the total economic impact™ of surefire local · successful programs with surefire still included...
TRANSCRIPT
A Forrester Total Economic Impact™ Study
Commissioned By Surefire
June 2018
The Total Economic Impact™ Of Surefire Local
Cost Savings And Business Benefits Enabled By Using Surefire To Modernize Marketing And Optimize Digital Channels For Local Businesses
Table Of Contents Executive Summary 1
Key Findings 1
TEI Framework And Methodology 3
The Surefire Local Customer Journey 4
Interviewed Organizations 4
Surefire And Enterprise Partner Programs 4
Key Challenges For Local Businesses 5
Key Results 5
Financial Analysis 7
Incremental Profit From Increased Revenue Growth 7
Avoided Cost Of Website Maintenance And Digital Marketing Channels 8
Unquantified Benefits 9
Flexibility 10
Cost Of Surefire Services 11
Website Redesign 12
Financial Summary 13
Surefire Local: Overview 14
Appendix A: Total Economic Impact 15
Project Director:
Dean Davison
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1 | The Total Economic Impact™ Of Surefire Local
Executive Summary
Surefire provides a marketing platform to help local businesses improve
the digital marketing and increase revenue. Surefire commissioned
Forrester Consulting to conduct a Total Economic Impact™ (TEI) study
and examine the potential return on investment (ROI) enterprises may
realize by deploying Surefire Local. The purpose of this study is to provide
readers with a framework to evaluate the potential financial impact of the
Surefire Local on their organizations.
To better understand the benefits, costs, and risks associated with this
investment, Forrester interviewed several customers with years of
experience using Surefire Local. The interviewees included an enterprise
that profiles Surefire in its recommended partner program and two local
businesses that use Surefire to transform their approach to digital
marketing.
Prior to using Surefire, the customers struggled with online programs. One
local owner said: “We were paying for search marketing and buying key
words from Google. At that point, we were throwing darts against the wall
to see what would give us results. One time, I was so frustrated with it I
said, ‘I’m not investing any further in the internet.’”
After engaging with Surefire, the same owner said: “I have seen a definite
positive effect in advertising savings because I’m not insecure in what I’m
doing. When another vendor comes in and says, ‘You need to be doing
this, you need to be doing that, because you’re not reaching what you
need to reach.’ I think to myself, ‘Hey we’re making it, I don’t really need
your information.’ With Surefire, I feel confident in my internet approach
because I have a partner that really knows the best approach.”
Successful programs with Surefire still included AdWord programs with
paid search advertising and remarketing campaigns, but they were
provided with the professional skills of the Surefire team, which greatly
improved results. AdWords represented about 15% to 20% of site traffic,
thereby increasing opportunity for customer engagement.
Key Findings
Quantified benefits. The following risk-adjusted quantified PV benefits
are representative of those experienced by the companies interviewed:
› Incremental profit from increased revenue growth of $408,932. The
local business increased their average growth rate from 4% to 10% with
effective websites and digital marketing tools and campaigns. The higher
growth provided income and incremental profit calculated using a 12%
net margin.
› Avoided cost of website maintenance and digital marketing
channels of $49,613. The business owners shifted from a self-
described “crapshoot” with spending on digital channels to having a
decisive strategy and demonstrable results. Instead of wondering if they
realized value, they had metrics that showed business impact.
Unquantified benefits. The interviewed organizations experienced the
following benefits, which are not quantified for this study:
› Surefire brings a collection of specialists to clients. The business
owners described the value of having a range of subject-matter experts
from Surefire. They could not afford to employ these experts individually
and it added a level of professionalism to their companies.
Benefits And Costs
Incremental profit from higher revenue growth:
$408,932
Avoided costs from previous approaches to marketing and digital channels:
$49,613
Total cost for Surefire and website redesign over three years:
$94,565
2 | The Total Economic Impact™ Of Surefire Local
› Feedback from peers validated the Surefire approach. One owner
described a constant flow of compliments from peers who admired the
website and expressed their intent to duplicate the same look and feel.
