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The Solar Industry & Energy Applications: A Past Review for a Forward Looking Tomorrow: Corona Solar Group, LLC Canton GA. 30114 www.coronasolargroup. com

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  • Slide 1
  • The Solar Industry & Energy Applications: A Past Review for a Forward Looking Tomorrow: Corona Solar Group, LLC Canton GA. 30114 www.coronasolargroup.com
  • Slide 2
  • Discussion Points: Market Now Energy/Markets/Manufacturing/Policy/Trade Products Now c-Si/Thin Film/CSP/CPV/BIPV Industry Future Value Chain Movements Future Markets Future Products c-Si/a-Si/CIGS/Thermal/CSP/BIPV/Hydrogen Conclusions
  • Slide 3
  • Current Issues & Topics: o Is the solar industry going to survive? o Why do you need subsidies? o If Solar is so good why cant it compete on a level playing field with current utility power? o What to do about the module dumping issue? o When will we reach grid parity? o Will glass play a major roll in the future of solar? o Is there a cheaper solution other than glass in modules? o What is the best way to keep manufacturing in the United States? o What new products or technologies are in the pipeline?
  • Slide 4
  • Market Now
  • Slide 5
  • Current Status of the Solar Market: o Energy: The sun produces enough energy each day to fully power the entire globe for one year. The US currently consumes 4.0 Trillion kWh per year. Solar comprises only.126% of the total New codes and standards are being introduced that will limit the amount of energy used coming from utility only power sources. Utility providers typically increase power rates at 5.0% each year. Clean water, and energy are the number one and number two critical elements needed to sustain living standards.
  • Slide 6
  • The US currently consumes 4.0 Trillion kWh per year. Solar comprises only.126% of the total. The need to energy will never go down or slow down. The US currently consumes 4.0 Trillion kWh per year. Solar comprises only.126% of the total. The need to energy will never go down or slow down. Current Status of the Solar Market: *Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration www.eia.gov
  • Slide 7
  • TVA Power Provider Rate History: At current growth rates, utility rates will double in ten years. If power rates stay on the same course, power rates will go up 631% between now and 2035. At current growth rates, utility rates will double in ten years. If power rates stay on the same course, power rates will go up 631% between now and 2035. Actual Tennessee Utility Rate Real rate increases over the last 20 Years.
  • Slide 8
  • Current Status of the Solar Market: o Markets: o North American Grid Parity is getting much closer: o Hawaii, West Coast, North East, Florida, Caribbean o North America is viewed as the next big solar demand market by most expert analyst. o South America is relatively untouched, and is poised to be a great potential solar market. o Current Products are Engineering Sound, but not marketing sound. (Apple II to IPAD theorem). The product need to be made more pleasing to the eye. o Financial markets are getting better, but financing is still not easy. New models will be coming on the scene.
  • Slide 9
  • North AmericaEuropeAsia & Oceana Demand: 2010: 1,248MW 2011: 2,359MW Regional Breakout 2010: US: 878 Canada: 298 ROA: 72 Regional Breakout 2011: US: 1,831 Canada: 408 ROA: 120 Demand: 2010: 16,790MW 2011: 15,013MW Regional Breakout 2010: Germany: 7,887 Italy: 6,111 France 621 Czech: 1,200 Regional Breakout 2011: Germany: 7,507 Italy: 4,740 France: 821 Czech: 310 Demand: 2010: 1,612MW 2011: 3,779MW Regional Breakout 2010: Japan: 992 China: 323 India: 102 Korea: 112 Regional Breakout 2011: Japan: 1,488 China: 1,372 India: 430 Korea: 134 North America will soon be the third greatest consumer of PV products, but will be second to Europe for the foreseeable future. Current Status of the Solar Market:
  • Slide 10
  • o US Market Technology Segments: o Crystalline Market: o c-Si is still the market leader, and is expected to be for the foreseeable future. o Enhancements on silicon processing, kerf reduction, thermal wafer lifting, and other developments drive the continual cost down platform. o Polysilicon is currently $30/kg and expected to go lower in the year. Some analysis believe the price could go as low as $0/kg. o Thin Film Market: o CIGS shows positive signs of efficiency, but processing is very difficult, and very costly. o CdTe is still the Thin Film market leader, but efficiency ceilings are hampering the market. o a-Si seems to be loosing the battle in the thin film market. o CSP Market: o The size, cost, and level of bureaucracy is very heavy. CSP projects unless privately funded are very sensitive to governmental actions. o Cost comparisons to c-Si make CSP LCOE calculations hard.
