•the renaissance of our industry! - wood...
TRANSCRIPT
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WOOD 120, Fall 2016
Canadian wood products and advanced building systems—revolution or evolution?
Chris Gaston, PhD
TM
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Overview
• Canadian fibre supply
– land base, production and trade
• End-use markets
– Lumber, wood based panels and engineered wood products / composites
• Residential, R&R, non-residential and industrial
– Bio-energy and bio-chemicals
• The renaissance of our industry!– Product and system evolution / revolution
• The Green Economy (?)
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Overview of the Canadian forest sector
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Forests of Canada
• 396.4 M hectares– 166.2 M certified
– 37.3 M national parks
• 2014 (hectares):– 0.72 M harvest (153 M m3)
– 20.3 M lost to insects
– 3.9 M lost to fires
• 67% coniferous, 16% mixed wood and 11% hardwood
• 94% publicly owned
• 30% of the world’s boreal forest
Source: The State of Canada’s Forests, 2012 Annual Report
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Forest industry in Canada—key facts
• Forest Sector Revenues (2014)– Forestry and logging $ 9.3 Billion
– Pulp & paper $24.5
– Wood products $26.5
$60.3
• Contribution to GDP: $20.3 Billion
• Balance of Trade (2015): $22 Billion
• Average Wage per Employee (2011): $52,673 – 16% above the national average
• Jobs (2015): 296,691
Jobs (2013): 361,564
• Research and development (2011)– Wood Products Manufacturing: $95 Million
– Pulp and Paper: $56
– Forestry and Logging: $ 6
Source: FPAC; The State of Canada’s Forests, 2016 Annual Report
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Structural changes in (or affecting) supply
• US housing collapse
• Drop in newsprint consumption
• Rise in lower grade demand (China, bioenergy)
• Rise in CDN $ value against US currency
• Annual allowable cut drops
– Recently Ontario and Quebec; pending in BC with the MPB)
• Increasing fiber costs
• Decreasing fiber quality
• Increasing natural
disturbances
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Wood supply cost in Canada
Source: Wood Resources International, February 2007
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Global fibre supply changes
Source: Pöyry
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Canada forest products exports
Source: Global Trade Atlas
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BC / rest of Canada lumber production
Source: Statistics Canada
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Canada lumber exports
Source: Global Trade Atlas
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Some context: wood-use in the U.S.
Source: RISI, Boston, Massachusetts
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U.S. housing starts
Source: US Bureau of the Census
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‘Stick-built’ platform frame construction
The average cost of rough framing, sheathing, soffit, and door / window installation is as low as $8 per sq. ft.($16,000 for a 2,000 sq. ft. home)
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‘Pre-fab’ platform frame construction
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Move to 6-story multi-family
Source: WoodWorks
Library Square, Kamloops, BC, 2010
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Source: Adera, Vancouver, BC
Residential, University of BC
Move to 6-story multi-family
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Six story hybrid wood-concrete
Source: FPI, Quebec
Quebec, QC2010
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Six story hybrid wood-concrete
Source: FPI, Quebec
Concrete cores/walls to
resist lateral loads
Glulam post & beam
+ Three levels of parking (concrete)
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Five story hybrid wood-concrete
Source: Perkins + Will
Earth Sciences Building, UBC
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Five story hybrid wood-concrete
Source: Perkins + Will
Earth Sciences Building, UBC
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Consumer reaction to Canadian softwoods
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‘Tall Buildings’
Source: Michael Green Architecture
Wood Innovation Design Centre, Prince George, BC
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‘Tall buildings’
Source: Michael Green Architecture
“We are in a unique moment in architectural and building engineering history when shifting world needs has asked us to question some of the fundamentals of how we have built for the last century and how we will build in the next.”
Michael Green
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Wood Works 2014 Design Awards
Project of the Canadian Wood Council
Source: http://wood-works.ca/bc/
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Wood Works 2014 Design Awards
Residential Wood DesignSilver Lake House, WashingtonHewitt+Company Architecture Inc.
Source: http://wood-works.ca/bc/
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Wood Works 2014 Design Awards
Multifamily Residential Wood DesignRed Sky Townhomes, Whistler, B.C.aka architecture + design inc.
Source: http://wood-works.ca/bc/
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Wood Works 2014 Design Awards
Commercial Wood DesignSalmon Arm Savings & Credit UnionRatio Architecture
Source: http://wood-works.ca/bc/
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Wood Works 2014 Design Awards
Interior Beauty DesignForest House, Bowen Island, B.C.JWT Architecture and Planning
Source: http://wood-works.ca/bc/
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Wood Works 2014 Design Awards
Institutional Wood DesignYunesit'in Health Centre, Hanceville, B.C.David Nairne + Associates Ltd.