› Freeing up time to work on other critical projects. By spending less
time on technology issues and marketing overall, the owners focused on
other aspects of their business, such as CRM tools, accounting
processes, and front-line operations.
Costs. The interviewed organizations experienced the following risk-
adjusted PV costs:
› Cost of Surefire services of $74,606 over three years. The
companies paid an average of $2,500 per month for an all-inclusive list
of services ranging from website hosting to SEO tools, including a
marketing coach.
› Website redesign at a total cost of $24,150. In the second year of
working with Surefire, the owners paid $7,000 to Surefire and the
balance in employee time to redesign their website to leverage more
modern capabilities and enable improved metrics.
Forrester’s interviews with three existing customers and subsequent
financial analysis found that an organization based on these interviewed
organizations experienced benefits of $458,545 over three years versus
costs of $94,565, adding up to a net present value (NPV) of $363,980 and
an ROI of 385%.
Total benefits
PV, $459K
Total costs PV,
$95KInitial Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Financial Summary
Payback: <3 months
$408.9K
$49.6K
Incremental profit fromhigher revenue growth
Avoided cost of exisitingwebsite hosting
Benefits (Three-Year)
ROI 385%
Benefits PV $458,545
NPV $363,980
Payback <3 months
3 | The Total Economic Impact™ Of Surefire Local
TEI Framework And Methodology
From the information provided in the interviews, Forrester has constructed
a Total Economic Impact™ (TEI) framework for those organizations
considering implementing Surefire Local.
The objective of the framework is to identify the cost, benefit, flexibility, and
risk factors that affect the investment decision. Forrester took a multistep
approach to evaluate the impact that Surefire Local can have on an
organization:
DUE DILIGENCE Interviewed Surefire stakeholders and Forrester analysts to gather data relative to Surefire Local.
CUSTOMER INTERVIEWS Interviewed three organizations using Surefire Local to obtain data with respect to costs, benefits, and risks.
COMPOSITE ORGANIZATION Designed a composite organization based on characteristics of the interviewed organizations.
FINANCIAL MODEL FRAMEWORK Constructed a financial model representative of the interviews using the TEI methodology and risk-adjusted the financial model based on issues and concerns of the interviewed organizations.
CASE STUDY Employed four fundamental elements of TEI in modeling Surefire Local’s impact: benefits, costs, flexibility, and risks. Given the increasing sophistication that enterprises have regarding ROI analyses related to IT investments, Forrester’s TEI methodology serves to provide a complete picture of the total economic impact of purchase decisions. Please see Appendix A for additional information on the TEI methodology.
The TEI methodology
helps companies
demonstrate, justify,
and realize the
tangible value of IT
initiatives to both
senior management
and other key
business
stakeholders.
DISCLOSURES
Readers should be aware of the following:
This study is commissioned by Surefire and delivered by Forrester Consulting.
It is not meant to be used as a competitive analysis.
Forrester makes no assumptions as to the potential ROI that other
organizations will receive. Forrester strongly advises that readers use their own
estimates within the framework provided in the report to determine the
appropriateness of an investment in Surefire Local.
Surefire reviewed and provided feedback to Forrester, but Forrester maintains
editorial control over the study and its findings and does not accept changes to
the study that contradict Forrester’s findings or obscure the meaning of the
study.
Surefire provided the customer names for the interviews but did not participate
in the interviews.
4 | The Total Economic Impact™ Of Surefire Local
The Surefire Local Customer Journey
BEFORE AND AFTER THE SUREFIRE INVESTMENT
Interviewed Organizations
For this study, Forrester conducted three interviews with Surefire
customers. Interviewed customers include the following:
Surefire And Enterprise Partner Programs
Forrester interviewed a company that promotes Surefire in its preferred
partner program. The executive managing the program indicated that it:
› Recommends vendor partners for local contractors and
businesses that use the company’s products. The company has
thousands of contractors around North America that rely on key
business partners. After a lengthy selection, the company included
Surefire as one of a dozen recommended partners for local
contractors.
