the micronutrient report - nutrition international · the micronutrient report current progress and...

100
Current Progress and Trends in the Control of Vitamin A, lodine, and Iron Deficiencies The Micronutrient Report John. B. Mason Mahshid Lotfi Nita Dalmiya Kavita Sethuraman and Megan Deitchler The Micronutrient Initiative

Upload: trananh

Post on 15-Aug-2019

229 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Current Progress and Trends in the Control of Vitamin A,lodine, and Iron Deficiencies

The Micronutrient Report

John. B. MasonMahshid LotfiNita DalmiyaKavita Sethuraman and Megan Deitchler

The

Micronutrient

Initiative

The Micronutrient ReportCurrent Progress and Trends in the Control of Vitamin A, Iodine, and IronDeficiencies

Micronutrient deficiencies are a significant cause of malnutrition and associated illhealth throughout the world. This is particularly true in the developing world, wherenearly 20% of the population suffers from iodine deficiency, about 25% of childrenhave subclinical vitamin A deficiency, and more than 40% of women are anaemic.Micronutrient deficiencies also lead to impaired growth and cognitive development,birth defects, cretinism, and blindness, as well as decreased school and workperformance and poor general health.

The Micronutrient Report summarizes current data on the prevalence of vitamin A,iodine, and iron deficiencies and reports on the implementation and progress ofprograms to battle these deficiencies in developing countries. Prepared by theDepartment of International Health at Tulane University, the Micronutrient Initiative,and UNICEF, this report is the first in what will be a ongoing series on the state ofmicronutrient nutrition and the battle against micronutrient deficiency. It sets areference point by which priorities for program content and coverage can be betterinformed and a baseline from which progress in deficiency prevention can bemeasured. Part 1 summarizes prevalence trends for deficiencies of vitamin A, iodine,and iron; part 2 describes the status of current programs aimed at preventing orreducing micronutrient deficiencies. The report is illustrated with numerous statisticaltables, figures, and maps.

John B. Mason is a professor in the Department of International Health andDevelopment at Tulane University (USA). From 1986 to 1996, he was TechnicalSecretary of the United Nations Coordinating Committee on Nutrition based at theWorld Health Organization in Geneva. He is also past Director of the CornellNutritional Surveillance Program. Mahshid Lotfi is Senior Program Specialist for theMicronutrient Initiative, where she monitors and helps to develop internationalhealth, nutrition, and development programs in Asia, Africa, and Latin America. Sheholds a doctorate in physiological nutrition from the University of London (UK). NitaDalmiya works for the Nutrition Division in the United Nations Children’s Fund(UNICEF) in New York. Kavita Sethuraman is currently completing doctoral researchat the Centre for International Child Health, University College, London, UK. She hasworked for the United Nations Coordinating Committee on Nutrition and as acommunity-based nutritionist in the inner city of Boston and in the South Pacific.Megan Deitchler currently works at Tulane University as program coordinator for amulticentre micronutrient project. She holds a master’s degree in public health fromTulane University.

,!7IB8J4-cbhbih!ISBN 1-894217-18-7

L'Initiativemicronutriments

The MicronutrientInitiative

The Micronutrient Report

Current Progress and Trends in the Control of

Vitamin A, Iodine, and Iron Deficiencies

The MicronutrientReportCurrent Progress and Trends in the Control of

Vitamin A, Iodine, and Iron Deficiencies

John. B. MasonDepartment of International Health and Development, Tulane University School ofPublic Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, LA, USA

Mahshid LotfiMicronutrient Initiative, Ottawa, ON, Canada

Nita DalmiyaNutrition Section, United Nations Children’s Fund, NY, USA

Kavita Sethuraman and Megan Deitchlerwith Scott Geibel, Kari Gillenwater, Amy Gilman, Karen Mason, and Nancy MockDepartment of International Health and Development, Tulane University School ofPublic Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, LA, USA

SCH

OO

LOF

PUBLIC HEALTH & TROPICAL

MED

ICIN

E

•T

UL

AN

E

UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES

CE

NT

ER

ESTAB L ISHED 1912

Published by the Micronutrient InitiativePO Box 8500, Ottawa, ON, Canada K1G 3H9http://www.micronutrient.org

© International Development Research Centre 2001

NNaattiioonnaall LLiibbrraarryy ooff CCaannaaddaa ccaattaalloogguuiinngg iinn ppuubblliiccaattiioonn ddaattaa

Main entry under title :The micronutrient report : current progress and trends in the control of vitamin A, iron, and iodinedeficiencies

Includes bibliographical references.Co-published by Micronutrient Initiative.ISBN 1-894217-18-7

1. Vitamin A deficiency — Developing countries.2. Iron deficiency anemia — Developing countries.3. Iodine deficiency diseases — Developing countries.4. Regional medical programs — Developing countries.I. Mason, John B.II. Micronutrient Initiative (Association)III. International Development Research Centre (Canada)

RA645.V56M52 2001 615’.328 C2001-980031-2

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, ortransmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, or otherwise, without the prior permission of the International Development Research Centre. A microfiche editionis available. IDRC Books endeavours to produce environmentally friendly publications. All paper used is recycled as well as recyclable. All inks and coatings are vegetable-based products.

One or more photos in this pubication were selected from Photoshare, the online database of theMedia/Materials Clearinghouse at the JHU/Population Information Program at www.jhuccp.org/mmc.Cover photos, clockwise from top: Mohsen Allan (93-28), Mohsen Allan (93-20), Liz Gilbert, courtesyof the David and Lucille Packard Foundation (2355-14).

Published in association with theInternational Development Research CentrePO Box 8500, Ottawa, ON, Canadahttp://www.idrc.ca

v

Cont

ents

ContentsForeword . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ix

Acknowledgments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xi

Executive Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xiii

Part I. Trends in Prevalences . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1

1. Introduction — What Are We Trying To Find Out? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1

2. Data and Analytical Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3

Measurement and Indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3

Data Sources for Population Assessments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6

Issues in Aggregating Data, Making Comparisons, and Assessing Trends . . 7

Samples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

Cutoff Values . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10

Biological Groups . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11

Seasonality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12

Aggregation of Data to Standard Time . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13

Estimation of Trends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18

3. Results: Trends in Reducing Micronutrient Deficiencies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21

Recent Trends in Prevalence of Vitamin A Deficiency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21

Recent Trends in Prevalence of Iodine Deficiency Disorders . . . . . . . . . . 23

Recent Trends in Prevalence of Anemia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26

Levels of Vitamin A, Iodine, and Iron Deficiencies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30

Overlaps and Multiple Deficiencies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36

4. Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39

Part II. Program Implementation in the 11990s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41

1. Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41

2. Types of Programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42

3. Methods, Data Sources, and Treatment of Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44

General Principles of Data Treatment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45

Vitamin A. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45

Iodine . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47

Iron. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48

Multiple Micronutrient Programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT]vi

4. Results: Progress in Micronutrient Deficiency Control Programs. . . . . . . . . 49

Control of Vitamin A Deficiency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49

Control of Iodine Deficiency Disorders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56

Control of Iron Deficiency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60

Addressing Multiple Deficiencies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62

5. Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67

References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69

Appendix 11.. Prevalence of clinical signs of vitamin A deficiency in preschool children . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76

Appendix 2. Prevalence of subclinical vitamin A deficiency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77

Appendix 3. Prevalence of iodine deficiency disorders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78

Appendix 4. Prevalence of anemia in pregnant women 15–49 years of age. . . . 80

Appendix 5. Prevalence of anemia in nonpregnant women 15–49 years of age . 82

Appendix 6. Prevalence of underweight for 1995 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84

Appendix 7. Prevalence of underweight in 1995 and most recent survey years . 86

Appendix 8. Status of micronutrient supplementation policies and fortification legislation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88

Appendix 9. Procurement of vitamin A capsules in relation to need for children 6–12 and 12–59 months of age . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95

Appendix 1100.. Countries with national immunization days (NIDs), micronutrient (M-NUT) days, Extended Programs for Immunization (EPIs) coupled with vitamin A capsule distribution, or policies for postpartum supplementation, 1998 . . . . . . . . . . 102

Appendix 1111.. Households consuming adequately iodized salt . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106

Appendix 1122.. Reported program coverage for iron supplementation during pregnancy, 1996 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108

Appendix 1133.. Estimated adequacy of supply and reported program coverage for vitamin A, iodine (through iodized salt), and iron . . . . . . . . 110

Tables1. Indicators of micronutrient deficiencies as established by WHO . . . . . . . . . 4

2. Estimates of clinical and subclinical prevalences of vitamin A deficiency in relation to multiplication factors (WHO 1995). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9

3. Summary of five surveys of subclinical vitamin A deficiency reported in WHO (1995) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9

4. Prevalence of anemia (hemoglobin < 120 g/L) in nonpregnant women 15–49 years of age . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29

5. Prevalence of anemia (hemoglobin < 110 g/L) in pregnant women 15–49 years of age . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29

6. Prevalence and number of preschool children affected by clinical vitamin A deficiency, 1985–1995 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31

vii

Cont

ents

7. Prevalence and number of preschool children affected by subclinical vitamin A deficiency, 1995. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32

8. Prevalence and number of people (all ages) with goitre (visible + palpable) in 1990 and 1998 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34

9. Prevalence and number of women (15–59 years of age) affected by anemia in 1995 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35

10. Prevalence of nutritional problems and implied overlap of deficiencies in preschool children . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38

11. Preferred initial approaches to prevention and control of vitamin A, iodine, and iron deficiencies in populations at different levels of micronutrient malnutrition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43

12. Numbers of countries with micronutrient supplementation policies and fortification legislation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50

13. Regional procurement of vitamin A capsules in relation to need . . . . . . . . . 52

14. Countries with priority for external provision of vitamin A supplements . . . 53

15. Distribution of vitamin A capsules in relation to national immunization days (NIDs), micronutrient (M-NUT) days, Expanded Programs for Immunization (EPIs), and postpartum supplementation policies . . . . . . . . 55

16. Percentage of mothers receiving high-dose vitamin A capsules within 4–8 weeks after delivery in countries reporting presence of a program . . . . . 56

17. Commodities being used for fortification with vitamin A in operational country programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57

18. Households consuming adequately iodized salt, 1995–1998 . . . . . . . . . . . . 57

19. Regional procurement of iron supplements in relation to need . . . . . . . . . 61

20. Commodities being used for fortification with iron . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63

21. Regional procurement in relation to need for vitamin A, iodine, and iron. . 66

Figures1. Prevalence of subclinical vitamin A deficiency in Southeast Asia . . . . . . . . . 15

2. Trends in clinical vitamin A deficiency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19

3. Clinical vitamin A deficiency in preschool children. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21

4. Subclinical vitamin A deficiency in preschool children . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22

5. Trends in iodine deficiency disorders for nine countries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24

6. Prevalence of iodine deficiency disorders in school-age children. . . . . . . . . 26

7. Prevalence of anemia among nonpregnant women 15–49 years of age . . . . . 27

8. Prevalence of anemia among pregnant women 15–49 years of age . . . . . . . . 28

9. Estimated prevalence of clinical vitamin A deficiency among preschool children in 1985 and 1995 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32

10. Estimated prevalence of subclinical vitamin A deficiency among preschool children in 1995 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33

11. Estimated numbers of preschool children affected by subclinical vitamin A deficiency in 1995 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33

12. Prevalence of anemia among women 15–49 years of age in 1995 . . . . . . . . . 35

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT]viii

13. Summary of regional prevalences of underweight, subclinical vitamin A deficiency, iodine deficiency disorders, and anemia among preschool children in 1995 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37

14. Reported program coverage with high-dose vitamin A capsules for preschool children in 1998 and estimated adequacy of external capsule supply . . . . . . 53

15. Prevalence of subclinical vitamin A deficiency and reported coverage of vitamin A supplementation programs in 1998 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54

16. Households receiving adequately iodized salt for the period 1995–1998. . . . 58

17. Prevalence of iodine deficiency disorders and percentage of households receiving adequately iodized salt . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59

18. Reported program coverage with iron supplementation for pregnant women in 1996 and estimated adequacy of external supply . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62

19. Prevalence of anemia among pregnant women and reported coverage of iron supplementation programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64

20. Percentage of countries reporting high program coverage for vitamin A supplementation, iodine fortification, and iron supplementation . . . . . . . . 65

ix

Fore

wor

d

Micronutrient deficiencies are asignificant cause of malnutrition andassociated ill health among populationsin developing countries. Deficiencies invitamin A, iodine, and iron are knownto be especially prevalent and areassociated with a range of mild (andoften reversible) to severe (and oftenirreversible) effects. At the subclinicallevel of micronutrient deficiency, poorgeneral health and decreased school andwork performance are likely to result,and mortality risk increases. Knownclinical outcomes of micronutrientdeficiencies include impaired growth and cognitive development, poor birthoutcomes, anaemia, cretinism, andblindness.

Global prevalences of micronutrientdeficiencies are remarkably high. In thedeveloping world, more than 40% ofwomen are anaemic, nearly 20% of thepopulation suffers from iodine deficiencydisorders (IDDs), and about 25% ofchildren have subclinical vitamin Adeficiency. The level of clinical vitaminA deficiency is now falling quite rapidly(MI et al. 1998). The prevalence ofIDDs must also be falling in regionswhere the salt is iodized, but as yet thedata are too scarce to verify this. Foranaemia, however, there is no evidence of improvement.

To understand the full extent of theproblem, a reliable assessment ofdeficiency prevalence and proper moni-toring and evaluation of micronutrientprograms are required. To respond to thisneed, the Department of InternationalHealth at Tulane University, theMicronutrient Initiative, and the UnitedNations Children’s Fund (UNICEF)have cooperated in the preparation ofthis report. The report summarizes currentdata on the prevalence of vitamin A,iodine, and iron deficiencies and reportson the implementation and progress of programs to battle these deficienciesin developing countries. Each of thehundreds of different data pointsassembled and analyzed herein representsubstantial data-collection efforts bymany people, all over the world. The

Micronutrient Report is presented in twoparts: (1) a summary of prevalencetrends for deficiencies of vitamin A,iodine, and iron; (2) a description ofthe status of current programs aimed at preventing or reducing micronutrientdeficiencies.

It is hoped that this report helps both to establish a reference point by whichpriorities for program content andcoverage can be better informed and abaseline from which progress in deficiencyprevention can be measured. The baselineestimates, given here and to come in the

Foreword

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT]x

future, will provide for updated trendestimates in future reports. The reportaims to give guidance on appropriatemethods for future assessment of trendsin deficiencies and interventions. It alsoidentifies specific gaps in existing data —anaemia prevalences at the national levelfor instance — that need to be addressed.National surveys need to be carried outregularly, with attention to comparabilitythrough time and between countries.Proper evaluations will not only help tobetter assess the progress of programsbut will also help to inform the mostcost-effective and sustainable means ofpreventing micronutrient deficiencies.

Tulane University, the MicronutrientInitiative, and UNICEF are pleased toreport the great increase in the extent ofmicronutrient policies and programs,especially vitamin A supplementationand salt iodization. Many countries haveimplemented large-scale programs to reduce vitamin A and iodinedeficiencies. Accelerated decreases in theprevalence of micronutrient deficienciescould rapidly result from furtherprogram expansion.

The time is right to act more widely stillon micronutrient deficiencies. Althoughencouraging progress is already evident,much more remains to be achieved.Low-cost interventions are alreadyavailable, and research for additionalsolutions is advancing. More resourcescould be mobilized toward the effort,and more effective programs could beimplemented on a larger scale. Controlof micronutrient deficiencies, notablyIDDs and vitamin A deficiency, is set to become a major public health andnutrition success story, in the league of

smallpox eradication. We hope that thisreport — intended to be the first of aregular series, in print and availableonline with regular updates — willprovide useful information forexpanding and supporting these efforts.

M.G. Venkatesh MannarExecutive DirectorThe Micronutrient InitiativeOttawa, Canada

Werner SchultinkSenior Advisor, MicronutrientsUNICEFNew York, USA

Robert MagnaniActing ChairDepartment of International Health and DevelopmentSchool of Public Health and Tropical MedicineTulane UniversityNew Orleans, USA

xi

Ackn

owle

dgem

ents

This report results from a great deal of data compilation and analysis by many people. The epidemiological dataoriginated from hundreds of surveys,usually analyzed in the countriesconcerned, and then summarized andcompiled through international bodiessuch as the World Health Organization,the United Nations University, theInternational Council on the Control of Iodine Deficiency Disorders (mostlythrough the University of Virginia), and the United States Agency forInternational Development and itscontracting institutions such asOpportunities for MicronutrientIntervention, the International Vitamin A Consultative Group, theInternational Nutritional AnemiaConsultative Group, and others.Program data came both from responsesto questionnaires by country offices ofthe United Nations Children’s Fund(UNICEF) and from demographic andhealth surveys (Macro International),multiple indicator cluster surveys, andlocal surveys. Both earlier and morerecent compilations of information onpolicies, legislation, and programs in the MN-Net — a system of onlinedatabases maintained by theMicronutrient Initiative (MI), which was itself updated as part of this

work — all contributed. Some of thematerial on vitamin A was previouslypublished in Progress in Controlling Vitamin A

Deficiency (MI et al. 1998). Our thanksare due to the many people who haveworked at the different stages to measureindicators, accumulate data, and analyzeand summarize the information.

We are grateful for comments fromJean-Pierre Habicht, Fernando Viteri,and François Delange, who reviewed Part I of the report, and UNICEF, MI, and Tulane University staff whochecked the voluminous data in Part II.

At UNICEF, Roger Shrimpton andWerner Schultink provided support and help in many ways. At the MI,Venkatesh Mannar showed patience and gave encouragement. Many thanks to these and others at their institutions.

Our particular thanks are due to staff in the UNICEF country offices forcompleting the questionnaires and toTulane University students — some of whom are coauthors — and others who contributed in various ways:Roxanne Johnson, Pam Opdyke, Nate Smith, and Erica Wetzler.

Acknowledgments

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT]xii

We gratefully acknowledge financialsupport from the MI to the Depart-ment of International Health andDevelopment, Tulane University School of Public Health and TropicalMedicine, to enable this work to beundertaken.

John B. Mason, PhDMahshid Lotfi, PhD

xiii

Exec

utiv

e Su

mm

ary

Micronutrient deficiencies affect nearly half of humanity. In this report,we summarize the extent of and trends in deficiencies of vitamin A, iodine, and iron (in part I) and progress inprograms for their control (in part II).The main purpose is to establish abaseline from which to set priorities for program interventions and forconducting research and development to accelerate progress.

A view of trends through time is neededto assess progress: it makes a lot ofdifference whether matters are gettingbetter or worse, how fast the changes are occurring, and whom they affect.Part I of this document describesmicronutrient deficiencies and theirtrends, and Part II presents informationon program implementation. Where thetrends show improvements, the issuesinclude how to sustain the interventionsand generate permanent solutions —achieving full coverage, with adequatemonitoring and quality control. Wherethere are no real trends of improvement,steps are needed to find and implementeffective, large-scale programs suited toconditions in poor countries.

Overlap between deficiencies andinteractions between nutrients have so far received relatively scant attentionin large-scale programs. However,supplementation and fortification withmultiple micronutrients may make moresense both biologically and operationallyand should result in enhanced healthbenefits. Viewing the information in amore integrated way is thus the logicalnext step, rather than perpetuating theboundaries between deficiencies, whichexist mostly for recent historical reasons.We can also learn from comparing andcontrasting experiences with collection,analysis, and interpretation of dataconcerning different deficiencies, which in turn should lead to moreeffective and integrated surveillance in the future. In this document,underweight in children is also includedfor comparative purposes, in partbecause it is the most widely availableindicator of general malnutrition.

Recent trends in prevalences of clinical vitamin A deficiency, assessed by comparing results of repeatednational surveys (available from eightcountries), have shown improvements.

ExecutiveSummary

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT]xiv

Furthermore, comparisons of regionalestimates of the prevalence of clinicalvitamin A deficiency for 1985 and 1995 indicate an overall trend of strongimprovement. The global prevalence of clinical vitamin A deficiency for 1995is probably best estimated as 1.2% inpreschool children (a value based onreported prevalences that have not beenreduced according to assumptionsrelated to survey coverage, such as theWorld Health Organization [WHO]multiplication factor; the globalprevalence would be 0.6% if this factorwere used — see Table 2). For subclinicalvitamin A deficiency, defined as serumretinol level of less than 0.7 µmol/L, thetrend is less clear because of the scarcityof data; however, calculations based onsubclinical results, which are almostalways obtained from surveys conductedindependently of assessments of clinicalvitamin A deficiency, support the ideathat a significant improvement is underway. On a global basis, it is estimatedthat 75–140 million preschoolers areaffected by subclinical vitamin Adeficiency, with the upper limit of thisrange thought to be more likely. Thehighest prevalences of both clinical andsubclinical vitamin A deficiency occur in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa,where 30% to 40% of preschoolchildren are at heightened risk of illhealth and death because of thisdeficiency and which is home to 100 million of the 140 million people worldwide who are affected bysubclinical vitamin A deficiency.

By the late 1990s, about half of thecountries in the developing world hadadopted national policies for addressingvitamin A deficiency, including two-thirds of countries in East Asia and thePacific region and one-third of those inthe Middle East and northern Africa. Inmost cases, distribution of high-dosevitamin A capsules was an important part of the policy. Over the period1993–1998 over 100 million capsules,on average, were distributed annually,and high levels of coverage were achievedin many countries in the mid-1990s.Operationally, it is useful to identifycountries with high prevalence ofvitamin A deficiency and low coverage of the population throughsupplementation programs, which would be possible priorities for programdevelopment, as well as countries withsignificant prevalence of deficiency andhigh coverage through supplementationprograms, but low ability to procure thesupplement. Some of these countries(those without domestic sources ofvitamin A capsules) might have priority for external provision of thesupplement. Such considerations arguethat priority for program developmentshould go to Burundi, Chad, India,Malawi, and Pakistan, and that thequestion of increasing the externalsupply of capsules to Bangladesh and the Philippines should be explored.These analyses should be updated asprograms change.

xv

Exec

utiv

e Su

mm

ary

Thirty-nine countries reporteddistribution of vitamin A supplementsduring national immunization days or in conjunction with other massimmunization campaigns. In the African countries, this was by far thecommonest method, and severalcountries distributed supplements in this way although they had no nationalpolicy on supplementation. Vitamin Asupplementation is also being integratedinto routine visits to mother and childhealth clinics and is occurring throughcommunity-based nutrition programs.These methods reportedly lead to highcoverage rates for children. Moreover,44 countries reported adoption ofpolicies for supplementation of allmothers with a high-dose vitamin Acapsule within 8 weeks after childbirth.

Fewer than half of the roughly 50 countries that have a national policyfor addressing vitamin A deficiency alsohave legislation governing fortificationof foods with this micronutrient. InLatin America and the Caribbean,supplementation is not a commonapproach, and more reliance is placedon fortification. Sugar and margarineare the commodities most often fortifiedin developing countries (usually whenlegislation is in place, except for sub-Saharan Africa); maize flour, vegetableoil, rice, and dairy products are alsoused. Research and pilot projects areunder way in several other countries.

Overall, a judicious conclusion is thatvitamin A deficiency is extensive andserious, but that there is an underlyingtrend of improvement, which could beaccelerated by large-scale programs.

The prevalence of iodine deficiencydisorders, assessed as visible pluspalpable goitre, is about 20% to 30% in Africa and the easternMediterranean region (includingPakistan); estimates for Southeast Asiaare lower. The total number of peopleaffected in these countries was estimatedat nearly 600 million in 1998, out of atotal of 740 million people thought tobe affected by goitre worldwide. About80 national surveys of goitre have beencarried out since 1970, but only for 8 countries were repeat surveys that werelikely to be comparable identified. Fortwo additional countries (Cameroon andPeru) progress was tracked by a sentinelsite monitoring system.

