the weekly wrap-up 22nd december 2017reports.progressiveshares.com/researchreports/wc... ·...

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DOMESTIC: Warburg close to buying 49% stake in CAMS Aurobindo, Dr Reddy's Laboratories frontrunners to buy out bankrupt Orchid Pharma Raymond sets up Rs250cr linen manufacturing plant in Maharashtra PVR to open first screen in Sri Lanka in 2 years Govt. approves Dish TV merger with Videocond2h Sterlite Power bags USD800mn transmission project in Brazil Suzlon Energy wins 252MW wind power projects Dr Reddy’s arm settles case with US govt for USD5mn CCI clears IndusInd-Bharat Financial merger KEC International wins new orders worth Rs2,424cr Tata Steel sets eyes on raising Rs12,800cr via rights issue NCLT orders insolvency proceedings against Ruchi Soya Edelweiss in talks to buy Religare’s broking arm HDFC sells 6.3% in CAMS to Warburg Pincus arm for Rs210cr Indian Hume Pipe bags orders worth Rs257.26cr TCS wins record USD2.25bn Nielsen outsourcing contract Dalmia Bharat to acquire bankrupt Murli Industries Sun Pharma recalls two batches of diabetic drug from US market IVRCL to sell 2 road assets for Rs725cr ABB India wins Rs134cr order from railways Dilip Buildcon bags two EPC projects worth Rs518cr Havells makes debut in water purifier segment Reliance Jio Infocomm emerge as front runner to acquire the assets of RCom HDFC Bank to raise Rs24000cr Canara Bank to sell 4% stake in Canfin Homes Zydus Pharma gets USFDA nod for hypertension drug ECONOMY: Indian Economy will benefit from global upswing: Arun Jaitley RBI’s Financial Stability Report: ‘NPAs may rise to 10.8% in March 2018, 11.1% by Sept’ INDUSTRY: Auto industry seeks two GST rates for passenger vehicles NPPA notifies prices of 65 essential formulations Govt may allow 100% FDI in telecom via automatic route SIAM proposes to sell only electric vehicles in India 2G Scam: No Evidence. No Scam. No one Guilty Railways revises down rail tender to 4.87 LT; SAIL to provide remaining quantity TM THE WEEKLY WRAP-UP 22nd December 2017 The week that went by: The week started sharply lower on indications that BJP was leading in elections but with small margins. After the knee jerk, there was recovery seen in the markets ending on a positive note. The rally continued the next day of trade as well backed by positive global cues. There was volatility witnessed midweek with a positive and negative swing seen. After the negative moves, the last day of the week saw a positive opening for the markets. Weekly Sectoral Gainers & Losers in (%) Price Performance (%) Company 1M 3M 12M Supreme Petrochem Ltd 4.9% -0.7% 105.5% Shanthi Gears Ltd 15.9% 26.4% 49.3% Hind Rectifiers Ltd 7.0% -0.2% 50.2% KCP Ltd 13.2% 18.5% 68.1% Harita Seating System Ltd 1.1% 22.9% 40.9% Hester Biosciences Ltd 48.3% 57.8% 125.0% Rallis India Ltd 12.8% 19.3% 32.1% The Hi-Tech Gears Ltd 39.7% 64.4% 93.4% Bharat Bijlee Ltd 33.9% 19.2% 78.6% TNPL 18.9% 21.2% 29.7% Triveni Turbines Ltd -7.7% -1.3% 12.1% Siemens Ltd 3.4% -9.7% 13.3% Hikal Ltd -1.3% 10.8% 15.6% Aksh Optifibre Ltd 9.2% 43.5% 47.4% GMM Pfaudler Ltd 25.2% 19.1% 39.2% Alicon Castalloy Ltd 5.3% 17.4% 84.3% Premier Explosives Ltd 7.1% 2.2% 32.0% Gufic Biosciences Ltd 39.7% 67.6% 125.6% Excel Industries Ltd 4.1% 51.3% 90.8% Vesuvius India Ltd 10.3% 8.5% 24.3% Munjal Showa Ltd 6.0% 10.1% 51.3% Bharat Rasayan Ltd 22.2% 38.7% 121.8% Alkyl Amines Chemicals Ltd 8.4% 49.6% 121.6% Grauer and Weil (India) Ltd 14.7% 8.9% 128.8% Texmaco Rails & Engineering Ltd 0.0% 11.3% -1.6% Nagarjuna Agrichem Ltd 28.6% 36.0% 165.6% Simplex Infrastructures Ltd 3.2% 22.5% 94.6% Sadhana Nitrochem Ltd 48.0% 35.7% 228.4% ITD Cementation India Ltd 1.1% 26.4% 46.4% Westlife Development Ltd 16.7% 42.0% 120.2% Federal Mogul Goetze (India) Ltd 5.7% 6.5% 12.7% Cupid Limited 13.8% 7.1% -0.7% Dynamatic Technologies Ltd 5.6% -1.0% -22.5% Hitech Corporation Ltd 5.0% -1.1% 16.6% NRB Bearings Ltd 24.6% 42.1% 60.7% Kokuyo Camlin Ltd 37.2% 54.2% 76.4% Timken India Ltd 4.6% 18.7% 52.7% Indian Hume Pipe Co. Ltd -2.3% -13.0% 155.2% Engineers India Ltd 12.8% 33.8% 29.6% TRIL 34.9% 35.0% 25.6% Gulshan Polyols Ltd 5.2% 7.3% 12.7% Nesco 2.9% 0.1% 39.7% Castrol India Ltd 3.8% 7.3% 11.0%

