turkish oilseeds &vegoils outlook september 09, 2014, hilton kiev, ukraine black sea oil...

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TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014, HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014 Sunseedman

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Page 1: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS

OUTLOOK

 September 09, 2014, HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE

BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

Sunseedman

Page 2: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

STRUCTURE OF PRESENTATION

1-Turkish AgriFacts

2 – Turkish Oilseeds Outlook

3- Turkish Vegoils Outlook

4 – 2014/15 Season Projections

5- Presentation Summary

Sunseedman

Page 3: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

Turkish AgriFacts

Source: www.fanack.com

Sunseedman

Page 4: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

POPULATION : 76.667.864 ( 2013 update )

TOTAL AREA : 783.562 km2

AGRICULTURAL AREA : 238.110 km2 ( 30% )

( 23.811 Thd Ha )

AGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT RATE : 25%

MAIN CROPS: Wheat ( 15-20 Mln T ), Sugar Beet ( 15-17 Mln T ), Barley ( 4–7 Mln T ), Corn ( 4-5 Mln T ), Cotton ( 2-3 Mln T ), Sunflower ( 1-1.5 Mln T ) and Paddy Rice ( 750 – 1.000 kmt ) etc.

Sunseedman

Page 5: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

TURKISH OILSEEDS OUTLOOK

Sunseedman

Page 6: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

TURKISH OILSEEDS PRODUCTION( 1000 TONS ) 2013/14 Season Crop Sizes

Sunseed 1500

Cottonseed 950

Soybean 130

Rapeseed 70 Safflowerseed 45

SunseedCottonseedSoybeanRapeseedSafflowerseed

Sunseedman

Page 7: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

IN 2013/14 SEASON;

TURKEY RAISED

APPROX. 2.7 MLN T OF OILSEEDS.

SUNFLOWERSEED WAS THE BIGGEST RAISED OILSEED

WITH 55% SHARE.Sunseedma

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Page 8: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

TURKISH OILSEEDS CRUSHINGS ( 1000 TONS )

2013/14 Season Crushings

Sunseed 2100

Cottonseed 950

Soy-bean 450

Rapeseed 200

Safflowerseed 45 Linseed/Camelina 100

2013/14 Season Crushings

Sunseed

Cottonseed

Soybean

Rapeseed

Safflowerseed

Linseed/Camelina

Sunseedman

Page 9: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

IN 2013/14 SEASON;

TURKEY CRUSHED

APPROX. 3.85 MLN T OF OILSEEDS.

SUNFLOWERSEED WAS THE BIGGEST CRUSHED OILSEED

WITH 55% SHARE.

Sunseedman

Page 10: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

TURKEY HAS AROUND

8.0 MLN TOF CRUSHING CAPACITY

BUT ONLY

HALF-CAPACITY USAGESunseedma

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Page 11: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

TURKISH OILSEEDS IMPORTS ( 1000 TONS )

Sunseed 710

Cottonseed 20

Soybean 1074

Rapeseed 137

Linseed/Camelina 100

Others 212013 Calendar Year

Sunseed

Cottonseed

Soybean

Rapeseed

Linseed/Camelina

Others

Sunseedman

Page 12: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

IN 2013 CALENDAR YEAR;

TURKEY IMPORTED

APPROX. 2.07 MLN T OF OILSEEDS.

AND PAID AROUND

1.27 MILLIARD USD

SOYBEANS WAS THE BIGGEST OILSEED WITH 52% SHARE.

Sunseedman

Page 13: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

IN 2013 CALENDAR YEAR;

MAJOR 3 ORIGINS AS PER OILSEEDS ;

SOYBEAN; USA, Paraguay, Ukraine

SUNSEED; Bulgaria, Moldova, Romania

RAPESEED; Bulgaria, Russia, Ukraine

COTTONSEED; Greece

LINSEED/CAMELINA; Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan

Sunseedman

Page 14: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

IN 2013 CALENDAR YEAR;

TURKEY EXPORTED

ALMOST NIL OF OILSEEDS

EXCEPT SOME HYBRID SALES AND

INSIGNIFICANT NEIGHBOOR PARTIES.

