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  • 8/17/2019 The Pace of Life - Reanalysed

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    The Pace of Life - Reanalysed: Why Does Walking Speed of Pedestrians Correlate with City

    Size?Author(s): Peter Wirtz and Gregor RiesSource: Behaviour, Vol. 123, No. 1/2 (Nov., 1992), pp. 77-83Published by: BRILLStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/4535062 .

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  • 8/17/2019 The Pace of Life - Reanalysed

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    Behaviour23

    (1-2)

    1992,

    E.

    J.

    Brill,

    Leiden

    THE PACE OF LIFE

    -

    REANALYSED: WHY DOES WALKING

    SPEED OF PEDESTRIANS

    CORRELATE

    WITH

    CITY

    SIZE?

    by

    PETER

    WIRTZ')

    and

    GREGOR

    RIES2)

    (Institut

    fur

    Biologic

    der

    Universitat

    Freiburg

    and

    Forschungsstelle

    fur

    Humanethologie

    in der Max

    Planck

    Gesellschaft)1

    (With

    3

    Figures)

    (Acc. 29-X-1992)

    Summary

    In a

    much

    quoted study,

    BORNSTEIN

    BORNSTEIN

    1976)

    showed that the

    walking speed

    of

    pedestrians

    is

    positively

    correlated

    with the

    size of the

    city.

    They interpreted

    the

    higher

    walking speed

    of

    people

    in

    larger

    cities

    as a

    psychological response

    to

    stimulatory

    overload.

    We also found a

    positive

    correlation between

    walking

    speed

    and

    city

    size.

    In

    addition,

    we

    showed that

    -

    at

    least

    in

    our

    sample

    -

    larger

    cities

    had

    higher proportions

    of

    young

    males

    and lower

    proportions

    of

    people

    older than 60

    years.

    Walking

    speed

    and

    momentary

    density

    did

    not correlate

    positively.

    Because

    walking speed

    is

    age-

    and

    sex-dependent (Fig.

    2),

    differences in

    population

    structure are

    likely

    to cause

    differences

    in

    average walking speed.

    The

    average walking

    speed predicted

    for each

    city according

    to its

    age-

    and

    sex-composition

    correlated

    positively

    with

    city

    size. The

    regressions

    of

    observed

    walking

    speed

    on

    population

    size

    and of

    walking

    speed

    predicted

    from

    age

    structure

    on

    population

    size

    did no differ

    significantly

    in their

    slopes (p

    >

    0.95).

    It

    therefore seems

    unnecessary

    to invoke

    other factors

    in

    addition to

    age

    composition

    to

    explain

    differences

    in

    average

    walking

    speeds

    of

    pedestrians.

    Introduction

    With the

    catching

    titel

    The

    pace

    of life

    BORNSTEIN

    BORNSTEIN

    (1976)

    published

    the

    results of a

    much

    quoted study

    showing

    that

    the

    walking

    speed

    of

    pedestrians

    is

    positively

    correlated

    with the

    size of

    the

    city.

    The

    measurements

    of the

    walking speed

    of,

    on

    average,

    20

    people per city

    were

    taken on the main

    roads

    of

    15 towns

    or cities in

    the

    USA, Ireland,

    Germany,

    Israel,

    Greece and

    Czechoslowakia,

    ranging

    in

    size

    from 365

    to

    2.6 million inhabitants. Later,

    BORNSTEIN

    (1979) published additional

    1)

    Address

    for

    correspondence:

    Dr. P.

    WIRTZ,

    Universidade da

    Madeira,

    Largo

    do

    Colegio,

    P-9000

    Funchal,

    Portugal,

    Madeira.

    2)

    Many

    thanks

    for

    helpful

    discussions

    to

    colleagues

    at

    the

    Forschungsstelle

    fur

    Human-

    ethologie

    der

    Max

    Planck

    Gesellschaft

    and in

    the

    Wickler

    department

    of the

    Max

    Planck

    Institut fur

    Verhaltensphysiologie.