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Page 1: THE WEEKLY WRAP-UP 22nd December 2017reports.progressiveshares.com/ResearchReports/WC... · 2017-12-22 · NCLT orders insolvency proceedings against Ruchi Soya Edelweiss in talks

DOMESTIC:

Warburg close to buying 49% stake in CAMS

Aurobindo, Dr Reddy's Laboratories frontrunners to buy out

bankrupt Orchid Pharma

Raymond sets up Rs250cr linen manufacturing plant in

Maharashtra

PVR to open first screen in Sri Lanka in 2 years

Govt. approves Dish TV merger with Videocond2h

Sterlite Power bags USD800mn transmission project in Brazil

Suzlon Energy wins 252MW wind power projects

Dr Reddy’s arm settles case with US govt for USD5mn

CCI clears IndusInd-Bharat Financial merger

KEC International wins new orders worth Rs2,424cr

Tata Steel sets eyes on raising Rs12,800cr via rights issue

NCLT orders insolvency proceedings against Ruchi Soya

Edelweiss in talks to buy Religare’s broking arm

HDFC sells 6.3% in CAMS to Warburg Pincus arm for Rs210cr

Indian Hume Pipe bags orders worth Rs257.26cr TCS wins record USD2.25bn Nielsen outsourcing contract

Dalmia Bharat to acquire bankrupt Murli Industries

Sun Pharma recalls two batches of diabetic drug from US market

IVRCL to sell 2 road assets for Rs725cr ABB India wins Rs134cr order from railways

Dilip Buildcon bags two EPC projects worth Rs518cr Havells makes debut in water purifier segment

Reliance Jio Infocomm emerge as front runner to acquire the

assets of RCom HDFC Bank to raise Rs24000cr

Canara Bank to sell 4% stake in Canfin Homes

Zydus Pharma gets USFDA nod for hypertension drug

ECONOMY:

Indian Economy will benefit from global upswing: Arun Jaitley

RBI’s Financial Stability Report: ‘NPAs may rise to 10.8% in

March 2018, 11.1% by Sept’

INDUSTRY:

Auto industry seeks two GST rates for passenger vehicles

NPPA notifies prices of 65 essential formulations

Govt may allow 100% FDI in telecom via automatic route

SIAM proposes to sell only electric vehicles in India

2G Scam: No Evidence. No Scam. No one Guilty

Railways revises down rail tender to 4.87 LT; SAIL to provide

remaining quantity

TM

THE WEEKLY WRAP-UP 22nd December 2017

The week that went by: The week started sharply lower on indications

that BJP was leading in elections but with small

margins. After the knee jerk, there was recovery

seen in the markets ending on a positive note.

The rally continued the next day of trade as well

backed by positive global cues. There was

volatility witnessed midweek with a positive and

negative swing seen. After the negative moves,

the last day of the week saw a positive opening

for the markets.