Sunseedman

Page 15: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

TURKISH VEGOILS

OUTLOOK

Sunseedman

Page 16: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

TURKISH VEGOILS PRODUCTION( 1000 TONS )

SunOil 875

CottonOil 130

SoyOil 80

RapeOil 80

LinOil 35SafflowerOil 15

CornOil 60

OliveOil 200 Hazelnut Oil 15

2013/14 Season Productions

SunOil

CottonOil

SoyOil

RapeOil

LinOil

SafflowerOil

CornOil

OliveOil

Hazelnut Oil

Sunseedman

Page 17: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

IN 2013/14 SEASON;

TURKEY PRODUCED

APPROX. 1.49 MLN T OF VEGOILS.

SUNOIL WAS THE MOST PRODUCED VEGOIL

WITH 60% SHARE.Sunseedma

n

Page 18: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

TURKISH LIQUID VEGOILS CONSUMPTION( 1000 TONS )

SunOil 950

CottonOil 45SoyOil 10

RapeOil 20

Hazelnut Oil 10

CornOil 60 OliveOil 125

2013/14 Season Consumptions

SunOil

CottonOil

SoyOil

RapeOil

Hazelnut Oil

CornOil

OliveOil

Sunseedman

Page 19: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

IN 2013/14 SEASON;

TURKEY CONSUMED

APPROX. 1.22 MLN T OF LIQUID VEGOILS.

SUNFLOWER OIL WAS THE MOST CONSUMED VEGOIL

WITH OVER 75% SHARE.Sunseedma

n

Page 20: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

TURKISH VEGOILS IMPORTS ( 1000 TONS )

SunOil 632

PalmOil 592

PalmKernelOil 93

CornOil 40 Soyoil 6 Others 28 2013 Calendar Year Imports

SunOilPalmOilPalmKernelOilCornOilSoyoilOthers

Sunseedman

Page 21: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

IN 2013 CALENDAR YEAR;

TURKEY IMPORTED

APPROX. 1.39 MLN T OF VEGOILS.

AND PAID AROUND

1.6 MILLIARD USD

SUNOIL WAS THE BIGGEST IMPORTED VEGOIL WITH 45% SHARE.

Sunseedman

Page 22: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

IN 2013 CALENDAR YEAR;

MAJOR 3 ORIGINS AS PER VEGOILS ;

SUNOIL; Russia, Ukraine, Bosnia-Herseq

PALMOIL; Indonesia, Malaysia

PALMKERNEL OIL; Indonesia, Malaysia

CORNOIL; USA, Spain, France

SOYOIL; Ukraine, Romania, USA

Sunseedman

Page 23: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

TURKISH VEGOILS EXPORTS ( 1000 TONS )

SunOil 569

CornOil 30

SoyOil 10

Others 9

OliveOil 922013 Calendar Year Exports

SunOilCornOilSoyOilOthersOliveOil

Sunseedman

Page 24: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

IN 2013 CALENDAR YEAR;

TURKEY EXPORTED

APPROX. 710 KMT OF VEGOILS.

AND GOT AROUND

1.18 MILLIARD USD

SUNOIL WAS THE BIGGEST EXPORTED VEGOIL WITH 80% SHARE.

Sunseedman

Page 25: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

IN 2013 CALENDAR YEAR;

MAJOR 3 DESTINATIONS AS PER VEGOILS ;

SUNOIL; Iraq, Syria, Lebanon

CORNOIL; Libya, Israel, Iran

SOYOIL; Turkish Cyprus, Iraq, Sudan

OLIVEOIL; USA, Spain, ItalySunseedma

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Page 26: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

MARGARINEIN 2013;

• TURKEY PRODUCED AROUND 725 KMT,

• TURKEY CONSUMED AROUND 570 KMT ( 415 KMT INDUSTRIAL, 115 KMT BREAKFAST, 40 KMT GHEE-TYPE )

• TURKEY EXPORTED AROUND 155 KMT

Source: MUMSAD

Sunseedman

Page 27: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

TURKEY HAS AROUND

4.0 MLN TOF REFINING CAPACITY

AND

1.0 MLN TOF MARGARINE CAPACITY

Sunseedman

Page 28: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

IMPORT DUTY RATESFOR MAJOR OILSEEDS/VEGOILS;

