the softwood lumber dispute

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The Softwood Lumber Dispute

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The Softwood Lumber Dispute. agenda. Evolution of softwood lumber dispute Underlying causes BC reforms to avoid Forest Revitalization Plan 2006 agreement themes. Modern History of Dispute. Lumber I : early 80s - increased US countervailing duty pressures - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: The Softwood Lumber Dispute

The Softwood Lumber Dispute

Page 2: The Softwood Lumber Dispute

agenda

Evolution of softwood lumber dispute

Underlying causes BC reforms to

avoid Forest Revitalization

Plan 2006 agreement themes

Page 3: The Softwood Lumber Dispute

Modern History of Dispute

Lumber I: early 80s - increased US countervailing duty pressures

Lumber II: 1986 – MOU - export tax Lumber III: 1992 US countervailing duties (6.5%) 1994 - Canadian victory in binational panel

US changes law to undermine basis for ruling 1996-2001 – softwood lumber agreement

Certain amount tax free Substantial export fees above that level

Lumber IV: April 2002 – US DOC final determinations: 27.2% duties Canada won every major case October 2006 – new Softwood Lumber Agreement

October 10, 2013 3

Page 4: The Softwood Lumber Dispute

US arguments

Stumpage system - prices timber at less than market value

Cut controls – flood market at low point of cycle

Log exports – increase supply of domestic logs, depressing price

Direct grants/loans

October 10, 2013 4

Page 5: The Softwood Lumber Dispute

BC Policy Reforms

How US trade pressures influenced BC forest policy - 2003 Market-based pricing Tenure takeback Economic deregulation

Page 6: The Softwood Lumber Dispute

6

Stumpage Defined

Stumpage is the price paid by a licensed forest company for a publicly-owned tree

Page 7: The Softwood Lumber Dispute

October 10, 2013 FRST 415 7

BC’s Stumpage System (until 2004)

Comparative Value Pricing (>90%) Product prices – logging

costs, adjusted to account for gov target revenue

auction-based market pricing (<10%) small business sales

Page 8: The Softwood Lumber Dispute

BC policy reforms announced as response to US softwood lumber challenge

8

Agenda 2

Page 9: The Softwood Lumber Dispute

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BC Proposal in Softwood Lumber Dispute

institute market-based pricing eliminate below-cost sales eliminate “blending” of blocks with significantly

different stumpage values to reduce “cross-subsidies” award new timber rights competitively, by awarding

them to the highest bidder allow Forest Licences and Tree Farm Licences to be

subdivided reduce restrictions on the transfer of tenures, including

eliminating the 5% AAC takeback eliminate “cut control” requirements that require a

minimum amount of timber be harvested regardless of market conditions

eliminate utilization requirements; eliminate appurtenancy provisions that tie harvesting

rights to requirements to process the timber in company-owned mills

Agenda 2

Page 10: The Softwood Lumber Dispute

Decision: Forest Revitalization Plan

Page 11: The Softwood Lumber Dispute

October 10, 2013 FRST 415 11

Forest Revitalization Plan“biggest change in 50 years”

Takeback and Redistribtion 20% taken back from long

term replaceable licences first 200K m3 exempt

10% to auctions 10% redistributed to

First Nations (8%) Woodlots Community Forests

Compensation: $200 million

Page 12: The Softwood Lumber Dispute

October 10, 2013 FRST 415 12

Forest Revitalization Plan“biggest change in 50 years”

Changes in economic regulations allow subdivision and transfer without

penalty eliminate appurtenancy eliminate minimum cut control

requirements

Page 13: The Softwood Lumber Dispute

FRP – Setting a Fair Price

13

Page 14: The Softwood Lumber Dispute

Canada-US Softwood Lumber Agreement of 2006 7 year term, with option to renew for 2 end to litigation, US pledges to dismiss

new actions Canada to receive $4 billion US receives $1 billion

$500 million to US companies $450 million to “meritorious initiatives” $50 million to create a “North American

Lumber Council”

October 10, 2013 14

Page 15: The Softwood Lumber Dispute

Softwood Lumber Agreement of 2006 – managed trade

October 10, 2013 15

Price per thousand board feet

Option A –Export Charge (%)

Option B – Export Charge plus Volume Restraint**

Over US$355 0 0

US$336-355 52.5% + regional share of 34% of U.S. Consumption

US$316-335 103% + regional share of 32% of U.S. Consumption

US$315 or under 155% + regional share of 30% of U.S. Consumption

Page 16: The Softwood Lumber Dispute

Lumber prices – 2001-13

http://cfs.nrcan.gc.ca/selective-cuttings/43

Page 17: The Softwood Lumber Dispute

International Context: Summary International Forces: Contribute to crisis,

constrain reform environmental agreements world market trends

▪ push prices down green markets - certification, boycotts

▪ push costs up, threaten demand US trade pressures

▪ push costs up▪ Force difficult policy reforms▪ major challenge to sovereignty

October 10, 2013 17

Page 18: The Softwood Lumber Dispute

Themes

US trade pressures have pushed costs up and constrained BC’s policy sovereignty.

BC’s market-oriented forest policy reforms were strongly influenced by trade pressures by the United States