Weekly Sectoral Gainers & Losers in (%)

Price Performance (%)

Company 1M 3M 12M

Supreme Petrochem Ltd 4.9% -0.7% 105.5%

Shanthi Gears Ltd 15.9% 26.4% 49.3%

Hind Rectifiers Ltd 7.0% -0.2% 50.2%

KCP Ltd 13.2% 18.5% 68.1%

Harita Seating System Ltd 1.1% 22.9% 40.9%

Hester Biosciences Ltd 48.3% 57.8% 125.0%

Rallis India Ltd 12.8% 19.3% 32.1%

The Hi-Tech Gears Ltd 39.7% 64.4% 93.4%

Bharat Bijlee Ltd 33.9% 19.2% 78.6%

TNPL 18.9% 21.2% 29.7%

Triveni Turbines Ltd -7.7% -1.3% 12.1%

Siemens Ltd 3.4% -9.7% 13.3%

Hikal Ltd -1.3% 10.8% 15.6%

Aksh Optifibre Ltd 9.2% 43.5% 47.4%

GMM Pfaudler Ltd 25.2% 19.1% 39.2%

Alicon Castalloy Ltd 5.3% 17.4% 84.3%

Premier Explosives Ltd 7.1% 2.2% 32.0%

Gufic Biosciences Ltd 39.7% 67.6% 125.6%

Excel Industries Ltd 4.1% 51.3% 90.8%

Vesuvius India Ltd 10.3% 8.5% 24.3%

Munjal Showa Ltd 6.0% 10.1% 51.3%

Bharat Rasayan Ltd 22.2% 38.7% 121.8%

Alkyl Amines Chemicals Ltd 8.4% 49.6% 121.6%

Grauer and Weil (India) Ltd 14.7% 8.9% 128.8%

Texmaco Rails & Engineering Ltd 0.0% 11.3% -1.6%

Nagarjuna Agrichem Ltd 28.6% 36.0% 165.6%

Simplex Infrastructures Ltd 3.2% 22.5% 94.6%

Sadhana Nitrochem Ltd 48.0% 35.7% 228.4%

ITD Cementation India Ltd 1.1% 26.4% 46.4%

Westlife Development Ltd 16.7% 42.0% 120.2%

Federal Mogul Goetze (India) Ltd 5.7% 6.5% 12.7%

Cupid Limited 13.8% 7.1% -0.7%

Dynamatic Technologies Ltd 5.6% -1.0% -22.5%

Hitech Corporation Ltd 5.0% -1.1% 16.6%

NRB Bearings Ltd 24.6% 42.1% 60.7%

Kokuyo Camlin Ltd 37.2% 54.2% 76.4%

Timken India Ltd 4.6% 18.7% 52.7%

Indian Hume Pipe Co. Ltd -2.3% -13.0% 155.2%

Engineers India Ltd 12.8% 33.8% 29.6%

TRIL 34.9% 35.0% 25.6%

Gulshan Polyols Ltd 5.2% 7.3% 12.7%

Nesco 2.9% 0.1% 39.7%

Castrol India Ltd 3.8% 7.3% 11.0%

Page 2: THE WEEKLY WRAP-UP 22nd December 2017reports.progressiveshares.com/ResearchReports/WC... · 2017-12-22 · NCLT orders insolvency proceedings against Ruchi Soya Edelweiss in talks

TM

*Castrol, Vesuvius, ITD Cementation– Dec Ending | Siemens—Sept ending|

Recommendations adjusted as per Corporate Actions

Company Reco Target Corp Action Adj Price Adj Tgt Price Appreciation

IHP Ltd 341 600 Bonus 1 : 1. 171 600 163%

Engineers India Ltd 211 200 Bonus 1 : 1. 106 200 93%

Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Ltd 300 450 Stock Split from Rs.FV 10 to Rs.FV 1. 30 40 42%

Gulshan Polyols Ltd 390 500 Stock Split from Rs.FV 5 to Rs.FV 1. 78 110 12%

Nesco Ltd 2397 3200 Stock Split from Rs.FV 10 to Rs.FV 2. 479 640 9%

Castrol India Ltd 447 550 Bonus 1 : 1 223 275 -10%

Coverage Universe Valuations

Company Reco Adj

Reco

CMP Tgt price Upside Mcap EPS PE(x) EV/EBITDA (x)

(Rs) (Rs) (Rs) (%) (Rs bn) FY17 FY18E FY17 FY18E FY17 FY18E

IHP Ltd BUY 171 450 600 39.8 20.8 18.4 25.5 23.4 16.8 40.3 43.6

Engineers India Ltd BUY 106 205 200 9.3 61.7 4.8 4.7 38.0 39.0 9.4 16.3

Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Ltd BUY 30 43 40 16.4 0.5 4.9 4.9 3.5 2.3 4.9 4.9

Gulshan Polyols Ltd BUY 78 87 110 38.4 3.7 5.9 6.4 13.4 12.4 8.1 7.1

Nesco Ltd BUY 479 509 640 22.4 7.4 120.2 137.5 4.4 3.8 17.2 14.4

Castrol India Ltd BUY 223 201 275

Coverage Universe Valuations

Company Reco Reco at CMP Tgt price Upside Mcap EPS PE(x) EV/EBITDA (x)