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  • 8/17/2019 The Pace of Life - Reanalysed

    3/8

    WIRTZ

    & RIES

    measurements

    from six

    further

    cities,

    confirming

    the

    initial result.

    The

    psychologists

    M.

    & H.

    BORNSTEIN

    interpreted

    the

    higher walking speed

    of

    people in larger cities as a response to stimulatory overload: increased

    walking

    speeds

    serve to minimize

    environmental

    stimulation .

    In

    our

    study,

    which

    measured

    the

    walking speeds

    of

    people

    at

    14

    different

    places

    in

    Germany,

    France,

    Switzerland and

    Italy,

    we also

    found

    a

    positive

    correlation between

    walking speed

    of

    pedestrians

    and

    city

    size.

    In

    addition,

    we

    attempted

    to find

    the

    proximate

    reason that

    directly

    determines

    walking

    speed

    and

    apparently

    somehow correlates

    with

    city

    size.

    Material and

    methods

    Following

    the

    procedure

    described

    by

    BORNSTEIN

    BORNSTEIN

    (1976)

    we

    measured the

    walking

    speed

    (the

    time

    taken to cover a

    distance of

    15 to

    20

    m)

    of

    123

    to

    1258

    pedestrians

    on

    the main

    shopping

    roads of 14 cities

    varying

    in

    population

    size

    from

    5200

    to more than

    2

    million

    (Table 1).

    As

    the measurements

    were taken between

    November and

    April,

    tempera-

    tures were lower than in

    BORNSTEIN'S

    study

    (between

    0 and

    10°C

    versus

    24°C).

    To

    avoid

    observer

    bias,

    the

    first

    single

    unobstructed

    person entering

    the

    measuring

    strip

    was

    chosen

    as a

    subject

    in

    every

    case.

    In

    addition,

    we noted

    the

    follwing

    variables:

    -

    number of

    people walking

    in

    the

    opposite

    direction and

    passing

    the

    observed

    subject

    while that

    person

    was

    crossing

    the

    measurement

    strip,

    TABLE

    1.

    Population

    size,

    sample

    size,

    walking speed

    and

    sample

    composition

    towns

    and

    cities

    place

    population

    N

    subjects

    V

    %20-30 males %>60

    VD

    Berlin

    2157695 1033

    1.36

    8.02 23.15

    1.37

    Hannover

    505875

    985

    1.46

    24.99

    6.22

    1.44

    Karlsruhe

    268309

    291

    1.46

    25.78

    14.10

    1.43

    Freiburg

    185669

    1258 1.39

    12.71 16.89

    1.40

    Basel

    175000

    904

    1.44

    9.49

    14.95

    1.39

    Varese

    89146

    253

    1.36

    10.68

    9.90 1.41

    Colmar

    66694

    326

    1.35

    8.88

    17.78

    1.40

    Lahr

    34566

    293

    1.40

    12.28

    12.60

    1.42

    Emmendingen

    23653

    502 1.41

    7.76

    17.73

    1.39

    Waldkirch

    18879

    489

    1.35

    4.70

    22.53

    1.37

    Bad

    Krozingen

    12084 275

    1.33

    1.10 40.37

    1.32

    Breisach

    10021 274

    1.48

    5.73

    23.00

    1.38

    Laveno

    8830

    123

    1.28 5.68

    28.47

    1.36

    PonteTresa

    5200 253

    1.22

    4.32 29.66

    1.37

    V

    =

    average

    walking

    speed

    of

    pedestrians

    ms-1)

    %20-30 males

    =

    percent

    20-30

    year

    old

    males

    in

    the

    population;

    %>60

    =

    percent

    of

    people

    older

    than 60

    years

    n

    the

    population;

    VD

    =

    walking

    peedpredicted

    from

    age-

    and

    sex-composition.

    78

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  • 8/17/2019 The Pace of Life - Reanalysed

    4/8

    THE

    PACE OF

    LIFE

    -

    REANALYSED

    79

    -

    number of

    people

    on the measurement

    strip

    immediately

    after the

    subject

    had left

    it,

    -

    sex

    of the

    subject,

    -

    estimated

    age

    of the

    subject

    in

    the

    classes

    15-20, 21-30, 31-40,

    41-50, 51-60,

    older than

    60 years (persons estimated to be younger than 15 years were not counted).

