the new new west economic forum: dr. scott mcalpine, panel speaker

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Pathways to Success: Post-Secondary Education as an Economic Necessity The “New New West” Prepared by Scott McAlpine, President November 8, 2012

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Dr. Scott McAlpine's panel presentation at the NEW New West Economic Forum, November 8, 2012

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Page 1: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

Pathways to Success: Post-Secondary Education as an Economic NecessityThe “New New West”

Prepared by Scott McAlpine, PresidentNovember 8, 2012

Page 2: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

Key Messages

1. BC needs a more highly educated and skilled population to remain internationally competitive

2. New Westminster is an education destination

3. Douglas College is a major regional economic driver

4. Douglas is pursuing a vigorous growth agendato better serve the needs of BC

14/11/2012 2

Page 3: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

A Call to Action for Post-Secondary Education

Education and Skills Challenge

Demographic

Challenge

(Aging Population and Low Growth)

Economic Challenge

(International Knowledge

Economy and Low Productivity)

14/11/2012 3

Page 4: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People,Ontario Projections

14/11/2012 4

Source: R. Miner, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People

Page 5: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

11/14/2012 5

BC’s Aging Population

Page 6: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

Dependency Ratios, BC - Projected to 2036(Ratio of out of Labour Force to in Labour Force)

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040

Youth Dependency

Elderly Dependency

Total Dependency

Source: Data from BC Stats

Page 7: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

BC’s Population Change

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Year

19

72

19

74

19

76

19

78

19

80

19

82

19

84

19

86

19

88

19

90

19

92

19

94

19

96

19

98

20

00

20

02

20

04

20

06

20

08

20

10

20

12

20

14

20

16

20

18

20

20

20

22

20

24

20

26

20

28

20

30

20

32

20

34

Components of BC Population Change to 2036 - Thousands

Natural Increase

Net Interprovincail

Net International

Source: Data from BC Stats

Page 8: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

BC Labour Force Demand by Skill Level –Total Job Openings 2010-2020

14/11/2012 8

Source: Government of BC, Skills for Growth

Page 9: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

BC 10 Year Labour Force Demand VersusCurrent Supply by Educational Attainment

(Percent of Population Age 15+)

14/11/2012 9

Source: HRDC and Government of BC, Skills for Growth

Page 10: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

Credentials Granted by Fiscal Year:Mainland Southwest Excluding JIBC

14/11/2012 10

Source: Data from BC Advanced Education

Page 11: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

Jobs of Tomorrow are Not the Jobs of Today

Tomorrow’s Jobs:

25% of Job Classifications are NEW every 25 years

Existing Jobs Re-Invented Every 15 Years

The Educational Challenge:

Need to Educate and Train for Skills, Adaptation, and Innovation

Requires Critical Thinking, Teamwork, Literacy and Numeracy Skills

14/11/2012 11

Page 12: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

Doing and Discovery: About Douglas

14/11/2012 12

Douglas is the college of doing and discovery.We encourage academic exploration to help students discover what they love to do.We emphasize hands-on learning and applying knowledge to real-world situations.

Page 13: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

About Douglas

14/11/2012 13

We embrace the use of open dialogue to help our students develop the skills needed by today’s global citizens and leaders. Both inside and outside the classroom, our students are immersed in a culture of ideas, innovation and critical thought.

We believe our foundations of doing and discovery come together in dialogue.

Page 14: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

More opportunities for students

14/11/2012 14

• Nine degree programs (and growing)

• Six post-degree programs (and growing)

• Over 30 career programs (and growing)

• Easy transfer to and from other universities and colleges

Page 15: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

Douglas College Domestic FTE Growth: Actual to 2011, Projected to 2015

14/11/2012 15

6,000

6,500

7,000

7,500

8,000

8,500

9,000

9,500

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Page 16: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

Our vision for 2015

14/11/2012 16

Douglas College is the largest and most progressive baccalaureate degree-granting College in British Columbia

Goals:

• Seamless Learner Pathways

• Superior Teaching Quality

• Internationalization

• Experiential Learning

• Student and Employee Engagement

• Social Responsibility, Environmental Stewardship, Financial Accountability

Page 17: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

Some Quick Douglas College Facts

Douglas is larger than any other Non-Trades College in BC and is larger than any Teaching University except Kwantlen

Douglas employs 1739 people (FT and PT) and is the second largest employer in New Westminster

Douglas College’s annual regional economic contribution is over $225 million

Douglas attracts approximately 1100 International Students

New Westminster is an Education Destination

14/11/2012 17

Page 18: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

Key Messages

1. BC needs a more highly educated and skilled population to remain internationally competitive

2. New Westminster is an education destination

3. Douglas College is a major regional economic driver

4. Douglas is pursuing a vigorous growth agendato better serve the needs of BC

14/11/2012 18

Page 19: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

Strategic planning – Vision 2015www.douglascollege.ca/about/presidents-office/strategic-planning

Page 20: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

Academic Preparedness of Grade 12 Graduates of 2009/10 (STP Data)

Douglas Region BC

No Academic GPA* 47% 52%

Admissible to RU (GPA > 75%)

39% 34%

6 Year High School Graduation Rate

New Westminster 74Burnaby 81

Maple Ridge – Pitt Meadows 78Coquitlam 89

80%

14/11/2012 20

* English 12 plus the student's other three best academic (provincially examinable) Grade 12 courses.If students did not take at least three academic Grade 12 courses, no Academic GPA is calculated.

Page 21: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

Douglas College Share of Graduating Students by Regional School District

District Year Douglas Share Immediate Transition

N of Students (Immediate)

Douglas Share All Grads

Burnaby 2001/02 14 146 8

2009/10 13 151 8

Coquitlam 2001/02 33 426 17

2009/10 30 393 15

New Westminster

2001/02 34 61 15

2009/10 36 90 19

Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows

2001/02 25 81 9

2009/10 20 71 6

Surrey 2001/02 6 102 3

2009/10 6 142 314/11/2012 21

Page 22: The NEW New West Economic Forum: Dr. Scott McAlpine, Panel Speaker

Strategic planning – Vision 2015www.douglascollege.ca/about/presidents-office/strategic-planning