(Rs) (Rs) (Rs) (%) (Rs bn) FY17 FY18E FY17 FY18E FY17 FY18E

Supreme Petrochem Ltd BUY 77 380 500 31.5 36.7 18.6 19.9 20.5 19.1 12.0 11.4

Shanthi Gears Ltd BUY 107 167 200 19.8 13.6 2.8 3.1 60.6 54.1 38.3 33.6

Hind Rectifiers Ltd BUY 69 127 175 37.9 1.9 -4.5 0.5 -119.6 249.9 47.6 32.2

KCP Limited BUY 71 138 150 8.6 17.8 3.6 4.6 60.9 37.9 14.5 12.5

Harita Seating System Ltd BUY 266 950 1150 21.1 7.4 32.4 34.5 29.3 27.5 26.8 22.4

Hester Biosciences Ltd BUY 565 1630 1500 -8.0 13.9 29.2 34.2 55.7 55.0 34.5 29.3

Rallis India Ltd BUY 181 258 300 16.2 50.2 15.3 11.2 29.0 23.0 19.2 16.1

The Hitech Gears Ltd BUY 298 570 600 5.2 10.7 10.9 11.1 52.5 52.3 21.9 19.2

Bharat Bijlee Ltd BUY 787 1361 2000 47.0 7.7 34.7 39.3 39.2 34.6 51.2 30.9

Tamil Nadu Newsprint & Papers Ltd BUY 224 430 450 4.7 29.8 38.2 36.6 11.2 11.8 23.7 22.6

Triveni Turbines Ltd BUY 92 130 175 34.6 0.4 3.5 3.6 36.9 35.8 26.2 24.6

Siemens Ltd BUY 1128 1231 1500 21.9 438.2 9.1 10.0 135.4 123.3 41.4 92.4

Hikal Ltd BUY 143 243 325 33.9 19.9 8.1 8.7 29.9 27.9 12.3 11.3

Aksh Optifibre Ltd BUY 15 35 45 26.9 5.8 3.4 5.5 10.4 6.5 6.8 4.9

GMM Pfaudler Ltd BUY 332 732 800 9.2 10.7 19.3 21.1 37.9 34.7 26.0 23.8

Alicon Castalloy Ltd BUY 288 627 750 19.7 7.7 21.4 24.1 29.3 26.0 11.3 10.0

Premier Explosives Ltd BUY 350 445 600 35.0 4.0 16.6 15.3 26.8 29.1 15.0 12.2

Gufic Biosciences Ltd BUY 50 125 100 -20.0 9.6 1.5 2.0 84.9 62.6 37.6 28.5

Excel Industries Ltd BUY 380 640 800 25.0 8.3 35.8 25.1 17.9 25.5 20.6 13.3

Vesuvius India Ltd BUY 1165 1299 1500 15.5 26.0 49.0 65.0 26.5 20.0 14.4 11.7

Munjal Showa Ltd BUY 191 283 300 6.0 11.3 14.1 15.1 20.0 18.7 11.9 11.4

Bharat Rasayan Ltd BUY 2747 3870 4250 9.8 16.3 128.1 141.2 30.2 27.4 15.9 14.3

Alkyl Amines Chemicals Ltd BUY 391 644 700 8.7 13.1 24.3 29.2 26.5 22.1 15.4 14.6

Grauer and Weil (India) Ltd BUY 45 72 80 11.7 16.2 2.3 2.3 31.7 30.6 18.0 17.6

Texmaco Rails & Engineering Ltd BUY 91 111 170 52.8 20.2 1.5 2.7 72.7 41.4 47.1 29.1

Nagarjuna Agrichem Ltd BUY 29 59 60 1.5 9.2 2.3 0.9 25.5 67.4 18.3 16.9

Simplex Infrastructures Ltd BUY 540 576 700 21.5 20.2 24.3 30.5 23.7 18.9 5.6 4.8

Sadhana Nitrochem Ltd BUY 67 94 100 6.8 0.9 2.5 5.5 38.0 17.0 13.3 10.6

ITD Cementation India Ltd BUY 158 209 225 7.5 32.5 4.8 2.9 43.7 71.7 15.6 21.9

Westlife Development Ltd BUY 266 337 425 26.1 52.4 -0.8 0.3 -431.9 986.8 115.4 69.7

Federal Mogul Goetze (India) Ltd BUY 540 536 750 39.9 29.8 12.9 15.7 41.4 34.0 17.1 15.5