It appears that rapid improvementoccurs when adequately iodized salt, withwide population coverage, is introduced.This outcome is expected, given thelong-established effectiveness of saltiodization. What is uncertain is thetrend before widespread programs wereimplemented. [In most of the countriesfor which repeat data are available, someextent of iodine-deficiency control hadbeen undertaken.] Thus, a pattern ofimprovement has been observed inEthiopia, Indonesia,

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT]xvi

Viet Nam, and Zambia. About 68% ofhouseholds are now getting adequatelyiodized salt, and three-quarters of thecountries in the developing world havelegislation in place for iodization of salt. Nearly 90% of households in Latin America and the Caribbean areusing adequately iodized salt. Thecorresponding figures are 65% to 75%for Asia, 50% to 74% for sub-SaharanAfrica, and about 50% for the Near East and northern Africa. The lowestcoverage with adequately iodized saltoccurs in the former Soviet Union.Countries that should have priority forassistance might be those with significantprevalences of goitre (e.g., more than10%) and low percentages of householdsusing adequately iodized salt (e.g., lessthan 30%) — examples are Burkina Faso,Ethiopia, Ghana, Mauritania, and thePhilippines.

A comparison of the estimates for 1990and 1998 indicates little change in theprevalence of iodine deficiency disordersover this period. When the results fromnationally representative surveys arepooled by groups of countries andperiods (1980–1989, 1990–1999), the averages indicate no overallimprovement and indeed possibledeterioration. This apparent increase,reported by the WHO, may reflectincreased effort to identify the deficiencyin recent years and should probably not be taken as evidence for generaldeterioration. It does, however, supportthe idea that significant improvementoccurs only when effective salt iodizationprograms are in place. It also stresses the

lack of representative data that wouldallow a better assessment of trends.

Improving quality control for the iodinecontent of salt is now a key issue. Lack ofquality control is one major reason thataccess to iodized salt is not even higherthan it is. The other reason is thatdistribution and marketing of iodizedsalt still has not reached more remoteareas, which is a particular problem incountries where there are large numbersof small, traditional producers.

No repeated, comparable survey resultsat the national or subnational level couldbe found for iron deficiency, which isusually assessed as anemia. Thus, directcomparisons for determining trends arenot possible. This situation is seriousnow but will become worse if twodeliberate efforts are not begun soon:first, to select existing survey results andensure that repeat surveys generatingcomparable data are undertaken, andsecond, where such surveys do not exist,to begin establishing a baseline fromwhich trends can be estimated in thefuture. The data compiled for thisreport showed too great a variation to allow any meaningful conclusions.The results for nonpregnant women,representing about 90% of the femalepopulation, are more likely thanpregnant women to be representative ofthe overall population. Prevalences havebeen calculated for 1995, and they aresimilar to the averages for the period1975–1997 since there is little apparentchange over time. These values show that Asian countries have the highest

xvii

Exec

utiv

e Su

mm

ary

prevalences of anemia among bothnonpregnant and pregnant women,about 60%. For developing countries as a group, the average prevalences are42% and 56% for nonpregnant andpregnant women, respectively, and anestimated 1.14 billion nonpregnantwomen and 96 million pregnant women are anemic.

The variation among regions tends to be higher for pregnant women than fornonpregnant women, which confirms a wider range of anemia prevalencesamong subgroups of the population.Despite this variation, a consistentpattern of higher prevalence amongpregnant than among nonpregnantwomen is evident across all regions, and the numbers of women affected are increasing. An exception is in SouthAsia, perhaps because prevalences havealready peaked in this region. The datavary enormously, although they havebeen carefully examined for possibleerrors. It is reasonable to stateconservatively that there has been nodetectable change in any region. But astronger assertion may be valid: there isno improvement in rates of anemia formost women in developing countries.

Pregnant women are the most commontarget group for iron supplementationprograms, and it is mainly for this groupthat data on program coverage areavailable. For the 39 countries reportingon coverage, the range is wide; somecountries reported up to 100% coverage(e.g., Cuba and Nicaragua), whereasothers, such as Tunisia, reported very

low coverage (10%). These figures aresomewhat difficult to interpret, as theyrefer only to women registered inprograms and do not estimate adherenceto the required regimen of frequentsupplementation throughout pregnancy.Furthermore, not many countriesreported supplementation programs,and, for those that did, the programsbore little relation to need. Althoughprogram coverage needs to be expanded,there is a sense that countries may bewaiting for better methods to beidentified and demonstrated.

Data from the United Nations Children’sFund (UNICEF) on procurement ofiron tablets are less informative thandata for vitamin A capsules, because ahigher proportion of iron supplementsare obtained from suppliers other thanUNICEF. Nonetheless, the supply ofiron tablets may be much lower than theneed; only 3% of the need for pregnantwomen is currently being met byUNICEF. Even if the supply in relationto need were calculated on the basis ofweekly supplementation, this supplywould still be less than 20% of the needfor pregnant women. Because supplyproblems have been considered a majorconstraint, improvement of the low levelof external supply could be a step towardgreater program effectiveness.

Fortification of foods with iron is ofgreat potential importance, and forti-fication of wheat is being widely adopted;this is especially relevant where wheat isthe staple food. Solutions to thetechnical problems that remain for

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT]xviii

fortifying rice would represent a majorbreakthrough in controlling irondeficiency, and such solutions can beanticipated in the foreseeable future.Meanwhile, a number of othercommodities are being tried at bothexperimental and large scales — premixesto be added to rice and commerciallyprocessed foods (e.g., in Thailand), saltin India and elsewhere (which presentsseparate technical challenges, particularlyif iodized salt is used), and sugar.

The prevalence of multiple (two or more)deficiencies is estimated at between 10%and 25% among preschool children.Such estimates are valuable for providingsome idea of the extent of the problemand stressing that tackling one micronu-trient at a time may lead to only limitedsuccess in controlling the effects ofmicronutrient deficiencies. Twenty-eightcountries have policies for addressing allthree of the deficiencies that currentlyhave priority (vitamin A, iodine, and iron).Although these policies have not yet beentranslated into integrated approaches(such as multiple supplementation andfortification), these countries couldprovide valuable opportunities now formultiple micronutrient supplementationand fortification interventions.

In summary, iodization of salt is the mostextensive micronutrient intervention atpresent. Coverage through vitamin Asupplementation is 60% or more in about30 countries, half of these in Asia andsub-Saharan Africa; in Latin Americamore reliance is put on fortification with vitamin A than supplementation.Iron supplementation is lagging: only 20 countries report more than 60%

coverage of pregnant women, and thisfigure is likely a considerable overestimateof actual supplementation, given theknown logistic and adherence problemsfor iron tablets.

Control of micronutrient deficiencieshas gathered much momentum in the past 10 years. The trends areundoubtedly positive for iodine andvitamin A. For iodine, the improvementis due to iodized salt. For vitamin A,there is a positive underlying trend thatmust be accelerated by continuing andexpanding programs of supplementationand fortification (which must overlap,not substitute for, one another until it issafe to do so). Research on controllingiron deficiency is urgently needed, mainlyto find effective fortification methods.Multiple micronutrient interventionsshould increase in importance. Thecurrent momentum must be sustainedand reinforced. With this momentum,the goals of eliminating or greatlycontrolling these deficiencies can beachieved in the foreseeable future.

The extent of micronutrient deficienciesis well known. The World HealthOrganization (WHO) estimates thatanemia affects about 2 billion people in the world (WHO 1997), or aboutone-third of the population, womensuffering the most. Judging by the extent of goitre, the usual sign of iodinedeficiency, about 13% of the populationor 740 million people are disadvantagedthrough lack of this nutrient, of whichonly minute amounts are needed (WHO 1999). Vitamin A deficiency,while less common clinically, is presentin subclinical form — increasing risks of ill health and death — in at least

one-quarter of children in developingcountries (WHO 1995; MI et al. 1998).Moreover, these problems certainlyoverlap and interact, so many peoplemust have multiple deficiencies.

Such estimates of prevalences andnumbers of people affected, summarizedby groups of countries and over rangesof time, are periodically issued by the United Nations (UN) system.Comprehensive regional estimates ofdeficiencies of vitamin A, iodine, andiron were released in 1992 (ACC/SCN1992, chapter 3) and updated in 1996(ACC/SCN 1997). National and

1

Wha

t ar

e w

e tryi

ng t

o fin

d ou

t?[

TREN

DS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

1.Trends inPrevalences1. INTRODUCTION — WHAT ARE WE TRYING TO FIND OUT?

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]2

subnational estimates are available on the Micronutrient Initiative (MI) Web site (MI 1999), which is nowupdated to 1999.

Although keeping information up to date is important, its assembly andinterpretation as a basis for policy andprogram decisions are crucial. Withoutthese steps, we are “flying blind.” Twoaspects are particularly useful. First, aninternally consistent review of the extentand severity of deficiencies, for allaffected countries at a defined point intime, is needed to determine prioritiesfor resource allocations. Second, a reviewof trends in deficiencies through time, ata reasonable level of disaggregation, isneeded to assess progress: it makes a lot of difference whether matters are gettingbetter or worse, how fast the changes areoccurring, and who is affected. Evaluationresearch is needed to determine whetherpositive changes can be ascribed tointervention, although this may requirecollection of specific new data rather than interpretation of existing cross-country data.

The consequences of single micronutrientdeficiencies and the best means ofcontrolling them are adequately estab-lished as a basis for advocacy and foreffective control of the deficiencies. For example, the US Institute ofMedicine has recently issued a definitivepublication covering the three majorknown deficiencies (Howson et al.1998b), and the MI, individualmicronutrient groups such asInternational Vitamin A Consultative

Group, and UN agencies have allprovided guidance on specific nutrients.Overlap between deficiencies, and theirinteractions, have so far not received asmuch attention, and an attempt is madeto do so later in the current report.

The most obvious deficiencies are theeasiest to tackle, and those more difficultto observe tend also to be the mostdifficult to prevent. This pattern extendsto the quantitative demonstration of the consequences of deficiency and tomonitoring. Thus, vitamin A deficiency is known to cause blindness and itsprevention demonstrably protects sight, as well as substantially reducing death inchildren (and probably mothers) in areasof deficiency. Moreover, prevention canbe readily achieved through an infrequentsupplement, whose distribution can bemonitored in a straightforward manner.Similarly, iodine deficiency has visiblydistressing results, such as cretinism,which is easily prevented, at least inprinciple, by iodized salt, and the use ofiodized salt can also be simply tracked.Conversely, iron deficiency anemia is lessreadily observed and less easily prevented.General malnutrition, assessed by growthfailure, often goes unrecognized but is the largest single risk factor in the globalburden of disease (Murray and Lopez1997). It can be improved throughcommunity-based programs, but these are much more complex than those aimed at micronutrient deficiencies.

Comparative data on nutrientdeficiencies and progress in controllingthem must therefore also redress these

3

Dat

a an

d an

alyt

ical

met

hods

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

perceptual imbalances, between obviousand more easily tackled problems andtheir opposites. As will be seen, thisapplies notably to iron deficiency. It isvery likely that other deficiencies areimportant but not systematically assessedand that they interact with the better-recognized ones. The control ofmicronutrient deficiencies no longerfocuses on one deficiency at a time, andmultiple micronutrient supplementationand fortification may make more senseboth biologically and operationally.

Viewing the available information in amore integrated way is thus the logicalnext step, rather than perpetuating theborders between deficiencies, which existmostly for recent historical reasons. Inthis report, underweight in children isincluded for comparative purposes, in part because it is the most widelyavailable indicator of malnutrition. We can learn also from the experienceswith data collection, analysis, andinterpretation by comparing andcontrasting the deficiencies, which inturn should lead to more effective andintegrated surveillance in the future.Moreover (as will be seen), time shouldbe taken to obtain baseline data designed

to be comparable over time — withoutsuch data now (and it is scarce in manyareas), it will not be possible to assesschanges in the future, nor to implementfully effective interventions now.

The overall aim of this report is tosummarize trends and levels ofdeficiencies to determine priorities forprogram interventions and development,including research. Thus, where thereare established trends in eliminatingdeficiency, sustaining the interventionsand moving to more permanentsolutions may be the issues. At the same time, fostering full coverage ofthose affected (or, for iodine, fosteringuniversal coverage) becomes a priority,along with good monitoring and qualitycontrol. Where there are no real trendsof improvement, steps are needed tofind effective programs suited to theservices and structural conditions ofpoor countries and to find innovativeways to implement such programs on a large scale. The results in this part of the report describe the deficienciesand their current trends. Part II of thereport presents information on programimplementation, to guide policy forprogram development.

2. DATA AND ANALYTICAL METHODS

Measurement and IndicatorsThe indicators of micronutrientmalnutrition for vitamin A, iodine, and iron, as established by WHO andassociated bodies, are summarized inTable 1 (WHO 1994, 1996; WHO,

UNICEF, UNU 1997; Howson et al.1998b). Clinical indicators are commonto all three. Subclinical (biochemical)measurement is also important, especiallyfor vitamin A (for which deficiencyappears as low serum levels of retinol).

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]4

The characteristics of measurement anddata differ for the various deficienciesand their control methods. The basicmeasures of vitamin A deficiency and iodine deficiency disorders have historically been clinical signs:xerophthalmia and goitre, respectively.

The eye changes referred to asxerophthalmia are relatively rare, with a prevalence of about 1% in preschoolchildren in affected areas. Therefore,large sample sizes are needed foraccurate estimates. This matters most for assessing the significance of changesover time; the certainty with whichdifferences between groups (usuallydefined by administrative or geographicareas) are known is usually lessimportant.

In contrast, the prevalence of goitre is higher, so smaller samples may beneeded; however, the assessment methodscan change over time and are sensitive tothe level of training of enumerators. Forinstance, in four surveys in Bangladesh,the reported total prevalence of goitre was 29% in 1962–1964, 14% in 1975,11% in 1981–1982, and 47% in 1993(condition visible in 9%) (Yusuf et al.1993). The apparent sharp jump in 1993(a much higher estimate than in similarcountries, and one that occurred aftercontrol measures had been initiated)seems to indicate that these results arenot fully comparable, perhaps in partbecause of differences in training torecognize goitre that is palpable but not visible.

Table 1. Indicators of micronutrient deficiencies as established by WHO.Degree of Indicator of deficiencydeficiency Vitamin A Iodine IronClinical Xerophthalmia Goitre Anemia

Night blindness (XN) Grade 1 = Hb < 120 g/L in nonpregnant womenin children 24–71 months palpable but not visible >15 years of ageof age Grade 2 = Hb < 110 g/L in pregnant women Bitot’s spots (X1B) visible when the neck of any ageSum (XN +X1B) used here is in a normal position Hb < 130 g/L in men

Sum (grades 1 + 2) >15 years of age*used here Hb < 110 g/L in children

6–60 months of ageHb < 115 g/L in children5–11 years of age*Hb < 120 g/L in children12–14 years of age*

Subclinical Retinol level Urinary iodine* Serum ferritin*In serum, Median value<0.7 µmol/L (for population group)In breast milk,* <100 µg/L<1.05 µmol/L

TSH (neonates)*Level >5 mU/L

WHO = World Health Organization, Hb = hemoglobin, TSH = thyroid-stimulating hormone.Sources: Howson et al. (1998a, Table 2-1); for vitamin A, WHO (1996); for iodine, WHO (1994); for iron, WHO, UNICEF, UNU (1997). *Indicator not used for this report.

5

Dat

a an

d an

alyt

ical

met

hods

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

Anemia is widely used as a measure ofiron deficiency. Several complicatingfactors must be borne in mind, both interms of the relation between anemiaand iron deficiency and in terms ofother causes of anemia. Iron deficiencyis estimated to be twice as prevalent asanemia, where malaria is not endemic(Viteri 1998). Strictly speaking, thepopulation can be divided into fourgroups — anemic and iron deficient,anemic for reasons other than irondeficiency (see below), iron-deficientand not anemic, and neither anemic nor iron-deficient (see also ACC/SCN1992, p. 43). Anemia is usuallyconsidered a measure of iron deficiency,because prevalences of anemia notrelated to iron deficiency anemia(notably that caused by malaria) andnonanemic iron deficiency may roughlybalance, but this relationship has notbeen verified for a range of countries.Malaria is the main confounder, but anemias due to other nutrientdeficiencies and other causes of irondeficiency — especially intestinalparasites (hookworm and whipworm) —also complicate the estimates.Nutritional deficiencies that causeanemia are notably those of folic acid,vitamin B

12, and vitamin A. Lack ofvitamin C also contributes, by inhibitingiron absorption; other inhibitorsinclude dietary tannins (in tea) andphytates (in cereals).

Other measures of micronutrientdeficiencies depend on biochemical assay of blood, serum, or urine. Serumlevel of retinol is becoming a widely used

measure of vitamin A deficiency and isdiscussed later. Urinary iodine measuresare sometimes available on a populationbasis. For anemia, hemoglobinconcentrations in the blood constitutethe basic measure; other indicators (such as ferritin and transferrin in the serum) are rarely measured on apopulation-wide basis and do notcontribute to the overall picture.

The most widely available measure ofgeneral malnutrition is underweightchildren. This measure is also useful in this context, in part because itsummarizes malnutrition. Child weightprobably responds to some extent tomicronutrient deficiencies in the motheror the child or both. Reference togeneral malnutrition, measured by theprevalence of child underweight, ratherthan protein-energy malnutrition, isbased on the realization that child growthdeficits can be due to micronutrienteffects, both in utero and during earlychildhood. This principle applies to milddeficiencies of “type II” nutrients andmore severe cases of “type I” nutrientdeficiencies (Golden 1994, 1995), type Ireferring to micronutrients with specificsigns of clinical deficiency (vitamin A,iodine, and iron are all of this type) andtype II referring to those without specificclinical signs, for which growth failure is a first response to deficiency (proteinand zinc are examples). Thus, prevalenceof underweight is included in some of the results used here. Althoughstunting is a better measure of cumulativemalnutrition, prevalence of underweightis more widely available. Because it is

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]6

strongly associated with stunting,underweight is a good proxy indicator ofthis condition and hence of cumulativemalnutrition in most populations.

In sum, the following four groups ofindicators are used in this report:

➧ vitamin A deficiency: as the clinicalindicator, prevalence of eye changes(night blindness or Bitot’s spots) in preschool children (<5 years ofage); as the subclinical indicator,prevalence of serum retinol <0.7 µmol/L in preschool children;

➧ iodine deficiency disorder: totalgoitre rate, the prevalence of goitre(both palpable only and visible) inschool-age children (5–15 years ofage) or in the total population;

➧ anemia: prevalence of hemoglobin(Hb) level <120 g/L in nonpregnantwomen 15–49 years of age; data onpregnant women of the same age with Hb <110 g/L are also used;

➧ general malnutrition: underweight in children 6–59 months of age,defined as body weight more than two standard deviations below meanweight for age, according to NationalCenter for Health Statistics (NCHS)and WHO standards (WHO 1983).

Data Sources for Population AssessmentsThe most useful data for the presentpurposes derive from nationallyrepresentative surveys. Although suchsurveys are common for anthropometry(e.g., demographic and health surveys,surveys by the United Nations Children’s

Fund [UNICEF], and multiple indicatorcluster surveys), they are less widelyavailable for micronutrient deficiencies.For iron, most results derive from clinic or small-scale survey data onanemia in pregnant women, and theirrepresentativeness is unknown. A smallerset of results is available for nonpregnantwomen; these are more often fromsurveys intended to assess populationprevalences and therefore are probablymore reliable for this purpose, eventhough they have fewer data points. For clinical vitamin A deficiency and foriodine deficiency disorders, the surveyshave generally been aimed at populationassessment of areas within countries,rather than at a national level; this surveycharacteristic has led to some difficultiesin comparison and aggregation.

Compilations of survey results arepublished periodically by WHO: forvitamin A deficiency, WHO (1995); foriodine deficiency disorders, from theInternational Council on the Control ofIodine Deficiency Disorders (ICCIDD),WHO, and UNICEF, as WHO (1993,1999); and for iron, WHO (1992,1997). Recently, these results and othersidentified from the literature and fromthe MN-Net have been recompiled andare now available on the World Wide Web through the updated MN-Net (MI 1999). These data are used here.The data on vitamin A deficiency werepublished earlier as MI et al. (1998), and a few new results have been added.The iron data were reported in Mason,Sethuraman, Mason, et al. (1998). Theiodine deficiency data are available at the

7

Dat

a an

d an

alyt

ical

met

hods

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

Web sites of ICCIDD (ICCIDD 2000)and the MI (MI 1999). An earliercompilation was given in Mason,Sethuraman, Gilman, et al. (1998).Results from these sources were alsoincluded in the databases and are listed in Appendixes 1 to 5.

Issues in Aggregating Data, Making Comparisons, and Assessing Trends

Single estimates of prevalences are of limited meaning until they arecompared either with norms or withother estimates. Cutoff values andinterpretation of prevalences below theselevels are suggested, usually by WHO.For example, a prevalence of nightblindness of more than 1% amongpreschool children and a prevalence of low serum retinol (<0.7 µmol/L) ofmore than 10% have been suggested asdefining public health problems relatedto vitamin A deficiency (WHO 1996);these are examples of using normativevalues for interpretation. Available data must be checked and sometimestransformed for comparison with suchnorms, which also raises the issue of thepopulation to which the original datarefer or of which these data are taken as representative.

Further meaning comes from comparingestimates between different groups,usually countries or regions, to indicatepriorities for resource allocation, for instance. Often the most usefulcomparisons are those through time, to assess progress. Such comparisons

necessitate ensuring that the estimatesare in fact comparable and thus can alsobe aggregated, usually for groups ofcountries (regions), or compared validlyover time to give an assessment oftrends. Assessing the validity of suchcomparisons and aggregations togenerate self-consistent sets of data is the most time-consuming feature ofassembling and interpreting these data.

Results were obtained from summarizedreports, in which the variances andconfidence intervals of the estimateswere not systematically given (nor werethe sample sizes always similar). Theseproblems preclude reassembling the datafor meta-analysis. It should be stressedtherefore that the sample numbers givenrefer to numbers of survey results — i.e., the prevalence estimates for acountry-year — each of which is derivedfrom many individual measurements(often in the thousands). Thus, althoughthe significance of differences cannot berealistically tested, it is certainly greaterthan that reported from treating(unavoidably) each survey result as onecase. For example, the 35 data points onclinical vitamin A deficiency representmany thousands of measurements, and if we could directly compare any two of these (say) as two surveys, wecould estimate the significance of thedifference; just comparing two summarydata points can give only the size of thedifference, not whether it is likely to be due to chance. Nonetheless, thesignificances estimated are likely to be highly conservative because of this constraint.

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]8

Such comparisons can refer to differentactivities (vitamin A vs iodine, forinstance), to different countries, or togroups of countries. The grouping intoregions is mainly a summarizationprocess for the first case — comparingproblems within a region — but aims to draw attention to regions of greatestneed in the second — such as the very high levels of anemia among Asian women.

Valid assessment of trends in practice has more rigorous requirements thancomparisons of data across countries forone point in time. For example, rankingcountries, or areas within countries, by prevalence usually shows quite largedifferences — a rule of thumb is that at least a doubling of prevalence isgenerally seen between better- andworse-off areas — and hence a minimumdifference of 5 percentage points is oftenadequate. However, in a trend analysis,changes of less than 1 percentage pointper year (for underweight children about 0.5 percentage points per year isaverage) may be of interest; thus, morecertainty about smaller differences isneeded for assessment of trends.

The main factors to be considered incomparing two or more results are samples(design, size, and multiplication factors),cutoff points (and standards), biologicalgroups, seasonality, date of estimate, and standardized time for aggregation,population weights, and assessment oftrends. These factors will be discussedfirst, and then methods of aggregation and trend estimation will be described.

SamplesSamples were designed to berepresentative (i.e., deliberately selected in population surveys, usually as multistage cluster designs) or weretaken from people attending clinics orschools, a self-selected and thus usuallybiased sample of the overall population.Although in the latter case it is difficultto relate data to population estimateswhen the clinical data are scarce (e.g., xerophthalmia and anemia),sometimes these samples give results that are judged (by those compiling andpublishing the data) to be at least betterthan nothing. For example, the majorcompilations of data on vitamin Adeficiency and anemia by WHO (1992, 1997) listed results from bothtypes of sources, and attempts were madeto aggregate after selection. Here, exceptfor anemia, the aim has been to includeonly results that are based on someattempt at representative sampling.Another issue is the size of the sample,which affects the confidence intervalsaround the estimates (although these are generally unknown). Many samplesreported are very small; here a minimumof 100 was used for inclusion. Forexample, the 35 results listed inAppendix 1 for clinical vitamin Adeficiency include 13 national surveys,the rest covering subnational areas. The data given in Appendixes 1 and 2for vitamin A deficiency are those used here for aggregation.