    Results

    Walking

    speed

    and

    city

    size.

    Average

    walking speed

    (V)

    correlated

    positively

    with the

    logarithmic

    value

    of

    city

    size

    (logpop),

    following

    the

    equation

    V = 0.043

    x

    logpop

    + 1.169

    (r

    =

    0.461, p

    <

    0.05, one-tailed).

    Figure

    1

    shows the

    relation between

    walking speed

    and

    city

    size for all

    36 cities for

    which

    data

    are

    available

    (BORNSTEIN

    &

    BORNSTEIN, 1976;

    BORNSTEIN,

    979,

    this

    study,

    plus

    a value for the German

    city Offenburg

    1.8- ·

    1.6

    -

    E

    14

    IC

    E 1.4--

    V0

    _

    .

    1.2-

    .' 1.0

    -

    /

    *

    ·

    .0

    -

    0.8-

    0.6

    -

    i

    I

    I I I

    I

    I

    I

    100 1000 10000 100000 1000000

    population

    size

    Fig.

    1.

    The relation between

    average walking speed

    of

    pedestrians

    and

    city

    size.

    based on

    the

    walking speed

    of

    1232

    pedestrians

    measured

    by

    S.

    KoPKA

    during

    a student's

    practical:

    V

    =

    1.52

    m/s,

    logpop

    =

    4.7).

    The

    equation

    for the total

    sample

    is

    V = 0.19 x logpop + 0.42

    (r

    =

    0.76,

    p

    <

    0.0001,

    two-tailed).

    Walking speed

    and

    momentary

    density

    of

    people.

    For the

    city

    of

    Freiburg

    (the

    place

    with

    the

    highest

    sample size),

    we

    correlated the

    walking

    speed

    of

    pedestrians

    with

    two

    measures of

    momen-

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  • 8/17/2019 The Pace of Life - Reanalysed

    5/8

    80

    WIRTZ & RIES

    tary density,

    namely

    number of

    people

    walking

    in the

    opposite

    direction

    and

    passing

    the observed

    subject

    while

    that

    person

    crossed the

    measure-

    ment strip and number of people on the measurement strip imme-

    diately

    after the

    subject

    had left

    it ;

    we also correlated

    walking speed

    with

    the

    logarithmic

    values of these two measures. The

    walking

    speed

    of

    neither

    male nor female

    subjects

    correlated

    with

    these

    variables;

    the

    resulting eight

    correlation coefficients

    ranged

    between -0.003 and

    -0.19,

    none

    of

    them

    approachig

    significance

    level.

    Walking speed

    and

    age

    or sex

    of

    subject.

    It

    is,

    of

    course,

    well known that males tend to walk faster than females and

    that older

    people

    tend to

    walk

    slower than

    younger people

    (references

    in

    WALMSLEY

    LEWIS,

    1989). Higher

    walking

    speed

    of males is due to

    larger

    stride

    length

    and not to

    higher

    stride

    frequency

    (S.

    KOPKA& C.

    KRAMER,

    unpublished

    students'

    report).

    The

    average

    walking speed

    of

    males and

    females of

    each

    age

    class was calculated

    separately

    for

    every city.

    The

    mean of these

    means

    gives

    a

    walking

    speed

    typical

    for each

    age-

    and

    sex-

    class and

    independent

    of

    city

    size.

    The

    relation between

    walking

    speed

    and

    age

    or

    sex is shown

    in

    Fig.

    2.

    City

    size and

    population composition.

    Because

    walking speed

    was found to be

    age-

    and

    sex-dependent,

    we

    tested

    whether cities of different sizes

    differed

    in

    their

    population composition.