Cupid Limited BUY 286 291 340 16.7 3.2 18.5 23.4 15.7 12.5 9.4 7.9

Dynamatic Technologies Ltd BUY 2160 2148 3000 39.7 13.6 23.0 30.4 52.7 67.7 11.2 11.1

Hitech Corporation Ltd BUY 175 181 230 27.2 3.1 6.9 7.2 25.4 24.2 9.7 8.5

NRB Bearings Ltd BUY 138 172 200 16.3 16.7 5.3 5.5 26.4 25.0 15.0 14.4

Kokuyo Camlin Ltd BUY 132 141 175 24.0 14.2 0.1 0.3 1491.0 562.9 69.0 59.4

Timken India Ltd BUY 883 892 1200 34.5 60.7 14.3 15.1 62.4 58.9 38.3 33.3

Page 3: THE WEEKLY WRAP-UP 22nd December 2017reports.progressiveshares.com/ResearchReports/WC... · 2017-12-22 · NCLT orders insolvency proceedings against Ruchi Soya Edelweiss in talks

TM

Calls Closed

Company Reco Reco at Closed price Company Reco Reco at Closed price

(Rs) (Rs) (Rs) (Rs)

KEC International Ltd BUY 140 240 Mukand Engineers Ltd BUY 33 56

Rajoo Engineers Ltd BUY 15 30 Camlin Fine Chemicals Ltd BUY 111 87

Omkar Speciality Chemicals Ltd BUY 162 90 West Coast Paper Mills Ltd BUY 67 187

Navneet Education Ltd BUY 96 159 GEE Limited BUY 33 44.5

MM Forgings Limited BUY 607 856

*Omkar: Spin off

*Castrol, Vesuvius, ITD Cementation– Dec Ending | Siemens—Sept ending|

Recommendations adjusted as per Corporate Actions

Company Reco Target Corp Action Adj Price Adj Tgt Price Appreciation

IHP Ltd 341 600 Bonus 1 : 1. 171 600 163%

Engineers India Ltd 211 200 Bonus 1 : 1. 106 200 93%

Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Ltd 300 450 Stock Split from Rs.FV 10 to Rs.FV 1. 30 45 42%

Gulshan Polyols Ltd 390 500 Stock Split from Rs.FV 5 to Rs.FV 1. 78 140 12%

Nesco Ltd 2397 3200 Stock Split from Rs.FV 10 to Rs.FV 2. 479 640 9%

Castrol India Ltd 447 550 Bonus 1 : 1. 223 275 -10%

Coverage Performance Sheet

Company Reco at CLS Target Price (Rs) Appreciation

(Rs) (Rs) Target 1 Target 2 Target 3 Target 4 Target 5 Target 6 Target 7 (%)