An approach used by WHO for thevitamin A deficiency data, to address the question of how to use samples of

9

Dat

a an

d an

alyt

ical

met

hods

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

below-national coverage has been tointroduce a “multiplication factor”(WHO 1995, p. 16). This factor rangesfrom 0.25 for samples aimed to berepresentative of 20% to 30% of thepopulation, through 0.40 for 30% to60% representation and 0.60 for 60%to 75% representation, to 0.75 fornational samples; why the last factor isnot 1.0 is not explained. The premiseappears to be that subnational surveysfocus on areas of higher prevalence, soto extrapolate the prevalences to thenational population would lead to anoverestimate. In fact, the results do notbear this out: if this assumption weretrue, we might expect higher prevalencesin the more localized surveys, but the

mean values of clinical and subclinicalprevalences by coverage (as judged by themultiplication factor) are not higher atlower coverage, but are as presented inTable 2 (if anything, they are higher inthe high-coverage surveys).

Another empirical approach is toexamine the observed distributions of prevalences of low serum retinol by subnational geographic area, todetermine the extent of concentration of the deficiency. Some surveys allowthis, including the recent Sri Lankasurvey (Government of Sri Lanka 1997).Five such surveys are presented in thedisaggregated tables in WHO (1995).The results are shown in Table 3.

Table 2. Estimates of clinical and subclinical prevalences of vitamin A deficiency in relation to multiplication factors (WHO 1995).

Reported mean prevalence of deficiency (%) and no. of surveys

Multiplication Population factor coverage* (%) Clinical Subclinical

0.25 20–30 2.00 (2) 30.3 (8)0.40 30–60 1.23 (7) 26.2 (17)0.60 60–75 1.65 (13) 47.6 (8)0.75 National 2.46 (13) 30.5 (9)

Average 1.89 (35) 32.0 (42)*Percentage of population covered by sample.

Table 3. Summary of five surveys of subclinical vitamin A deficiency reported in WHO (1995).Prevalence of subjects with serum

retinol <0.7 µmol/L (%)Country Scope Year Areas Raw data for areas Mean*

Brazil Possibly national 1972 5 regions 11.4, 22.7, 26.3, 26.3, 27.4 25.3Ecuador National 1993 4 regions 9.6, 14.8, 17.7, 18.1 16.2Ethiopia National 1980–1991 4 ecozones 55.6, 62.3, 69.2, 77.8 59.6Indonesia Subnational 1991 5 provinces 32.7, 58.0, 68.8, 69.3, 86.6 64.7Sri Lanka National 1996 7 provinces 22.3, 24.3, 35.0, 42.5, 46.3, 36.3

51.3, 57.3*For Brazil, Ecuador, and Indonesia, data were weighted by sample size for calculation of the mean. For Ethiopia and Sri Lanka, the means was taken as already reported in WHO (1995).

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]10

Unless there was an unfortunate choice of region in a subnational survey,there would be only about a doubling of prevalence between better- andworse-off areas, and even if the worse-off area were selected for survey, it wouldnever need to be multiplied by a factorof even 0.6 to bring it to the mean,given that the ratio of mean to highestprevalence in these five cases rangedfrom 0.63 to 0.92 (average 0.79).

To summarize, there are four reasons to believe that the prevalences of at leastsubclinical deficiency should not beadjusted down by this factor. First, we now expect subclinical vitamin Adeficiency to be widely spread in thepopulation. Second, if anything, higher-coverage surveys (>60%, which wouldimply a multiplication factor ≥0.6) havehigher prevalences than lower-coverageones. Third, the distribution nowobserved of low prevalences of below-normal serum retinol does not showextensive clustering. Fourth, recentresults (such as those in Government of Sri Lanka [1997]) are higher thanwould be predicted on the basis of themultiplication factor. The values of themultiplication factor greatly influencethe adjusted prevalences, largelyarbitrarily, and although they probablyensure that the resulting estimates are not overestimated, they in factsubstantially determine the comparisonsbetween countries and through time. In the data presented here, resultsaggregated by region are calculated bothwith and without the multiplicationfactor. The multiplication factor is not

used for deficiencies other than that ofvitamin A, so the issue does not arise foriodine or iron.

Cutoff ValuesThe standard cutoff levels fordetermining prevalences were givenearlier, and the question here is theapproach to be taken when differentcutoffs were given in the survey reports.This applies most often to hemoglobin,for which a variety of cutoffs have beenused. No method of adjustment wasavailable, and prevalences with cutoffsdifferent from the standard 120 g/L for nonpregnant women and 110 g/L for pregnant women were not used for aggregation or trend assessment. For serum retinol, a few reports (e.g.,Government of Sri Lanka 1997) usedmicrograms per decilitre as the unit ofmeasurement; however, 20 µg/dL isequivalent to 0.7 µmol/L, so these units caused no problem.

Analogous problems occurred with theprevalence estimates based on clinicalsigns, specifically xerophthalmia and (to a lesser extent) goitre. Most of theprevalence data for clinical vitamin Adeficiency combined night blindness(known as XN) with eye changes, mainlyBitot’s spots (known as X1B). WHO(1995) used the prevalence of “totalxerophthalmia” as an aggregation ofvarious clinical signs, depending on how they were reported (often the sumof night blindness and Bitot’s spots).Because these two signs have the highestprevalences, omitting the prevalences ofother signs presents a relatively minor

11

Dat

a an

d an

alyt

ical

met

hods

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

source of error. The sum of theprevalences of night blindness andBitot’s spots is thus the most feasiblestandard indicator. When both arereported, the prevalence of Bitot’s spots usually ranges from one-half theprevalence of night blindness to the sameas the prevalence of night blindness.Thus, when only one or the other wasknown, the sum of prevalences wasestimated conservatively (using the lower end of the range), as follows: whenthe prevalence of night blindness wasunknown, it was assumed to be equal tothe prevalence of Bitot’s spots, and thesum was twice that of Bitot’s spots; when the prevalence of Bitot’s spots wasunknown, it was assumed to be equal tohalf the prevalence of night blindness,and the sum was 1.5 times that of nightblindness.

For goitre, the indicator is clearlydefined as palpable plus visible goitre.Although the classification of differentdegrees of goitre has changed over thepast decade, the resulting summaryindicator of “total goitre rate” hasremained the same (WHO 1993, 1994).The important source of uncertainty istherefore the measurement itself, asdiscussed earlier.

For child anthropometry, the cutoff oftwo standard deviations below the meanweight for age by NCHS standards is now the norm; earlier surveys used other cutoffs (usually <80% weight forage, almost the same as two standarddeviations below the mean) andsometimes different standards (local

or “Harvard” [Jelliffe 1966]). The dataused here had already been standardizedto two standard deviations below themean according to NCHS standards, as given in ACC/SCN (1993, p. 94).

Biological GroupsThe biological groups assessed (in terms of age, sex, and pregnancy status)are reasonably well standardized for thethree deficiencies.

Preschool children are the referencegroup for vitamin A deficiency (andunderweight), usually defined as up to60 months of age, but with variationmore common at younger ages, startingat 0, 3, 6, or sometimes even up to 24 months (see Appendixes 1 and 2).The prevalence of both clinical vitamin A deficiency and low serumretinol change with age (which can beseen, for example, by inspection ofresults by age band [WHO 1995, pp. 69–95]). What is needed are sets ofdata with prevalence by age group fordifferent regions. If consistent, such datamight allow adjustments to be made tomore exactly standardized age bands;however, suitable data have not beenfound. The error introduced by varyingage-group definitions has thus beenignored; it is certainly a source of“noise” (random error) in the data, but there is no evidence that differentage-group definitions are systematicallyassociated with specific countries orsurvey dates, so this is unlikely tointroduce bias into the calculations (and any error is certainly less than theerrors introduced by the multiplication

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]12

factors.) For underweight data, theestimates were already been adjusted tothe standard age range of 6–60 months(ACC/SCN 1993, p. 95).

For goitre, the data were taken fromresults assembled by WHO, ICCIDD,and UNICEF, as reported by UNICEF(1998), and the biological group wasdefined as children 6–11 years of age.Methods for adjusting results to this age group when the original estimatescovered a different age group are notgiven here, but generally the prevalencesare not greatly affected by age, so suchvariation is probably not a major sourceof error. Other issues for this age group,such as accounting for children who donot attend school (where samples wouldbe obtained), ensuring correct samplerepresentation for more remote schools(where the prevalences of goitre are likelyhigher), and standardizing diagnosticmethods between enumerators, are likelyto be more important but cannot beeasily assessed retrospectively.

For anemia, hemoglobin data arereported for a wide variety of biologicalgroups, including children, adolescents,women of reproductive age (variousdefinitions), and pregnancy status. Thedatabase for this study was combinedwith that set up for the Second Report on

the World Nutrition Situation (described under “Women’s Nutritional StatusIndicators,” ACC/SCN 1993, p. 114).New results were compiled from WHO(1992, 1997), MN-Net (MI 1999),UNICEF (N. Dalmiya, personalcommunication, 1998), and a

computerized literature search. In fact,many reports give results for severaldifferent groups as well as aggregatedvalues. In setting up the database, eachcase was defined as a separate group, so each report could generate severalcases; this allowed comparisons andaggregation (but produced a complexdata file). Overall, the databasecontained 562 cases, which were thenseparated into the two main files (forpregnant and nonpregnant women15–49 years old). Rules were set up toguide selection to approximate thisdefinition of groups and the intendedindicators (<110 and <120 g/L Hb,respectively). The age groups used herewere intended to represent reproductiveage; where feasible, groups within areport were aggregated to give typically15–49 years, which is thus used as thedefinition. When pregnancy status wasnot defined, nonpregnant status wasassumed.

SeasonalitySeasonality has a significant effect onprevalences of underweight children inmany environments, which can lead todifferences of as much as 10 percentagepoints or more between the high and low values throughout the year (ACC/SCN 1989). As a result, attempts aresometimes made to time repeat nationalsurveys at the same season and to preferslower-reacting measures, notablystunting. Similar seasonal data are notavailable for micronutrient deficiencies,but substantial variation is likely.Seasonality may well be a source ofconsiderable error in the estimates,

13

Dat

a an

d an

alyt

ical

met

hods

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

but cannot be assessed, let alonecorrected for, with the data presentlyavailable. Again, this factor probablycontributes noise, not systematic error.Seasonality is of particular concern ininterpreting changes through timebetween two or more individual nationalestimates, where the effect will not beaveraged out. This factor should becarefully considered if a more organizedeffort is to be made to monitor trends inmicronutrient deficiencies.

Aggregation of Data to Standard TimeAggregating data to a standard time isone of the more difficult methodologicalproblems. Its importance depends bothon whether rapid change is occurringand on the intended uses of the results.When the aim is to give a general pictureof size and relative distribution ofdeficiencies by groups of countries,estimating these data by averaging over a range of years may be adequate, if theresulting estimate is treated with caution.This is the standard method used byWHO for anemia (e.g., WHO 1992).However, when we want to validlycompare countries at one point in time,especially if there are several indicators,we need to go further. In addition,estimates of numbers of people affectedhave to be anchored at one point intime, because population numberschange from year to year.

The challenge can be envisaged byconsidering a country–year matrix,within which the columns represent years and the rows represent countriesand where each survey result is inserted

in the appropriate cell. Most of the cellswill be blank, and indeed many rows willhave no data at all (because the countriesin question have not carried out asurvey). To derive an average value forgroups of countries (regions), even for a range of years, some assumptions areneeded about the prevalences for thecountries for which data are missing.Often these prevalences are set, at leastimplicitly, to the average for the othercountries in the group. In other words,the values for the countries in eachregion for which data are available areaveraged, and this value is taken as theaverage for the whole region. The issuethat arises when a range of years is usedis whether to use the population data for the year of the survey or for themidpoint of the range of years or evenfor the latest year in the range. Usuallythe population numbers (and weights)are applied for a given year; sometimes,this is the last year of the range, andoccasionally the prevalences by regionare then reported as if they apply to thislast year (e.g., WHO 1997). Althoughthey are perhaps somewhat unclear, such results usually give a picture of the problem that is appropriate forgeneral advocacy. The main problemsthat arise for more accurate reportingare in presenting country-level data, for example by mapping, and inestimating trends.

Country-level data, whether mapped or presented in other forms, imply thatthe indicators are comparable betweencountries, which means that they shouldrefer to the same year (unless the

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]14

indicators are changing particularlyslowly, which should be determined).The date on the map or table must beclearly stated. Thus, some assumptionsare needed to bring the data pointsscattered through the country–yearmatrix to one point in time (onecolumn). This requires some form ofinterpolation, of which the simplest is to assume no change in the indicatorthroughout the period. This gives anunbiased estimate of the average, if there really is no change. However, whenthere is an underlying trend (usually ofimprovement), and the interpolation is made toward the latter part of theperiod, then the assumption of nochange will yield an overestimate of theactual prevalence and, moreover, maydistort the relative prevalences betweengroups of countries.

Determining changes through time isimportant for both analytical and policypurposes. There is no escaping the needfor repeated estimates on the same or a very similar population. For clinicalvitamin A deficiency and iodinedeficiency disorders, almost enoughpairs of data points exist to drawconclusions on changes through time(see Figs. 2 and 5, discussed later), and these strongly indicate a trend ofimprovement. For anemia there arevirtually no pairs of data points allowingan assessment of trend, and the sameapplies to serum retinol. In the case ofunderweight, many measures throughtime have been determined, and long-term trends can be confidently estimatedon this basis, but this was not so in the

1980s, when indirect methods(subsequently confirmed by survey data)were also used (ACC/SCN 1987, 1993).

Further investigation using less directmethods for estimating anemia andsubclinical vitamin A deficiency (serumretinol) are thus necessary if we want tohave an idea of trends. The data can bevisualized as scatter plots (as shown inFigs. 3 and 4 and discussed later). Theserum retinol results for Southeast Asiaillustrate the problem (Fig. 1). It isevident that the average value depends on which countries are included; forexample, averaging for the 1980s and the 1990s gives similar prevalences (28% and 31%), but the countriesincluded in these two estimates aredifferent — for example, Indonesia, with a high reported prevalence, appearsonly once, in 1991. This effect is lessimportant if there are more data points,as the plot for the complete data set forserum retinol shows (Fig. 3, discussedlater). Here, there are indications of animproving trend, such that averagingacross a wide time range could bemisleading. Fitting a regression line tosuch disparate data points is not verysatisfactory, but is better than simplydetermining an overall average. Appliedto the anemia data (see Results section)fitting a line also allows averagingthrough time, especially as mostcountries appear several times in thislarger data set.

15

Dat

a an

d an

alyt

ical

met

hods

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

FIG1 >> Prevalence of

subclinical vitamin A

deficiency, defined as

serum retinol level below

0.7 µmol/L, in Southeast

Asia (MI et al. 1998).PREV

ALE

NCE

OF

LOW

SER

UM

RET

INOL(

%)

YEAR

70

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 19921990 1994 1996

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

INDONESIA

PAKISTAN

MYANMAR

CHINA

MALAYSIA

THAILAND

PHILIPPINES

A second method of deriving consistentdata for one point in time and filling ingaps for countries with no data is tointerpolate on the basis of relationshipswith other data that are available forevery country and year. Only a limitednumber of types of data are availableevery year for every country, specificallygross domestic product or gross nationalproduct, food supply (e.g., energy, asdetermined from food balance sheets),and demographic data, notably mortalityrates (especially infant mortality rate,which itself is derived from infrequentdata obtained by indirect methods). The prevalence of underweight has beeninterpolated using regression models inthis way (ACC/SCN 1993).

For clinical vitamin A deficiency,associations of these variables with dataon the vitamin A supply (from foodbalance sheet calculations [FAO 1997])and with underweight were investigated

by regression, as were interactionsbetween the variables, using the datashown in Appendix 1. The strongestrelationship was with infant mortalityrate (IMR) and underweight prevalences;the latter were derived in previous workfrom 174 country data points, inter-polating as described in ACC/SCN(1993, 1996). The final equation wasln(1/p – 1) = 7.23 – 0.0216(IMR) –0.0131(underweight prevalence) (where p = prevalence, as a proportion from 0 to 1; R2 = 0.82, n = 35; year was not significant). Substituting in thisequation gave values for each country for 1985 and 1995, which with childpopulation numbers (UN 1997) gaveestimates of the prevalences andnumbers affected by region for theseyears. These clinical estimates includeduse of the multiplication factor, forconsistency with WHO values. Theaverage relationship for the clinical databetween the estimates with and without

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]16

the multiplication factor is 1.26, so theresults (shown in Table 6, discussedlater) could be multiplied by 1.26 to give the equivalent estimates without this adjustment. A similar approach was taken to interpolating low serumretinol values, using the data shown inAppendix 2. In this case, as might beexpected, the best model was with clinical vitamin A deficiency (with bothclinical and subclinical prevalences aslogarithms). The derived values ofclinical vitamin A deficiency were thustransformed further to give estimates of the prevalence of low serum retinol(<0.7 µmol/L), using the followingequation: ln(prevalence of low serumretinol) = 3.019 + 0.555 ln(estimatedclinical prevalence) (R2 = 0.44, n = 42).Further details of these methods aregiven in MI et al. (1998).

This approach generated a set ofprevalence estimates for clinical andsubclinical vitamin A deficiency for each country for 1985 and 1995. Theseestimates were multiplied by the childpopulation to determine the numbersaffected. To aggregate by region, thesenumbers were summed and divided by the total child population for theregion, to give numbers affected andpopulation-weighted mean prevalences.

For the prevalence of iodine deficiencydisorders (goitre), the database usedhere was compiled from data in WHO(1993), MN-Net (generally updated to mid-1998) (MI 1999), and a cur-rent literature search (Appendix 3).Nationally representative estimates

were available for 81 countries in total.Averages were calculated for groups of countries and for two periods,1980–1989 and 1990–1999 (see Fig. 6,discussed later). Where more than oneestimate existed for a country withinthese periods (e.g., Thailand), thesevalues were averaged to obtain onecountry–period value. Overall, therewere 62 estimates applying to Asia,Africa and the Middle East, and LatinAmerica and the Caribbean. Most of the survey results were for school-agechildren, but no correction was madefor those reported for the generalpopulation, as the extent of thedifference in prevalence between theseage groups is thought to be relativelysmall (WHO 1993, p. 49). The urinaryiodine data were insufficient to be usedfor trend analysis. The goitre data usedbelow, accumulated from WHO (1993),MN-Net (MI 1999), and literaturesearching, are very similar to those used in WHO (1999), and the WHO(1999) calculations of regional levelswere directly extracted.

For anemia, the problem was differentagain. Each case was defined as a groupor subgroup by year, country, area (e.g., district), and pregnancy status. If only the year of publication was given, the survey year was estimated bysubtracting 5 years from this date, theaverage period for studies in which both survey and publication dates wereknown. Sample size generally had to beat least 100 for inclusion. If the datawere from a national survey, sample sizeswere assumed to be greater than 100.

17

Dat

a an

d an

alyt

ical

met

hods

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

Surveys from a few countries of yearsthat were underrepresented wereretained, regardless of sample size. A total of 562 acceptable cases wereincluded. Of these the sample size wasunder 100 for 56 (10%), and samplesize was missing for 124 (22%). Cutoffswere hemoglobin level 120 and 110 g/Lfor nonpregnant and pregnant women,respectively (for some samples, the cutoff values differed slightly, but only by 5 g/L). Only a few studies did notreport cutoff values, and in these casesprevalences have been estimated byWHO (1992). Pregnancy status wasknown in all but two cases. In 40 cases(7%) the sample included both pregnantand nonpregnant women. These datawere included in the nonpregnantgroup, and a cutoff of 120 g/L was used.The age range varied but was usually15–49 years; in some cases, the range was narrower. The pregnant grouprepresented a younger sample of womenon average than the nonpregnant group.Age differences in relation to prevalenceof iron deficiency anemia could not bestudied in this analysis; however, thislimitation should be considered incomparisons of pregnant and non-pregnant groups. All age groups under15 years were omitted.

Through this procedure 148 new cases were added to the 1992 database(ACC/SCN 1993, p. 114). Of the newcases, more referred to pregnant than tononpregnant women. Several were newlyidentified results from the 1980s ratherthan more recent results. Most cases werenot national in coverage. Some countries

had clumps of results in particular years(e.g., 34 data points for India in 1984;8 data points for South Africa in 1978).To reduce the influence of thisclustering and of scatter in general, the data were aggregated such that eachcountry–year had only one data point(the mean). This resulted in a file with269 points, 122 for nonpregnantwomen and 147 for pregnant women.(The sample sizes by region are shown in later tables, where the n values refer to numbers of country–years; the datapoints in the figures also represent theaverage for a country–year.)

Aggregations were done within region,by pregnancy status. For these, nopopulation weights were used (the same approach as in ACC/SCN [1992,chapter 4]). This was based in part on the view that because most of theestimates covered subnational areas(some of which were very small, such asone clinic), it made little sense to weighta survey according to the population of the whole country (e.g., Bali vsIndonesia). Thus, within regions each survey was taken as a sample of the region. In an analysis such as this, a single case (i.e., country–year) cangreatly influence the mean for thatregion–year. Small samples from well-off areas may thus give much lowervalues for prevalences of iron deficiencyanemia than the country as a whole. Forexample, a study in one region of Algeria(Biskra) showed 10% prevalence for one subgroup and 87% for another.Fortunately, these within-countrydifferences were not usually so marked;

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]18

however, moderate differences werecommon and for this reason alonetrends should be viewed with somecaution. A more valid comparison isbetween regions, as these averaged resultsare less influenced by unusual cases.

Trends by region were estimated by fittinga regression line to the available data from1970 through 1995. Considering thevariability of iron deficiency anemia, it was decided that the best analyticalprocedure to test regional and trenddifferences was analysis of variance(ANOVA). Data were grouped by year, as follows: 1970–1980, 1981–1985,1986–1990, and 1991–1998. Type IIIsums of squares analysis (used in anunbalanced design) was selected in testingregional differences, while controlling fortrends over time, and vice versa. Regionalestimates were calculated for 1995, fromthe regression results by region. Theseresults are reported later.

Underweight prevalences are used hereto a limited extent. They are included in the regional estimates in Table 10,where the extent of those with multipledeficiencies includes underweightprevalences. These data are the same asused in ACC/SCN (1996). The sameunderweight prevalence estimates areincluded in the calculation of vitamin Adeficiency prevalences, as describedearlier. The calculation uses the sameapproach as described in ACC/SCN(1993, pp. 95–100). The country-levelunderweight prevalence results for 1995are given in Appendix 6, together withthe equation used for the calculation.

Estimation of TrendsTrends were estimated by differentmethods, depending on the dataavailable and their characteristics. Inprinciple, the most important method is to assess change at the national level between two comparable surveyscarried out several years apart. Given the uncertainties of individual com-parisons, the pattern of change thus seen is important: if most pairs of comparable surveys show the samedirection of change at comparable rates, we can have reasonable confidencethat the underlying trend is real. This approach is feasible for clinicalvitamin A deficiency results and forgoitre rates. As mentioned earlier, the method of assessment is now wellestablished for underweight prevalences,for which 57 pairs of survey results from 42 countries, from 1980 on, werereported in 1996 (ACC/SCN 1996). Forvitamin A deficiency the correspondingvalues are 10 pairs of results from 8 countries and for iodine deficiencydisorder, 11 pairs from 6 countries.Although it was not possible to check thecomparability in terms of sample designand assessment methods, the consistentpattern of results to some extentcompensates for these drawbacks and the small number of replicates. Forestimates of trends in clinical vitamin Adeficiency, it was necessary to matchresults by the specific clinical signsrecorded, of which the most consistentlyavailable in pairs of surveys was Bitot’s spots (Fig. 2). In contrast, thecombination of Bitot’s spots and nightblindness was chosen as the standard

19

Dat

a an

d an

alyt

ical

met

hods

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

FIG2 >> Trends in clinical

vitamin A deficiency,

defined as Bitot's spots

and night blindness, as

determined from national

surveys in various years.

