the society of petroleum engineers in the world we live in

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The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in. Mr. Egbert U. Imomoh 2013 President In Dallas September 2013

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Page 1: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live

in. Mr. Egbert U. Imomoh

2013 President In Dallas September 2013

Page 2: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Agenda • The world we live in and future energy demand. • World reserves. • New Frontiers. • SPE- yesterday, today and tomorrow.

Page 3: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

The World We Live In • World economy still on the mend.

• Future economic growth uncertain but demand for energy expected to increase.

• Addition to current reserves will become more complex (geology and geography) thus increasing the cost of bringing production to market.

• Production from Unconventionals making an impact.

Page 4: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Drivers for increase in demand for energy

Page 5: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Summary for energy demand

More Energy

demand

More Wealth

More people

Page 6: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Future demand for energy World energy consumption in expected to increase by about 50% between 2008 and 2035 with half of the increase attributed to China and India.

Fossil fuels will continue to supply almost 80% of world energy use in 2035

Renewables are the world’s fastest-growing energy source, at 2.8% per year; renewables share of world energy grows to roughly 15% in 2035

Page 7: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Agenda • The world we live in and future energy demand. • World reserves. • Impact of unconventionals. • SPE- yesterday, today and tomorrow.

Page 8: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2012 © BP 2012

Distribution of proved oil reserves

Page 9: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Distribution of proved gas reserves

BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2012 © BP 2012

Page 10: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Reserves growth over the years Year Oil (billion bbls) Gas (Tcm)

1991 1033 131

2001 1267 169

2011 1663 208

Page 11: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Major areas of change in reserves 1991 to 2011

Oil: Canada +136billon Orinoco+220 billion Russia +120 billion Libya + 17 billion Nigeria + 25 billion

Gas: Russia + 68Tcm Qatar + 30Tcm Australia +3Tcm

Page 12: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Agenda • World reserves. • The world we live in and future energy demand. • New Frontiers. • SPE- yesterday, today and tomorrow.

Page 13: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

World oil production

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Page 14: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

World gas consumption forecast

Page 15: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Agenda • World reserves. • The world we live in and future energy demand. • New Frontiers. • SPE- yesterday, today and tomorrow.

Page 16: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

New Frontiers • Arctic • Deep-water • Application of technology to extract more from

what we already have • Unconventionals

Page 17: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Arctic Frontier U.S. Geological Survey report estimates: • Area north of Arctic Circle may contain

22% of the world’s undiscovered, technically recoverable oil and gas resources.

• 26.6 billion barrels of recoverable oil and 130 trillion cubic feet of natural gas exists

Page 18: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Arctic Frontier: Challenges • Wide temperature variations

(-50° to +30°C) • Extreme cold requires special

facilities and processes. • Huge investment required –

necessitates partnerships • Some projects put on hold.

Page 19: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Deep-water Reserves • Deep-water holds 5-7% of

world’s hydrocarbon resources 40% yet to be discovered.

• In 2010, deep-water contributed 6% of global hydrocarbon production rising to 9% by 2020 as production doubles to nearly 16 million boe/day.

Page 20: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Deep-water Frontier Challenges: • Safety/environment • Deep-water wildcats drilled in 2007

to 2012 had 38% success rate. • High exploration and drilling costs • Small finds are too remote for stand-

alone development.

Page 21: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Impact of Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) • EOR techniques becoming central to meeting

world’s increasing needs. • A 10% incremental recovery of OOIP by EOR and

related technologies can add 600 billion barrels of recoverable oil.

• Over the next 25 to 30 years, EOR can add 25 million BOPD.

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Page 22: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Basins with shale oil and gas

Page 23: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Unconventionals: America Sets the Pace • Many countries have huge reserves of

unconventional oil and gas but the U.S. has used technology at a very rapid pace to produce shale gas/oil.

• Many counties have noticed the development and wish to set sail as well.

The Economist March 16th 2013

Page 24: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

LTO contributes to rising US production

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Page 25: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in
Page 26: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Unconventionals: Why the U.S. Has Succeeded?

• Private rights • Alignment of producer and land owner interest • Developed existing infrastructure/easy delivery

to the market • Large efficient rig fleet and support equipment • Skilled labour staff

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Page 27: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Impact in the US • Increased disposable household income by $1,200 in 2012, rising to $3,500 in 2025; • Generated $74 billion in government revenues in 2012, rising to $138 billion in 2025; • Attracted U.S. capital investments totalling $121 billion in 2012, rising to $240 billion by 2025; • Contributed $284 billion to the U.S. GDP in 2012, rising to $533 billion by 2025; and • Supported $150 billion in earnings for U.S. workers in 2012, rising to $269 billion by 2025. :HIS global study

Page 28: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Obstacles in Other Regions • Monopoly/Lack of competition • Lack of alignment • High-cost regime • Insufficient equipment base • Limited experienced workers • Availability of water.