  • Slide 11
  • Current Status of the Solar Market: o US Market Segments: o Utility: o Private Equity is hard due to size and cost of projects. o Public projects are fraught with mountains of paperwork and bureaucracy. o Commercial: o Companies hoarding cash due to volatility of the political, and economic forecast. They are waiting for concrete signs of the market. o 2012 is showing signs of life, with Jobs, Capitol. o Residential: o Loan to value ratio is upside-down in many cases. o New home buyers, and paid off homes are the market of choice. o The residential market will be the last to recover, due to the foreclosure market.
  • Slide 12
  • Current Status of the Solar Market: o Manufacturing: o EPA & Governmental regulation are forcing manufactures to look in to low cost alternatives. (low Wage Nations, Nations with less GHG restrictions) o Greater competition from low cost labor regions o Cost per watt is dropping due to increased capacity, and inventory on hand. o Currently 10GW of Module Inventory on Market o 2010 & 2011 saw an increased build out of glass production facilities in Asia, and India. o The current glass products are quickly becoming commoditized. Differentiation is Key. o Manufacturers have to understand that efficiency of the system is based upon weakest link. 1.0% increase in module with ARC will be wiped out if the inverter is not efficient. End system power is the name of the game.
  • Slide 13
  • Current Status of the Solar Market: o US Market Segments Perspectives: o Development: o Projects are being built based upon power needs, and level of paperwork. o Developers want to develop systems that provide power. The name brand of the module is irrelevant. As long as warranty, and longevity of the module is provided, the game is dollar per watt. US made modules are nice but margin is better. With the PV margins dwindling the brand is less important. o Balance of systems providers are good. Developers like to have one stop shop if possible, so name recognition, and savings are across the board. o Systems designed for maximum power are key. Certain module, with certain inverter = Max Power.
  • Slide 14
  • PV & Thin Film in Utility Scale: ($/Watt) CSP: Dish Greentech Media: Is CSP Doomed Article 2010 CSP is still more expensive than PV in LCOE perspective. C-Si is expected to become cheaper in the future due to silicon spot market prices, making the LCOE that much better. At the time of this chart silicon prices were at $50/Kg
  • Slide 15
  • Global vs. US Module Manufacturing Source: Greentech Media PV Tech, Prod and Cost Outlook 2010 - 2015
  • Slide 16
  • Module: (ASP) Modules Prices are dropping quickly. (Simulated by the large inflow of modules from China.) The solar Industry needs the Balance of System cost to come down further for system competitiveness with utility power. Module Price drop drove the Industry much closed to Grid Parity (2015 @ 70%) Modules Prices are dropping quickly. (Simulated by the large inflow of modules from China.) The solar Industry needs the Balance of System cost to come down further for system competitiveness with utility power. Module Price drop drove the Industry much closed to Grid Parity (2015 @ 70%)
  • Slide 17
  • Current Status of the Solar Market: o Policy: o Europe has aggressive governmental policy, but has (Boom, and Bust issues). o Canada has adopted a FiT strategy, and is currently modifying it based upon installed numbers. o The United States has no real Energy Policy. o Typically it is up to the states to mandate State Energy Policy. o EPA is aggressively cutting GHG emission's. This is a double sided sword. o Possible Trade restriction with regard to China. o Each city in each state has differing methodologies for permitting, and building.