All data in this figure are

reported survey values;

the WHO multiplication

factor has not been

used.

PREV

ALE

NCE

(%

)

YEAR

1975 1980 1985 19951990 2000

1.25

1.00

0.75

0.50

0.25

0

1.50

NEPAL

INDIA

SRI LANKA

PREV

ALE

NCE

(%

)

YEAR

1975 1980 1985 19951990 2000

2.00

1.50

1.00

0.50

0

2.50NIGER

ETHIOPIA

PREV

ALEN

CE (%

)

YEAR

3.50

1975 1980 1985 19951990 2000

3.00

2.00

1.50

1.00

0.50

0

2.50

BHUTAN

PHILLIPPINES

INDONESIA

2A

2B

2C

Bitot's spots (x1B)

Night blindness (XN)

Total X1B + XN** Except Indonesia:

X1B only.

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]20

indicator for the database presented inAppendix 1 (in line with WHO’s practice[WHO 1995, pp. 69–83]). For iodine,nationally representative survey resultsfor eight countries could be compared;in addition, there were two cases fromsentinel site surveillance (shown later, in Fig. 5). For anemia there are nocomparable representative surveys, sothis method could not be applied.

A second, less satisfactory, approach is to examine apparent trends by fitting aline to the scatter of data points throughtime. This method is vulnerable toextreme country–year values appearing at the beginning or end of the timeperiod by chance, as illustrated earlierfor subclinical vitamin A deficiency inAsia. Fitting a regression line to a timeseries of points from different countriesis associated with the same type ofproblems as taking regional averages of national results for two time periods(e.g., as for goitre [WHO 1999, Table 5]) — the expectation is that there is no association of types ofcountry (by underlying prevalence) with time, and with enough cases theappearance of a country in one grouponly will not be misleading; this can bechecked by examining the scatter plots,which except for the case of SoutheastAsia in Fig. 1 (introduced to illustratethis point) do not appear to be affectedby outliers.

For the global data and for regionalgroupings for which there are 20 ormore country–year data points there isa pattern, the consistency of which may

be meaningful; at a minimum, foranemia, it seems reasonable to conclude(see below) that there is no strong trend.This method also facilitates makingestimates of prevalences at a single point in time for comparison with otherindicators, by taking the value of thefitted line at the reference year.

Third, where regional prevalences areestimated at two points in time (1985and 1995 for vitamin A deficiency here),comparing the estimates gives a furtherindication of probable trend. This ismore credible if the variable for “year” is not significant in the regression, asituation that implies that sources ofchange have been captured in theindependent variables, as was the case for the models used here. Again, thepattern is important: for vitamin Adeficiency, the trends estimated bycomparing the 1985 and 1995 data arevery similar to those observed in the 12 pairs of country–year data points that could be compared.

These methods were applied to thedatabases described here, yielding theresults presented in the next section.

21

Resu

lts:

Tren

ds in

redu

cing

mic

ronu

trie

nt d

efic

ienc

ies

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

PREV

ALE

NCE

OF

CLIN

ICAL

VIT

AM

IN A

DEF

ICIE

NCY

(%

)

YEAR

5

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

2

1

0

4

3

FIG3 >> Clinical vitamin A deficiency, defined as Bitot’s spots and night blindness combined in preschool children, as determined from national surveys in various years. Trends were deter-mined by regression of country data within each UNICEF region. Regression results: for total sample, B = –0.16 (P = 0.002, n = 35); for East Asia and the Pacific region, B = –0.15 (P = 0.033, n = 9); for eastern and southern Africa, B = –0.12 (P = 0.096, n = 9). For all other equations, P > 0.1. All data in this figure are reported survey values; the WHO multiplication factor has not been used.

South Asia

East Asia & Pacific

Eastern & Southern Africa

Western & Central Africa

Middle East & Northern Africa

Total Population

Recent Trends in Prevalence ofVitamin A Deficiency

Trends in the prevalence of clinicalvitamin A deficiency (mainly Bitot’sspots) were assessed by comparing repeatnational survey results, when these wereavailable. Such data were identified for eight countries, with 10 pairs ofestimates (Fig. 2). Except in Niger andNepal, a pattern of improvement isevident. The average rate of decrease in Bitot’s spots is about 0.5 percentagepoints per 10 years in this small sampleof results.

The total sample of prevalence estimatesfor clinical vitamin A deficiency (nightblindness + Bitot’s spots) is plotted

against year in Fig. 3. The regressionline fitted to the full sample (n = 35) issignificant and indicates an estimatedrate of improvement of 1.5 percentagepoints per 10 years. If the prevalence ofBitot’s spots is about half that of nightblindness (as is often the case), Bitot’sspots would contribute a third of thetotal (XN + X1B), so the rate here of 1.5 percentage points per 10 years is in line with 0.5 percentage points per 10 years for Bitot’s spots as determinedfrom individual pairs of data points. The fitted lines are significant for EastAsia and the Pacific region and foreastern and southern Africa (see captionfor Fig. 2), but not for the other regions.

3. RESULTS: TRENDS IN REDUCING MICRONUTRIENTDEFICIENCIES

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]22

As will be seen later (Table 6), comparingthe prevalence estimates for clinicalvitamin A deficiency (as indicated by nightblindness and Bitot’s spots) by region for 1985 and 1995 also indicates a stronglyimproving overall trend (0.4–0.9percentage points per 10 years). Thisincludes the multiplication factor, so wouldbe lower than other estimates that do notuse the multiplication factor, but itgenerally supports the conclusion that animportant general improvement has beenoccurring in clinical vitamin A deficiency.

For subclinical vitamin A deficiencyassessed by serum retinol levels <0.7 µmol/L the picture is less clear.Only four countries, all in Latin America(Colombia, Costa Rica, El Salvador, andGuatemala) have repeated surveys, andalthough these surveys indicate someimprovement in this region, they are not

much to go on. The plot of all theavailable individual data points againsttime is shown in Fig. 4. The overallregression line is significant, and thereduction averages 15 percentage pointsper 10 years. The fit for eastern andsouthern Africa is also significant, butthe others are not, and differencesbetween regions should not be regardedas having been demonstrated here. Asdiscussed earlier, such analyses are alsovulnerable to the effects of high-prevalencecountries (for example, Indonesia forEast Asia and the Pacific region).Furthermore, because of the lack of dataon subclinical vitamin A deficiency andthe need to use the relation with clinicalvitamin A deficiency to estimate regionallevels, the subclinical results by regionare given only for 1995. Thus acomparison of regional estimates for1985 and 1995 is not available.

PREV

ALE

NCE

OF

LOW

SER

UM

RET

INOL

(%)

YEAR

80

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

70

20

10

0

40

50

60

30

FIG4 >> Subclinical vitamin A deficiency, defined as serum retinol level < 0.7 µmol/L in preschool children, as determined from national surveys in various years. Trends were determined by regression of country data within some regions (as defined by UNICEF). Regression results: for total sample, B=-1.54 (P=0.02, n=41); for eastern and southern Africa, B=-1.57 ) P=0.07, n=9). For all other equations, P>0.1. Average prevalences (total sample): for 1980–1989, 40.3% (n=16); for 1990–1996, 27.1% (n=25) (P=0.02).

South Asia

East Asia & Pacific Region

Latin America & Caribbean

Eastern & Southern Africa

Western & Central Africa

Middle East & Northern Africa

Total population

23

Resu

lts:

Tren

ds in

redu

cing

mic

ronu

trie

nt d

efic

ienc

ies

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

A judicious conclusion may be that the subclinical vitamin A deficiencyresults, which are almost always takenfrom surveys conducted independentlyof clinical assessments, support the idea that a significant and broadimprovement is under way.

Recent Trends in Prevalence ofIodine Deficiency DisordersGoitre has existed for centuries, and itmight be expected that in the absence of interventions, prevalences wouldremain fairly static. In countries wherethe food systems are still localized andthe foods are not highly processed, there is no particular reason to expectimprovement, unlike the situation with vitamin A deficiency, wheresocioeconomic progress may lead toreductions. About 80 national surveys of goitre have been carried out since1970 (see Appendix 3). Only in eightcountries were repeated surveys, likely to be comparable, identified. In twoadditional cases (Cameroon and Peru)progress was tracked by a sentinel sitemonitoring system.

It appears that a rapid improvementoccurs when salt iodization is effectivelyintroduced, as illustrated in Figs. 5A and5B. This improvement is expected, giventhe long-established effectiveness of saltiodization (Hetzel 1988), and the successstories (such as that of Bolivia [Fig. 5A])are well understood (e.g., Stanbury1998). What is uncertain is the trend thatoccurs before a widespread program is inplace. In most of the countries for whichrepeat data are available (Figs. 5C and 5D),

some degree of iodine deficiency controlhas been undertaken, if generally lessextensive than in the countries shown inFigs. 5A and 5B. Thus a pattern ofimprovement of about 1 percentage pointper year has been observed in Ethiopia,Indonesia, and Zambia.

Two contrasting results are shown in Fig. 5D. In Guatemala, salt iodizationwas started nationally in the 1950s, andthe prevalence of goitre was estimated at11% in 1979; in the 1980s the programdeclined with the political crisis, and the goitre rate increased to 20% in 1987 (Stanbury 1998). The data fromBangladesh probably reflect a differentstory (as noted in the section onmethods): the 1993 survey was larger and more organized than earlier ones,and in particular much more attentionwas paid to training field staff torecognize goitre (Yusuf et al. 1993). The result is likely to be a morecomprehensive assessment, but one that may well not be comparable withprevious results. The situation inBangladesh is thus probably notdeteriorating as seriously as Fig.5Dimplies (and deficiency controlprograms have been operating for some time), but the level may indeed be one of the highest seen.

When the results from nationallyrepresentative surveys are pooled bygroups of countries and periods(1980–1989 and 1990–1999), the averages indicate no overallimprovement, and indeed may showdeterioration (Fig. 6). In fact, thenumber of estimates is small (62 in

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]24

FIG5 >> Trends in iodine

deficiency disorders, as

determined from surveys

of total goitre rate (TGR)

in various years for nine

countries. These trends

are related to household

use of iodized salt for

four countries.

PREV

ALE

NCE

OF

GOIT

RE

(%) AND H

OUSE

LHOLD

USE

OF

SALT

(%

)

YEAR

100

1982 1984 1986 19901988 2000

80

60

40

20

0

1992 1994 1996 1998

TGR, BOLIVIA

TGR, PERU

SALT, BOLIVIA

SALT, PERU

5A

PREV

ALE

NCE

OF

GOIT

RE

(%) AND H

OUSE

LHOLD

USE

OF

SALT

(%

)

YEAR

100

1982 1984 1986 19901988 2000

80

60

40

20

0

1992 1994 1996 1998

TGR, THAILAND

TGR, CAMEROON

SALT, CAMEROON

SALT, THAILAND

5B

25

Resu

lts:

Tren

ds in

redu

cing

mic

ronu

trie

nt d

efic

ienc

ies

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

PREV

ALE

NCE

OF

GOIT

RE

(%) AND H

OUSE

LHOLD

USE

OF

SALT

(%

)

YEAR

60

1970 1975 1980 1995

40

20

0

1985 1990

TGR, ETHIOPIA

TGR, INDONESIA

TGR, ZAMBIA

5C

PREV

ALE

NCE

OF

GOIT

RE

(%) AND H

OUSE

LHOLD

USE

OF

SALT

(%

)

YEAR

60

1970 1975 1980 1995

40

20

0

1985 1990

TGR, GUATEMALA

TGR, BANGLADESH

5D

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]26

total for the three country groups), and the differences through time are notsignificant. This apparent increase wasreported by WHO (1999, p. 17), asshown here in Table 7, and is discussedlater in the current report in thatcontext. The apparent increase mayreflect increased effort to identify thedeficiency in recent years. It shouldprobably not be taken as evidence ofgeneral deterioration, but it doessupport the idea that there is only animportant improvement when effectivesalt iodization programs are in place.These findings also emphasize the lack of representative data that would allow a better assessment of trends.

In sum, there is just enough evidence toinfer that iodine deficiency disorders asmeasured by goitre remain at high levelsuntil effective control programs,

primarily with iodized salt, are in place.The underlying trend is probably fairlyunimportant compared with the rapidand widespread reduction that can beachieved with iodine fortification.

Recent Trends in Prevalence of Anemia

Iron deficiency and anemia are notsynonymous (as discussed in section 2,“Data and Analytical Methods”), but the prevalence of anemia is by far thecommonest indicator used to monitoriron deficiency, and if the distinction iskept in mind, misleading conclusionscan be avoided.

No repeated, comparable surveys ofanemia, at national or subnationallevels, could be identified. Thus we do not have available the first line of

FIG6 >> Prevalence of iodine deficiency disorders, defined as goitre (both visible and palpable) in school-age children, as determined from averages of national survey data. Regions are as defined by UNICEF (1998, p. 122). When more than one estimate was available for a given period for one country (e.g., Thailand), the values were averaged. Sample sizes: Asia, for 1980–1989, n=8, and for 1990–1997, n=10; Latin America and the Caribbean, 1980–1989, n=7, and for 1990–1997, n=9; Africa and the Middle East, for 1980-1989, n=9, and for 1990–1997, n=19.

PREVALENCE OF GOITRE (%)

0 10 20 30 40

ASIA

LATIN AMERICA & CARIBBEAN

AFRICA & MIDDLE EAST

1980–19891990–1997

27

Resu

lts:

Tren

ds in

redu

cing

mic

ronu

trie

nt d

efic

ienc

ies

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

analysis for determining trends. This is aserious lack now, but will become worseif two deliberate efforts are not madesoon: first, to select existing surveyresults from the past and ensure thatrepeat surveys conducted in future canbe compared with the existing results;and second, where such surveys do notexist, to begin to establish a baselinefrom which trends can be estimated inthe future.

The data compiled were separated into two groups (pregnant andnonpregnant women, 15–49 years ofage) and aggregated to give no more than one estimate for each group percountry–year. The large degree ofvariation in the data is apparent for both nonpregnant (Fig. 7) and pregnant(Fig. 8) women. Indeed, any real trendwould have to be substantial if it were to

emerge through the noise in the data.Can we derive useful conclusions fromthese results?

Mean prevalences of anemia by regioncan be estimated (Tables 4 and 5). It islikely that the estimates for nonpregnantwomen tend to come from survey data,whereas estimates of anemia for pregnantwomen usually derive from thoseattending antenatal clinics. The resultsfor nonpregnant women are thus morelikely to be representative of the overallpopulation. This may relate to theseemingly more stable trends in the data for nonpregnant women. Thenonpregnant group also representsabout 90% of the female population.The relative levels of anemia by region in nonpregnant women can be seen inTable 4 and Fig. 7 (fitted lines). SouthAsia has the highest average prevalence of

PREV

ALE

NCE

OF

ANEM

IA (%

)

YEAR

100

1970 1975 1980 1995 2000

80

20

0

1985 1990

40

60

FIG7 >> Prevalence of anemia among nonpregnant women 15–49 years of age, defined as hemoglobin level < 120 g/L, as determined from national survey data. Trends were determined by regression of country data. For total sample, B=-0.463, t=-1.306(P=0.194, n=123). For all others, t was greater than -0.6; thus, no other coefficients approached significance. Regions are as defined by UNICEF (1998, p. 122). South Asia

Southeast Asia

South America

Central America

Sub-Saharan Africa

Middle East & Northern Africa

Total population

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]28

anemia, at about 58%; the prevalence is46% in Southeast Asia. The prevalencein Sub-Saharan Africa is about 40%,and the Near East and northern Africaand Central and South America haveprevalences between 20% and 30%.Comparison tests (ANOVA) betweenregions show that the situation in SouthAsia is significantly worse than that in all other regions, except Southeast Asia.

Regression results showed no significanttrends in any region. The coefficients of the lines shown in Fig. 7 are notsignificant in any region, nor is theoverall average for all regions. There isenormous variation, but the data havebeen very carefully examined for likelyerrors. It is certainly true to stateconservatively that there has been no detectable change, but a strongerassertion may be valid: there really is

no improvement in anemia for mostwomen in developing countries.

The estimates for pregnant women are shown in Table 5 and Fig. 8. Theprevalences in South Asia are againsignificantly worse than in otherregions, except Southeast Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. The variation by regiontends to be higher among the pregnantwomen, which confirms a wider spreadin anemia prevalences between subgroupsand perhaps more questionable reliability.Despite this variation, a consistent trendof higher prevalences among pregnantwomen than among nonpregnant womenis evident across all regions — theexception being South Asia, perhapsbecause prevalences have already peakedin this region. No significant trendswere found for pregnant women.

PREV

ALE

NCE

OF

ANEM

IA (%

)

YEAR

100

1970 1975 1980 1995 2000

80

20

0

1985 1990

40

60

FIG8 >> Prevalence of anemia among pregnant women 15–49 years of age, defined as hemoglobin level < 110 g/L, as determined from national survey data. Trends were determined by regression of country data. For total sample, B=-0.449, t=-1.444(P=0.151, n=150). For all others, no coefficients approached significance. Regions are as defined by UNICEF (1998, p. 122). South Asia

Southeast Asia

South America

Central America

Sub-Saharan Africa

Middle East & Northern Africa

Total population

29

Resu

lts:

Tren

ds in

redu

cing

mic

ronu

trie

nt d

efic

ienc

ies

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

The slopes of the lines in Figs. 7 and 8are compiled in Tables 4 and 5 as thechanges in percentage points per year.As mentioned earlier, the estimates fornonpregnant women are probably morereliable. A slope of –0.5 percentagepoints/year — the highest seen — impliesthat a prevalence of 40% (e.g., as insub-Saharan Africa) would be reduced to the level of 10% that seems to betypical of industrialized countries over a 60-year period — plausible but far too

slow to simply let happen if there wereeffective interventions to accelerateprogress. Most regions are hardlyimproving at all by this indicator, and South Asia may be deteriorating.Because trends through time are probably small compared with the overallprevalences, the year at which prevalencesare considered is not crucial, in contrastto other indicators of malnutrition(where they change more rapidly). Forpresentation purposes, the prevalences

Table 4. Prevalence of anemia (hemoglobin <120 g/L) in nonpregnant women 15–49 years of age.Prevalence of anemia (%)

Sample size Average for Estimate for Trend† (percentage Region* (country–years) 1975–1997 1995 points/year)

South Asia 19 56.0‡ 53.4 –0.21Southeast Asia 18 44.7 42.5 –0.23Middle America and Caribbean 25 28.3 27.6 –0.07South America 14 22.8 25.0 +0.15Sub-Saharan Africa 32 40.8 36.0 –0.45Near East and northern Africa 14 25.4 24.3 –0.18China 4 23.2 — —Pacific islands 3 33.6 — —Dash = information not available.*Regions as defined by ACC/SCN (1992, p. 5).†Trends calculated by regression (as in Fig. 7). None of the trends were significant. Trend for all data: B = –0.56, n = 129, P = 0.11.‡South Asia significantly higher than Near East and northern Africa and the American regions (P <0.05).

Table 5. Prevalence of anemia (hemoglobin <110 g/L) in pregnant women 15–49 years of age.Prevalence of anemia (%)

Sample size Average for Estimate for Trend† (percentage Region* (country-years) 1975–1997 1995 points/year)

South Asia 18 59.7‡ 53.9 –0.48Southeast Asia 23 52.1 52.7 +0.01Middle America and Caribbean 26 38.0 34.8 –0.33South America 18 34.0 27.2 –0.60Sub-Saharan Africa 43 46.4 48.5 +0.21Near East and northern Africa 19 37.7 34.1 –0.50China 6 30.3 — —Pacific Islands 2 20.8 — —Dash = information not available.*Regions as defined by ACC/SCN (1992, p. 5).†Trends calculated by regression (as in Fig. 8). None of the trends were significant. Trend for all data: B = –0.32, n = 155, P = 0.32.‡South Asia significantly higher than Near East and northern Africa and the American regions (P <0.05).

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]30

have been calculated for 1995, as given inTables 4 and 5. This is the value of theplotted regression line in Figs. 7 and 8,for 1995. These are broadly in line withthe 1975–1997 averages, since there islittle apparent trend, and thus with thosegiven by WHO (1997, Table 8). Theyshow that the Asian countries have thehighest prevalences among both pregnantand nonpregnant women. Prevalencesduring pregnancy usually appear higher(in four of the six regions) although lesspronounced when estimated in this waythan those shown in Table 5 (means byregion). It should be remembered thatthe cutoffs are different for pregnant and nonpregnant women, and thereforeprevalences are not necessarily directlycomparable between these two groups.

In terms of the numbers of peopleaffected by anemia, data from WHO(1992, 1997) imply that some 419 million pregnant and nonpregnantwomen (about 44% of the developingworld population) were affected in 1988 and that this value rose to 532 million in 1995. The present results would generally support thisestimate (for 1995), as discussed in thenext section and shown in Table 9.

In sum, progress in reducing theprevalence of anemia is hardlydetectable, and numbers affected are increasing. Earlier estimates ofdeterioration in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa remain plausible, butcannot be taken further as insufficientnew data (after 1987) are available;

however, significant improvement doesnot appear to be occurring in theseregions or, indeed, elsewhere. Furtheranalysis seems merited, both to com-pare raw data from surveys in specificcountries, and to combine data in more meaningful ways, taking account of sample size and other information, to better understand recent trends andtheir determinants.

Levels of Vitamin A, Iodine, and Iron Deficiencies

As discussed previously, vitamin Adeficiency is declining substantially,which means that data should not be averaged over time. For clinicalvitamin A deficiency (indicated by night blindness and Bitot’s spots), themodel described in section 2 (“Data andAnalytical Methods”) was therefore usedto predict prevalences for 1985 and1995 for countries with and withoutsurvey results from the period1980–1997. These results, weighted bypopulation numbers and aggregatedaccording to regions, are shown in bothTable 6 and Fig. 9. The valuesincorporate the WHO multiplicationfactor and are therefore probablyconservative estimates. The numbers ofpeople affected (Table 6) are similar tonumbers reported by WHO (1995), forwhich 1994 population data were usedand prevalences (not corrected for trend)were averaged from 1980 onward. Thetotal number of preschool childrenaffected by clinical vitamin A deficiencyin 1995 is estimated at 3.3 million,equivalent to a prevalence of 0.63%.

31

Resu

lts:

Tren

ds in

redu

cing

mic

ronu

trie

nt d

efic

ienc

ies

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

The comparable WHO value (WHO1995) was 2.8 million children.

Table 6 includes some alternativeestimates. Yet however the values arecalculated, the trend of improvementappears. The numbers of childrenaffected as of the mid-1990s might rangefrom 3.3 to 6 million, with a possibleprevalence range of 0.6% to 1.4%. Thevalues in Table 6 are used here as a pointof reference for 1985 and 1995, inrecognition that they are probablyconservative estimates. Prevalences ofclinical vitamin A deficiency by region for1985 and 1995 are displayed in Fig. 9.

As described earlier, the multiplicationfactor is probably incorrect. In this case,the basic value for global prevalence ofclinical vitamin A deficiency in 1995 isprobably best estimated as 1.2% inpreschool children.

Estimates of subclinical vitamin Adeficiency for 1995, as prevalences of low serum retinol level (<0.7 µmol/L)and numbers affected, are shown inTable 7 and Fig. 10. Two values aregiven, one with and the other withoutthe multiplication factor. The upper value probably more closelyapproximates reality (see Methodssection in MI et al. [1998]). Thenumbers affected are shown in Fig. 11.The highest prevalences of both clinicaland subclinical vitamin A deficiency wereobserved in south Asia and sub-SaharanAfrica, where 30% to 40% of preschoolchildren are at heightened risk of illhealth and death. WHO (1994)suggested that in populations in which more than 20% of the childrenhave serum retinol levels less than 0.7 µmol/L, vitamin A deficiency should be regarded as a severe publichealth problem; this criterion applies to the populations of these regions.