Supreme Petrochem Ltd 77 380 120 150 200 275 350 500 - 394%

Shanthi Gears Ltd 107 167 150 200 - - - - - 56%

Hind Rectifiers Ltd 69 127 110 140 175 - - - - 84%

KCP Limited 71 138 105 150 - - - - - 95%

Harita Seating System Ltd 266 950 400 600 750 900 1150 257%

Hester Biosciences Ltd 565 1630 750 875 1150 1500 - - - 188%

Rallis India Ltd 181 258 260 300 - - - - - 43%

The Hitech Gears Ltd 298 570 450 600 - - - - - 91%

Bharat Bijlee Ltd 787 1361 1100 1500 2000 - - - - 73%

Tamil Nadu Newsprint & Papers Ltd 224 430 350 450 - - - - - 92%

Triveni Turbines Ltd 92 130 135 175 - - - - - 41%

Siemens Ltd 1128 1231 1500 - - - - - - 9%

Hikal Ltd 143 243 200 250 325 - - - - 70%

Aksh Optifibre Ltd 15 35 24 35 45 - - - - 136%

GMM Pfaudler Ltd 332 732 500 700 800 - - - - 121%

Alicon Castalloy Ltd 288 627 450 600 750 - - - - 118%

Premier Explosives Ltd 350 445 450 525 - - - - - 27%

Gufic Biosciences Ltd 50 125 75 100 - - - - - 150%

Excel Industries Ltd 380 640 550 650 800 - - - - 68%

Vesuvius India Ltd 1165 1299 1500 - - - - - - 11%

Munjal Showa Ltd 191 283 250 300 - - - - - 48%

Bharat Rasayan Ltd 2747 3870 3500 4250 - - - - - 41%

Alkyl Amines Chemicals Ltd 391 644 550 700 - - - - - 65%

Grauer and Weil (India) Ltd 45 72 65 80 - - - - - 59%

Texmaco Rails & Engineering Ltd 91 111 125 170 - - - - - 22%

Nagarjuna Agrichem Ltd 29 59 45 60 - - - - - 104%

Simplex Infrastructures Ltd 540 576 700 - - - - - - 7%

Sadhana Nitrochem Ltd 67 94 100 - - - - - - 40%

ITD Cementation India Ltd 158 209 225 - - - - - - 33%

Westlife Development Ltd 266 337 350 425 - - - - - 27%

Federal Mogul Goetze (India) Ltd 540 536 750 - - - - - - -1%

Cupid Limited 286 291 340 - - - - - - 2%

Dynamatic Technologies Ltd 2160 2148 3000 - - - - - - -1%

Hitech Corporation Ltd 175 181 230 - - - - - - 3%

NRB Bearings Ltd 138 172 200 - - - - - - 25%

Kokuyo Camlin Ltd 132 141 175 - - - - - - 7%

Timken India Ltd 883 892 1200 - - - - - - 1%

Page 4: THE WEEKLY WRAP-UP 22nd December 2017reports.progressiveshares.com/ResearchReports/WC... · 2017-12-22 · NCLT orders insolvency proceedings against Ruchi Soya Edelweiss in talks

Coverage News:

Rallis India gets revision in ratings for bank facilities

Rallis India announced that CRISIL has assigned CRISIL AA+/Stable long term rating

for the Company's bank facilities of Rs180.5cr. This is an upgrade from

the CRISIL AA/ Positive rating assigned earlier. The short term rating for

the bank facilities of Rs179.5cr remains at CRISIL A1+.

Our comments:

This would be a positive indication for the company.

Indian Hume Pipe bags orders worth Rs257.26cr Indian Hume Pipe Company has secured 3 work orders aggregating to Rs257.26cr

from Bengaluru Water Supply and Sewerage Board under Atal Mission for

Rejuvenation and Urban Transformation (AMRUT). The company’s order book to get

boost with this order and would provide revenue visibility and improve its cash flows

over coming years.

Our comments:

With the government focus on water supply, irrigation and infrastructure spending, the

company stands strong to bag more such orders going forward.

Target Price Revision: Hester Biosciences Limited:

We had initiated Buy on the stock with a target price of Rs1500 which has been

achieved. We recommend booking 20% of profits and further revise the target to

Rs1750 over a 12 months horizon.

Target Price Revision: Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Limited:

We had initiated Buy on the stock with the adjusted target price of Rs40 which has

been achieved. We further revise the target to Rs55 over a 12 months horizon.

Fundamental Pick of the month:

Timken India Limited: Timken India Limited (Timken) was incorporated in 1987 as Tata Timken Limited

(TTL), a joint venture between Tata Iron and Steel Company (TISCO) and The

Timken Company of USA, a world leader in tapered roller bearings. Both the

companies held 40% stake in the Joint Venture, however in 1999, The Timken

Company of USA acquired the stake from TISCO and changed the name of the

company to Timken India Limited. Timken India Limited (Timken), subsidiary of

Timken Company is a market leader in tapered roller bearings and components in India

and holds the distinction of being the only indigenous manufacturer of freight

application bearings for railways in the listed entity. It provides roller bearings which

are used in locomotives, engines, wagons, passenger coaches and wheels. The

manufacturing facility of the company is at Jamshedpur with the extended service

footprint in Raipur. Timken has led the industry with significant breakthroughs in the

bearing technology. Timken offers friction management solutions that maximize

performance, fuel-efficiency and equipment life. Wherever parts move and turn,

Timken products and services can make things run a little smoother, safer and more

efficiently. The company has Mr. Sanjay Koul as the Chairman and Managing director.

Outlook and recommendations:

The rising government spending in the railway space, healthy balance sheet and

improving profitability are some of the strong positives for the company. With the

ramp up in production capacity and acquisition of ABC bearing, the company is well

placed and equipped to tap the demand in the sectors of railways and commercial

vehicles. Further with IRIS certification, company is well poised to cater to European

rail. On the basis of peer comparison, company is trading at 2.6 times of its Price to

Book as against industry average of 4.3 times. At CMP of Rs883, the stock is trading at

58.3x FY18E earnings. Betting on the anticipated growth in the industry and

opportunities which Timken serves, we initiate a BUY on the stock with a target price

of Rs1200 with a 12 months perspective.