› Selects partners after a careful evaluation. The company selects
only partners with:
• A proven record working with existing contractors.
• A sustainable business model.
• Secure and robust technology solutions.
› Leverages feedback and recommendations from local
contractors. The company gathers anecdotal feedback and
proactively deploys surveys and other primary research tools to gather
insights from thousands of contractors.
› Includes Surefire as a recommended partner. In addition to
feedback from numerous partners, the company said that it was
impressed by Surefire’s ROI portal, it’s constant level of new ideas and
innovation, and the future capabilities for helping contractors define
and manage processes around demand generation — i.e.,
transitioning from lead to proposal to customer.
› Builds on client’s experience and expertise. The company worked
with Surefire for several years, which allowed it to launch successful
campaigns with near-immediate ROI by leveraging the history of
testing, research, and performance data across dozens of ad
campaigns.
INDUSTRY PROFILE LOCATION NUMBER OF AGENTS
Construction Enterprise manufacturing construction products
North America
Manages preferred partner program that recommends business services to local contractors that use, sell, or resell the company’s products.
Construction Local business owner providing roofing services
Eastern United States Contractor generates about 20 million in revenue annually with approximately 160 employees.
Construction Local business owner providing roofing services
Southern United Sates Contractor generates several million in revenue annually with approximately 50 employees and subcontractors.
5 | The Total Economic Impact™ Of Surefire Local
› Reinforces brand awareness and optimizes advertising budget.
The company ran an integrated remarketing campaign that reinforced
brand awareness along with key benefits during various phases of the
customer purchase cycle. Executives used remarketing to maximize
spending against previous site visitors who were more likely to convert,
and less expensive to target.
Key Challenges For Local Businesses
Before engaging with Surefire, the local businesses told Forrester that
they experienced the following challenges:
› Lacking sophisticated marketing expertise. One owner said: “When
we started with marketing and advertising, it was kind of a crapshoot.
There wasn’t really much tracking of anything behind the marketing
budget. Later, we started putting call-tracking numbers on everything.
We revamped our whole accounting and started tracking the numbers,
started knowing the numbers, started paying attention to results, and
started weeding things out.”
› Relying on repeat business and customer referrals. The same
owner told Forrester: “We were spending 100% of our marketing
advertising dollars on acquiring what I call new clients while 60% to
70% of our business came from previous customers – referrals, friends
and families. We had a light bulb go off and we thought, ‘This is crazy.’”
› Experimenting with websites and digital channels. An owner said
about his company’s transition to online business: “We wanted to
dominate the online world, we wanted to be the dominant contractor in
our marketplace, period. We wanted to be dominant on organic SEO
and have an awesome website and be the company that everyone
aspires to be like. That was our vision and goal.”
Key Results
The interviews revealed that key results from working with Surefire
include:
› Consolidated spending on fewer channels. One owner said: “We
used to be in probably close to 50 various sources. We’re down to
about 25 to 30. We pulled out of print pretty much altogether. There are
a few little neighborhood pockets where we go to have local, feel-good
community neighborhood.”
› Leveraged third-party accreditation channels. The executive
continued: “We work with Angie's List and Better Business Bureau
(BBB) and some others. They're marketing, they generate leads, but
they also provide a form of validation or accreditation where they verify
your credibility as a contractor. There are a couple of other ones.
HomeAdvisor now has a few different platforms. We've done some
work with Yelp.”
› Achieved results with a mix of existing channels. One of the
owners described his research: “I did some Q&A with my customers to
try and track channels. They would say websites, but really, they saw
us because we were in the neighborhood and they saw our truck and
then they Googled it. Is that really our website doing the word or is it
our trucks? It’s a combination of tools, channels, and advertising.”