Table 6. Prevalence and number of preschool children affected by clinical vitamin A deficiency,*1985–1995.

No. affected Change in prevalencePrevalence (%) (millions) (percentage points/decade)

Region† 1985 1995 1985 1995 1985–1995

South Asia 1.79 0.95 2.67 1.58 –0.84East Asia and Pacific 0.43 0.25 0.66 0.40 –0.18Latin America and Caribbean 0.35 0.24 0.17 0.12 –0.11Eastern and southern Africa 1.80 1.06 0.69 0.53 –0.74Western and central Africa 1.40 0.87 0.53 0.45 –0.53Middle East and northern Africa 0.63 0.27 0.24 0.12 –0.36Total‡ 1.06 0.63 5.00 3.30 –0.43Source: MI et al. (1998).Note: The values in this table were computed with the WHO multiplication factor.*Defined as xerophthalmia (night blindness and Bitot’s spots).†Regions as defined by United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF).‡Alternative calculations of total prevalence values for all developing regions are possible. Method 1—averaging the available survey resultswithin time periods, with and without the applicable WHO multiplication factor (MF) (WHO 1995), yields the following: for 1980–1989, with MF,prevalence = 1.65%, without MF, prevalence = 2.45% (n = 16); for 1990–1996, with MF, prevalence = 0.79%, without MF, prevalence = 1.41% (n = 19) (P = 0.013). Method 2—using the model estimates without MF, values for 1995 are as follows: prevalence = 1.15% and no. affected = 6.0 million. The WHO MF is used as a way of allowing for how well the sample reflects the population; see Table 2.

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]32

FIG9 >> Estimated

prevalence of clinical

vitamin A deficiency

among preschool

children in 1985 and

1995. Values in this

figure incorporate

the WHO multiplication

factors. The data

are presented in

Table 6. Regions are

as defined by UNICEF

(1998, p. 122).

PREVALENCE OF CLINICAL VITAMIN A DEFICIENCY (%)

0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

SOUTH ASIA

EAST ASIA & PACIFIC

LATIN AMERICA & CARIBBEAN

EASTERN & SOUTHERN AFRICA

WESTERN & CENTRAL AFRICA

MIDDLE EAST & NORTHERN AFRICA

TOTAL

19851995

Table 7. Prevalence and number of preschool children affected by subclinical vitamin A deficiency,* 1995.Prevalence (%) No. affected (millions)

With WHO Without WHO With WHO Without WHORegion† MF MF MF MFSouth Asia 19.2 35.6 32.3 59.5East Asia and Pacific 9.1 18.2 14.8 29.6Latin America and Caribbean 9.0 19.6 4.7 10.2Eastern and southern Africa 20.0 37.1 10.0 18.6Western and central Africa 18.1 33.5 9.4 17.4Middle East and northern Africa 9.8 9.8 4.2 4.2Overall 14.6 26.5 75.4 139.5WHO MF = World Health Organization multiplication factor (used as a way of allowing for how well the sample reflects the population; see Table 2).*Defined as serum retinol <0.7 µmol/L.†Regions as defined by UNICEF.

33

Resu

lts:

Tren

ds in

redu

cing

mic

ronu

trie

nt d

efic

ienc

ies

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

FIG10 >> Estimated

prevalence of subclinical

vitamin A deficiency,

defined as serum retinol

level < 0.7 µmol/L,

among preschool

children in 1995.

Regions are as

defined by UNICEF

(1998, p. 122).

PREVALENCE OF SUBCLINICAL VITAMIN A DEFICIENCY (%)

0 10 20 30 40

SOUTH ASIA

EAST ASIA & PACIFIC

LATIN AMERICA & CARIBBEAN

EASTERN & SOUTHERN AFRICA

WESTERN & CENTRAL AFRICA

MIDDLE EAST & NORTHERN AFRICA

TOTAL

FIG11 >> Estimated

numbers of preschool

children affected by

subclinical vitamin A

deficiency, defined as

serum retinol level

< 0.7 µmol/L, in 1995.

Regions are as

defined by UNICEF

(1998, p. 122).

NO. WITH LOW SERUM RETINOL (MILLIONS)

0 10 20 30 7040 50 60

SOUTH ASIA

EAST ASIA & PACIFIC

LATIN AMERICA & CARIBBEAN

EASTERN & SOUTHERN AFRICA

WESTERN & CENTRAL AFRICA

MIDDLE EAST & NORTHERN AFRICA

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]34

Of the global total of 140 millionchildren affected by vitamin A deficiency,nearly 100 million live in south Asia or sub-Saharan Africa.

Prevalences and numbers affected byiodine deficiency, assessed as visible plus palpable goitre, were recentlyreported by WHO (1999), and theresults for regions of developingcountries (excluding Latin America andthe Caribbean) are shown in Table 8. In Africa and the eastern Mediterraneanregion (including Pakistan), theprevalences are about 20% to 30%;estimates for Southeast Asia are lower.The total number affected in thesecountries is estimated as nearly 600 million in 1998, of the 740 millionthought to be affected by goitre worldwide(WHO 1999, Table 3). Comparing theestimates for 1990 and 1998 indicateslittle change in overall prevalence overthis period (WHO 1999, Table 5; Table8 in the current document).

Iron deficiency is indicated by anemia,and the prevalence data summarized by

WHO (1997) for the period 1980–1996may be taken as the reference. Nosignificant trend is seen in any region, so averaging across several years shouldnot introduce bias. The populationnumbers were standardized to 1995 byWHO (1997). The data for pregnant andnonpregnant women 15–59 years of ageextracted from WHO (1997) are given inTable 9 and Fig. 12. Southeast Asia andthe eastern Mediterranean region arethought to have the highest prevalences,around 60%. The higher value of 79.6% for pregnant women in SoutheastAsia depends on how prevalence iscalculated for India (see below). Fordeveloping countries as a whole, theaverage prevalences are 42% to 56% for nonpregnant and pregnant women, respectively, and an estimated1.14 billion nonpregnant women and 96 million pregnant women are anemic.

The anemia data in Table 9 are forregions defined by WHO and thuscannot be readily compared with theregional definitions used here, whichcorrespond to those of UNICEF. The

Table 8. Prevalence and number of people (all ages) with goitre (visible + palpable) in 1990 and 1998.1990 1998

No. affected No. affected Region*† Prevalence (%) (millions) Prevalence (%) (millions)Southeast Asia 13.0 176 12 172Western Pacific 9.0 141 8 124Africa 15.6 86 20 124Eastern Mediterranean 22.9 93 32 152Overall 12.5 496 13.6 572Sources: for 1990, WHO (1993, Table 2A); for 1998, WHO (1999, Table 5).*Regions as defined by WHO.†Americas not included because industrialized (Canada and United States) and non-industrialized (Latin America and the Caribbean) regions could not be distinguished in these data. Data here can be compared with data for Africa, Asia, Latin America, and the Caribbean,shown in Fig. 6.

35

Resu

lts:

Tren

ds in

redu

cing

mic

ronu

trie

nt d

efic

ienc

ies

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

prevalences for 1995 calculated from ourdatabase and presented in Tables 4 and 5 can be used for comparison with other estimates by region. The maindifferences between the WHO estimatesand those in Tables 4 and 5 are forpregnant women in the WHO region“Southeast Asia” (prevalence 79.6%; see Table 9), which is essentially

equivalent to the UNICEF region “SouthAsia” (prevalence 59.7%; see Table 5).The difference depends mainly on theprevalence estimated for India. From the database used here, the values rangedfrom 66% to 90%, and the median of eight values was 72%. The medianvalue for Bangladesh was 62% and for Pakistan 51%. On this basis, although

FIG12 >> Prevalence of

anemia among women

15–49 years of age in

1995; definition of

anemia for pregnant

women is hemoglobin

< 110 g/L and for

nonpregnant women,

hemoglobin < 120 g/L.

Regions are as defined

by UNICEF (1998,

p. 122).

PREVALENCE OF ANEMIA (%)

0 10 20 30 6040 50

NonpregnantPregnant

SOUTH ASIA

SOUTHEAST ASIA

CENTRAL AMERICA & CARIBBEAN

SOUTH AMERICA

SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA

MIDDLE EAST & NORTHERN AFRICA

Table 9. Prevalence and number of women (15–59 years of age) affected by anemia in 1995.Pregnant women† Nonpregnant women‡

No. affected No. affected Region* Prevalence (%) (millions) Prevalence (%) (millions)Southeast Asia 79.6 22 227 57.0 192 746Western Pacific (non-industrialized) 38.5 9 384 33.8 144 558Americas (non-industrialized) 39.0 3 838 30.0 40 546Africa 46.9 9 586 36.6 48 194Eastern Mediterranean 63.9 8 807 49.0 51 389Overall 55.8 53 842 42.0 477 433Source: WHO (1997, Table 8).*Regions as defined by WHO.†For pregnant women, anemia defined as hemoglobin level <110 g/L.‡For nonpregnant women, anemia defined as hemoglobin level <120 g/L.

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]36

the prevalence of 79.6% seems relativelyhigh, the prevalence of 59% might below. In any case, this analysis gives someidea of the range of uncertainty, andeither way the prevalence is very high.

For comparing prevalences of differentdeficiencies and examining possibleoverlaps, the age group most commonlyused is preschool children. The anemiaestimates for this group have been takendirectly from WHO (1997), althoughcertain assumptions have been made sothat definitions of the various regionsare essentially equivalent.

Overlaps and Multiple Deficiencies

Prevalences of the different deficiencies,summarized in Fig. 13, are generallyhighest in South Asian and lowest in East Asia and the Pacific region, The extent of multiple deficiencies can be approximated from these data bymaking some assumptions about howindividual deficiencies overlap in thepreschool population. We can makesome reasonable estimates of the highestand lowest prevalences likely for two ormore deficiencies in the same children.A high estimate would assume that theworst-off children were the same forseveral deficiencies — that the poorest,for example, tended to suffer from thecombination of deficiencies. Forexample, if it is assumed that theprevalence of vitamin A deficiency is25% and that of anemia is 40%, thenthe 25% of children with vitamin Adeficiency are assumed to represent asubset of those with anemia. In this

situation, all of the children with vitamin A deficiency would be anemic,and the prevalence of those with bothvitamin A deficiency and anemia wouldbe 25%. This estimate of the prevalenceof dual deficiency is probably high. Analternative assumption is that there is nocorrelation between various deficienciesand that (in this example) the prevalenceof vitamin A deficiency in the anemicpopulation is the same as in the overallpopulation, 25%. Thus the proportionof those with both anemia and vitamin Adeficiency would be 25% of the 40%with anemia or 10% of the totalpopulation. Therefore, the likelyprevalence of two or more deficienciescould be set as 10% to 25%. Althoughthis range is wide, it has a certain valuein giving some idea of the extent of the problem.

The actual overlap can be gauged from afew studies and probably lies somewherebetween these bounds (W. Schultink,UNICEF, personal communication,1999). For example, some results fromIndonesia showed higher levels of lowserum retinol level in anemic preschoolchildren (Merzenich et al. 1994),whereas for others the prevalence wassimilar to that in the overall population(Angeles-Agdeppa et al. 1997; Thu et al. 1999).

Results based on these calculations are presented in Table 10. The overallrange of prevalences for preschoolchildren with two or more deficiencies is estimated at 13% to 27%, and about 100 million children are affected.

37

Resu

lts:

Tren

ds in

redu

cing

mic

ronu

trie

nt d

efic

ienc

ies

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

Many deficiencies are known to interact.For our purposes, the most importantinteractions are those for which a singlenutrient intervention will be ineffectivein reducing the effects of the deficiencybecause another nutrient is lacking.Such problems can occur at differentlevels, for example absorption from thegut or metabolic pathways. Anemia is a good example. Many nutrients areinvolved in anemia (see, for example,Viteri 1998), which has various causes,many but not all of which involve dietary iron supply. Reduction ofanemia (through effects on absorption,metabolism, probably gene expression,and other processes) can depend onconcurrent provision of other nutrients,such as vitamin C, folate, or vitamin A(for example, see Schultink and Gross1997). Similarly, most nutrientdeficiencies affect the immune system,

and all such deficiencies may need to be corrected before full immunecompetence can be restored.

The calculations performed here (Table 10) show clearly that we canexpect only limited success in controllingthe effects of micronutrient deficienciesby tackling one micronutrient at a time.For example, in theory, reducing themost prevalent deficiency (bearing in mind that cutoff values are somewhatarbitrary) might reduce the prevalence of dual deficiency to that where the nextmost scarce nutrient becomes limiting —from 35.6% to 27.4% in South Asia, for example.

This analysis argues for a multifacetedapproach incorporating supplemen—tation and fortification with severalmicronutrients, supported where

FIG13 >> Summary of

regional prevalences of

underweight, subclinical

vitamin A deficiency,

iodine deficiency

disorders, and anemia

among preschool

children in 1995.

Data are presented in

Table 10. Regions are

as defined by UNICEF

(1998, p. 122).

PREVALENCE OF DEFICIENCY (%)

0 20 6040

SOUTH ASIA

EAST ASIA & PACIFIC

SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA

MIDDLE EAST & NORTHERN AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA & CARIBBEAN

UnderweightVitamin A deficiencyIodine deficiency disorderAnemia

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]38

Tabl

e 10

. Pr

eval

ence

of nu

triti

onal

pro

blem

s an

d im

plie

d ov

erla

p of

def

icie

ncie

s in

pre

scho

ol c

hild

ren.

Unde

rwei

ght*

Vita

min

Ade

ficie

ncy†

Iodi

ne d

efic

ienc

y‡An

emia

§W

ith t

wo

or m

ore

(199

5)(s

ubcl

inic

al, 19

95)

(198

5–19

96)

(197

5–19

97)

nutriti

onal

def

icie

ncie

s||

Prev

-No.

Pr

ev-

No.

Pr

ev-

No.

Pr

ev-

No.

Pr

ev-

No.

al

ence

af

fect

ed

alen

ce

affe

cted

alen

ce

affe

cted

alen

ce

affe

cted

alen

ce

affe

cted

Regi

on(%

)(m

illio

ns)

(%)

(mill

ions

)(%

)(m

illio

ns)

(%)

(mill

ions

)(%

)(m

illio

ns)

Sout

h Asi

a 52

87.4

35.6

59.5

25.3

42.5

52.7

93.8

27.4

–35.

646

.1–5

9.8

East

Asi

a an

d Pa

cific

2339

.318

.229

.618

.031

.114

.120

.04.

2–18

.28.

2–31

.1La

tin

Am

eric

a an

d Ca

ribb

ean

116.

219

.610

.215

.68.

822

.913

.04.

5–19

.62.

5–11

.1Su

b-Sa

hara

n Afric

a30

30.9

35.3

36.0

29.2

30.1

33.1

34.1

11.7

–33.

112

.1–3

6.3

Mid

dle

East

and

nor

ther

n Afric

a16

7.4

9.8

4.2

24.0

11.1

38.3

17.7

9.2–

24.0

4.3–

7.4

Ove

rall

3117

1.2

2613

9.5

2312

3.6

3517

8.6

13–2

773

.2–1

45.7

*Val

ues

are

base

d on

ACC

/SCN

(19

96), c

alcu

late

d fo

r re

gion

s from

cou

ntry

est

imat

es.

†Pre

vale

nce

of s

ubcl

inic

al v

itam

in A

defic

ienc

y as

giv

en in

MI et

al.

(199

8). Fo

r su

b-Sa

hara

n Afric

a, v

alue

s fo

r ea

ster

n an

d so

uthe

rn A

fric

a an

d w

este

rn a

nd c

entral

Afric

a w

ere

wei

ghte

d an

d co

llaps

ed int

oa

sing

le v

alue

(fo

r ea

ster

n an

d so

uthe

rn A

fric

a, p

reva

lenc

e w

as 3

7.1%

, an

d 18

.6 m

illio

n w

ere

affe

cted

; fo

r w

este

rn a

nd c

entral

Afric

a, p

reva

lenc

e w

as 3

3.5%

, an

d 17

.4 m

illio

n w

ere

affe

cted

).‡P

reva

lenc

es c

alcu

late

d from

nat

iona

lly r

epre

sent

ativ

e da

ta in

MN-N

et (

MI 19

99)

and

othe

r so

urce

s (s

ee A

ppen

dix

3), as

use

d fo

r Fi

g. 6

, by

ave

ragi

ng a

ll da

ta p

oint

s by

reg

ion.

The

se r

esul

ts w

ere

for

scho

ol-a

ge c

hild

ren

and

have

not

bee

n ad

just

ed for

age

, bu

t di

ffere

nces

fro

m p

resc

hool

chi

ldre

n ar

e re

lative

ly m

inor

(W

HO 1

993,

p. 49

).§Dat

a from

WHO (

1997

, Ta

ble

8). So

me

appr

oxim

atio

ns w

ere

used

for

reg

iona

l ag

greg

atio

n, a

s fo

llow

s: S

outh

Asi

a is

the

app

roxi

mat

ion

for

the

WHO r

egio

n ca

lled

“Sou

thea

st A

sia”

; M

iddl

e Ea

st a

ndno

rthe

rn A

fric

a ap

prox

imat

es W

HO r

egio

n ca

lled

“Eas

tern

Med

iter

rane

an”;

Eas

t Asi

a an

d Pa

cific

reg

ion

is a

ppro

xim

ated

by

WHO r

egio

n ca

lled

“wes

tern

Pac

ific,

non

-indu

strial

ized

”; a

nd L

atin

Am

eric

a an

dth

e Ca

ribb

ean

appr

oxim

ates

WHO r

egio

n ca

lled

“Am

eric

as, no

n-in

dust

rial

ized

.”||L

ower

val

ue a

ssum

es n

o co

rrel

atio

n be

twee

n m

ultipl

e de

ficie

ncie

s, s

uch

that

in

the

high

est-pr

eval

ence

gro

up, th

e pr

eval

ence

of th

e se

cond

-hig

hest

def

icie

ncy

in t

he o

vera

ll pr

esch

ool po

pula

tion

is

appl

ied

(i.e

., th

e tw

o hi

ghes

t pr

eval

ence

s ar

e m

ultipl

ied)

; th

e hi

gher

fig

ure

assu

mes

com

plet

e ov

erla

p be

twee

n m

ultipl

e de

ficie

ncie

s, s

o th

at a

ll su

bjec

ts in

the

seco

nd-h

ighe

st p

reva

lenc

e gr

oup

are

take

n as

hav

ing

the

defic

ienc

y re

pres

ente

d by

the

hig

hest

pre

vale

nce

(i.e

., th

is e

qual

s th

e se

cond

hig

hest

pre

vale

nce)

. Th

ese

two

estim

ates

are

lik

ely

to b

ound

the

act

ual pr

eval

ence

. Und

erw

eigh

t is

cons

ider

ed a

def

icie

ncy

here

, fo

r ex

ampl

e pr

otei

n-en

ergy

mal

nutritio

n or

pro

tein

-ene

rgy

defic

ienc

y.

39

Conc

lusi

ons

[ TR

ENDS

IN P

REVA

LENCE

S ]

Vitamin A deficiency is decreasingrapidly, and clinical forms are likely to become rare in the near future.Subclinical deficiency, however, whichcarries substantial risk of death, is at a high level among children in poorcountries, and its control would repaycontinued vigorous efforts.

In contrast, there is little evidence ofimprovement in anemia levels, whichboth reflects iron deficiency and iscaused by it. This deficiency affectsparticularly women and their infants and is the most common deficiencytoday — half a billion women are anemicworldwide. No highly effective controlmeasure is available, but a combinationof approaches including attention toassociated deficiencies (e.g., vitamin Aand folate) can bring relief.

Iodine deficiency disorders certainlyrespond rapidly to iodized salt programs,but without such programs, the disordersappear to persist at levels associated withrisk of developmental problems. Theexpansion of control measures, mainlyiodized salt, if they can be monitored

and sustained, may lead to major successin human nutrition.

Overlaps and interactions betweenmicronutrients (anemia is a clearexample) are likely widespread, probably affecting about 20% ofpreschool children, and half of thechildren with any deficiency may havemultiple deficiencies. This situationargues strongly for a multifacetedapproach, notably supplementationand fortification with multiplemicronutrients, for both operationaland biological reasons.

There is a serious scarcity of data formaking these assessments. In particular,few comparable, representative nationalsurveys have been conducted throughtime. Priority should be given torepeating such surveys to allow betterassessment of current progress. Inaddition, first-time surveys are neededin many countries (especially for anemiabut also for other deficiencies) togenerate baseline data, so that we candetermine in the future whether effortshave had any effect.

4. CONCLUSIONS

feasible with increased micronutrientintake from the diet. Such an approachnot only makes sense in operationalterms — if a supplement is to be given(especially daily or weekly), it ought to

contain all that is needed — but mayactually be imperative biologically.

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 1]40

Finally, there is no doubt that manypeople are affected by deficiencies of many other nutrients, and assess-ment methods are not yet adequate toidentify these deficiencies. Zinc is anobvious example. Rickets, possibly caused by a complex of factors, is stillwidely observed. Other deficiencies, such as that of selenium, may both beimportant themselves and interact with others (such as iodine deficiency in the case of selenium deficiency).Many vitamins and minerals are probably limiting during catch-upgrowth in children, which constitutesmuch of the growth of children in poor environments. In terms ofunderstanding these deficiencies on a worldwide basis, the surface is only now being scratched, and an increase in attention to these problems holdsgreat promise for improvements inhuman health and development.

41

Introd

uctio

n[ PR

OGRA

M IM

PLEM

ENTA

TION IN T

HE

1990

s ]

2.

ProgramImplementationin the 1990s

Over the past two decades there has been a major increase in the globalattention and commitment to thecontrol and elimination of micro-nutrient malnutrition. Results of the research conducted during the1980s have expanded our understandingof the adverse consequences of thesedeficiencies, which are much moreextensive than previously assumed in alarge number of developing countries.Several key international meetings heldin 1990s, including the World Summitfor Children in 1990, the 1991

Montreal meeting entitled “EndingHidden Hunger,” and the 1992

International Conference on Nutrition, raised awareness andstimulated worldwide actions to address micronutrient malnutrition.Many countries developed plans ofaction to specifically control andeliminate deficiencies of vitamin A,iodine, and iron in their populations for health, intellectual development, and economic gains. These plans,together with availability and leverage of substantial external and internalresources, led to an increasing numberof affected countries initiating actions tocontrol micronutrient deficiencies.

1. INTRODUCTION

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 2]42

Part II of this report reviews progress inplanning and implementing programs tocontrol micronutrient deficiencies andindicates, where feasible, the evolutionof such programs in recent years. Ofcourse, data collection progressed inconjunction with the control programs,so assessing current status of programs

is easier than assessing trends. Becausecountries are at various stages ofsituation analysis, policy development,program implementation, and programevaluation, the main aim of this sectionis to provide information that will beuseful to policy and decision making atglobal, regional, and national levels.

2. TYPES OF PROGRAMS

The major strategies to correct micro-nutrient deficiencies are supplemen-tation, dietary diversification or modi-fication, and fortification.

➧ Supplementation is a medicalapproach to treating and preventingmicronutrient malnutrition andinvolves administration of capsules,tablets, syrups, and other prepara-tions of the required micronutrient.Supplementation is the method ofchoice when the deficiency is severeand life threatening or when access to regular intake of micronutrients islimited and there is high likelihoodof severe deficiency episodes.

➧ Dietary diversification ormodification aims to correct dietary behaviours that lead tomicronutrient deficiencies and toensure that deficient populationshave access to foods rich inmicronutrients.

➧ Fortification is the addition ofmicronutrients to foods that areregularly consumed and as such it can deliver micronutrients to a largepopulation through the daily diet.

On the basis of experiences to date, amix of strategies seems most likely toresult in sustained enhancement ofhealth benefits, particularly whencombined with health measures.According to the Institute of Medicine(Howson et al. 1998a), the preferredapproach is related to the extent of the problem at the population level (see Table 11). The long-term goal ofintervention should be to shift emphasisaway from supplementation toward acombination of food fortification(through universal salt iodization orfortification of flour with iron, forexample) and dietary diversification,where appropriate and feasible. In other words, as populations move alongthe continuum of risk from a position of higher to one of lower risk, therelevant mix of interventions shouldfavour those involving food intake andshould be modeled after that presentedin Table 11.

