the spatial planning in the affected areas after the 2011 japan tsunami

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  • 8/10/2019 The Spatial Planning in the Affected Areas After the 2011 Japan Tsunami

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    The spatial planning in the affected areas after the

    2011 Japan tsunami

    HIRANO, Katsuya

    Disaster Information Management and Public Collaboration Division

    IRIDeS, Tohoku University

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    Who am I ?

    I have taken part in reconstruction

    planning for the city of Ishinomaki

    and the town of Minamisanriku,

    both in Miyagi Prefecture, and in a

    visual quality assessment of the

    new coastal embankment ofMiyagi and Iwate prefectures, as

    an expert in urban design and

    architecture for infrastructure.

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    Comprehensive Planning Issues In Rural Areas

    " Population decline and a super-aging society

    Based on the latest population projection for 2012, the total

    population of Japan will decrease from 128 million in 2010 to 87

    million in 2060. In addition, the ratio of high-aged people, taken as

    over 65 years old, will increase from 23% in 2010 to 40% in 2060.

    " Decline of city/town centre

    In rural areas, a low population density means a low service level of

    public transport, a low service level of public transport means highvehicle owner-ship rates, and a high vehicle ownership rate causes

    the service level go even lower. As a result of this vicious circle,

    nearly every adult person has one vehicle in rural areas in Japan.

    Needless to say, this vicious circle drives retail parks in the suburbs

    to prosperity, while on the other hand, the city/town centre declines.

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    Shutter Street

    As a result of decline, shutter

    street was born as a new term in

    Japan. It means that closed shops

    (shuttered shops) can be found in

    rows on the street. Almost all

    cities and towns in rural areas inJapan have several shutter streets

    in the city centre.

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    Comprehensive direction of city/town/village in

    rural areas of Japan

    compact city/town/village

    The compact city/town/village becomes not a preferable direction but a

    minimum requirement, because sustainability for municipal finance,

    public transport, community activity and so on is a more critical

    problem. Therefore, the compact city should be materializing in the ruralareas in Japan. It is possible to say that this is a common thought

    between city planners in Japan.

    The Smart-Shrinking City/Town is needed for rural areas of Japan.

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    Dilemmas And Difficulties In Reconstruction Planning

    " The Central Disaster Prevention Council (CDPC) of Japan decided the new

    standard for tsunami prevention.

    " Tsunami Level One (L1)

    " The frequency of L1 is once per several decades to 150 years.

    " Against L1, a principle for countermeasures is to use coastal protection

    facilities, such as a coastal levee.

    " Tsunami Level Two (L2)

    " The frequency of L2 is once every 500 years or longer.

    " Against L2, a principle for countermeasures is not protection but

    evacuation of local residents.

    " The tsunami on 11 March 2011 is included under L2.

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    Decision Procedure of L1 and L2

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    Once per 500 years vs. Actual Experience

    The Decision of CDPC is Clear and Rational

    " Life of Protectional Structure, such as a coastal levee, is not so long

    " Protection level for major Japanese rivers is planned from 30-years flood

    to 200-years flood

    However

    From a view point of survivors, L2 is not a Once per 500 years but a Actual

    experienced one.

    This di#erence in sense of time is quite critical and essential for reconstruction

    planning.

    !Municipal Governments seek a solution to protect a L2.

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    Three Principles for L2 Protection

    Principle of moving to higher ground (for Ria Coast)

    Principle of Multi-layer Protection (for Plain Coast)

    Principle of 2-2 rules (skip to explain because of time)

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    Moving to Higher

    Ground

    Successful Example of Historical

    Moving to Higher Ground

    at Yoshihama, Iwate

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    Moving to Higher GroundFishing Village will divide into

    two parts in actual plan.

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    Problem of Moving to Higher Ground

    No one will be able to clearly explain how many people will live in the newly

    developed higher ground after 30 years and how many people will move in as

    the next generation.

    The residences are located in the mountains and the workplace, such as a

    fish-processing factory, is located behind the fishing port. This is directlycontrary to the concept of a compact city.

    The tsunami washed out the historically

    cultivated rural landscape. It is a severe

    break in the regional tradition of thelandscape. However, Moving to Higher

    Ground will abandon remained Streets,

    views from streets, a shrine on the

    hillside, and the composition or relation

    of facility and nature.

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    Multi-layer ProtectionHigh Embanked Motor Way

    Stopped The Tsunami

    Photo by Asia Air Survey

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    Multi-layer ProtectionRe-construction plan of

    Ishinomaki has a second Levee

    First Levee

    Second Levee

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    Problem of Multi-Layer Protection

    The life of second levee (High banked Road) will be shorter than 500 years.

    According to engineering aspect, it will be strange solution.

    In fact, National government and Municipal government had a severe conflict

    to construct second levee

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    Concluding Remarks

    Re-construction planning has several dilemmas.

    To rebirth a tsunami a#ected city/town/village as a sustainable one, we have

    no e#ective method, because of lack of preparation.

    The reconstruction planning in developing phase is very easy. Disaster will

    become a great opportunity to make a infrastructure to support a

    developing.

    There is no comprehensive project scheme for a smart-shrink in Japan, in

    spite of Japan has turn into shrinking phase. If we had a such scheme, Re-

    construction plan would be much easier than actual situation.

    These consideration will published in Division D, Journal of Japan Society for Civil Engineers (JSCE) on

    next monthTitle is DIFFICULTIES IN POST-TSUNAMI RECONSTRUCTION PLAN FOLLOWING JAPANS 3.11

    MEGA DISASTER:DILEMMA BETWEEN PROTECTION AND SUSTAINABILITY