“We were spending 100% of
our marketing advertising
dollars on acquiring what I call
new clients while 60% to 70%
of our business came from
previous customers —
referrals, friends, and families.
We had a light bulb go off and
we thought, ‘This is crazy.’”
Owner, local construction
business owner
“You have to be able to be
easily found, you have to be
fresh, you have to be relative,
all that kind of stuff. That's
what Surefire does for us. I
don't know who else is out
there and what the
marketplace is really doing. All
I would say is that they
[Surefire] work great for us.”
Owner, local construction
business owner
6 | The Total Economic Impact™ Of Surefire Local
› Achieved a professional and cutting-edge digital presence. One
owner said: “You have to be able to be easily found, you have to be
fresh, you have to be relative, all that kind of stuff. That's what Surefire
does for us. I don't know who else is out there and what the
marketplace is really doing. All I would say is that they [Surefire] work
great for us. And that's partly due because I have an awesome coach
that does a fantastic job.”
› Leveraged non-traditional information sources for marketing
programs. Clients worked with Surefire to tap into weather-driven
opportunities by monitoring weather in client regions and adjusting
budgets and keyword bids during periods of inclement weather. As a
result, interviewed companies were able to capture short-term spikes
in searches related to roof repairs, roof leaks, or emergency roofing
services; leads increase by as much as 258% during weather-triggered
events.
7 | The Total Economic Impact™ Of Surefire Local
The table above shows the total of all benefits across the areas listed below, as well as present values (PVs) discounted at 10%. Over three years, the composite organization expects risk-adjusted total benefits to be a PV of $458,545.
Incremental profit from increased revenue growth:
79% of total benefits
Financial Analysis
QUANTIFIED BENEFIT AND COST DATA AS APPLIED TO THE COMPOSITE
Incremental Profit From Increased Revenue Growth
The business owners said that they realized an increase in revenue.
While they were already experimenting with digital channels, Surefire
provided an effective migration to digital.
One owner told Forrester how he dabbled in creating a website and
experimented with buying search words. The owner admitted that he
lacked the knowledge to effectively pursue either of these approaches.
While hiring Surefire cost more than his previous attempts, the results
were spectacular and increased the average revenue growth for the
company.
To show this increase in revenue, Forrester modeled a company with
$12 million in annual revenue that grows at 4% per year. After adopting
Surefire, the improved digital channels result in a growth rate of 10%.
Over three years, the increased growth yields more than $2.7 million in
incremental revenue.
Both of the companies that Forrester interviewed experienced an uplift in
revenue after using Surefire, but the results realized by readers will vary
widely based on the state of their internal projects before working with
Surefire. To account for this risk, Forrester adjusted this benefit
downward by 10%, yielding a three-year risk-adjusted total PV of
$408,932.
Total Benefits
REF. BENEFIT YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3 TOTAL PRESENT
VALUE
Atr Incremental profit from increased revenue growth
$77,760 $166,406 $267,152 $511,319 $408,932
Btr Avoided cost of website maintenance and digital marketing channels
$19,950 $19,950 $19,950 $59,850 $49,613
Total benefits (risk-adjusted) $97,710 $186,356 $287,102 $571,169 $458,545
79%
three-year benefit PV
$408,932
8 | The Total Economic Impact™ Of Surefire Local
Avoided cost of website maintenance and digital
marketing channels: 10% of total benefits
Avoided Cost Of Website Maintenance And Digital
Marketing Channels
Each of the organizations knew that digital channels were becoming
increasingly important but lacked the skills to navigate the various
opportunities. One owner said: “We had no clue what we were doing. We
heard about paying for search marketing and buying key words from
Google. For us at that point, we were just throwing darts up against the
wall to see what would give us results.”