The high-priority interventions aretargeted supplementation for iron andvitamin A and universal fortification for vitamin A, iodine, and iron. Thefollowing sections summarize programs

Tabl

e 11

.Pr

efer

red

initi

al a

ppro

ache

s* t

o pr

even

tion

and

cont

rol of

vita

min

A, io

dine

, an

d iron

def

icie

ncie

s in

pop

ulat

ions

at di

ffer

ent

leve

ls†

ofm

icro

nutrie

nt m

alnu

triti

on.

Leve

l IV

Leve

l III

Leve

l II

Leve

l I

Appr

oach

Vit A

Iodi

neIron

Vit A

Iodi

neIron

Vit A

Iodi

neIron

Vit A

Iodi

neIron

Supp

lem

enta

tion

Targ

eted

to

vuln

erab

le g

roup

s++

++++

–++

+++

+++

+++

+++

++

++Uni

vers

al++

++–

++++

+–

++–

––

––

Fortifi

catio

nTa

rget

ed foo

ds++

+–

+–

––

––

––

––

Uni

vers

al–

+++

–++

++++

+++

++++

+++

++++

++++

+

Food

-bas

ed a

ppro

ache

sNut

rition

edu

cation

+++

+++

++

++++

+++

+++

++++

++++

++Fo

od p

rodu

cts

+++

na++

++na

++

na–

–na

–Fo

od-to-

food

for

tific

atio

n‡++

++–

++++

+++

–++

+–

––

––

Publ

ic h

ealth

con

trol

mea

sure

sIm

mun

izat

ion

++++

–++

++++

++–

++++

++++

–++

++++

++–

++++

Para

site

con

trol

++–

+++

++–

+++

––

––

––

HW

/S–

–++

+++

–++

+–

––

––

–DD/A

RI

+++

–++

+++

–++

+–

––

––

–Pe

rson

al s

anitat

ion

and

hygi

ene

++++

–++

++++

++–

++++

++++

–++

++++

++–

++++

na =

not

app

licab

le, HW

/S =

hea

lthy

wat

er a

nd p

ublic

san

itat

ion;

DD/A

RI = c

ontrol

of di

arrh

eal di

seas

es a

nd a

cute

res

pira

tory

inf

ection

s.Ad

apte

d, w

ith

perm

issi

on, from

How

son

et a

l. (1

998,

p. 8)

.*+

+++,

= v

ery

stro

ng e

mph

asis

, ++

+ = s

tron

g em

phas

is, ++

= m

oder

ate

emph

asis

, +

= lig

ht e

mph

asis

, –

= n

o em

phas

is.

†Lev

el IV =

sev

ere

mic

ronu

trie

nt m

alnu

tritio

n, lev

el III

= m

oder

ate-

to-s

ever

e m

icro

nutrie

nt m

alnu

tritio

n, lev

el II = m

ild, w

ides

prea

d m

icro

nutrie

nt m

alnu

tritio

n, lev

el I =

mild

, cl

uste

red

mic

ronu

trie

ntm

alnu

tritio

n.‡M

ixin

g of

sta

ple

food

stuf

fs (

e.g.

, m

ango

with

grue

l) a

t th

e ho

useh

old

leve

l to

enr

ich

nutrie

nt c

onte

nt.

43

Type

s of

pro

gram

s[ PR

OGRA

M IM

PLEM

ENTA

TION IN T

HE

1990

s ]

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 2]44

planned or implemented in these areas.Multiple micronutrient fortification and supplementation have only recentlyemerged as potentially important

interventions, so there are fewer data toreport on these approaches. Similarly,public health measures are not examinedin detail here.

3. METHODS, DATA SOURCES, AND TREATMENT OF DATA

The first source of much of the data usedfor this report is the MicronutrientNetwork (MN-Net) (MI 1999). Thesources of data for MN-Net are thedatabases developed and maintained bythe ICCIDD, WHO, and UNICEF, aswell as information obtained from adhoc inquiries through internationalagencies and literature searches. Theiodine data were compiled by ICCIDDand are also available through MN-Net.At the time MN-Net was developed, nodatabase on programs for controllingiron deficiency had been compiled in the required format, so the MIdeveloped the appropriate database itself, using information available from various sources. MN-Netincorporates information obtainedthrough questionnaires sent to allUNICEF field offices as well as othersources available in 1995. UNICEFcarried out surveys in 1997 for iron, and in 1997 and 1998 for vitamin A.

The information in MN-Net wasupdated in 1999, with data on vitamin Aand iron from the UNICEF field surveys and a further literature search, as outlined in MI et al. (1998) for vitamin A. Also in 1999, MN-Net was restructured, and the results and

tables presented in this document reflect much of the current structure of MN-Net.

Data on policy and legislation (Table 12)are based on information contained inMN-Net (MI 1999) and WHO (1999)and on results obtained by the AsiaDevelopment Bank (ADB) and UNICEF(Mason et al. 2000). Table 12 includesMN-Net data for vitamin A, mostlyderived from a 1998 UNICEF fieldsurvey, originally presented in MI et al.(1998). MN-Net information onnational iron supplementation policiescomes mainly from a 1997 UNICEFfield survey. MN-Net data on iodinelegislation was provided by ICCIDD(2000), as well as WHO (1999).Information on micronutrient policyand legislation for countries in SoutheastAsia also incorporates results obtained byADB and UNICEF (Mason et al. 2000).

Information on procurement of vitamin A capsules and iron–folatetablets (donated by Canada and shippedby UNICEF) was provided from officialrecords of the MI and UNICEF.

45

Met

hods

, da

ta s

ourc

es, an

d trea

tmen

t of

dat

a[ PR

OGRA

M IM

PLEM

ENTA

TION IN T

HE

1990

s ]

General Principles of Data Treatment One problem in assembling the data and deriving the various averages andestimates of adequacy (expressed aspercentage of need met) is theincompleteness of data by country and year. The following principles were therefore applied.

➧ With respect to program data,countries that have never reportedprogram coverage were treated asmissing and were not included indenominators. For countriesreporting for some years and notothers, the years without reports were treated as missing, and regionalcoverage was expressed as a medianvalue (e.g., column I in Table 13 and column H in Table 19) excluding the iodine data.

➧ With respect to procurement data, countries with no recordedprocurement were given a zero value for estimation of the regionalaverages (e.g., column F in Table 13and column E in Table 19). Theregional average was not used inestimating the adequacy of supply, in part because of this manipula-tion. Comparisons of supply withestimated need for one year (i.e.,vitamin A capsules in 1998, iron in1996) included only countries withsome level of procurement reported.

➧ With respect to policy and legislationdata, the regional values for eachindicator represent only countriesthat have already adopted theparticular policy or legislation.

Thus, in compiling the data,countries for which information on supplementation policy orfortification legislation wasunavailable and those with policy or legislation in the planning stages,in draft form, or pending were givena value of zero (and have a “no” entry in Appendix 8). Informationon current status of policy andlegislation in these countries appearsin footnotes to Appendix 8.

Vitamin A

Appendix 9 (columns A and D) presentstotal procurement of 100 000 IU and200 000 IU vitamin A capsules byvarious countries in 1998. Theprocurement data were provided by theUNICEF Copenhagen Supply Divisionand represent shipments of vitamin Acapsules (donated by the CanadianInternational Development Agency)from Copenhagen to UNICEF fieldoffices in 1998. The total number ofcapsules procured by a country does notinclude any capsule supply purchasedwith national funds (either governmentor nongovernmental organization) orobtained through local production.These procurement data are aggregatedby UNICEF region in Table 13, whichalso includes regional vitamin Aprocurement for 1993–1996; these data were also provided by the UNICEFCopenhagen Supply Division and areshown here as given in MI et al. (1998).For determining the annual average forregional procurement for the five yearspresented in Table 13, any country withno procurement was given a zero value.

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 2]46

Therefore, for determining the annualaverage, the denominator is 5 years,regardless of the countries and years for which no data are available.

To assess the potential range of coveragewith vitamin A capsules, the estimatedadequacy of the capsule supply wascalculated separately for the agecategories 6–12 months and 12–59months. The potential coverage valuesfor various countries are presented inAppendix 9 (columns C and G). Theestimated adequacy of capsule supply forthe two age groups was derived from thetotal number of capsules received andrepresents the potential percentage ofchildren who received the recommendedage-specific dose of vitamin A. Thevalues were calculated on the basis of1996 population figures and policyrecommendations made by WHO,UNICEF, IVACG (1997). Thatdocument recommends one 100 000-IU capsule per year forchildren 6–12 months of age, two 200 000-IU capsules per year forchildren 12–59 months of age, and one 200 000-IU capsule forpostpartum women.

Given the recommended supplemen-tation dose and frequency ofadministration and the available age-specific population data, the estimatedannual need for each age group wascalculated (Appendix 9, columns B and E). Column F shows the estimatedannual capsule need for postpartumwomen. Estimated annual capsule needis presented here only for countries and

capsule dosages for which 1998procurement data were reported.Because children 6–12 months of ageneed only one 100 000-IU capsuleannually, computation of the estimatedadequacy of capsule supply is straight-forward (division of the total number of100 000-IU capsules procured in 1998by the total estimated need for this agegroup in that year, i.e., [column A ÷column B] x 100 = column C inAppendix 9). Computation of theestimated adequacy of capsule supply forchildren 12–59 months of age was morecomplicated. Division of the number of200 000-IU capsules received by theestimated capsule need will overestimatepotential capsule coverage, becausepostpartum women also receive 200 000-IU capsules, although theproportion of capsules received by thecountry that are used for this group isunknown. To account for postpartumsupplementation, equal coverage forpostpartum women and children 12–59 months of age was assumed. Thevalues in column G of Appendix 9 werecalculated as follows: ([no. of capsulesreceived in 1998] ÷ [estimated annualneed for children 12–59 months +estimated annual need for postpartumwomen]) x 100, i.e. (column D ÷[column E + column F]) x 100 = column G in Appendix 9.

In computing the percentage ofestimated need met in each country(Appendix 9, columns C and G) and ineach region (Table 13, column H), onlythe estimated annual need for countrieswith reported procurement data were

47

Met

hods

, da

ta s

ourc

es, an

d trea

tmen

t of

dat

a[ PR

OGRA

M IM

PLEM

ENTA

TION IN T

HE

1990

s ]

included. Lack of procurement data isthus counted as missing data, rather thanas zero values for the region. Althoughcounting lack of procurement data asmissing data has an obvious effect onlyon the interpretation of columns C andG in Appendix 9, this approach shouldalso be considered carefully wheninterpreting the regional values in Table 13. Proper interpretation of theaggregated estimate of supply adequacyrequires consideration also of the effectof countries with a capsule supply greaterthan 100% of need (e.g., Mongolia,Myanmar, Honduras, and Nicaragua; see Appendix 9, column G). Moreover,in comparing potential and reportedprogram coverage for vitamin A inTables 13 (columns H and I) and 21

(columns C and D), it should beremembered that the values are notdirectly comparable. The estimatedadequacy of annual capsule supplyrepresents the potential coverage forchildren 12–59 months of age for 1 year,whereas the values for reported coveragewere obtained from UNICEF countryfield offices in response to a specificinquiry concerning the proportion ofchildren 6–59 months who received atleast one vitamin A dose in the previous6 months.

Table 15 shows the number of countriesin each region that distribute vitamin Acapsules in conjunction with nationalimmunization days, micronutrient days,or extended immunizations programs,or through postpartum supplementationpolicies. Many of the countries withnational immunization days did not

respond when asked whether these eventswere combined with distribution ofvitamin A capsules. They were recordedas having given no response (Table 15).In addition, many countries receivedvitamin A capsules through UNICEF but did not distribute them through the mechanisms described above.

Iodine

The data on households consumingadequately iodized salt are the same asthose given in UNICEF (2000) andwere provided directly by UNICEF (T. Wardlaw, N. Levin, and N. Dalmiya,1999). As far as possible, data on theproduction of iodized salt have beenexcluded, and only data on householdconsumption are included. Thedefinition of adequately iodized salt issalt with at least 15 ppm iodine, usuallydetermined by means of testing kits usedin household surveys. Most data pointsfor reporting countries fall within theperiod 1995–1998; however, for 23 countries, information on the date of survey was not available or the datawere collected before 1995 (Table 18 and Appendix 11). Country-level dataon household consumption of iodized salt are presented Appendix 11, andregional population-weighted averages of household consumption of iodizedsalt are presented in Table 18. Theseregional values cover only countries thatreported consumption of iodized salt.Population data from UNICEF (1998)were used in weighting countries thatreported consumption data.

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 2]48

Iron

Procurement information for irontablets presented in Table 19, columnsA–E, comes from the UNICEFCopenhagen Supply Division andincorporates country-level data for bothiron folate and ferrous sulfate tablets.The procurement data for iron have also been used to assess the estimatedpotential coverage of the tablet supplyreceived by the countries in question.The adequacy of the 1996 iron tabletsupply is estimated for each country in Appendix 13 (column E). The values represent the annual potentialpercentage of pregnancies covered (for countries with recorded 1996procurement data), assuming a need for300 iron tablets over a 40-week termpregnancy, according to the followingformula:

([no. of iron tablets procured in 1996] ÷[no. of births in 1996 x 300-tablet needper pregnancy]) x 100

The estimated adequacy of the supply of iron tablets was also calculated on aregional basis (Table 19, column G).The annual number of births in theregion (Table 19, column F) wasdetermined from country-level data(UNICEF 1998) and represents the sumof births in countries with recorded1996 procurement data for iron tablets.Appendix 12 presents the reportedprogram coverage in 1996 for individualcountries. These data were compiledfrom the results of a 1997 UNICEF field survey to country offices. In mostregions, data for reported coverage of

iron programs is missing for more thanhalf of the countries. Regional programcoverage values in Table 19 (column I)are therefore given as the minimum and maximum values, rather than as aweighted average with a large proportionof the regional population excluded.The median value for each region is also given in Table 19 (column H) tofacilitate interpretation.

Table 19 (column E) shows the annualregional average procurement of irontablets for the period 1993–1996. Asstated above, countries for which therewere no procurement data were assigneda zero value, rather than treating data as missing for computation of theregional averages. The denominator for calculating average iron procurementwas therefore 4 years for all countries ineach region, regardless of the countriesand years for which no procurement data were listed.

Multiple Micronutrient Programs

For determining the number ofcountries with a policy on vitamin Asupplementation (Table 12, column B),only countries that had adopted auniversal policy for addressing vitamin Adeficiency were included. Countries thatwere counted as having a national policyfor iron (Table 12, column E) includethose for which supplementation isprovided to pregnant women eitheruniversally, on the basis of hemoglobinlevel, or on the basis of a clinicalassessment. Where the supplementationpolicy adopted is not universal, the basisfor supplementation is presented in

49

Resu

lts:

Prog

ress

in

mic

ronu

trie

nt d

efic

ienc

y co

ntro

l pr

ogra

ms

[ PR

OGRA

M IM

PLEM

ENTA

TION IN T

HE

1990

s ]

Appendix 8. The number of countries ineach region considered to have nationalvitamin A policy, iodine legislation, andiron policy (Table 12, column G) is thesum of the countries for which the criteriaof columns B, D, and E are all met. Forcountries in Central and Eastern Europeand for newly independent states,information is available only on ironsupplementation and iodine legislation;therefore, to avoid large amounts ofmissing data, these countries wereexcluded from Table 12. Available policyand legislation data for this group ofcountries are compiled at the countrylevel in Appendix 8.

The methods of computing regionalprocurement and estimating theadequacy of the supply of vitamin Acapsules (Table 21) were described in the methods section for vitamin A. The methods of calculating annualaverage procurement and estimating

adequacy of tablet supply for iron can befound in the preceding section on iron. The sources for reports of programcoverage for vitamin A and iron and forconsumption of iodized salt consist ofUNICEF field surveys of country offices(for iron in 1997 and for vitamin A in1998) and UNICEF (2000) for iodizedsalt, with additional informationprovided through UNICEF staff (T. Wardlaw, N. Levin, and N. Dalmiya,personal communication, 1999). Foreach region, individual country data onprogram coverage for vitamin A and ironand consumption of iodized salt wereclassified as low, medium, or high (low, <10%; medium, 10% to 60%;high, >60%), and the number ofcountries in each category is presentedin Table 21). The numbers of countriesnot reporting coverage data are alsoshown. Regional data are reported inthis way because a large number ofcountries did not report coverage data.

4. RESULTS: PROGRESS IN MICRONUTRIENT DEFICIENCYCONTROL PROGRAMS

Control of Vitamin A Deficiency

By the late 1990s, about half of thecountries in the developing world hadadopted national policies for addressingvitamin A deficiency (see Table 12).Regional program coverage ranged fromtwo-thirds of the countries in East Asiaand the Pacific region, to one-third of countries in the Middle East andnorthern Africa. In most countries,distribution of high-dose vitamin A

capsules was an important part of thepolicy. Most countries implementingvitamin A supplementation programshave adopted the policy recommendedby WHO, UNICEF, IVACG (1997),which specifies that children 6–12 months of age should receive a100 000-IU dose and children olderthan 12 months of age should be given a 200 000-IU dose every 4 to 6 months.

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 2]50

Tabl

e 12

. Num

bers

of co

untrie

s w

ith m

icro

nutrie

nt s

uppl

emen

tatio

n po

licie

s an

d fo

rtifi

catio

n le

gisl

atio

n.No.

of co

untrie

s w

ith p

olic

y or

leg

isla

tion*

Vita

min

AIo

dine

Iron

Tota

l Nat

iona

lLe

gisl

atio

nLe

gisl

atio

n fo

rNat

iona

l po

licy

for

Legi

slat

ion

for

Mul

tiple

pol

icie

sno

. o

f po

licy

for

fortifi

catio

nio

dizi

ng s

alt

supp

lem

enta

tion

fortifi

catio

n (n

o. a

nd %

of

coun

trie

s(1

996–

1998

)(1

996–

1998

)(1

998–

1999

)(1

996–

1998

)(1

996–

1998

)co

untrie

s)UNIC

EF r

egio

nCo

l. A

Col.

BCo

l. C

Col.

DCo

l. E

Col.

FCo

l. G

Sout

h Asi

a7

41

45

03

(43)

East

Asi

a an

d Pa

cific

128

49

70

6(5

0)La

tin

Am

eric

a an

d Ca

ribb

ean

2112

1218

1110

6(2

9)Ea

ster

n an

d so

uthe

rn A

fric

a20

80

159

03

(15)

Wes

tern

and

cen

tral

Afric

a21

110

1512

17

(33)

Mid

dle

East

and

nor

ther

n Afric

a18

60

135

03

(17)

Tota

l99

4917

7449

1128

(28)

FSo

urce

s:M

I (1

999)

, W

HO (

1999

), a

nd M

ason

et

al. (2

000)

. Se

e Ap

pend

ix 8

for

com

plet

e da

ta s

et.

Not

e:Fo

r co

untrie

s in

cen

tral

and

eas

tern

Eur

ope

and

new

ly ind

epen

dent

sta

tes,

inf

orm

atio

n is

ava

ilabl

e on

ly o

n iro

n su

pple

men

tation

and

iod

ine

legi

slat

ion.

Of th

e 27

cou

ntries

in

the

regi

on, 10

hav

e a

nation

al iro

n su

pple

men

tation

pol

icy

and

18 h

ave

legi

slat

ion

conc

erni

ng iod

izat

ion

of s

alt

(see

App

endi

x 8)

.*C

ount

ries

for

whi

ch n

o in

form

atio

n w

as a

vaila

ble

conc

erni

ng p

olic

ies

or leg

isla

tion

for

mic

ronu

trie

nts

wer

e pr

esum

ed n

ot t

o ha

ve a

lread

y ad

opte

d a

mic

ronu

trie

nt p

olic

y or

leg

isla

tion

and

wer

e gi

ven

ava

lue

of z

ero

for

the

resp

ective

ind

icat

or.

51

Resu

lts:

Prog

ress

in

mic

ronu

trie

nt d

efic

ienc

y co

ntro

l pr

ogra

ms

[ PR

OGRA

M IM

PLEM

ENTA

TION IN T

HE

1990

s ]

Many countries distributing high-dosevitamin A supplements procure thecapsules through UNICEF’s SupplyDivision in Copenhagen. Othercountries, including China, India, andIndonesia, procure supplements locallyor regionally. Consolidated purchasingby UNICEF results in low costs. A single 200 000-IU capsule purchasedthrough the UNICEF Supply Divisioncosts US$0.02. The total number ofvitamin A capsules procured fromUNICEF for 1993–1996 and 1998 isshown in Table 13. A rapid increase inprocurement after 1993 is evident. Onaverage, over 100 million vitamin Acapsules were provided in 1993–1998.In 1998, for example, over 153 mil-lion vitamin A capsules were sent to 52 different countries (see Appendix 9for individual country data), a value thatcan be used to determine the adequacyof coverage for young children on theassumption of two capsules per year (see Methods section of MI et al.[1998]). This quantity of capsules would be sufficient to supply anestimated 38% of the children in thecountries that received capsules (Table 13) but only 10% of all child-ren in developing countries.

Coverage through vitamin A supple-mentation programs can also be assessedfrom the reports obtained from countryoffices (Appendix 9, column H).Because only a limited number ofcountries report levels of coverage andbecause the estimates (presented aspercentages) vary widely, the bestregional description of coverage is

the median value (Table 13, column I).In the 52 countries reporting supple-mentation programs, the mediancoverage was over 80%, except in LatinAmerica and the Caribbean. (There are several reasons why the values foravailable supply and reported programcoverage differ, one of which is thatsupply stocks are carried over; forexample the reported coverage data for South Asia do not match the supplydata because of carryover of capsulestocks from previous years’ supplies in Bangladesh).

The regional estimates of access tovitamin A capsules, in terms of reportedprogram coverage and adequacy ofsupply, for the 52 countries reportingsuch data, are displayed in Fig. 14. These data generally support theconclusion that high levels of capsuledistribution were achieved in manycountries in the mid-1990s.

The estimated prevalences of low serumretinol (see part I) can be comparedvisually with reported vitamin A programcoverage by categorizing and mappingthese two factors (Fig. 15). Somecorrespondence between reportedcoverage and extent of the deficiency isevident, for example, in sub-SaharanAfrica. Operationally, it could be useful to identify countries with highprevalence of vitamin A deficiency andlow coverage, which might be givenpriority for program development, as well as countries with significantprevalence of deficiency and highprogram coverage, but low levels of

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 2]52

Tabl

e 13

. Re

gion

al p

rocu

rem

ent

of v

itam

in A

caps

ules

in

rela

tion

to n

eed.

No.

of vi

tam

in A

caps

ules

pro

cure

d (m

illio

ns)*

Estim

ated

M

edia

n re

ported

Annu

alNee

d† (

mill

ions

adeq

uacy

of

cove

rage

§ (

%)

and

1993

1994

1995

1996

1998

aver

age

of c

apsu

les)

supp

ly‡

(%)

no. of

cou

ntries

UNIC

EF r

egio

nCo

l. A

Col.

BCo

l. C

Col.

DCo

l. E

Col.

FCo

l. G

Col.

HCo

l. I

Sout

h Asi

a5.

3646

.50

48.0

62.

406.

7321

.81

62.7

39.

187

(5)

East

Asi

a a

nd P

acifi

c3.

9513

.70

12.6

426

.00

31.3

117

.52

36.3

266

.680

(8)

La

tin

Am

eric

a an

d Ca

ribb

ean

8.90

26.8

025

.56

4.30

23.3

217

.78

62.0

530

.060

(9)

East

ern

and

sout

hern

Afric

a14

.13

51.4

038

.95

11.8

031

.08

29.4

733

.85

67.8

83 (

13)

Wes

tern

and

cen

tral

Afric

a3.

926.

029.

405.

1536

.33

12.1

673

.15

36.2

90 (

11)

Mid

dle

East

and

nor

ther

n Afric

a8.

6817

.40

0.32

17.4

024

.73

13.7

121

.32

57.6

85 (

6)To

tal

44.9

416

1.82

134.

