time-slice tool for capturing the characteristics of intermittent renewables
TRANSCRIPT
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Time-slice tool for capturing the characteristics of intermittent
renewables
ETSAP Workshop Sophia AntipolisKris Poncelet
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25/11/2015
Project motivation
Intermittent renewables:
? Need for back-up capacity ?
? Curtailment ?
? Need for flexibility ?
? Role of storage and demand side ?
How to set-up the time-slices?
Endogenous decision making
Variability not captured by traditional approaches
Poncelet K., Delarue E., Six D.,
Duerinck J., D’haeseleer W.,
Impact of the level of temporal
and operational detail,
Applied energy, accepted October
2015
![Page 3: Time-slice tool for capturing the characteristics of intermittent renewables](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022030315/5880c32b1a28abba3b8b5f83/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
35/11/2015
Project motivation
Intermittent renewables:
? Need for back-up capacity ?
? Curtailment ?
? Need for flexibility ?
? Role of storage and demand side ?
How to set-up the time-slices?
Endogenous decision making
Variability not captured by traditional approaches
Poncelet K., Delarue E., Six D.,
Duerinck J., D’haeseleer W.,
Impact of the level of temporal
and operational detail,
Applied energy, accepted October
2015
![Page 4: Time-slice tool for capturing the characteristics of intermittent renewables](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022030315/5880c32b1a28abba3b8b5f83/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
45/11/2015
Project motivation
Intermittent renewables:
? Need for back-up capacity ?
? Curtailment ?
? Need for flexibility ?
? Role of storage and demand side ?
How to set-up the time-slices?
Endogenous decision making
Variability not captured by traditional approaches
Poncelet K., Delarue E., Six D.,
Duerinck J., D’haeseleer W.,
Impact of the level of temporal
and operational detail,
Applied energy, accepted October
2015
![Page 5: Time-slice tool for capturing the characteristics of intermittent renewables](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022030315/5880c32b1a28abba3b8b5f83/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
55/11/2015
Project motivation
Intermittent renewables:
? Need for back-up capacity ?
? Curtailment ?
? Need for flexibility ?
? Role of storage and demand side ?
How to set-up the time-slices?
Endogenous decision making
Variability not captured by traditional approaches
Poncelet K., Delarue E., Six D.,
Duerinck J., D’haeseleer W.,
Impact of the level of temporal
and operational detail,
Applied energy, accepted October
2015
![Page 6: Time-slice tool for capturing the characteristics of intermittent renewables](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022030315/5880c32b1a28abba3b8b5f83/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
65/11/2015
Different TS approachesIntegral Traditional
Poncelet K., Delarue E., Six D.,
Duerinck J., D’haeseleer W.,
Impact of the level of temporal
and operational detail,
Applied energy, accepted October
2015
![Page 7: Time-slice tool for capturing the characteristics of intermittent renewables](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022030315/5880c32b1a28abba3b8b5f83/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
75/11/2015
Integral increased # time slices
Integral Traditional
Different TS approaches
Poncelet K., Delarue E., Six D.,
Duerinck J., D’haeseleer W.,
Impact of the level of temporal
and operational detail,
Applied energy, accepted October
2015
![Page 8: Time-slice tool for capturing the characteristics of intermittent renewables](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022030315/5880c32b1a28abba3b8b5f83/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
85/11/2015
Integral increased # time slices
Integral with separate time slice level for RES availability
Integral Traditional
Different TS approaches
Poncelet K., Delarue E., Six D.,
Duerinck J., D’haeseleer W.,
Impact of the level of temporal
and operational detail,
Applied energy, accepted October
2015
![Page 9: Time-slice tool for capturing the characteristics of intermittent renewables](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022030315/5880c32b1a28abba3b8b5f83/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
95/11/2015
Integral increased # time slices
Integral with separate time slice level for RES availability
Representative days (12)
Integral Traditional
Different TS approaches
Poncelet K., Delarue E., Six D.,
Duerinck J., D’haeseleer W.,
Impact of the level of temporal
and operational detail,
Applied energy, accepted October
2015
![Page 10: Time-slice tool for capturing the characteristics of intermittent renewables](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022030315/5880c32b1a28abba3b8b5f83/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
105/11/2015
Results – 2 representative days
LOAD PV
WIND RESIDUAL LOAD
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115/11/2015
Results – 8 representative days
LOAD PV
WIND RESIDUAL LOAD
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125/11/2015
Results – 24 representative days
LOAD PV
WIND RESIDUAL LOAD
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135/11/2015
Endogenous trade-off between #days and resolution
Poncelet K., Höschle H., Delarue E., Duerinck J., D’haeseleer W.,
Selecting representative days for investment planning models,
TME Working paper,
http://www.mech.kuleuven.be/en/tme/research/energy_environment/Pdf/wpen
201510.pdf
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145/11/2015
Results – 2 representative days
LOAD PV
WIND RESIDUAL LOAD
24 time slices
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155/11/2015
Poncelet K., Höschle H., Delarue E., Duerinck J., D’haeseleer W.,
Selecting representative days for investment planning models,
TME Working paper,
http://www.mech.kuleuven.be/en/tme/research/energy_environment/Pdf/wpen
201510.pdf
Endogenous trade-off between #days and resolution
![Page 16: Time-slice tool for capturing the characteristics of intermittent renewables](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022030315/5880c32b1a28abba3b8b5f83/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
165/11/2015
Results – 8 representative days
LOAD PV
WIND RESIDUAL LOAD
288 time slices
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175/11/2015
Project deliverables
Time slice Tool:
Input:
Data for different time series (e.g., load, wind , PV, etc.)
Maximum number of time slices
Output:
(Number of time slices)
Weight (G_YRFR) of every time slice
Value for load (COM_FR) and RES (NCAP_AF) in every time slice
Figures of the approximation of the duration curve of every time series
Software:
Excel, Access, GAMS
To be made available on the ETSAP website
Manual for use of the tool
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185/11/2015
Cost and timeline
Draft version: May 2016, presented in Cork
Final version: ETSAP meeting autumn 2016
Estimated costs: €24850