  • Slide 18
  • RPS Policies Renewable portfolio standard Renewable portfolio goal www.dsireusa.orgwww.dsireusa.org / December 2011 Solar water heating eligible * Extra credit for solar or customer-sited renewables Includes non-renewable alternative resources WA: 15% x 2020* CA: 33% x 2020 NV : 25% x 2025* AZ: 15% x 2025 NM: 20% x 2020 (IOUs) 10% x 2020 (co-ops) HI: 40% x 2030 Minimum solar or customer-sited requirement TX: 5,880 MW x 2015 UT: 20% by 2025* CO: 30% by 2020 (IOUs) 10% by 2020 (co-ops & large munis)* MT: 15% x 2015 ND: 10% x 2015 SD: 10% x 2015 IA: 105 MW MN: 25% x 2025 (Xcel: 30% x 2020) MO: 15% x 2021 WI : Varies by utility; ~10% x 2015 statewide MI: 10% & 1,100 MW x 2015* OH : 25% x 2025 ME: 30% x 2000 New RE: 10% x 2017 NH: 23.8% x 2025 MA: 22.1% x 2020 New RE: 15% x 2020 (+1% annually thereafter) RI: 16% x 2020 CT: 27% x 2020 NY: 29% x 2015 NJ: 20.38% RE x 2021 + 5,316 GWh solar x 2026 PA: ~ 18% x 2021 MD: 20% x 2022 DE: 25% x 2026* DC: 20% x 2020 NC : 12.5% x 2021 (IOUs) 10% x 2018 (co-ops & munis) VT: (1) RE meets any increase in retail sales x 2012; (2) 20% RE & CHP x 2017 KS: 20% x 2020 OR : 25% x 2025 (large utilities )* 5% - 10% x 2025 (smaller utilities) IL: 25% x 2025 29 states + DC and PR have an RPS (8 states have goals) 29 states + DC and PR have an RPS (8 states have goals) OK: 15% x 2015 PR: 20% x 2035 WV: 25% x 2025* VA: 15% x 2025* DC IN: 15% x 2025 Renewable Standards US DESIRE Information.
  • Slide 19
  • Why do you need Subsidy? o Subsidy: o Tax Credits, Grants, Loans, others o The Oil Industry has been around since 1870 beginning with the standard oil company. o Oil companies have been receiving governmental subsides since 1916 when federal government instituted income tax incentives to encourage individuals and corporations to drill for oil. o From the 1950s onward, the federal government financed research into nuclear power. o More recently, the federal government has provided research funding and other financing to expand the availability of renewable energy sources. o ALL U.S. Energy Sources receive subsidys.
  • Slide 20
  • Why do you need subsidy? o The Oil industry has had 142 years to develop, install, and define their models albeit cost, infrastructure, and development. o It is naive to think that a new power source will not need help to become a real source of power in the US. o The renewable industry in its short time period has come down 673% ASP Module. o The efficiency of modules has risen from 11% in 2004 to 16.0% in 2012 in c-Si average module efficiency. o Grid Parity where the cost of utility power, and the cost of solar power is equal, is not far away. Some experts believe the 70% on the country will be at grid parity by 2015. o Do we need Subsidys? Yes, at this point it does help out with cost reductions. o If Solar and all other fuels were to loose the subsidy so that the entire field is flat, solar would not need them.
  • Slide 21
  • Current Status of the Solar Market: o Trade Restrictions: o Pros: (Manufacturing)(Downstream) o Longer time for cost down plans o Less market volatility o Job Security (Short term downstream) o Cons: (Development)(Upstream) o Grid Parity & Competitiveness of Industry taking longer. o Global manufacturing retaliation (Tariffs) o Market shrinkage o Job Layoffs (Upstream) o Product will divert around (Through Taiwan, or Mexico) No real effect to price reduction. o The Question is what is best for the Industry? In the end the whole is greater than the some of the parts!