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Page 29: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

How Will We Measure Future Industry Success?

• Ability to meet the demand for oil and gas • Operate safely in a cost effective/environmentally

friendly manner • Obtain respect and acceptability by society • Ability to attract young talented professionals

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Page 30: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Agenda

• World reserves. • The world we live in and future energy demand. • New Frontiers. • SPE- yesterday, today and tomorrow.

Page 31: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

SPE History

1871 • AIME was founded in Pennsylvania, USA, to advance the production of

metals, minerals, and energy resources through the application of engineering

1913

• Founded as SPE, a constituent society of AIME • Separate incorporation in 1985 1957

• A standing committee on oil and gas was created within AIME and proved to be the genesis of SPE

Page 32: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

One SPE

• SPE is a diverse community of professionals that provides valuable knowledge and services to those professionals and to the industry in varied forms

• Concept of One SPE reflects the goal that each function and activity of the Society should serve the broader membership while addressing local needs, supporting technical and professional excellence, and making wise use of Society resources.

• Voluntary donation of time and talent by SPE members is our most vital asset and the creative energy of volunteers must be encouraged and supported by the Society

One SPE Guiding Principles adopted by the Board in September 2001

Page 33: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

SPE over the last 10 years 10 Years Ago TODAY

Membership professionals/students 55,000+ 110,000+

Number of Sections 150 191

Number of Student Chapters 130 264

Number of SPE Offices 4 7

Number Training Courses & Meetings 30+ 140+

Page 34: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

SPE is unique

• It is a global not-for-profit organization.

• It exists mainly for the benefit of its members, who are the owners of the organization and its major customers.

• While it has a fairly large full time staff, the technical content for the programs of SPE is developed mainly by its members.

• Thus, we are operating an organization in which the owners, workers and customers are all the same people, SPE’s members.

Slide 34

Page 35: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

SPE’s most significant achievements over past decade

–Globalization of SPE membership, offices & services

–OnePetro – multi-society online library –Expansion of conferences, workshops and

training –Young Professionals initiatives –Membership growth

Page 36: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

SPE Global Offices

Dallas (1946) London (1991) Houston (1995) Kuala Lumpur (1995) Dubai (2003) Moscow (2007) Calgary (2009)

Page 37: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Growth in SPE Membership 1960-2012

Page 38: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

SPE Membership Growth

694 392 901 1,7404,185 2,776 1,818 3,224

5,005

26,00029,367 28799

14,112 14,50416,781

22,368

34,614

53,73349,768 48,649 46,913

71,19175,395

81765

1960 1965 1070 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2010 2011 2012

Student Membership Professional Membership

Page 39: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Future growth in membership

52000

2000

110000 2012

???? 2020

39

38,800 1980

Page 40: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

World Reserves and SPE’s Membership

Membership: 13.95% Reserves: 1.10%

Membership: 4.05% Reserves: 3.80%

Membership: 1.96% Reserves: 18.70%

Membership: 11.35% Reserves: 5.40%

Membership: 48.84% Reserves: 9.80%

Membership: 3.09% Reserves: 11.10%

Membership: 15.63% Reserves: 50.00%

Page 41: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Professional Members by Region Year-end 2012

41

48.84%

13.95%

15.63%

11.35%

4.05%

3.09%

1.96%

0.14%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

North America

Europe

Middle East

Asia Pacific

Africa

South America and Caribbean

Russia and Caspian

Unknown

Page 42: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Student Members by RegionYear-end 2012

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Page 43: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Diverse Technical Disciplines

43

25.38%

24.49%

21.17%

10.27%

10.63%

5.73%

2.31%

0% 10% 20% 30%

Drilling and Completions

Reservoir Description and Dynamics

Production and Operations

Management and Information

Unknown

Projects, Facilities, and Construction

Health, Safety, Security, Environment, andSocial Responsibility

Page 44: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Diverse Job Classifications

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Page 45: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Diverse Company Categories

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Page 46: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Increased Number of Conferences, Workshops and Forums

Page 47: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

SPE’s most significant past achievements

–Maintaining membership value along with growth

–Success in bringing together industry societies for joint activities

–Sense of community for E&P industry –Financial strength

Page 48: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

How will we measure future success?

• Ability to meet the demand for oil and gas. • Operate safely in a cost effective/environmentally

friendly manner. • Obtain respect and acceptability by society. • Ability to attract young talented professionals.

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Page 49: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

There will be a scramble for talent • Big crew change. • Expansion of the industry. • Deployment of new technology. • Competition from other sectors. • Not enough students studying science subjects. Deloitte’s 2011 Talent Technology Survey Report, affirms that “nearly two-thirds of executives surveyed identified talent retention as one of their top-two business

challenges.”