Both organizations were able to eliminate or better focus the spending on
website and other digital channels. While Surefire was more expensive
that these previous alternatives, it also yielded significantly better results
and gave the owners confidence in their digital direction. Forrester
believes that most readers will experience a similar result and adjusted
this benefit downward by only 5%, yielding a three-year risk-adjusted
total PV of $49,613.
Incremental Profit From Increased Revenue Growth: Calculation Table
REF. METRIC CALC. YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3
A1 Growth using traditional channels using a baseline of $12,000,000 revenue
4% growth $12,480,000 $12,979,200 $13,498,368
A2 Growth using traditional channels using a baseline of $12,000,000 revenue
10% growth $13,200,000 $14,520,000 $15,972,000
A3 Incremental revenue A2-A1 $720,000 $1,540,800 $2,473,632
A4 Net profit margin 12% 12% 12%
At Incremental profit from increased revenue growth
A3*A4 $86,400 $184,896 $296,836
Risk adjustment ↓10%
Atr Incremental profit from increased revenue growth (risk-adjusted)
$77,760 $166,406 $267,152
Avoided Cost Of Website Maintenance And Digital Marketing Channels: Calculation Table
REF. METRIC CALC. YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3
B1 Cost of site hosting and maintenance $12,000 $12,000 $12,000
B2 Cost for digital program such as SEO and search word advertising
$9,000 $9,000 $9,000
Bt Avoided cost of website maintenance and digital marketing channels
C1+C2 $21,000 $21,000 $21,000
Risk adjustment ↓5%
Btr Avoided cost of website maintenance and digital marketing channels (risk-adjusted)
$19,950 $19,950 $19,950
10%
three-year benefit PV
$49,613
9 | The Total Economic Impact™ Of Surefire Local
Impact risk is the risk that the business or technology needs of the organization may not be met by the investment, resulting in lower overall total benefits. The greater the uncertainty, the wider the potential range of outcomes for benefit estimates.
Unquantified Benefits
The organizations reported additional benefits from working with Surefire
that it was unable to specifically measure or quantify.
› Surefire brings a collection of specialists to clients. An owner told
Forrester: “When we looked at Surefire, we saw a team of people that
were all esteemed and respected and highly prized in their individual
specialties across the country and across the globe. They have this
team of resources, this team of minds, this team of people that were all
specialized in their fields who are working for me behind the scenes.
And I like that idea of having a collective pool of resources working for
our company instead of just one person.”
› Feedback from peers validated the Surefire approach. The owner
continued: “We have tons of people that check out our website and
learn about what we are doing. I’ve never had any negative feedback.
Everyone that I talk with says, ‘Man, you guys, your website is solid.’
Or, ‘Your website looks great, it functions good.’ ‘We want to copy your
style,’ or, ‘We want to be more like you.’ I’m always getting feedback
from other people.”
› Freeing up time to work on other critical projects. The same owner
said, “In the last few years, I had been spending a lot of efforts on just
our technology growth side of the systems and processes. We’ve
implemented a new CRM. We’ve built around software for payroll. I’ve
been putting a lot of my energy and efforts into systems software
processes, trying to add technology to make us more efficient and
more effective to serve our customers.”
10 | The Total Economic Impact™ Of Surefire Local
Flexibility, as defined by TEI, represents an investment in additional capacity or capability that could be turned into business benefit for a future additional investment. This provides an organization with the "right" or the ability to engage in future initiatives but not the obligation to do so.
Flexibility
The value of flexibility is clearly unique to each customer, and the
measure of its value varies from organization to organization. There are
multiple scenarios in which a customer might choose to implement
Surefire Local and later realize additional uses and business
opportunities, including:
› Adapting to real-world leading indicators of business. One local
owner said: “One day I was talking to my Surefire coach and he said,
‘Man, we’re not up this month.’ And I said, ‘We shouldn’t be up.’ He
responded, ‘What are you talking about?’ And I told him, ‘We’re behind
on the rain this year. Our business volume is always determined by the
amount of rain we get in a year. The next week in my metrics, I saw
that Surefire was tracking the yearly rainfall for my city. We now gauge
how leads are coming in light of rain and in light of our ad program.” If
you look at it without understanding the broader context that comes
from real-world experience, you can get frustrated with advertising
results.”