9367

.05

153.

5011

2.45

289.

4238

.180

(52

)So

urce

s:M

I et

al.

(199

8), UNIC

EF C

open

hage

n Su

pply

Div

isio

n (d

ata

for

1998

), U

NIC

EF fie

ld s

urve

y of

cou

ntry

offi

ces

unde

rtak

en in

1998

.*N

umbe

rs o

f vi

tam

in A

caps

ules

pro

cure

d fo

r 19

93–1

996

do n

ot inc

lude

dat

a fo

r Gam

bia

or S

waz

iland

. To

tal nu

mbe

r of

vitam

in A

caps

ules

pro

cure

d fo

r 19

98 is

the

sum

of 10

0 00

0-IU

cap

sule

s an

d 20

000

0-IU

cap

sule

s fo

r ea

ch r

egio

n (s

um o

f co

lum

ns A

and

D in

Appe

ndix

9). T

otal

num

bers

of ca

psul

es p

rocu

red

in e

ach

year

do

not

incl

ude

caps

ules

pur

chas

ed w

ith

nation

al fun

ds (

eith

er g

over

nmen

t or

nong

over

nmen

tal or

gani

zation

s) o

r ob

tain

ed t

hrou

gh loc

al p

rodu

ctio

n. F

or c

alcu

lation

of an

nual

ave

rage

pro

cure

men

t (for

199

3–19

96 a

nd 1

998)

, ab

senc

e of

pro

cure

men

t da

ta w

as c

ount

ed a

s ze

ro r

athe

rth

an a

s m

issi

ng d

ata.

The

ann

ual av

erag

e pr

ocur

emen

t fo

r a

regi

on d

oes

not

nece

ssar

ily r

epre

sent

pro

cure

men

t da

ta for

the

sam

e co

untrie

s ov

er t

he 5

-yea

r pe

riod

.†F

or c

hild

ren

12–5

9 m

onth

s of

age

. Bas

ed o

n 20

0 00

0-IU

cap

sule

s, for

cou

ntries

with

repo

rted

cap

sule

pro

cure

men

t fo

r 19

98 (

Appe

ndix

9, co

lum

n E)

and

usi

ng c

ount

ry p

opul

atio

n da

ta for

tho

seco

untrie

s.‡F

or c

hild

ren

12–5

9 m

onth

s of

age

in

coun

trie

s re

ceiv

ing

UNIC

EF c

apsu

les.

Est

imat

ed a

dequ

acy

of c

apsu

le s

uppl

y is

bas

ed o

n po

licy

reco

mm

endi

ng p

rovi

sion

of on

e 20

0 00

0-IU

cap

sule

to

post

partum

wom

en a

nd t

wo

200

000-

IU c

apsu

les

annu

ally

to

child

ren

12–5

9 m

onth

s of

age

. Th

e ca

lcul

atio

n as

sum

es e

qual

dis

trib

utio

n of

200

000

-IU c

apsu

les

betw

een

thes

e tw

o po

pula

tion

gro

ups.

Som

eco

untrie

s ha

ve g

reat

er t

han

100%

pot

ential

cov

erag

e of

chi

ldre

n fo

r 19

98 (

see

Appe

ndix

9). P

oten

tial

vitam

in A

cove

rage

of So

uth

Asi

an c

hild

ren

is low

in

part b

ecau

se p

rocu

rem

ent

data

for

Ind

ia w

ere

not

avai

labl

e.§Fo

rch

ildre

n 6–

59 m

onth

s of

age

who

rec

eive

d at

lea

st o

ne s

uppl

emen

t in

the

pre

viou

s 6

mon

ths,

as

repo

rted

for

199

8 .

53

Resu

lts:

Prog

ress

in

mic

ronu

trie

nt d

efic

ienc

y co

ntro

l pr

ogra

ms

[ PR

OGRA

M IM

PLEM

ENTA

TION IN T

HE

1990

s ]

procurement, because any of thesewithout domestic sources of vitamin Asupplements might be given priority forexternal provision. Table 14 showsexamples of countries in these twogroups (based on MI et al. [1998], p. 32; Appendix 9 in the currentdocument).

Such results argue that priority be givento program development in Burundi,Chad, India, Malawi, and Pakistan, aswell as to exploring whether the externalsupply of capsules to Bangladesh and thePhilippines should be increased. Theseanalyses could then be updated asprograms change.

FIG14 >> Reported

program coverage with

high-dose vitamin A

capsules for preschool

children in 1998 and

estimated adequacy

of external capsule

supply. Regions are

as defined by UNICEF

(1998, p. 122).

0 20 10040 60 80

SOUTH ASIA

EAST ASIA & PACIFIC

WESTERN & CENTRAL AFRICA

MIDDLE EAST & NORTHERN AFRICA

EASTERN & SOUTHERN AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA & CARIBBEANAdequacy of supplyMedian programcoverage

%

Table 14. Countries with priority for external provision of vitamin A supplements.Prevalence of low Reported program coverage Procurement

Country serum retinol (%) (% of population) (% of need)High prevalence of deficiency,

low coverageChad 24 0 37Pakistan 18 1 1Burundi 20 15 85India 18 25 —Malawi 31 34 90High prevalence, high program

coverage, low procurementBangladesh 26 95 3Philippines 10 80 3Dash = information not available.Source: MI et al. (1998, Annex 4).

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 2]54

In 39 countries, vitamin A supplementsare distributed during national immu-nization days or in conjunction withother mass immunization campaigns(Table 15). In the African countries, thiswas by far the commonest method; infact, several countries used this form ofdistribution even though they did nothave a national policy for addressingvitamin A deficiency. More generally,vitamin A supplementation is beingintegrated into routine visits to motherand child health clinics and throughcommunity-based nutritionimprovement programs. High coveragefor children is reported from thesemethods, as discussed below.

In 1997 WHO, UNICEF, and IVACG(1997) recommended that, in countrieswith vitamin A deficiency, all mothersshould receive a high-dose vitamin Acapsule within 8 weeks of giving birth.Such supplementation maintainsadequate concentrations of vitamin A in breast milk until the child is up to 6 months of age (Stoltzfus et al. 1992).As of 1998, 44 countries had adopted apolicy for postpartum supplementation(Appendix 10), and 19 had reported onthe estimated coverage (Table 16). Themedian coverage was 30%.

Table 15. Distribution of vitamin A capsules in relation to national immunization days (NIDs), micronutrient (M-NUT) days, Expanded Programs for Immunization (EPIs), and postpartum supplementation policies.

No. of countriesNIDs without Policy for

capsule postpartumdistribution supplementation

NIDs, M-NUT Total days, or EPI no. of with capsule Answered No No No

UNICEF region countries distribution “No” response NIDs Yes responseSouth Asia 7 1 0 6 0 4 3East Asia and Pacific 12 4 0 2 6 6 6Latin America and Caribbean 21 0 0 0 21 9 12 Eastern and southern Africa 20 13 2 2 3 9 11Western and central Africa 21 15 0 4 2 12 9Middle East and northern 18 6 4 0 8 4 14

AfricaCentral and eastern Europe,

newly independent states 27 0 0 12 15 0 27Total 126 39 6 26 55 45 81Source: UNICEF field survey of country offices, undertaken in 1998. See Appendix 10 for complete data set.

55

Resu

lts:

Prog

ress

in

mic

ronu

trie

nt d

efic

ienc

y co

ntro

l pr

ogra

ms

[ PR

OGRA

M IM

PLEM

ENTA

TION IN T

HE

1990

s ]

FIG15 >> Prevalence of subclinical vitamin A deficiency, as defined by serum retinol <70 µmol/L (A), and reported

coverage of vitamin A supplementation programs in 1998 (B). Values in parentheses in the legend represent the

total number of countries. Regions are as defined by UNICEF (1998, p. 122).

≥20 (22)

15 to <20 (15)

10 to <15 (17)

0 to <10 (35)

DEVELOPING COUNTRIESPREVALENCE OFLOW SERUM RETINOL (%)

15A

≥75 (29)

25 to <75 (11)

0 to <25 (6)

DEVELOPING COUNTRIESREPORTED VITAMIN APROGRAM COVERAGE (%)

15B

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 2]56

Fewer than half of the 49 countries with a national policy for addressingvitamin A deficiency (for 1996–1998)also had legislation governing vitamin Afortification of foods (Table 12 andAppendix 8). In fact, in Latin Americaand the Caribbean, vitamin A supple-mentation is not a common approach,and more reliance is placed onfortification. The commodities mostoften fortified in developing countriesare shown in Table 17: sugar andmargarine are the most common, withmaize flour, vegetable oil, rice, and dairyproducts also being used. Research andpilot projects are under way in a numberof additional countries.

Control of Iodine DeficiencyDisorders

Three-quarters of the countries in thedeveloping world now have legislation in place for iodizing salt (Table 12,Appendix 8). Most of the countries haveadopted this legislation in the past10–15 years. Thanks to the fact that

large-scale surveys — such as multipleindicator cluster surveys anddemographic and health surveys — now include direct estimates of theiodization level of salt in sampledhouseholds, the extent to whichhouseholds are consuming adequatelyiodized salt can be directly assessed.National results are presented inAppendix 11, and regional averages are given in Table 18. Two-thirds ofhouseholds (68%) are now estimated to be getting adequately iodized salt(defined in most cases as at least 15 ppmof iodine). This estimate refers to theaverage for the countries reporting data,which accounts for almost all countriesexcept those in Central and EasternEurope and newly independent states, asindicated in the last column of Table 18.

Nearly 90% of households in LatinAmerica and the Caribbean areconsuming adequately iodized salt; therange is about 65% to about 75% forcountries in the Asian regions, about50% to about 74% in sub-Saharan

Table 16. Percentage of mothers receiving high-dose vitamin A capsules* within 4–8 weeks after deliveryin countries reporting presence of a program.

% of mothers % of mothersCountry receiving capsule Country receiving capsule

Nigeria 90 Burkino Faso 30Bhutan 80 Philippines 30Iraq 64 Bolivia 26Honduras 53 Ethiopia 15Viet Nam 53 Madagascar 13El Salvador 40 Guatemala 10Indonesia 40 India 10Malawi 39 Somalia 10Panama 37 Zambia 10

Haiti 5Source: UNICEF field survey of country offices, undertaken in 1998. *Usually 300 000 IU.

57

Resu

lts:

Prog

ress

in

mic

ronu

trie

nt d

efic

ienc

y co

ntro

l pr

ogra

ms

[ PR

OGRA

M IM

PLEM

ENTA

TION IN T

HE

1990

s ]

Table 17. Commodities being used for fortification with vitamin A in operational country programsDeveloping countries with fortification programs in place*

No. of developing countries exploring

Commodity fortification Primary program Secondary programSugar 20 El Salvador, Guatemala, Chile, Viet Nam† (n = 2)

Honduras, Nicaragua, Zambia (n = 5)Margarine 14 Malaysia, Peru, the Philippines, Ecuador, El Salvador,

Sri Lanka, Brazil (n = 5)‡ Guatemala, Honduras, India, Mexico, Panama, Singapore, Zimbabwe (n = 9)

Maize flour 5 Colombia, Zimbabwe (n = 2) Venezuela (n = 1)Rice 3 Burkino Faso, Lesotho,

Singapore§ (n = 3) NoneOil 6 Bolivia, China, Tanzania (n = 3) NoneMilk, dairy products 5 India (on regional basis),

Thailand (condensed milk) (n = 2) China (n = 1)Dried mango 2 Haiti, Senegal (n = 2)Noodles 2 None Indonesia, Thailand

(n = 2)Wheat flour 3 None|| None*In data compiled for MN-Net (MI 1999), fortified commodities are defined as “primary” and “secondary.” These terms refer to the scale of

implementation, secondary methods often being at the experimental stage.†Viet Nam is exploring the feasibility of a program.‡Margarine is also fortified with vitamin A in European and North American countries.§Rice is also fortified with vitamin A in Hungary and Japan.|| Indonesia and Namibia report plans to do so.

Table 18. Households consuming adequately iodized salt,* 1995–1998.

No. of countries Households consuming No. of countriesin region iodized salt (average %)† reporting

UNICEF region Col. A Col. B Col. CSouth Asia 7 65.1 6East Asia and Pacific 12 75.3 9Latin America and the Caribbean 21 88.6 19Eastern and southern Africa 20 51.6 19Western and central Africa 21 73.6 16Middle East and northern Africa 18 48.9 12Central and eastern Europe and 27 28.2 10

newly independent statesTotal 126 67.8 91Sources: UNICEF (2000).*Adequate iodization defined as ≥15 ppm iodine.†Average calculated on the basis of the reporting countries only. Regional average is weighted according to 1996 population data forcountries reporting household consumption data. Data points for all reporting countries are for years within the period 1995–1998, with theexception of the following 23 countries: Argentina, Costa Rica, Cuba, Ecuador, Eritrea, Ghana, Guatemala, India, Korea DPR, Mauritania, SouthAfrica, Venezuela, and Zimbabwe (date not available); Haiti (data for 1989); Russian Federation (data for 1992); Burundi, Gambia, and Libya(data for 1993); Botswana, Macedonia, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and Yugoslavia (data for 1994).

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 2]58

Africa; and about 50% in the MiddleEast and northern Africa. The lowestcoverage with adequately iodized saltoccurs in the former Soviet bloc (data on iodized salt are more available thandata on program coverage for iron andvitamin A and are therefore includedhere for this group of countries [Fig. 16]). Even though the average for most regions is high (Table 18),Appendix 11 shows that a number of countries still lag, for example,Cambodia and Pakistan in Asia, severalcountries in western and central Africa,and a few in the Middle East andnorthern Africa.

The key issue now is to improve thequality control for the iodine content ofsalt, which is one of major reasons that

access to iodized salt is not higher. Theother main reason is that distributionand marketing of iodized salt has not yet reached the more remote areas, aparticular problem in countries wherethere are large numbers of small,traditional producers.

Household coverage with adequatelyiodized salt is compared with theprevalence of goitre in Fig. 17.Countries that should have priority for assistance might be those withsignificant prevalence of goitre (e.g., more than 10%) and lowhousehold coverage with adequatelyiodized salt (e.g., less than 30%), forexample, Ethiopia, Mauritania, Ghana,Philippines, and Burkina Faso.

FIG16 >> Households

receiving adequately

iodized salt, defined as

salt with at least 15 ppm

iodine, for the period

1995–1998. The data are

presented in Table 14.

Regions are as defined

by UNICEF (1998,

p. 122).

0 20 10040 60 80

SOUTH ASIA

EAST ASIA & PACIFIC

WESTERN & CENTRAL AFRICA

MIDDLE EAST & NORTHERN AFRICA

CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE, NEWLY INDEPENDENT STATES

EASTERN & SOUTHERN AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA & CARIBBEAN

% OF HOUSEHOLDS

59

Resu

lts:

Prog

ress

in

mic

ronu

trie

nt d

efic

ienc

y co

ntro

l pr

ogra

ms

[ PR

OGRA

M IM

PLEM

ENTA

TION IN T

HE

1990

s ]

FIG17 >> Prevalence of iodine deficiency disorders, defined as both palpable and visible goitre (A), and percentage

of households receiving adequately iodized salt (B). Values in parentheses in the legend represent the total number

of countries. Regions are as defined by UNICEF (1998, p. 122).

≥35 (12)

25 to <35 (9)

15 to <25 (15)

0 to <15 (20)

DEVELOPING COUNTRIESPREVALENCE OF GOITRE (%)(MOST RECENT SURVEY)

17A

75 to 100 (34)

50 to <75 (17)

25 to <50 (8)

0 to <25 (12)

DEVELOPING COUNTRIESHOUSEHOLDS WITHADEQUATELY IODIZED SALT (%)

17B

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 2]60

Control of Iron Deficiency About half of the countries in thedeveloping world reported adoption of anational policy for iron supplementation(Table 12, column E). The number issimilar, and the countries are often thesame, as for policies for controllingvitamin A deficiency. Only in LatinAmerica and the Caribbean isfortification of foods with iron thepriority. Only one country in anotherregion has legislation for ironfortification (Table 12, column F).

Pregnant women are the most commontarget group for iron supplementationprograms, and it is mainly for this group that data on program coverage are available. Program coverage for the39 countries reporting such data varieswidely (Appendix 12 and Table 16);some countries reported up to 100%(e.g., Cuba and Nicaragua), whereasothers, such as Tunisia, reported only10% coverage. The regional range was52% to 78%, and the regional medianwas 55%. These coverage values aresomewhat difficult to interpret, becausethey refer to the percentage of womenregistered in supplementation pro-grams but do not include estimates ofadherence to the supplementationregimen throughout pregnancy.

For this deficiency, the procurementdata from UNICEF are less informative,because a much higher proportion of the supplement is obtained locally.Nonetheless, the results in Table 19indicate that the supply of iron tabletsfrom external sources is very low relative

to the need. To give a sense of scale, weestimated the need in terms of coveringan entire pregnancy with daily supple-mentation, hence relating the tabletsupply to the annual number of births.This calculation indicated that onlyabout 3% of the need for pregnantwomen is being met by external supplies.Even if the calculation were based onweekly supplementation, the externalsupply would still be less than 20% ofthe needs of pregnant women.

The reported program coverage andexternal supply data are shown in Fig. 18. No doubt most of the irontablet supply used in these countries is obtained from domestic sources.Nonetheless, because supply problemshave been considered a major constraint(Gillespie et al. 1991) improving thelevel of external provision could be astep toward improving the effectivenessof programs.

The average estimated levels of anemia(in pregnant women) and the reportedcoverage by iron supplementationprograms (for countries that provideddata) are mapped in Fig. 19. The moststriking observation is that not manycountries reported supplementationprograms, and for those that did, therewas little relation to need. Althoughprogram coverage needs to be expanded,there is a sense that this may be waitingfor better methods to be identified anddemonstrated.

Tackling iron deficiency throughsupplementation is much moredemanding than using supplementation

61

Resu

lts:

Prog

ress

in

mic

ronu

trie

nt d

efic

ienc

y co

ntro

l pr

ogra

ms

[ PR

OGRA

M IM

PLEM

ENTA

TION IN T

HE

1990

s ]

Tabl

e 19

. Re

gion

al p

rocu

rem

ent

of iro

n su

pple

men

ts in

rela

tion

to n

eed.

No.

of iron

tab

lets

pro

cure

d (m

illio

ns)

*Rep

orte

d pr

ogra

m c

over

age§

Annu

al

No.

of bi

rths

† Ad

equa

cy o

f M

edia

n Ra

nge

No.

of co

untrie

s19

9319

9419

9519

96av

erag

e(m

illio

ns)

supp

ly‡

(%)

(%)

(%)

repo

rtin

gUNIC

EF r

egio

nCo

l. A

Col.

BCo

l. C

Col.

DCo

l. E

Col.

FCo

l. G

Col.

HCo

l. I

Col.

J

Sout

h Asi

a10

6.03

85.2

913

4.40

132.

8011

4.63

10.7

44.

156

51–6

12

East

Asi

a an

d Pa

cific

76.9

630

6.00

105.

8582

.13

142.

745.

774.

750

30–8

27

Latin

Am

eric

a an

d Ca

ribb

ean

20.9

170

.59

63.7

535

.18

47.6

14.

852.

466

20–1

0010

East

ern

and

sout

hern

Afric

a22

9.38

139.

9514

2.72

75.4

214

6.87

8.09

3.1

7820

–90

6W

este

rn a

nd c

entral

Afric

a81

.32

32.5

548

.71

85.8

662

.11

11.3

22.

552

25–9

510

Mid

dle

East

and

nor

ther

n Afric

a20

4.16

33.6

729

5.50

45.3

314

4.67

3.70

4.1

6025

–95

4To

tal

718.

7666

8.05

790.

9345

6.72

658.

6344

.47

3.4

5520

–100

39So

urce

s: U

NIC

EF (

1998

), U

NIC

EF C

open

hage

n Su

pply

Div

isio

n (d

ata

for

1993

–199

6), UNIC

EF fie

ld s

urve

y of

cou

ntry

offi

ces

unde

rtak

en in

1997

.Not

e: E

stim

ated

tot

al s

pent

for

iro

n ta

blet

s in

199

6 w

as U

S$1.

075

mill

ion

for

456.

72 m

illio

n ta

bles

(US$

0.00

24 p

er t

able

t).

*Tot

al n

umbe

r of

iro

n ta

blet

s pr

ocur

ed r

epre

sent

s th

e su

m o

f al

l iro

n fo

late

and

fer

rous

sul

fate

tab

lets

pro

cure

d in

eac

h ye

ar, bu

t do

es n

ot n

eces

sarily

rep

rese

nt d

ata

for

the

sam

e co

untrie

s fo

r ea

ch y

ear.

Aver

age

is for

199

3–19

96.

†Birth

s in

199

6 fo

r on

ly t

hose

cou

ntries

rep

orting

iro

n pr

ocur

emen

t in

tha

t ye

ar.

‡For

199

6, in

rela

tion

to

need

for

300

iro

n ta

bles

for

eac

h 40

-wee

k te

rm p

regn

ancy

.§Dat

aon

rep

orte

d pr

ogra

m c

over

age

is for

199

6 fo

r al

l co

untrie

s ex

cept

Bhu

tan,

Gui

nea,

and

Vie

tnam

(fo

r w

hich

dat

e w

as n

ot a

vaila

ble)

.

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 2]62

FIG18 >> Reported

program coverage with

iron supplementation for

pregnant women in 1996

and estimated adequacy

of external supply.

The data are presented

in Table 16. Regions are

as defined by UNICEF

(1998, p. 122).

0 20 10040 60 80

SOUTH ASIA

EAST ASIA & PACIFIC

WESTERN & CENTRAL AFRICA

MIDDLE EAST & NORTHERN AFRICA

EASTERN & SOUTHERN AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA & CARIBBEAN

Adequacy of supplyMedian programcoverage

%

to deal with deficiencies of vitamin Aand iodine. Although officially reportedcoverage of programs seems moderatelyhigh (Table 19), most other informa-tion points to low coverage and pooradherence to supplementation throughantenatal care. This approach to treatingiron deficiency should be pursued, but coverage and impact of ironsupplementation seem unlikely to reach the levels that are being seen forvitamin A and iodine.

Fortification of foods with iron is ofgreat potential importance and is beingwidely adopted for wheat (Table 20),which is especially relevant where wheat is the staple food. Technical problemsremain for fortifying rice, and a solutionto these problems would represent amajor breakthrough in controlling irondeficiency; such a breakthrough is to be

anticipated in the foreseeable future.Meanwhile, several other commoditiesare being tried in both large-scale andexperimental-scale projects. Examplesinclude premixes to be added to rice and commercially processed foods (e.g., in Thailand), salt in India andelsewhere (which presents another set of technical challenges, particularly if the salt is iodized), and sugar.

Addressing Multiple DeficienciesMost people who are malnourishedprobably suffer from multipledeficiencies. Moreover, thesedeficiencies interact, so increasing theintake of one nutrient alone may not be effective in improving nutritionalstatus. Thus, there are good reasons, in terms of nutrition and health, foraddressing deficiencies of severalmicronutrients at the same time.

63

Resu

lts:

Prog

ress

in

mic

ronu

trie

nt d

efic

ienc

y co

ntro

l pr

ogra

ms

[ PR

OGRA

M IM

PLEM

ENTA

TION IN T

HE

1990

s ]

Table 20. Commodities being used for fortification with iron.Developing countries with fortification programs in place*

No. of developing countries exploring

Commodity fortification Primary program Secondary programWheat flour 36 Belize, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Egypt,† Iran,† Lebanon†

Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, (n = 3)El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Jordan, Mexico, Nicaragua, Nigeria, Oman, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Trinidad, Venezuela (n = 20)

Maize flour 4 Zimbabwe (n = 1) Botswana, Mexico,‡ Venezuela (n = 3)

Milk products 3 None Chile (n = 1)Weaning foods 3 Botswana, China, Colombia, Cuba

Ecuador, Peru (n = 6) NoneOthers 9§ Philippines (rice premix),

India (salt) (n = 2) None*In data compiled for MN-Net (MI 1999), fortified commodities are defined as “primary” and “secondary.” These terms refer to the scale of

implementation, secondary methods often being at the experimental stage.†Countries in preliminary stages of fortification trials.‡Mexico is exploring the feasibility of a program.§Other commodities undergoing exploration: drink mix (in Mexico and Tanzania), noodles and fish sauce (in Thailand), spice mix (in South

Africa), salt (in Bangladesh, Ghana, and Guatemala), sugar (in Morocco), and juice drink (in China).