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Page 50: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Policies for attracting talent • Sow early seeds. E.g. SPE’s programme of Energy4me and

ambassador programme. • Early contacts with potential recruits. • Packages must be competitive. • Jobs must be challenging. • Mentoring should be in place. • Training must receive topmost attention.

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Page 51: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Threats to SPE Success • Oil and gas price volatility • Technical quality of SPE programs

– SPE must ensure that technical quality is not compromised by growth

• Volunteerism – Growing membership in areas without tradition of volunteerism – Pending retirement of many active volunteers – SPE programming heavily dependent on volunteers

Page 52: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

“Even if you are on the right track, you’ll get run over if you just sit

there.” Will Rogers

So although SPE has been successful over the years we need to continue to position ourselves for a ever changing world.

Page 53: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

The World We Live In: a recap • Future economic growth uncertain but demand for energy

expected to increase.

• Addition to current reserves will become more complex thus increasing the cost of bringing production to market.

• Unconventionals making an important impact.

• IT and telecoms world expanding daily.

• Image of our industry still needs to be improved and stakeholder expectations increasing.

Page 54: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Retreat Objectives • To revisit the SPE mission; create a 10-yr vision

for SPE • To discuss the future direction of SPE • To develop 3-6 key high level strategic

intents/priority goals to guide the institution over the next five years

Page 55: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Why strategic leadership? • In a world that is changing faster than ever…

we should pursue sustained superior performance by: Understanding the external and shaping the

internal. It attempts to anticipate and solve future problems Embracing the ‘new’, modifying the ‘old’ and

jettisoning the no longer relevant

Page 56: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Confirmed SPE’s Mission

To collect, disseminate, and exchange technical knowledge concerning the exploration, development and production of oil and gas resources, and related technologies for the public benefit; and to provide opportunities for professionals to enhance their technical and professional competence

Page 57: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Revised SPE’s Vision Statement

Enable the global oil and gas E&P industry to share technical knowledge needed to meet the world’s energy needs in a safe and environmentally responsible manner

Page 58: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Key Strategic Priorities • Capability development (to support industry in dealing

with the big crew change) • Knowledge transfer • Promoting professionalism and social responsibility • Public education about petroleum engineering

profession and industry issues

Page 59: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

SPE Strategic Framework 2013-2017

Mission

• Collect, disseminate, and exchange technical knowledge concerning the exploration, development and production of …; and to provide opportunities for professionals to enhance their technical and professional competence.

Vision

•Enable the global oil and gas E&P industry to share technical knowledge needed to meet the world’s energy needs in a safe and environmentally responsible manner

Strategic Priorities

• Capability development; Knowledge transfer • Promoting professionalism and social responsibility; SPE as a technical

authority/resource • Image of petroleum engineering profession and industry

Page 60: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Capability Development

• Accelerate competency development • Support faculty development and retention • Fill faculty gap with experienced professionals • Facilitate lifecycle learning strategies (for any career

stage) • Assess competency

Page 61: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Knowledge Transfer • Maintain and enhance technical quality within SPE programs • Address volunteerism issues • Make knowledge available on-demand and in user friendly ways • Address language issues • Take full advantage of communications technologies • Enable identification and closure of technology gaps • Complete and promote use of PetroWiki • Serve as a curator of content • Determine future of peer reviewed journals • Facilitate mentoring

Page 62: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Promoting Professionalism and Social Responsibility • Emphasize SPE professional code of conduct • Incorporate ethics and ethics education in SPE

programming • Provide certification – general as well as discipline specific • Promote safety and environmental protection as high

priorities with our membership • Maintain integrity and independence of SPE

Page 63: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Public Education about Petroleum Engineering Profession and Industry Issues

• Attract young people to the industry • Develop public awareness programs based on

technology • Serve as a technical authority/trusted source of

unbiased information • Leverage membership to provide expertise on technical

issues

Page 64: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Implementation

• Board members identified Top 10 issues for initial implementation efforts

• Board Committees and special work groups will be developing initiatives to allow SPE to make progress in each of these areas

• Board will track progress in these areas and re-evaluate priorities and opportunities periodically

Page 65: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Communications • JPT column by 2013 SPE President, Egbert

Imomoh, in June 2013 discussing new strategic plan

• Strategic plan is posted on the website –English available March 28 –Spanish, Russian, and Chinese translations will be

posted by April 30

Page 66: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

SPE to Continue to Meet Member Needs

Improve Technology Innovation

Contain Costs and Ensure Profitable Programs

Globalize SPE’s Education Program

Target Areas Where Membership is Low

Page 67: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

World oil production

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Page 68: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Revised SPE’s Vision Statement

Enable the global oil and gas E&P industry to share technical knowledge needed to meet the world’s energy needs in a safe and environmentally responsible manner

Page 69: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

Congratulations!

• Your 60 years anniversary. • Outstanding student chapter.

Page 70: The Society of Petroleum Engineers in the world we live in

SPE IS YOU AND YOU ARE SPE