  • Slide 22
  • Trade: 2010 The United States is a net exporter of PV Products. The US exports more PV product than any other country. The United States is a net exporter of PV Products. The US exports more PV product than any other country. US Solar Energy Trade Assessment 2011 Greentech Media
  • Slide 23
  • Trade 2010: China is the USs Top Exporting Country for PV products. US Solar Energy Trade Assessment 2011 Greentech Media
  • Slide 24
  • Products Now
  • Slide 25
  • Cell Technology Overview TechnologyCIGSCdTea-Sic-Simc-SiCSP Theoretical Peak Cell Efficiency (%) 29%30%27%30% 38% Typical Module Efficiency (%) 12%11.07.5-9.5%14.9-20.3%14.1%N/A Avg. ASP/Watt$.90$.85$.81$1.20$1.103.75* Glass Product Low Iron Pattern or Float TCO Low Iron Pattern or Float + ARC Low Iron Float Thin or Metal Foil Application's Utility/Commercial /BIPV Utility/Commercial Utility/Commercial /BIPV Utility/Commercial Residential /BIPV Utility Advantage Cost/Watt & Heat Performance Proven leader on cost/watt Simple, low cost process Max Power minimal area Power & CostStorage AdvantageHigher Power Output in most regions over c-SiMax Power in constrained areaPower Balancing BankabilityHigher Cost of Capital, Less bankableProven Technology Lower COCProven Tech. 2011 MW Prod NA24321010595 Projected Market Share 2013 NA 4.00%14.00%54.00%28% Sustainable Position: Long TermMid Term Long Term
  • Slide 26
  • Crystalline Photovoltaic's: Ground, Roof & BIPV Main requirements for glass used in crystalline photovoltaic's: High Transmission (480nm to 1150nm) Flatness Photon Scattering Effect Mechanical Strength Aesthetics (ARC Glass Coloring)(Delta in height) ARC Transmission (3.0%) Main requirements for glass used in crystalline photovoltaic's: High Transmission (480nm to 1150nm) Flatness Photon Scattering Effect Mechanical Strength Aesthetics (ARC Glass Coloring)(Delta in height) ARC Transmission (3.0%) Pattern Glass (Typical w/o ARC) With or Without ARC Prismatic Glass Float Glass (Back Glass) Low Iron Glass (Typical) Pattern Glass (Typical w/o ARC) With or Without ARC Prismatic Glass Float Glass (Back Glass) Low Iron Glass (Typical)
  • Slide 27
  • Thin Film CIGS: Ground, Roof & BIPV Main requirements for glass used in CIGS Applications: Front Glass: (Pattern or Float) Same as c-Si Back Glass: (Soda Lime Glass) Resistivity (Mo) Flatness Multiple Process Compatibility Durability Main requirements for glass used in CIGS Applications: Front Glass: (Pattern or Float) Same as c-Si Back Glass: (Soda Lime Glass) Resistivity (Mo) Flatness Multiple Process Compatibility Durability Pattern Glass With or Without ARC Float Glass Low Iron Glass (Typical) Molybdenum Coated Glass Soda Lime (Back Sheet) Thin Glass Pattern Glass With or Without ARC Float Glass Low Iron Glass (Typical) Molybdenum Coated Glass Soda Lime (Back Sheet) Thin Glass
  • Slide 28
  • Thin Film a-Si: Ground & BIPV Main requirements for glass used in crystalline photovoltaic's: High Transmission (300nm to 800nm) Flatness (TCO) Resistivity (TCO) Mechanical Strength Durability Main requirements for glass used in crystalline photovoltaic's: High Transmission (300nm to 800nm) Flatness (TCO) Resistivity (TCO) Mechanical Strength Durability Float Glass TCO Coated Glass Low Iron Glass (Typical) Soda Lime (Back Sheet) Thin Glass Float Glass TCO Coated Glass Low Iron Glass (Typical) Soda Lime (Back Sheet) Thin Glass
  • Slide 29
  • Thin Film CdTe: Ground & BIPV Main requirements for glass used in crystalline photovoltaic's: Transmission (glass and TCO) Resistivity (TCO) Flatness High temperature process compatibility Durability Main requirements for glass used in crystalline photovoltaic's: Transmission (glass and TCO) Resistivity (TCO) Flatness High temperature process compatibility Durability Float Glass TCO Coated Glass Low Iron Glass (Typical) Soda Lime (Back Sheet) Thin Glass Float Glass TCO Coated Glass Low Iron Glass (Typical) Soda Lime (Back Sheet) Thin Glass
  • Slide 30
  • Solar Thermal: Ground, Roof & BIPV Main requirements for glass used in crystalline photovoltaic's: High Transmission (480nm to 1150nm) Flatness Direst Photon Translation Mechanical Strength ARC Transmission (Double Sided) Main requirements for glass used in crystalline photovoltaic's: High Transmission (480nm to 1150nm) Flatness Direst Photon Translation Mechanical Strength ARC Transmission (Double Sided) Pattern Glass With or without ARC Float Glass Low Iron Glass (Typical) Pattern Glass With or without ARC Float Glass Low Iron Glass (Typical)
  • Slide 31
  • Solar Thermal: Ground, Roof & BIPV Solatex Solite Flat Plate & Tubular Thermal Water Heating Systems CA, FL China & India are the dominate Markets.