TM

Positive revisions for Rallis

Target Price Revisions

Fundamental pick of the

month

Orders for IHP

Page 5: THE WEEKLY WRAP-UP 22nd December 2017reports.progressiveshares.com/ResearchReports/WC... · 2017-12-22 · NCLT orders insolvency proceedings against Ruchi Soya Edelweiss in talks

Castrol India The Board of Directors of Castrol India at its meeting held on 07 November 2017 had

recommended issue of Bonus Shares 1:1 to the shareholders of the Company. The

same has been approved by the shareholders through postal ballot on 16th December,

2017. The ex-date and record date has been fixed as 21st & 23rd December,2017

respectively.

Our comments

The price has been adjusted for Bonus on 21st December,2017. We therefore adjust

our initiation price to Rs224 and target price to Rs275.

ECONOMY:

Indian Economy will benefit from global upswing: Arun Jaitley Finance Minister Arun Jaitley exuded confidence that the upward movement of the

global economy will also help India which has been growing at the "new normal"

growth rate of 7-8%. The global economy is expected to grow by 3.6% in 2017 and

3.7% next year. Jaitley further said during the last three-and-half years, the government

has been able to bring down the fiscal deficit, current account deficit, contain inflation

and stabilise exchange rate. Our comments:

Observing that India no more suffers from policy paralysis and fear of being part of the

'fragile five' global economies, Jaitley said "India is a bright spot, sweet spot, fastest

growing major economy in the world".

RBI’s Financial Stability Report A macro stress test carried out by the banking regulator indicates that under the

baseline scenario, gross non-performing assets (GNPAs) might rise from 10.2% of

gross advances in September 2017 to 10.8% in March 2018 and further to 11.1% by

September 2018, as per the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) Financial Stability Report

(FSR). The banking stability indicator (BSI) shows that the risks remain at an elevated

level weighed down by further asset quality deterioration.

Our comments:

The overall risks to the banking sector remained elevated due to asset quality concerns.

INDUSTRY:

Auto industry seeks two GST rates for passenger vehicles Automobile industry body SIAM is seeking two tax rates for passenger vehicles under

the GST regime instead of multiple rates levied currently, as part of its wish list for the

upcoming budget. The industry body has also sought from the Finance Minister Arun

Jaitley a special tax rate of 12% for electric and hydrogen fuel cell powered

vehicles. The automotive industry has been suggesting two rates for cars in place of

multiple tax rates, and requests the government to keep only two rates for vehicles

under the GST regime.

Our comments:

One needs to see how much of this is considered for the Auto sector.

NPPA notifies prices of 65 essential formulations National drug pricing regulator NPPA said it has notified prices of 65 essential

formulations, including those used for the treatment of diabetes, infections, pain and

high blood pressure. NPPA has fixed/revised ceiling prices/Retail Prices of 65

scheduled formulations under Drugs (Prices Control) Order, 2013. In respect of

medicines that are not under price control, manufacturers are allowed to increase the

maximum retail price by 10% annually.

Our comments:

These measures are mainly for monitoring the prices of controlled and decontrolled

drugs.

TM

Positivity for the Indian

Economy

Two GST rates for PVs

NPPA on the move

RBIs FSR

Castrol Ex-Bonus

Page 6: THE WEEKLY WRAP-UP 22nd December 2017reports.progressiveshares.com/ResearchReports/WC... · 2017-12-22 · NCLT orders insolvency proceedings against Ruchi Soya Edelweiss in talks

COMPANY:

Aurobindo, Dr Reddy's Laboratories frontrunners to buy out bankrupt

Orchid Pharma Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. and Dr Reddy's Laboratories Ltd. are emerging as the

frontrunners to buy out bankrupt Orchid Pharma Ltd. as they seek to expand their

capacities. Lakshmi Vilas Bank referred Chennai-based Orchid Pharma to the National

Company Law Tribunal for defaulting on repayments to the tune of Rs50cr. The

company owes more than Rs3,500cr to a group of lenders led by the State Bank of

India. It was on the Reserve Bank of India's second list of 28 defaulters that had to be

referred to the NCLT before December 31 if no resolution was found by Dec 13.

Our comments: As per the company, several parties have submitted their interest. Things will become

clearer when the company receives binding bids and hopefully at good valuations.

Raymond sets up Rs250cr linen manufacturing plant in Maharashtra Raymond launched its first ever Rs250cr linen manufacturing plant at Amravati that

will cater to the company's own brands, domestic and international markets. The

facility is expected to produce 1,200 tonnes of linen yarns and 4.8 million meters of

linen and blended fabrics per annum. The new greenfield linen manufacturing facility

is under the company's subsidiary Raymond Luxury Cottons Ltd.