    In

    our

    sample, population composition

    covaried with

    city

    size

    in a

    system-

    atic

    way:

    larger

    cities tended to have

    higher proportions

    of

    20

    to

    30

    year-

    old

    males,

    i.e.

    higher

    proportions

    of the fastest

    walking

    class

    (r

    =

    0.62,

    p

    <

    0.02,

    two-tailed)

    and

    larger

    cities tended

    to

    have lower

    proportions

    of

    people

    older

    than

    60

    years,

    i.e.

    lower

    proportions

    of the two slowest

    walking

    classes

    (r

    =

    -0.56,

    p

    =

    0.03,

    two-tailed):

    Table 1.

    Walking speed

    and

    population composition.

    Because

    larger

    cities have

    higher

    proportions

    of

    people

    that

    walk

    fast and

    lower proportions of people that walk slowly, differences in age- and sex-

    composition

    could

    perhaps already

    explain

    the faster

    walking speeds

    observed in

    larger

    cities.

    Using

    the data on

    age

    and

    sex of the

    people

    measured in

    each

    city,

    and

    using

    the

    average age-

    and

    sex-specific

    walk-

    ing

    speeds

    calculated

    previously,

    a

    demographic walking

    speed

    VD

    was

    calculated;

    this is

    the

    average

    walking

    speed predicted

    for each

    city

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  • 8/17/2019 The Pace of Life - Reanalysed

    6/8

    THE

    PACE

    OF LIFE

    -

    REANALYSED

    81

    1.6

    -

    male

    w

    1.5_

    *

    female

    E

    1.4

    -

    U

    1.3-

    '

    1.2-

    o

    1.1-

    i

    I I I

    60

    age (years)

    Fig.

    2.

    Average walking

    speed

    of

    men and women

    of different

    age

    classes.

    *

    observed

    o

    expected

    1.5

    -

    @ 0

    0

    o obs.

    lo·

    _

    _ ,

    __

    exp.

    Q.

    '

    1.3-

    100

    100

    1 0 1

    1000 10000 100000

    1000000

    population

    size

    Fig.

    3.

    Walkingspeed

    observed and

    predicted

    from

    age-

    and

    sex-composition.

    according

    to its

    age-

    and

    sex-composition

    and

    independent

    of

    its size

    (Table

    1).

    Demographic

    walking

    speed

    was

    positively

    correlated with

    population

    size,

    indicating

    that

    differences

    in

    the

    age

    and sex

    composition

    of

    the

    cities do

    already

    explain higher

    walkings

    speed

    in

    larger

    cities. The

    regression

    equation

    was

    VD

    =

    0.02

    x

    logpop

    +

    1.29

    (r = 0.502, p = 0.07, two-tailed).

    The

    unexpectedly

    low

    walking

    speed

    at the

    city

    of Berlin

    apparently

    is

    caused

    by

    an

    atypically

    high

    proportion

    of

    older

    people

    and an

    atypically

    low

    proportion

    of

    younger

    people

    (see

    Table

    1).

    Observed

    walking

    speed

    V and

    demographic

    walking

    speed

    VD

    were

    positively

    correlated with r

    =

    0.572

    and

    p

    =

    0.032,

    two-tailed.

    The

    partial

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  • 8/17/2019 The Pace of Life - Reanalysed

    7/8

    82

    WIRTZ

    & RIES

    correlation coefficient between

    city

    size and

    observed

    walking

    speed

    was

    0.346

    (p

    >

    0.10,

    two-tailed),

    i.e.

    considerably

    smaller

    than

    the

    partial

    correlation coefficient of 0.579 (p <.05, two-tailed) between demo-

    graphic

    walking speed

    and observed

    walking speed.

    Figure

    3

    compares

    the

    walking

    speeds

    measured

    in

    the

    14

    cities and the

    demographic

    walking speeds

    calculated

    for

    these

    places.

    The

    slopes

    of

    the two

    regression

    lines were

    compared

    by analysis

    of covariance.

    They

    do

    not differ

    significantly (p

    >

    0.95).

    Discussion

    BORNSTEIN & BORNSTEIN

    (1976)

    measured the

    walking speeds

    of,

    on aver-

    age, only

    20

    people per

    city.