  • Slide 32
  • Main requirements for glass used in CSP: High Reflection Flatness Direct Photon Translation Mechanical Strength Bending Strength Edge Grinding Main requirements for glass used in CSP: High Reflection Flatness Direct Photon Translation Mechanical Strength Bending Strength Edge Grinding Float Glass Low Iron Float Glass Metals Aluminum Mirror Types Laminated Flat Mirrors Laminated Parabolic Mirrors Monolithic Mirrors Monolithic Parabolic Mirrors High Temp Concentrating Mirrors Float Glass Low Iron Float Glass Metals Aluminum Mirror Types Laminated Flat Mirrors Laminated Parabolic Mirrors Monolithic Mirrors Monolithic Parabolic Mirrors High Temp Concentrating Mirrors CSP Overview: Ground
  • Slide 33
  • BIPV Overview: Roof & BIPV o BIPV is relatively New to North America. o It is not the first the first thought to the Architect o Europe is much farther ahead on North America with regard to design, and development. o North America is growing in BIPV. BIPV is mainly being viewed as a new build concept. o The current products are Engineer minded design, and application. o Energy generation is second to aesthetics. o Principal technology is c-Si (Due to Efficiency)
  • Slide 34
  • Industry Future
  • Slide 35
  • Solar Irradiance Levels: Everywhere except Alaska is better than Germany, and they have 48% of the Market.
  • Slide 36
  • US Electricity Generation: (BTU & MW) 2010 US Energy Information Administration Annual Energy Outlook 2011 Renewable & Solar Power are gaining market share in the US. By 2035 the energy demand will require all sources of power generation to keep up with demand.
  • Slide 37
  • Solar Market: Market Trends: Utility is expected to be the largest segment, followed by commercial, and residential. Utility Applications are typically ground mounted, Commercial, and Residential can be roof or ground mounted, but typically are roof mounted. Market Trends: Utility is expected to be the largest segment, followed by commercial, and residential. Utility Applications are typically ground mounted, Commercial, and Residential can be roof or ground mounted, but typically are roof mounted. The North American Solar demand market is growing rapidly. The United States will be the largest player for the foreseeable future
  • Slide 38
  • Market Trends: Global PV Demand is growing. Germany, and Italy are the dominant markets in Europe. This is mainly attributed to the FiT Financing Model. North America is the next largest market with the United States making up 78% of the market. Market Trends: Global PV Demand is growing. Germany, and Italy are the dominant markets in Europe. This is mainly attributed to the FiT Financing Model. North America is the next largest market with the United States making up 78% of the market.
  • Slide 39
  • Value Chain Movements
  • Slide 40
  • Principal Solar Value Chain Polysilicon Production & Processing: Wacker GCL Silicon Hemlock MEMC REC M. Setek Tokuyama DC Chemical Deutsche Solar ErSol LDK MEMC PV Crystalox Yingli Others Cell & Module Manufacturing SMA PV Powered Frontious Blue DPW Cant Sink Hilti Raxx Shoals Tech Many Others Inverter & Framing Suniva (Georgia) Sharp (Tennessee) ECD (Unisolar) JA Solar Kyocera Motech Q-Cells REC Sanyo Schott Sharp SunPower Suntech AGC PPG Guardian Centro Solar Zero Cote Honeywell 3M DuPont Design & Development PG&E NV Energy Cal Edison Arizona Public FP&L Excell Georgia Power Duke Energy Fortune 50 Farmers Small Business Manufacturing Home Owners Governments Islands Co-Operatives hundreds more Utilities & Owners Corona Solar Outpost Solar Solar City Conergy Dependable Solar Deutsche Solar Donauer Solartechnik GroSolar Ibersolar Energia Isofoton MHH Solartechnik Phaesun Phonix Sonnenstrom REC SunPower SunTechnics Wirsol Yingli Green Energy Higher Barrier to Entry, Fewer Competitors Lower Margin Solar Value Chain Trends: 2010 & 2011 saw great increases in Silicon, Glass Capacity & Module Capacity. In 2012 and farther out there will be great Manufacturing consolidation. Module Capacity/Demand equilibrium around 2015. North American Manufacturing will face continued price pressure, and is imperative for survival to have clear cost down road map. Development, and Installations will see continued growth in the North American market for the long term. Installations will facing harder times in 2012 with out the 1603 Subsidy. 2013 is expected to see larger financing options as markets further relax. Solar Value Chain Trends: 2010 & 2011 saw great increases in Silicon, Glass Capacity & Module Capacity. In 2012 and farther out there will be great Manufacturing consolidation. Module Capacity/Demand equilibrium around 2015. North American Manufacturing will face continued price pressure, and is imperative for survival to have clear cost down road map. Development, and Installations will see continued growth in the North American market for the long term. Installations will facing harder times in 2012 with out the 1603 Subsidy. 2013 is expected to see larger financing options as markets further relax.
