tsunami simulation for the warning and risk evaluation the certificate program in tsunami science...

Tsunami Simulation for the warningTsunami Simulation for the warningand risk evaluationand risk evaluation

TThe Certificate Program in Tsunami Science and Preparednesshe Certificate Program in Tsunami Science and Preparedness..

HeldHeld at the University of Washington in Seattle, Washington (USA) at the University of Washington in Seattle, Washington (USA) , , DDuring July 21- August 2, 2007.uring July 21- August 2, 2007.

Tsunami Warning System

1. Estimating the occurrence of a tsunami by seismic information (magnitude, location and depth)

2. Data base of the simulation with assumptions

3. Real time analysis with the tentative fault model

4. Revision of the tentative fault model by the observation data



Accuracy of the simulation

Major causes of low accuracy induced by ;

- Initial source; location and slip

- Modeling and Geometry data



To reduce damage and casualties

The “Three Helps” of disaster measures

The people could not see the impact/terror of tsunami only by warning with the tsunami information; arrival time and heights.

They should understand its impact have the imagination before the tsunami attack through making hazards map and having workshop.

-Self help,

-Public help,

-Mutual help



Making the original hazard maps

• In the past, the map was provided by the local government but no use for the people

• Original information should be included

• Selecting the base map

• Collecting the information of risk

• Discussion what information be included

• Checking them by town-walking



AAcknowledgmentscknowledgments

•I would like to express my sincere gratitude and deep appreciation to ProfessProfessor Fumihiko Imamuraor Fumihiko Imamura, DCRC, Tohoku University, Professor Professor Yoshinobu Yoshinobu TsujiTsuji, , ERI, University of TokyoERI, University of Tokyo and Dr.Dr.Hiroyuki MatsumotoHiroyuki Matsumoto from JAMSTEC and Assoc. Professor Dr. Ahmet Cevdet Yalciner, Middle East Technical University, Civil Enigneering Department, Ocean Engineering Research Center, Ankara Turkey for their guidance, invaluable advice, supervision and material.



tsunami simulation for the warning and risk evaluation the certificate program in tsunami science...

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