Our comments: This is the initial investment by the company. It had indicated total investment of

Rs1400cr in phased manner.

JMC Projects secures new contracts worth Rs790cr JMC Projects (India) Ltd has secured new orders of Rs790cr. The secured orders

consist of one water pipeline and one micro irrigation project in the state of Madhya

Pradesh totalling to Rs451cr. One residential and one commercial project in Western

and Southern India respectively totalling to Rs339cr. The total order book of JMC

Projects as on September 30, 2017 amounts to Rs6,569cr.

Our comments: The water pipeline and irrigation segment of the company continues to build on with

new orders and strengthens revenue growth guidance of the company for FY18E.

Govt. approves Dish TV merger with Videocon d2h Dish TV India Limited (Dish TV) has received the final approval for closing of the

merger of Videocon d2h with DishTV. The Ministry of Information and Broadcasting

(MIB) had approved the requests made by the company for completion of the

transaction for the creation of the largest listed media company in India taking into

consideration the last reported revenue and EBITDA numbers of the two DTH players

on a pro-forma basis. Following the amalgamation, the combined entity will be

renamed as Dish TV Videocon Limited.

Our comments: The combined entity is expected to provide better synergies and growth opportunities

through deeper after-sales, distribution and technology capabilities and will also

become a more effective partner for TV content providers in India.

Suzlon Energy wins 252MW wind power projects Suzlon Energy has received 252 MW wind power projects from leading Global Utility.

This project is won by the utility through SECI II auction held recently. The company

will execute the entire project on a turnkey basis and will also provide operation and

maintenance services. With this order, Suzlon has secured combined orders of 502

MW across SECI- I and SECI- II auctions.

Our comments: The order is a booster to the trust and confidence in the technologically advanced

products of the company.

TM

Orchid Pharma on target

Raymond sets up

manufacturing plant

Orders for Suzlon

Dish TV Videocon d2h

merger approved

New contracts for JMC

Projects

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COMPANY:

Sterlite Power bags USD800mn transmission project in Brazil Sterlite Power bagged a contract worth USD800mn to construct 1800 km transmission

project in Brazil. The project will be executed in north of Brazil with more than 1800

km of transmission lines. The project will be part of the North-Southeast and

North-Northeast inter-connections.

Our comments: Sterlite has demonstrated its international competitiveness by winning the largest lot on

offer in the auction. With this project, Sterlite, which had won two projects earlier in

April this year, consolidates its presence in Brazil reaching a total of USD1bn of

investment, the largest ever done by an Indian company in Latin America.

KEC International wins new orders worth Rs2,424cr KEC International (KEC) has secured new orders worth Rs2,424cr across all its

business units. The Transmission & Distribution (T&D) Business secured orders of

Rs1,636cr across India (Rs117cr), SAARC (Rs1,058cr), Africa & Americas (Rs461cr).

With these orders, the company has strengthened its international T&D and Railways

portfolio and improved its international order book.

Our comments: Improving order inflows in the T&D business, led by TBCB and substation orders,

reinstates the positive stance on the T&D business of the company.

Tata Steel board approves up to USD2bn rights issue Tata Steel Ltd has approved a rights issue to raise up to Rs128bn (USD2bn) to fund

capacity expansion at a plant in the eastern state of Odisha, and to cut debt. The

company's Kalinganagar plant will be expanded by 5 million tonnes per annum (tpa) to

8 million tpa, entailing a total investment of Rs235bn. The expansion is expected to

meet growing demands from the automotive and general engineering segments. The

project, which is expected to be completed in 4 years, will be funded through a

combination of equity and debt.

Our comments: The fund raising is for the different organic and inorganic growth plans of the

company.

Sun Pharma recalls two batches of diabetic drug from US market Sun Pharmaceutical Industries has started recalling two batches of Riomet (metformin

hydrochloride) Oral Solution voluntarily from the US market due to microbial

contamination. According to a notification put up by the US Food and Drug

Administration on its website, the recall was initiated by the firm under 'Class-II'

classification. The notification did not mention the quantity that is being recalled.

Our comments: According to the USA health regulator, Class II recall is a situation in which use of or

exposure to a violative product may cause temporary or medically reversible adverse

health consequences or where the probability of serious adverse health consequences is

remote.

TM

Orders for Sterlite Power

New orders for KEC

international

Drug recall by Sun

Pharma

Tata Steel approves rights

issue

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TM