Source: http://wood-works.ca/bc/
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Wood Works 2014 Design Awards
Western Red CedarLiard River Hot Springs, Liard River, B.C.Formline Architecture + Urbanism
Source: http://wood-works.ca/bc/
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Wood Works 2014 Design Awards
EngineerBow River Bridge in Banff, AlbertaFast + Epp Structural Engineers
Source: http://wood-works.ca/bc/
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Wood Works 2014 Design Awards
Wood ChampionPeter Busby Perkins + Will
Source: http://wood-works.ca/bc/
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Wood pellets
Source: www.pellet.org
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Bio-pathways
Source: http://fpac.ca/
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Bio-pathways
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Pellets East medium
Ethanol via Fermentation+ H&P
Power Direct
Newsprint
MDF
OSL
BCTMP + H&P Medium
Biocarbon East Small
Particle Board
Methanol via Syngas (E)
Syngas for lime kiln
Biocarbon West Small
NBHK + H&P Medium
Power via gasification med (E)
LWC
FT Diesel Mega
Value Added MDF
NBSK + Ethanol + H&P
OSB medium
Full Fractionation
Value Added Particleboard
Ethanol via Syngas (E)
NBSK + H&P Medium
CHP Direct
Pellets West medium
SPF West medium
CHP via Pyrolysis
Nexterra Syngas dryer
Nexterra CHP small (<10Mw)
CHP (17.8 MW)
Lignol Commercial Brownfield
LVL large
Acetate via Syngas (E)
Pyrolysis Stand-alone
Torrefied Pellets West
Cross Laminated Timber - Medium
BC Central Interior ROCE – Normalized
Source: FPInnovations
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Life cycle assessments
Source: Athena Sustainable Materials Institute
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Bio-pathways II—value pathways in construction
• Market Leader Interviews
– Architects feel very strong social / environmental responsibility
• Survey state of market-ready and emerging technologies / products
• Address business models of innovation
– How to foster new product development
Source: http://fpac.ca/
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Value pathways in construction
Forest Industry Transformation (IFIT) program provided$190 million in 2010/2014 to help with the “valley of death”.
Source: http://cfs-scf.nrcan-rncan.gc.ca/selective-cuttings/51
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Examples of new tech / product development
• Past
– Heavy focus on commodities
– Heavy focus on manufacturing cost reductions
– More limited:
• Wood modification
• Engineered wood products
• Present / future
– Growing interest in engineered wood products and systems
• Solid and Composites
– Bio-energy
– Bio-chemicals
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Treated lumber
Source: US Borax
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Thermally modified wood
Source: ThermoWood
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Chemically modified (acetylated) wood
Source: Accsys Technologies
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Non structural composites
Source: Trex
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Decking
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Decking
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Decking
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Decking
At stake for the U.S. market?
$4-5 billion annually
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Profiled decking
Source: FPInnovations
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Profiled decking
Source: FPInnovations
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Sound abatement panels
Source: FPInnovations
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Glulam
Source: Chantiers Chibougamau
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Glulam
Source: Nordic, Structurlam, Western Archrib
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Laminated Veneer Lumber (LVL)
Source: FPInnovations
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Laminated Veneer Lumber (LVL)
Source: FPInnovations, Quebec City office/laboratory
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Cross laminated timber
Source: FPInnovations
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Cross laminated timber
Source: KLH
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Cross laminated timber
8-Storey buildings, Växjö, Sweden
9-Storey building, London, UK
Source: KLH
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Cross laminated timber
Source: KLH
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Kobe-level seismic test
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Cross laminated timber
FPInnovations has carried out a number of studies to develop seismic factors for CLT as a lateral load resisting system.
Source: FPInnovations
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Courtesy of McFarland Marceaua r c h i t e c t s l t d
UBC Bio-energy R&D Project
Cross laminated timber
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Cross laminated timber
Source: http://www.naturallywood.com/resources/brock-commons-time-lapse
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Parallel and laminated strand lumber (PSL. LSL)
Source: FPInnovations, Weyerhaeuser
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Joists
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Scrimtec
High yield process using pulp wood (low value wood)
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Dascanova
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Light weight panels / partition walls
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Wood fibre insulation
Source: http://www.gutex.de/en/Products/Installation_and_Product_Information/#
Steico, Actis, Pavatex, Gutex and others
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Biodiesel
Rudolf Diesel
Rudolf Diesel's designed his demonstrated engine in Germany in 1893 running on nothing but peanut oil.
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Biodiesel
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Biochemicals / bioproducts
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Star Trek replicator
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3-D printing
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3-D printing
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The ultimate goal
Transportation Fuels
Other Fuels and Products
Chemicals, Plastics, Rubber
Petroleum End-uses
70%
26%
4%
Revenues
43%
42%
15%
Source: T. Werpy, 2009 BioWorld Conference (Modified by Tom Brown)
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Evolution and revolution—summary
Construction
• Construction industry is $8 trillion worldwide
• Innovation and supplying solutions rather than materials (installed costs, lifecycle costs, etc.)
• Pulp and paper and building products strategies: integration and synergies
• Shift in building types demanded triggered by changing demographics and market trends
– Panelized systems in SF construction and mid-rise MF buildings
– Hybrid solutions in non-residential construction
– Opportunities for conventional products in non-residential
– Multifunctional panels
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Evolution and revolution—the path ahead
Construction
• More industrialized
– Prefabrication
– Engineering
• Focus on energy efficiency
• Relying increasingly on information technologies (such as CAD)
• Multidisciplinary approach: architects / designers / builders / developers
• Value chain approach will determine sector champions
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Evolution and revolution—the path ahead
Bio-energy and bio-chemicals
• Economics favour traditional non-renewables
– Including wood pellets, in the absence of European subsidies
• Bio-chemicals
– Economics also a big issue
– Need for finding high-value markets to
compensate
• Therefore, need to link to traditional
forest products (lumber, composites, pulp)
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Questions?
Chris Gaston
+1 604 827 1417