› Shifting the business focus to marketing. One of the owners told
Forrester: “I’m thinking of entering into a couple of other businesses
and really trying to market other products a little bit more. We’ve
always offered other services, but we didn’t sell many of them. Now
that our marketing is going so well, we might increase our investment
into new product areas. In hindsight, I think our core competency might
changing from roofing to marketing.”
› Hiring marketing professionals that understand new markets. An
owner said: “As we got results using Surefire, I realized that we need
to stay further out in front of things with our marketing. Personally, I
realized that I’m older and don’t want to change. We hired a younger
person with an MBA who can stay on the cutting edge of emerging
technologies, such as mobile apps, that create new business
opportunities.”
Flexibility would also be quantified when evaluated as part of a specific
project (described in more detail in Appendix A).
11 | The Total Economic Impact™ Of Surefire Local
The table above shows the total of all costs across the areas listed below, as well as present values (PVs) discounted at 10%. Over three years, the composite organization expects risk-adjusted total costs to be a PV of $94,565.
Cost Of Surefire Services
The organizations paid an average of $2,500 per month for fees to
Surefire Local. The services included the following:
› Marketing coach.
› Local directory submission.
› Social media monitoring and responding.
› Analytics dashboard.
› Integration with Mobile App.
› Keyword diagnostics.
› SEO ranking and analysis.
› Advanced website content.
› Social media and blog writing.
› Domain name and web hosting.
› Website maintenance.
Forrester did not risk-adjusted this cost, resulting a three-year risk-
adjusted total PV of $74,606.
Total Costs
REF. COST INITIAL YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3 TOTAL PRESENT
VALUE
Ctr Cost of Surefire services $0 $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 $90,000 $74,606
Dtr Website redesign $0 $0 $24,150 $0 $24,150 $19,959
Total costs (risk-adjusted) $0 $30,000 $54,150 $30,000 $114,150 $94,565
Cost Of Surefire Services: Calculation Table
REF. METRIC CALC. INITIAL YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3
D1 Fees paid for Surefire services $30,000 $30,000 $30,000
Dt Cost of Surefire services =D1 $30,000 $30,000 $30,000
Risk adjustment 0%
Dtr Cost of Surefire services (risk-adjusted)
$30,000 $30,000 $30,000
12 | The Total Economic Impact™ Of Surefire Local
Implementation risk is the risk that a proposed investment may deviate from the original or expected requirements, resulting in higher costs than anticipated. The greater the uncertainty, the wider the potential range of outcomes for cost estimates.
Website Redesign
In the second year of the relationship, the owners had developed enough
trust in Surefire to redesign their website. The project took time and effort
for the companies but allowed them to leverage newer technologies and
create a more polished look. This yielded benefits that include a stronger
reputation among peers as well as a more positive reception from
potential customers that see the company name elsewhere and go to the
website to learn more.
The organizations spent $16,000 of employee time, which included two
employees working 20% of their time for six months. The work by
Surefire cost an additional $7,000. Forrester adjusted this cost upward
by 5% to account for variation in the effort and complexity of websites
required by readers. The result yielded a three-year risk-adjusted total
PV of $49,613.
Website Redesign: Calculation Table
REF. METRIC CALC. INITIAL YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3
E1 Fees for Surefire work $7,000
E2 Time for two employees that spent 20% of time for six months (FTE years)
0.2
E3 Annual burdened salary $80,000
E4 Cost for internal staff E2*E3 $16,000
Et Website redesign E1+E4 $0 $0 $23,000 $0
Risk adjustment 5%
Etr Website redesign (risk-adjusted) $0 $0 $24,150 $0
13 | The Total Economic Impact™ Of Surefire Local
The financial results calculated in the Benefits and Costs sections can be used to determine the ROI, NPV, and payback period for the composite organization's investment. Forrester assumes a yearly discount rate of 10% for this analysis.