Sunseed, 27%, but not less than 216 $/mt ( 800 $/mt reference

price x 0.27 )

Soybean, 0%,Rapeseed, 10%,

Crude Sunoil, 36%,but not less than 540 $/mt ( 1.500 $/mt reference price x

0.36 )

Refined Sunoil, 50%, but not less than 1.000 $/mt ( 2.000 $/mt reference

price x 0.36 )

Other Vegoils, 31.2%

Sunseedman

Page 29: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

2014/15 SEASON PROJECTIONS

FOR

SUNSEED AND SUNOIL

Sunseedman

Page 30: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

TURKEY WILL RAISE 1.250 KMT OF SUNSEED NEW-CROP SIZE VS RECORD 1.500 KMT OF 2013/14

IN SPITE OF QUITE IDEAL SUMMER WEATHER

CONDITIONS. MAIN REASON OF CROP REDUCTION WAS BEING

LESS LUCRATIVE VS GRAINS, SO ACREAGE LOWERED TO 530 KHA

VS 690 KHA IN 2013/14 SEASON.

Sunseedman

Page 31: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

TURKISH LOCAL SUNOIL CONSUMPTION WILL

INCREASE TO AT LEAST 1.000 KMT VS 975 KMT ( 950 EDIBLE + 25 TECHNICAL ) OF 2013/14

WITH INCREASING POPULATION, MORE TOURISTS

( AROUND 35 MLN IN 2013 ) AND SOME SHIFTS FROM

OTHER VEGOILS. Sunseedma

n

Page 32: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

TURKISH SUNOIL EXPORTS WILL GET LOWER TO

AROUND 600 KMT VS 685 KMT ( 460 IRAQ + 225 OTHERS ) OF 2013/14WITH GEOPOLITICAL

CONFLICTS IN IRAQ AND SYRIA AND SO LESS

INTERNATIONAL TENDERS BY IRAQ GOVERNMENT.

Sunseedman

Page 33: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

FINAL BALANCETurkish Local Sunoil Consumption 1.000 kmt

Turkish Sunoil Exports 600 kmt

Total Sunoil Demand 1.600 kmt

Local Sunoil Production ( 1.250 kmt x 0.42 ) 525 kmtShortage 1.075 kmt

Such shortage will be met by Sunseed and Sunoil imports.

Sunseedman

Page 34: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

TURKISH SUNSEED IMPORTS WILL BE

AROUND 900 KMT VS 600 KMT OF 2013/14,

MAINLY FROM MOLDOVA AND PARTLY FROM

BULGARIA, ROMANIA, UKRAINE AND RUSSIA.

Sunseedman

Page 35: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

TURKISH SUNOIL IMPORTS WILL BE

AROUND 700 KMT VS 795 KMT OF 2013/14,MAINLY FROM RUSSIA

AND PARTLY FROM UKRAINE AND BOSNIA ( 0% IMPORT-DUTY )

Sunseedman

Page 36: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

PRESENTATION

SUMMARY

Sunseedman

Page 37: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

• Turkish Agricultural Employment Rate is around 25%.

• Sunflower is the most important oilseed of Turkey.

• Turkey is net importer for oilseeds and vegoils, so paid 2.87 Milliard USD totally ( even 3.68 Milliard USD including Oilmeals ) in 2013 calendar year.

• Turkey will raise 1.25 Mln T ( vs record 1.5 Mln T in 2013/14 ) of Sunseed new-crop size in 2014/15 season.

• Turkey will import 900 kmt ( vs 600 kmt in 2013/14 ) of Sunseed in 2014/15 season.

• Turkey will import 700 kmt ( vs record 795 kmt in 2013/14 ) of SunOil in 2014/15 season.

• Turkey will export 600 kmt ( vs record 685 kmt in 2013/14 ) of SunOil in 2014/15 season.

Sunseedman

Page 38: TURKISH OILSEEDS &VEGOILS OUTLOOK September 09, 2014,  HILTON KIEV, UKRAINE BLACK SEA OIL TRADE-2014

Great thanks

Sunseedman