Trends in the heating sector
Dana POPP
Public Affairs Manager
European Heating Industry
Eurogas – GERG – Marcogaz Workshop
24 June 2014
In this presentation:
• About the European Heating Industry
• Heating Europe’s buildings
• The EU policy framework – Evolution and impact
• Markets & technologies – Trends for the heating sector
2
About EHI
3
Heating Europe’s buildings
• Over 40% of the final energy consumption in
Europe takes place in buildings
• 85% of energy consumption in a building is
required for space heating and domestic hot
water (heating alone = 70%)
• More than 40% of residential buildings are built
before 1960s
• Out of 120 million central space heaters, around
65% are old and less efficient appliances
according to today’s standards
4
Heating Europe’s buildings:
A continuous evolution
2010
5
Non-condensing boilers 89%
Condensing boilers 10%
Heat pumps 1%
Other <1%
* Sources: Eurostat, Euroheat & Power, JRC IPTS Ecolabel Study
** Without biomass
Heating Europe’s buildings:
A continuous evolution
2012
6
* Source: EHI
Non-condensing boilers 64%
Condensing boilers 26%
Biomass boilers 6%
Heat pumps 2%
Other 1%
EU Policy Framework:
Evolution and impact
Energy Efficiency – back and forth…
7
2020 Framework:
Ecodesign, EPBD, EED...
EE
2030 / 2050 Framework:
EE
Gas = transition fuel
Energy Security:
EE
Focus on gas
EU Policy Framework:
Evolution and impact
8
“Electricity” 24
“Heating” 0 !!
“Gas” 55
EU Policy Framework:
Evolution and impact
9
“Electricity” 23
“Heating” 11
“Gas” 98
10
Progress expected short/medium term:
• Ecodesign / Labelling: from 2015 gas condensing boiler
only as non-condensing boilers are replaced + promotion of
GHP & mCHP
• EPBD / NZEBs: decrease of heat demand in the residential
sector / shift in role of gas (adapted solutions + RES)
• Air quality: NOx, CO and particulate emissions limits
• EED: energy efficiency target + national heating and cooling
plans
• Gas quality harmonization: under analysis - adaptation of
heating appliances to diversity of gas supply (cost /
responsibility)
EU Policy Framework:
Evolution and impact
11
Markets and technologies:
Trends for the heating sector
- Gas -
• Acceleration of condensing technology uptake
• Diversification of hybrid combinations
– Gas condensing boiler + solar thermal
– Gas condensing boiler + electric heat pump
– …
• Gas heat pumps: slow uptake
• Micro-CHP: slow update / barriers
12
Markets and technologies:
Trends for the heating sector
2008
Gas non-condensing boilers30%
Gas condensing boilers54%
Oil boilers 8%
Heat pumps 6%
Biomass boilers 2%
Gas non-condensing boilers21%
Gas condensing boilers66%
Oil boilers 5%
Heat pumps 5%
Biomass boilers 2%
2013
2008 – 84% gas
2013 – 87% gas
2006 – highest sales
(6 mil. units)
2012 – lowest sales
(below 5 mil. units)
2013 – slight recovery
(over 5 mil. units)
* Source: EHI; 11 main markets (10 Western EU + CH)
13
Markets and technologies:
Trends for the heating sector
- Other heating solutions -
• Recovery / growth of electric heat pumps
• Constant decrease of oil heating
• Current solar thermal decrease – uncertain future
• Promotion of biomass (+/- air quality vs. RES policy)
• Local space heating / mainly electric (low heat
demand)
• Increase of ventilation + heat recovery systems
• Promotion of district heating (policy momentum EED)
Thank you for your attention
Questions?
Contact EHI:
Dana POPP – [email protected]
www.ehi.eu
EHIassociation
14
