to AGU, the proportion of women earning Ph.D.s in the geosci ences in 2003 was 33%.

What we want from our leaders

Commitment to Excellence, Dedication, Integrity,Tenacity, Teamwork, Competence, Diligence, Ability to be Inspired

….and to Inspire

ucar leadership academy january 2007 tim killeen ncar director

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