Trends in the heating sector

Dana POPP

Public Affairs Manager

European Heating Industry

Eurogas – GERG – Marcogaz Workshop

24 June 2014

In this presentation:

• About the European Heating Industry

• Heating Europe’s buildings

• The EU policy framework – Evolution and impact

• Markets & technologies – Trends for the heating sector

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About EHI

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Heating Europe’s buildings

• Over 40% of the final energy consumption in

Europe takes place in buildings

• 85% of energy consumption in a building is

required for space heating and domestic hot

water (heating alone = 70%)

• More than 40% of residential buildings are built

before 1960s

• Out of 120 million central space heaters, around

65% are old and less efficient appliances

according to today’s standards

4

Heating Europe’s buildings:

A continuous evolution

2010

5

Non-condensing boilers 89%

Condensing boilers 10%

Heat pumps 1%

Other <1%

* Sources: Eurostat, Euroheat & Power, JRC IPTS Ecolabel Study

** Without biomass

Heating Europe’s buildings:

A continuous evolution

2012

6

* Source: EHI

Non-condensing boilers 64%

Condensing boilers 26%

Biomass boilers 6%

Heat pumps 2%

Other 1%

EU Policy Framework:

Evolution and impact

Energy Efficiency – back and forth…

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2020 Framework:

Ecodesign, EPBD, EED...

EE

2030 / 2050 Framework:

EE

Gas = transition fuel

Energy Security:

EE

Focus on gas

EU Policy Framework:

Evolution and impact

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“Electricity” 24

“Heating” 0 !!

“Gas” 55

EU Policy Framework:

Evolution and impact

9

“Electricity” 23

“Heating” 11

“Gas” 98

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Progress expected short/medium term:

• Ecodesign / Labelling: from 2015 gas condensing boiler

only as non-condensing boilers are replaced + promotion of

GHP & mCHP

• EPBD / NZEBs: decrease of heat demand in the residential

sector / shift in role of gas (adapted solutions + RES)

• Air quality: NOx, CO and particulate emissions limits

• EED: energy efficiency target + national heating and cooling

plans

• Gas quality harmonization: under analysis - adaptation of

heating appliances to diversity of gas supply (cost /

responsibility)

EU Policy Framework:

Evolution and impact

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Markets and technologies:

Trends for the heating sector

- Gas -

• Acceleration of condensing technology uptake

• Diversification of hybrid combinations

– Gas condensing boiler + solar thermal

– Gas condensing boiler + electric heat pump

– …

• Gas heat pumps: slow uptake

• Micro-CHP: slow update / barriers

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Markets and technologies:

Trends for the heating sector

2008

Gas non-condensing boilers30%

Gas condensing boilers54%

Oil boilers 8%

Heat pumps 6%

Biomass boilers 2%

Gas non-condensing boilers21%

Gas condensing boilers66%

Oil boilers 5%

Heat pumps 5%

Biomass boilers 2%

2013

2008 – 84% gas

2013 – 87% gas

2006 – highest sales

(6 mil. units)

2012 – lowest sales

(below 5 mil. units)

2013 – slight recovery

(over 5 mil. units)

* Source: EHI; 11 main markets (10 Western EU + CH)

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Markets and technologies:

Trends for the heating sector

- Other heating solutions -

• Recovery / growth of electric heat pumps

• Constant decrease of oil heating

• Current solar thermal decrease – uncertain future

• Promotion of biomass (+/- air quality vs. RES policy)

• Local space heating / mainly electric (low heat

demand)

• Increase of ventilation + heat recovery systems

• Promotion of district heating (policy momentum EED)

Thank you for your attention

Questions?

Contact EHI:

Dana POPP – dana.popp@ehi.eu

www.ehi.eu

EHIassociation

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