  • Slide 41
  • Business Models Evolution PolysiliconIngotWaferCellModuleSystemsProject c-Si Thin Film First Solar ENN Solar Moser Baer Sun Power Sun tech Sharp Manufacturing Solon Solar Business Trends: Module Manufacturers due to decreasing margins are moving in to the development & Installation space. This trend will continue far in to the future. The industry will continue to see downstream integration and very little upstream integration, unless already proficient in the sector. With reduction in 1703 Loan Guarantee Program, and the 1603 Program, governmental backed projects in the utility sector will move to the Distributed Generation models. Module Manufacturers will continue to seek cheaper alternatives, possible Glass on Glass modules (Aluminum Pricing), and lighter weight products (thinner glass alternatives). BIPV will continue to gain strength, and viability in the North American market. Solar Business Trends: Module Manufacturers due to decreasing margins are moving in to the development & Installation space. This trend will continue far in to the future. The industry will continue to see downstream integration and very little upstream integration, unless already proficient in the sector. With reduction in 1703 Loan Guarantee Program, and the 1603 Program, governmental backed projects in the utility sector will move to the Distributed Generation models. Module Manufacturers will continue to seek cheaper alternatives, possible Glass on Glass modules (Aluminum Pricing), and lighter weight products (thinner glass alternatives). BIPV will continue to gain strength, and viability in the North American market. Downstream Integration (Silicon & Wafering) Upstream Integration (Development & Installation) Wacker Suniva Hemlock
  • Slide 42
  • Future Markets
  • Slide 43
  • Solar Markets of the Future: o Caribbean: o With the cost of power at upwards of $.65/kWh with tariff fees, and trash removal at $120/ton. Solar and Hydrogen projects are right for this market. o Current energy production is predominantly made with diesel generators. This drive expensive fossil to be shipped in to islands with very shallow water lanes. o The Caribbean market while dominated by monopoly style utilities with deep political connection are realizing the benefits of Solar and Hydrogen energy production.
  • Slide 44
  • Solar Markets of the Future: o South America: o This market is perfectly fixed in the best sun area in the world. o The cities are growing, and even with an abundance of fossil fuels, the region is understanding that this will not last, and now is the time to look at alternative energy production methods. o Solar Power (All forms) will play a part in this market. o Bio Mass (Hydrogen), will also get a good foothold here.
  • Slide 45
  • Solar Products of the Future: o Residential: o c-Si will still be the dominate leader in the market. c-Si will have to adapt to sleaker designs for aesthetics. o CIGS is also become a market force with adaptation such as the solar shingle, especially as efficiency increases. o Commercial (Energy): o c-Si will still be the market leader, as energy production, and ROI is main driver. o Commercial (Aesthetics'): o a-Si, CdTe, CIGS, and c-Si will all be players in the BIPV industry. New design parameters will have to be met to afford the architect the flexibility needed for avant- garde design. Product must follow design idea. The product cannot lead the artistic idea.
  • Slide 46
  • Solar Products of the Future: o Utility: o Hydrogen products will become a force to recon with in the utility market. Hydrogen Hybrid Solar Projects will become more mainstream. o Energy production, and maintenance are the only thing that matters. Efficiency, water needs, and reclamation are the utility driving forces. ENERGY PRODUCTION IS THE ONLY FACTOR OVERALL ELSE. o Thin films with their excellent use of the solar spectrum, enabling more power manufacturing capability than c-Si will make them a viable option. See Chart Following. o Distributed Generation (DG) will be the mantra going forward. Time to market, bureaucracy, financing, and availability of private land will drive this. o Storage will always be a primary concern. o New storage techniques will be developed: o Gravity Storage (PV) o Molten Salts (CSP)
  • Slide 47
  • Greentech Media: Thin Film 2010 Temp. & Cloudy Effects Power Output by Location:
  • Slide 48
  • Future Products
  • Slide 49
  • Solar Products of the Future: o Crystalline Silica c-Si: o Crystalline will be the dominate technology in the foreseeable future. o Continued development will continue on material loss, efficiency, and production. Efficiency will become the lesser of the three. o c-Si will still dominate the residential, and commercial markets. Utility will be mixed with TF & CSP. o $/Watt by 2015 will be around $.85/watt o Improved module design to move to less obtrusive, and sleek design. (Dow Solar Shingle) o BIPV color developed product for Architectural enhancement. (Thickness of AR Coating) o Incorporated in to the design of the home from beginning for better design case, and wiring design. o Photon translating Glass for maximum photon translation to solar cell.