Financial Summary
CONSOLIDATED THREE-YEAR RISK-ADJUSTED METRICS
Cash Flow Chart (Risk-Adjusted)
-$0.1 M
$0.1 M
$0.2 M
$0.3 M
$0.4 M
$0.5 M
Initial Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Cashflows
Total costs
Total benefits
Cumulative net benefits
These risk-adjusted ROI,
NPV, and payback period
values are determined by
applying risk-adjustment
factors to the unadjusted
results in each Benefit and
Cost section.
Cash Flow Table (Risk-Adjusted)
INITIAL YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3 TOTAL PRESENT VALUE
Total costs $0 ($30,000) ($54,150) ($30,000) ($114,150) ($94,565)
Total benefits $0 $97,710 $186,356 $287,102 $571,169 $458,545
Net benefits $0 $67,710 $132,206 $257,102 $457,019 $363,980
ROI 385%
Payback period <3 months
14 | The Total Economic Impact™ Of Surefire Local
Surefire Local: Overview
The following information is provided by Surefire. Forrester has not validated any claims and does not endorse
Surefire or its offerings.
Description of the Vendor’s product and features. Table or chart inclusion optional as needed.
15 | The Total Economic Impact™ Of Surefire Local
Appendix A: Total Economic Impact
Total Economic Impact is a methodology developed by Forrester
Research that enhances a company’s technology decision-making
processes and assists vendors in communicating the value proposition
of their products and services to clients. The TEI methodology helps
companies demonstrate, justify, and realize the tangible value of IT
initiatives to both senior management and other key business
stakeholders.
Total Economic Impact Approach
Benefits represent the value delivered to the business by the
product. The TEI methodology places equal weight on the
measure of benefits and the measure of costs, allowing for a
full examination of the effect of the technology on the entire
organization.
Costs consider all expenses necessary to deliver the
proposed value, or benefits, of the product. The cost category
within TEI captures incremental costs over the existing
environment for ongoing costs associated with the solution.
Flexibility represents the strategic value that can be
obtained for some future additional investment building on
top of the initial investment already made. Having the ability
to capture that benefit has a PV that can be estimated.
Risks measure the uncertainty of benefit and cost estimates
given: 1) the likelihood that estimates will meet original
projections and 2) the likelihood that estimates will be
tracked over time. TEI risk factors are based on “triangular
distribution.”
The initial investment column contains costs incurred at “time 0” or at the
beginning of Year 1 that are not discounted. All other cash flows are discounted
using the discount rate at the end of the year. PV calculations are calculated for
each total cost and benefit estimate. NPV calculations in the summary tables are
the sum of the initial investment and the discounted cash flows in each year.
Sums and present value calculations of the Total Benefits, Total Costs, and
Cash Flow tables may not exactly add up, as some rounding may occur.
PRESENT VALUE (PV)
The present or current value of (discounted) cost and benefit estimates given at an interest rate (the discount rate). The PV of costs and benefits feed into the total NPV of cash flows.
NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)
The present or current value of (discounted) future net cash flows given an interest rate (the discount rate). A positive project NPV normally indicates that the investment should be made, unless other projects have higher NPVs.
RETURN ON INVESTMENT (ROI)
A project’s expected return in percentage terms. ROI is calculated by dividing net benefits (benefits less costs) by costs.
DISCOUNT RATE
The interest rate used in cash flow analysis to take into account the time value of money. Organizations typically use discount rates between 8% and 16%.
PAYBACK PERIOD
The breakeven point for an investment. This is the point in time at which net benefits (benefits minus costs) equal initial investment or cost.