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Theories of Urban Success Joseph Cortright

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Page 1: Theories_of_Urban_Success

Theories of Urban Success

Theories of Urban Success Joseph Cortright

Page 2: Theories_of_Urban_Success

Theories of Urban Success

Objective

Describe and appraise the principal theories ofurban success that are guiding efforts torevitalize U.S. metropolitan areas

Provide advice to policy makers on how to usethese theories in their cities

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Theories of Urban Success

Three Families of Theories

• Firms• People• Place

Page 4: Theories_of_Urban_Success

Theories of Urban Success

Theories of FirmsBusiness costs, productivity, industrystructure and factors of production all

influence economic opportunities

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Theories of Urban Success

Business Climate City

• Be the low-cost place to do business

• A persistent narrative

• Indexes and rankings

• Is my city the cheapest place? Do we want to bethe cheapest?

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Theories of Urban Success

Global City/Headquarters City

• Attract corporate headquarters

• Declining number of headquarters; the shrinkingrole of the headquarters operations in “lean”enterprises

• The “Global City” theory

• In a merging, converging world with fewerheadquarters, where can my city compete in thisdeclining market?

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Theories of Urban Success

Diversified City

• Develop an economic base less dependent onexisting specializations

• An analogy to portfolio theory

• Size, diversity and stability are inter-correlated

• Is diversification a plausible strategy?

Page 8: Theories_of_Urban_Success

Theories of Urban Success

Technology and Transport City

• Improve infrastructure

• Some cities are transport hubs

• When is additional infrastructure disruptive, andwhen is it marginal?

• Does my city have a true competitive edge in itstechnology or transport infrastructure?

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Theories of Urban Success

Government City• Develop activities that compete well for federal funds

• Federal government is 20 percent of GDP– Key industries (Defense) ‏– Research (NIH and Biotechnology)‏– Entitlement programs

• State government is important in some cities, especiallystate capitals

• What role does government spending play in my city’seconomic growth?

Page 10: Theories_of_Urban_Success

Theories of Urban Success

Cluster City

• Develop industry clusters

• A tool for understanding economic structure

• Developing existing clusters

• Cluster “wannabes”

• What are the distinctive industry clusters inwhich my city is highly competitive?

Page 11: Theories_of_Urban_Success

Theories of Urban Success

Entrepreneurial City

• Encourage innovation and entrepreneurship• Cities foster creativity and innovation (Jane

Jacob’s “new work”)• Is my city successful at spawning and growing

start-up companies?

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Theories of Urban Success

Theories of People

Skills, demography and socialinteractions shape urban economic

prosperity

Page 13: Theories_of_Urban_Success

Theories of Urban Success

Human Capital City

• Develop skills, attract talent

• Three distinct components

– Local education infrastructure

– Skill enhancement in cities

– Attracting (or losing) talent

• How does my city invest in talent and attracttalented workers?

Page 14: Theories_of_Urban_Success

Theories of Urban Success

Human Capital Matters

Education Drives Metro Prosperity

y = 11378Ln(x) + 37906

R2 = 0.6318

15,000

17,000

19,000

21,000

23,000

25,000

27,000

29,000

31,000

33,000

15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0%

4-Year College Attainment Rate

Source: Impresa calculations, Census Bureau data, 2000

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Theories of Urban Success

Gateway City (Immigration)‏• Open to immigrants

• Immigration is a generally positive force forcities

– Drives population growth

– Raises wages

– Entrepreneurship and innovation

• What role do immigrants play in my city’seconomic growth?

Page 16: Theories_of_Urban_Success

Theories of Urban Success

Open/Connected City

• Encourage a well-connected populace

• Aspects of social capital

– Loose-ties and bridging

– Risk-taking

– Tolerance and diversity

• Is my city a place that bridges the diversity of itspopulation?

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Theories of Urban Success

Creative City

• Provide a fertile environment for creative people• Creative workers contribute to the productive

efficiency of cities, to their amenities and to civiclife

• Does my city encourage and support a widerange of creatives?

Page 18: Theories_of_Urban_Success

Theories of Urban Success

Sorting City

• Develop a demographic niche

• Trends toward increasing polarization andsorting of population on socio-economic andpolitical lines

• Superstar cities vs. second tier cities vs. ruralcommunities

• What demographic groups find my city mostappealing?

Page 19: Theories_of_Urban_Success

Theories of Urban Success

Theories of Place

Aspects of place—location, the naturaland built environment, and location-

specific amenities—influenceeconomic opportunities

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Theories of Urban Success

Icon City• Develop signature assets

• What makes my city distinctive?

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Theories of Urban Success

Amenity City

• Create or improve public goods for residents

• A catchall for many kinds of public investments

• Amenities include

– Local education

– Safety

• What role do amenities play in my city’s “valueproposition?”

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Theories of Urban Success

Consumer City• Better meet the needs of consumers for private goods

• Most jobs in city economies cater to demand from localresidents

• There are important variations in taste among places

• Differences in consumption opportunities influencetalent attraction and innovation

• Does my city have a diverse and competitive set ofconsumer opportunities--shops, services andexperiences--for all of its residents and neighborhoods?

Page 23: Theories_of_Urban_Success

Theories of Urban Success

Green City

• Emphasize sustainability, environmental quality

• Denser places have a smaller carbon footprint

• Environmental ethic attracts talent

• Sustainable industries may be a source of futureeconomic growth

• Is my city a leader in sustainability? Can weleverage this to our economic benefit?

Page 24: Theories_of_Urban_Success

Theories of Urban Success

Distinctive City• Accentuate distinctive characteristics of local culture

and place

• Porter’s dictum: Strategy is about differentiation

• Every region has unique local habits, activities, tastesand events.

• Can my city build on specific characteristics and a “senseof place” to influence economic development?

Page 25: Theories_of_Urban_Success

Theories of Urban Success

“Megapolitan” City• Connect to a bigger region

• A new scale for “cities”?

• The connections that bind mega-regions together:

– Transportation

– Economic base

• What advantages can my city gain from strengtheningconnections with other metros?

Page 26: Theories_of_Urban_Success

Theories of Urban Success

Mega-regions

Page 27: Theories_of_Urban_Success

Theories of Urban Success

Advice to Policy Makers

• Set clear goals

• Think of theories as a color palette

• Cities have common problems but differentopportunities

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Theories of Urban Success

Lessons for Policy

• There’s a difference between theory and practice

• Your mileage may vary

• Sharp turns ahead

• One-hit wonders

• Timing matters

• Beware of following fads