  • Slide 50
  • Solar Products of the Future: o a-Si: Thin Film: o a-Si is hampered not by the theoretical, but practical limits of efficiency. o The special inherent qualities of amorphous align it to special application in the BIPV arena. (Awnings, Shadow enhancements, Etc) o a-Si will be coupled more with c-Si for Hybrid cells with larger spectrum coverage. o BIPV should be a large focus for a-Si. This product has great potential in this market. o New adaptive designs for architectural markets will be needed.
  • Slide 51
  • Solar Products of the Future: o CIGS: o CIGS will be the dominate player with regard to efficiency, and heat tolerance. o Due to sensitivity and difficulty in taking product to production level, few manufacturers will stay with product, so manufacturing base will be limited. o CIGS should always be cost conscience, so Glass/Glass products will be the dominate product.
  • Slide 52
  • Solar Products of the Future: o BIPV: o North America will be come a large market for BIPV. There is extensive work being done on the standards side, with percentages of building energy derived from renewable resources. DOE is driving for 5% of building energy to come from renewable sources. o From the Lease and Sell perspective, BIPV building due to the lower cost of energy, and new building techniques with renewable products. The building will have better resale value for a longer period of time.
  • Slide 53
  • Solar Products of the Future: o Thermal: o Thermal will always be a good market. South America is next large thermal, and Solar Market. o Thermal with adaptive design can greatly benefit the BIPV market. o CSP: o CSP will play a large role in the future of solar. Some experts say that as much as 25% will come from CSP. I believe that number to be to high, but CSP will play a large role in Utility level power production. What the number will be is anyone's guess.
  • Slide 54
  • Solar Products of the Future: o New Technologies: o Hydrogen Power: o Energy derived from hydrogen gas itself, or mixed with a fuel cell. o Hydrogen generation plants that intake biomass, and or garbage, and output hydrogen gas, and water will be come very predominate in the future. o The cost of energy production is 1/3 the cost of Solar, and has no storage problems. o This is an excellent choice for large commercial, and Utility level energy generation. o This technology will enable Coal fired plant reuse options saving utilities millions of dollars with plant shut downs, and or expensive scrubbing methods. o Leveraging existing asset base with existing power infrastructure will make old, and obsolete plants back online with minimal investment. o The energy needs of the future will not cannibalize any product, but will need each one to be able to power the future.
  • Slide 55
  • Global Solar demand is growing from 7.5GW in 2009 to 31.8GW in 2015 (494% Increase) Global Solar Power has a great potential to be a significant part of the energy, and environmental solution of the future. North American demand has grown from.6GW in 2009 to 2.3GW in 2011 ( 438% Increase) North America is expected to grow to 8.7GW by 2015 North America is not keeping up pace with the forecasted demand. Low Cost Countries see the value in the market, and are driving their economies to be the dominate solar supplier. Conclusions
  • Slide 56
  • Solar Energy Fuels Domestic Job Growth: Each megawatt (MW) of photovoltaic (PV) panels manufactured in the US employs 14 people. Each MW of PV installed on homes in the US employs 14.3 people. Each MW of PV installed on commercial buildings employs 9 people. Each MW of PV maintained employs.3 people. Each MW of solar made and installed in the USA directly creates 25 wellpaying jobs and indirectly supports and induces an additional 63 jobs. Data from the Solar Energy Industry Association
  • Slide 57
  • Solar and other renewable energy sources will be a great driver of jobs in the future. Renewable energy will not cannibalize other energy jobs, as the demand for energy is ever increasing. Renewable energy is not the answer, it is a part of the answer. The energy needs of the future will be driven by all type of energy sources (Renewable, Fossil Fuel, Nuclear). Conclusions
  • Slide 58
  • Thank You! Corona Solar Group, LLC Office: 770-74-7559 Cell: 678-234-8302