    Even had

    they

    thought

    of

    it,

    they

    would have

    been unable to test for the influence

    of

    the

    age

    composition

    of the

    population

    on

    walking speed

    in

    their data.

    We

    have shown

    that

    -

    in

    our

    data

    set,

    at least

    -

    the

    populations

    sampled

    in

    different cities did

    not

    have

    the same

    age

    structure.

    Apparently, systematic

    differerences

    in

    the

    age

    structure of the

    14

    cities observed

    by

    us

    already

    explain higher walking

    speed in larger cities.

    The variance

    in

    measured

    walking

    speed

    is much

    greater

    than that in

    demographic walking speed. Clearly,

    other

    factors

    than

    age

    and sex

    influence

    walking

    speed.

    In

    the towns of

    Varese,

    Colmar, Laveno,

    and

    Ponte

    Tresa

    walking speed

    was

    much lower

    than

    that

    predicted

    from

    population

    composition.

    A

    more leasure life

    style

    in Latin

    towns than

    in German

    ones is

    one

    of

    several

    speculations

    one

    might

    put

    foreward as a

    possible

    reason.

    Another factor whose

    influence would

    have to be consid-

    ered in future studies is body size: in the northern hemisphere, southern

    populations

    of

    Homo

    sapiens

    tend to

    be smaller than

    northern

    ones and

    therefore

    probably

    have shorter

    stride

    lengths.

    In

    the

    study

    by

    BORNSTEIN

    & BORNSTEIN

    (1976),

    small

    towns

    were

    predominantly

    from

    southern

    areas

    and

    large

    cities

    predominantly

    from

    northern areas

    -

    the

    possible

    reason for a much

    larger

    regression

    coefficient

    in

    the

    equation

    found

    by

    BORNSTEIN& BORNSTEIN

    (1976).

    In

    addition to

    differences

    in

    age

    structure,

    sex

    composition,

    and

    aver-

    age body size, psychological phenomena such as the one envisioned by

    BORNSTEIN & BORNSTEIN

    (1976)

    could

    influence the

    average

    walking speed

    of

    pedestrians.

    The

    observation

    that there was no

    positive

    correlation

    between

    walking speed

    and

    momentary density (if any,

    the trend was a

    negative correlation)

    argues against

    the

    particular

    explanation

    offered

    by

    BORNSTEIN

    &

    BORNSTEIN.

    If

    increased

    walking speed

    served

    to

    reduce

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  • 8/17/2019 The Pace of Life - Reanalysed

    8/8

    THE PACE

    OF LIFE

    -

    REANALYSED

    83

    stimulatory

    overload we

    would

    expect higher

    walking speeds

    at

    higher

    densities.

    The regression of observed walking speed on population size and the

    regression

    of

    walking

    speed predicted

    from

    age

    and

    sex

    composition

    on

    population

    size

    resulted

    in

    two

    slightly

    different lines

    (Fig.

    3).

    The

    slope

    of

    the curve

    with the observed

    walking

    speed

    is the

    steeper

    of the

    two,

    indicating

    that there

    might

    be an

    additional factor

    correlating

    positively

    with

    population

    size.

    The statistical

    comparison

    of

    the

    two

    lines,

    however,

    showed that there is

    a

    97%

    probability

    of the

    difference

    between the

    lines

    being

    a

    chance

    product.

    At

    present,

    it

    therefore seems

    unnecessary

    to

    invoke additional factors other than age composition to explain the

    differences

    in

    average walking

    speeds

    of

    pedestrians.

    References

    BORNSTEIN,

    . H.

    (1979).

    The

    pace

    of

    life:

    revisited.

    -

    Int.

    J.

    Psychol.

    14,

    p.

    83-90.

    -&

    BORNSTEIN,

    . G.

    (1976).

    The

    pace

    of

    life.

    -

    Nature

    259,

    p.

    557-559.

    WALMSLEY,

    .J.

    &

    LEWIS,

    G.J. (1989).

    The

    pace

    of

    pedestrian

    flows

    in

    cities.

    -

    Environ-

    ment

    and Behaviour

    21,

    p.

    123-150.

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