Furthermore, the same populationgroups are usually at risk for differentdeficiencies, so these groups areappropriate targets for programsaddressing several micronutrients —pregnant women, infants, and youngchildren are good examples. Bothoperationally and biologically, there isgood reason for programs to controldeficiencies of multiple micronutrients.

Interventions may also be more effective if combined so as to sharedelivery methods, in terms offortification, supplementation, anddietary change. This is not alwaysfeasible, because the fortificantsthemselves may interact (iron interactswith the iodine in salt, for instance).Moreover, frequencies of supplemen-

tation and dose levels may not becompatible. Vitamin A is a case in point:although infrequent, high doses ofvitamin A are advantageous as a singleintervention, this form of admin-istration is not appropriate for the important target group of pregnantwomen, because high doses areassociated with a risk of teratogenicity.Now that there is evidence suggestingthat low-dose vitamin A supplemen-tation may decrease maternal mortality(West et al. 1999), there is yet morereason to provide a regular, low dose towomen, which would fit with a daily (orpossibly weekly) multiple supplementa-tion approach during pregnancy.

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 2]64

FIG19 >> Prevalence of anemia among pregnant women, defined as hemoglobin level <110 g/L (regional mean

values) (A), and reported coverage of iron supplementation programs in 1997 (B). Regions are as defined by UNICEF

(1998, p. 122).

≥50 (16)

25 to <50 (54)

0 to <35 (27)

DEVELOPING COUNTRIESANEMIA IN PREGNANT WOMEN (%)

19A

≥80 (10)

60 to <80 (7)

40 to <60 (12)

0 to <40 (5)

DEVELOPING COUNTRIESREPORTED COVERAGE OF IRON SUPPLEMENTATION (%)

19B

65

Resu

lts:

Prog

ress

in

mic

ronu

trie

nt d

efic

ienc

y co

ntro

l pr

ogra

ms

[ PR

OGRA

M IM

PLEM

ENTA

TION IN T

HE

1990

s ]

The reported coverage of variousprograms has been used to categorizecountries according to level of coverage(Table 21, Fig. 20; individual countrydata in Appendix 13, columns C, D, and F). By these criteria, coverage for iodized salt is the most extensive.Vitamin A coverage by supplementationis at least 60% in one-third to one-halfof the countries in Asia and sub-SaharanAfrica; in Latin America, as notedearlier, more reliance is put onfortification than on supplementation.Iron supplementation is lagging,outlined earlier: only 20% to 30% of countries have at least 60% coveragefor pregnant women, and these estimatesprobably considerably overestimateactual levels of supplementation, giventhe known logistic and adherenceproblems for iron tablets.

Overall, important opportunities exist for combining interventions withmultiple micronutrient supplementationand fortification. Pregnancy and earlychildhood may represent the mostimportant opportunity at present.Multiple-micronutrient supplements are now being developed for use byadults in developing countries (UNICEFet al. 2000). A need remains for asuitable pediatric preparation, at leastfor iron plus additional micronutrients,such as zinc (Nestel and Alnwick 1997).

Several countries have recognized theneed for tackling multiple deficiencies,and 28 countries have policies foraddressing all three of the deficienciesdiscussed in this report (Table 12,column G). Although these policies may not yet have been translated into

FIG20 >> Percentage of countries in various regions reporting high program coverage for vitamin A supplementation (>60% of children 6–59 months of age receiving capsules), iodine fortification (>60% of households using salt with at least 15 ppm iodine), and iron supplementation (>60% of pregnant women receiving supplements). Regions are as defined by UNICEF (1998, p. 122).

0 20 10040 60 80

SOUTH ASIA

EAST ASIA & PACIFIC

WESTERN & CENTRAL AFRICA

MIDDLE EAST & NORTHERN AFRICA

EASTERN & SOUTHERN AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA& CARIBBEAN

% OF COUNTRIES

Vitamin AIodineIron

[THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT: PART 2]66

Tabl

e 21

. Re

gion

al p

rocu

rem

ent

in r

elat

ion

to n

eed

for

vita

min

A, io

dine

, an

d iron

.Vi

tam

in A

Iron

Iodi

neNo.

of co

untrie

s w

ith

No.

of co

untrie

s w

ith

No.

of co

untrie

s w

ithre

ported

lev

els

of

repo

rted

lev

els

of

repo

rted

lev

els

ofho

useh

olds

con

sum

ing

cove

rage

‡§co

vera

ge§¶

iodi

zed

salt§

**Co

l. D

Col.

GCo

l. H

No.

Ad

equa

cyNo.

tab

lets

Ad

equa

cyAv

g. %

of

caps

ules

of

pr

ocur

ed

ofho

useh

olds

No.

of

rece

ived

*su

pply

†in

199

6 su

pply

|| co

nsum

ing

coun

trie

s(m

illio

ns)

(%)

(mill

ions

)(%

)io

dize

d sa

lt††

UNIC

EF r

egio

nCo

l. A

Col.

BCo

l. C

Low

Med

.Hig

hna

Col.

ECo

l. F

Low

Med

.Hig

hna

Low

Med

.Hig

hna

Col.

I

Sout

h Asi

a7

6.73

9.1

11

32

132.

804.

10

11

50

24

165

.1

East

Asi

a

and

Paci

fic12

31.3

166

.61

16

482

.13

4.7

05

25

21

63

75.3

Latin

Am

eric

a

and

Caribb

ean

2123

.32

30.0

05

412

35.1

82.

40

46

110

316

288

.6

East

ern

and

sout

hern

Afric

a20

31.0

867

.81

39

775

.42

3.1

02

414

26

111

51.6

Wes

tern

and

cent

ral A

fric

a21

36.3

336

.22

18

1085

.86

2.5

06

411

44

85

73.6

Mid

dle

East

and

northe

rn A

fric

a18

24.7

357

.60

15

1245

.33

4.1

02

214

23

76

48.9

Tota

l99

153.

538

.15

1235

4745

6.73

3.4

020

1960

1019

5218

70.4

na =

dat

a no

t av

aila

ble.

Sour

ces:

UNIC

EF (

1998

, 20

00), U

NIC

EF C

open

hage

n Su

pply

Div

isio

n (d

ata

for

1993

–199

6, 1

998)

, UNIC

EF fie

ld s

urve

y of

cou

ntry

offi

ces

unde

rtak

en in

1997

and

199

8.*T

otal

num

ber

of v

itam

in A

caps

ules

pro

cure

d fo

r 19

98 is

the

sum

of 10

0 00

0-IU

cap

sule

s an

d 20

0 00

0-IU

cap

sule

s fo

r ea

ch r

egio

n (s

um o

f co

lum

ns A

and

D in

Appe

ndix

9). T

otal

num

ber

of c

apsu

les

proc

ured

doe

s no

t in

clud

e ca

psul

es p

urch

ased

with

nation

al fun

ds (

eith

er g

over

nmen

t or

non

gove

rnm

enta

l or

gani

zation

s) o

r ob

tain

ed t

hrou

gh loc

al p

rodu

ctio

n.

†In

rela

tion

to

child

ren

12–5

9 m

onth

s of

age

, fo

r co

untrie

s th

at r

ecei

ved

exte

rnal

sup

plie

s of

vitam

in A

caps

ules

in

1998

. Es

tim

ated

ade

quac

y of

cap

sule

sup

ply

is b

ased

on

polic

y re

com

men

ding

prov

isio

n of

one

200

000

-IU c

apsu

le t

o po

stpa

rtum

wom

en a

nd t

wo

200

000-

IU c

apsu

les

annu

ally

to

child

ren

12–5

9 m

onth

s of

age

. Th

e ca

lcul

atio

n as

sum

es e

qual

dis

trib

utio

n of

200

000

-IU c

apsu

les

betw

een

thes

e tw

o po

pula

tion

gro

ups.

Som

e co

untrie

s ha

ve g

reat

er t

han

100%

pot

ential

cov

erag

e of

chi

ldre

n fo

r 19

98. Po

tent

ial co

vera

ge o

f So

uth

Asi

an c

hild

ren

is low

in

part b

ecau

se p

rocu

rem

ent

data

for

Ind

ia w

ere

not

avai

labl

e.‡R

epor

ted

prog

ram

cov

erag

e fo

r 19

98, as

pro

portio

n of

chi

ldre

n 6–

59 m

onth

s of

age

who

rec

eive

d at

lea

st o

ne v

itam

in A

supp

lem

ent

in t

he p

revi

ous

6 m

onth

s.§Lo

w,<1

0% c

over

age;

med

ium

, 10

% t

o 60

% c

over

age;

hig

h, >

60%

cov

erag

e.||E

stim

ated

ade

quac

y of

iro

n ta

blet

sup

ply

in c

ount

ries

tha

t re

ceiv

ed U

NIC

EF iro

n ta

blet

s in

199

6. B

ased

on

assu

med

nee

d of

300

tab

lets

for

eac

h 40

-wee

k te

rm p

regn

ancy

in

thos

e co

untrie

s w

ith

1996

repo

rted

pro

cure

men

t da

ta.

¶Re

ported

pro

gram

cov

erag

e fo

r 19

96, ex

cept

for

Bhu

tan,

Gui

nea,

and

Vie

tnam

(fo

r w

hich

dat

e w

as n

ot a

vaila

ble)

.**

Adeq

uate

iod

izat

ion

defin

ed a

s ≥1

5 pp

m iod

ine.

Reg

iona

l av

erag

e pe

rcen

t of

hou

seho

lds

cons

umin

g io

dize

d sa

lt (

last

col

umn)

is

diffe

rent

fro

m c

orre

spon

ding

val

ue in

Tabl

e 18

bec

ause

cou

ntries

in

cent

ral an

d ea

ster

n Eu

rope

and

new

ly ind

epen

dent

sta

tes

are

excl

uded

her

e. C

onsu

mpt

ion

of iod

ized

sal

t is

bas

ed o

n da

ta for

199

5–19

98 for

all

repo

rtin

g co

untrie

s, w

ith

the

exce

ptio

n of

the

fol

low

ing

23 c

ount

ries

: Arg

entina

, Co

sta

Ric

a, C

uba,

Ecu

ador

, Er

itre

a, G

hana

, Gua

tem

ala,

Ind

ia, Ko

rea

DPR, M

aurita

nia,

Sou

th A

fric

a, V

enez

uela

, an

d Zi

mba

bwe

(dat

e no

t av

aila

ble)

; Hai

ti (

data

for

198

9);

Russ

ian

Fede

ration

(da

ta for

199

2);

Bur

undi

, Gam

bia,

and

Lib

ya (

data

for

199

3);

Bot

swan

a, M

aced

onia

, Ta

jikis

tan,

Uzb

ekis

tan,

and

Yug

osla

via

(dat

a fo

r 19

94).

††Fo

r re

portin

g co

untrie

s, 1

995–

1998

.

67

Conc

lusi

ons

[ PR

OGRA

M IM

PLEM

ENTA

TION IN T

HE

1990

s ]

multiple approaches (such as multiplesupplementation and fortification), thiswould be a logical next step, and these

countries (identified in Appendix 8,column F) might be the places to start.

High levels of coverage for vitamin Acapsules were achieved in many countries in the mid-1990s. In LatinAmerica and the Caribbean, vitamin Asupplementation is not a commonapproach, and more reliance is placedon fortification. The supply of vitamin Acapsules from UNICEF is about 10% ofwhat would be needed if all children indeveloping countries were to be covered.The data presented here highlight theareas where attention should be focused.Priority should be given to programdevelopment in Burundi, Chad, India,Malawi, and Pakistan and to explorationof whether external supplies of capsulesshould be increased to Bangladesh andthe Philippines.

For control of iodine deficiency disorders,the analyses presented here indicate thatthe countries that should have priority forassistance might be those with significantprevalence of goitre (e.g., >10%) and low percentages of households withadequately iodized salt (e.g., <30%) —examples are Ethiopia, Mauritania,Ghana, the Philippines, and Burkina Faso.

Regarding programs to control anemia,the supply of iron tablets from externalsources is low compared to the need.Because supply problems have been

considered a major constraint (ACC/SCN1992), this very low level of externalprovision — covering only about 3% ofthe need — could be improved as a steptoward improving the effectiveness ofprograms. The most striking observationwas that not many countries reported ironsupplementation programs, and for thosethat did, there was little relation to need.Although program coverage needs to beexpanded, there is a sense that it may beadvisable to wait until better methods ofsupplementation have been identified and demonstrated. Although officiallyreported program coverage seemsmoderately high, most other infor-mation points to low coverage and poor adherence to supplemen-tation through antenatal care.

For most effective program impact,multiple micronutrient deficiencies needattention. Twenty-eight countries havepolicies for addressing all three of thedeficiencies discussed in this report.There are important opportunities now for combining intervent.

5. CONCLUSIONS

69

Refe

renc

es

ReferencesACC/SCN (Administrative Committee

on Coordination, Subcommittee onNutrition). 1987. First report on theworld nutrition situation. UnitedNations, Geneva, Switzerland.

— 1989. Update on the world nutritionsituation: recent trends in nutritionin 33 countries. United Nations,Geneva, Switzerland.

— 1992. Second report on the worldnutrition situation, vol. 1: Globaland regional results. UnitedNations, Geneva, Switzerland.

— 1993. Second report on the worldnutrition situation, vol. 2: Countrytrends, methods and statistics.United Nations, Geneva,Switzerland.

— 1996. Update on the nutritionsituation, 1996. United Nations,Geneva, Switzerland.

Angeles-Agdeppa, I.; Schultink, W.;Sastroamidjojo, S.; Gross, R.;Karyadi, D. 1997. Weeklymicronutrient supplementation to build iron stores in femaleIndonesian adolescents. AmericanJournal of Clinical Nutrition, 66(1), 177–183.

70 [THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT]

FAO (Food and AgricultureOrganization). 1997. Agrostat[computerized database]. Economic and Social DevelopmentStatistics Division, FAO, Rome, Italy.

Gillespie, S.; Kevany, J.; Mason, J.1991. Controlling iron deficiency.Nutrition Policy Discussion Paper No. 9. United NationsAdministrative Committee onCoordination, Subcommittee onNutrition, Geneva, Switzerland.

Golden, M. 1994. Is complete catch-uppossible for stunted malnourishedchildren? European Journal ofClinical Nutrition, 48, S58–S71.

— 1995. Specific deficiencies versusgrowth failure: type I and type IInutrients. SCN News, 12, 10–14.

Government of Sri Lanka. 1997.Vitamin A deficiency and selectedworld summit goals for children in Sri Lanka. Ministry of Health and Medical Research Institute,Government of Sri Lanka, andUnited Nations Children’s Fund,Colombo, Sri Lanka.

Hetzel, B. 1988. The prevention and control of iodine deficiencydisorders. State-of-the-Art Series Nutrition Policy DiscussionPaper No. 3. United NationsAdministrative Committee onCoordination, Subcommittee onNutrition, Geneva, Switzerland.

Howson, C.P.; Kennedy, E.T.; Horwitz, A. 1998a. Key elements inthe design and implementation ofmicronutrient interventions. In

Howson, C.P.; Kennedy, E.T.;Horwitz, A., ed., Prevention ofmicronutrient deficiencies. Toolsfor policymakers and public healthworkers. Institute of Medicine,National Academy of Sciences,Washington, DC, USA. p. 11–41.

— 1998b. Prevention of micronutrientdeficiencies. Tools for policymakersand public health workers. Instituteof Medicine, National Academy ofSciences, Washington, DC, USA.

ICCIDD (International Council for the Control of Iodine DeficiencyDisorders). 2000. Web site forICCIDD. ICCIDD, city, country.Available from: http://www.people.virginia.edu/~jtd/iccidd/. Cited 2 Sept. 2000.

Jelliffe, D. 1966. The assessment ofnutritional status of the community.World Health OrganizationMonograph Series 53. World HealthOrganization, Geneva, Switzerland.

Mason, J.B.; Mannar, V.; Mock, N.2000. Controlling micronutrientdeficiencies in Asia. AsianDevelopment Review, 17(1–2):1–30.

71

Refe

renc

es

Mason, J.B.; Sethuraman, K.; Gilman, A.; Mason, K. 1998.Progress in controlling iodinedeficiency. Unpublished report tothe Micronutrient Initiative, Ottawa, ON, Canada.

Mason, J.B.; Sethuraman, K.; Mason,K.; Gilman, A.; Mock, N. 1998.Progress in controlling irondeficiency. Unpublished report to the Micronutrient Initiative,Ottawa, ON, Canada.

Merzenich, M.; Schultink, W.; Gross, R. 1994. Effect of iron–zincsupplementation on iron, zinc, and vitamin A status in Indonesiananaemic children. In Report of 16th International Vitamin AConsultative Group Meeting.International Life Sciences Institute,Washington, DC, USA. p. 87.

MI (Micronutrient Initiative). 1999.MN-Net: information for theelimination of micronutrientmalnutrition [Web site with online databases]. Available from www.micronutrient.org. Cited 30 Aug. 2000.

MI; UNICEF; Tulane (MicronutrientInitiative; United NationsChildren’s Fund; TulaneUniversity). 1998. Progress incontrolling vitamin A deficiency.MI, Ottawa, ON, Canada.

Murray, C.; Lopez, A. 1997. Globalmortality, disability, and thecontribution of risk factors: GlobalBurden of Diseases Study. Lancet,349(9063), 1436–1442.

Nestel, P.; Alnwick, D. 1997.Iron/multi-micronutrientsupplements for young children.International Nutritional AnaemiaConsultative Group, Washington,DC, USA.

Schultink, W.; Gross, R. 1997. Theinfluence of vitamin A on iron status and possible consequences formicronutrient deficiency alleviationprograms. In Micronutrientinteraction: impact on child healthand nutrition (meeting report).International Life Sciences Institute,Washington, DC, USA. pp. 28–35.

Stanbury, J.B. 1998. Prevention ofiodine deficiency. In Howson, C.P.;Kennedy, E.T.; Horwitz, A., ed.Prevention of micronutrientdeficiencies. Tools for policymakersand public health workers. National Academy Press,Washington, DC, USA. p. 167–201.

Stoltzfus, R.J.; Hakimi, M.; Miller, K.W.; Rasmussen, K.M.;Dawiesah, S.; Habicht, J.-P.;Dibley, M.J. 1992. High dosevitamin A supplementation ofbreast-feeding Indonesian mothers:effects on the vitamin A status ofmother and infant. Journal ofNutrition, 123, 666–675.

72 [THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT]

Thu, B.D.; Schultink, W.; Dillon, D.; Gross, R.; Leswara,N.D.; Khoi, H.H. 1999. Effect of daily and weekly micronutrientsupplementation on micronutrientdeficiencies and growth in youngVietnamese children. AmericanJournal of Clinical Nutrition, 69(1), 80–86.

UN (United Nations). 1997.Demographic yearbook. PopulationDivision, UN, New York, NY, USA.

UNICEF (United Nations Children’sFund). 1995. UNICEF annualreport 1995. UNICEF, New York,NY, USA.

— 1996. UNICEF annual report 1996.UNICEF, New York, NY, USA.

— 1998. State of the world’s children1998. UNICEF, New York, NY,USA.

— 2000. State of the world’s children2000. UNICEF, New York, NY,USA.

UNICEF; WHO; UNU (United NationsChildren’s Fund; World HealthOrganization; United NationsUniversity). 2000. Report of aworkshop on composition of amulti-micronutrient supplement to be used in pilot programmesamong pregnant women indeveloping countries, 9 July 1999,New York, NY. United Nations,New York, NY, USA.

Viteri , F.E. 1998. Prevention of irondeficiency. In Howson, C.P.;Kennedy, E.T.; Horwitz, A., ed.Prevention of micronutrientdeficiencies. Tools for policymakersand public health workers. Instituteof Medicine, National Academy ofSciences, Washington, DC, USA. p. 45–102.

West, K.P., Jr.; Katz, J.; Khatry, S.K.;LeClerq, S.C.; Pradhan, E.K.;Shrestha, S.R.; Connor, P.B.; Dali, S.M.; Christian, P.; Pokhrel, R.P.; Sommer, A. 1999.Double blind, cluster randomisedtrial of low dose supplementationwith vitamin A or beta carotene onmortality related to pregnancy inNepal. The NNIPS-2 Study Group.British Medical Journal, 318(7183),570–575.

WHO (World Health Organization).1983. Measuring change innutritional status: guidelines forassessing the nutritional impact ofsupplementary feeding programmesfor vulnerable groups. WHO,Geneva, Switzerland.

— 1992. The prevalence of anaemia inwomen. WHO/MCH/MSM/92.2.WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.

— 1993. Global prevalence of iodinedeficiency disorders. MDIS WorkingPaper No. 1. WHO, United NationsChildren’s Fund, and InternationalCouncil for the Control of IodineDeficiency Disorders. WHO,Geneva, Switzerland.

— 1994. Indicators for assessing iodinedeficiency disorders and their

73

Refe

renc

es

control through salt iodization.WHO, United Nations Children’sFund, and International Council forthe Control of Iodine DeficiencyDisorders. WHO/NUT/94.6.WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.

— 1995. Global prevalence of vitamin Adeficiency. MDIS Working PaperNo. 2. WHO/NUT/95.3. WHO,Geneva, Switzerland.

— 1996. Indicators for assessing vitamin A deficiency and theirapplication in monitoring andevaluating intervention programmes.WHO/NUT/96.10. WHO, Geneva,Switzerland.

— 1997. Prevalence of anaemia amongdifferent populations based onnational data. MDIS Working Paper No. 3 [mimeo]. WHO,Geneva, Switzerland.

— 1999. Progress towards theelimination of iodine deficiencydisorders (IDD). United NationsChildren’s Fund, WHO, andInternational Council for theControl of Iodine DeficiencyDisorders. WHO/NHD/99.4.WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.

WHO; UNICEF; IVACG (World HealthOrganization; United NationsChildren’s Fund; InternationalVitamin A Consultative Group).1997. Vitamin A supplements. Aguide to their use in the treatmentand prevention of vitamin Adeficiency and xerophthalmia.WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.

WHO; UNICEF; UNU (World HealthOrganization; United NationsChildren’s Fund; United NationsUniversity). 1997. Indicators andstrategies for iron deficiency controlprograms. WHO/NUT/96.12.WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.

Yusuf, H.K.M.; Salamatullah, Q.;Islam, M.N.; Hoque, T.; Baquer, M.; Pandav, C.S. 1993.Report of the National IodineDeficiency Disorders Survey in Bangladesh — 1993. DhakaUniversity, United NationsChildren’s Fund, and InternationalCouncil for the Control of IodineDeficiency Disorders, Dhaka,Bangladesh

75

Refe

renc

es

ReferencesACC/SCN (Administrative Committee

on Coordination, Subcommittee onNutrition). 1987. First report on theworld nutrition situation. UnitedNations, Geneva, Switzerland.

— 1989. Update on the world nutritionsituation: recent trends in nutritionin 33 countries. United Nations,Geneva, Switzerland.

— 1992. Second report on the worldnutrition situation, vol. 1: Globaland regional results. UnitedNations, Geneva, Switzerland.

— 1993. Second report on the worldnutrition situation, vol. 2: Countrytrends, methods and statistics.United Nations, Geneva,Switzerland.

— 1996. Update on the nutritionsituation, 1996. United Nations,Geneva, Switzerland.

Angeles-Agdeppa, I.; Schultink, W.;Sastroamidjojo, S.; Gross, R.;Karyadi, D. 1997. Weeklymicronutrient supplementation to build iron stores in femaleIndonesian adolescents. AmericanJournal of Clinical Nutrition, 66(1), 177–183.

76 [THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT]

FAO (Food and AgricultureOrganization). 1997. Agrostat[computerized database]. Economic and Social DevelopmentStatistics Division, FAO, Rome, Italy.

Gillespie, S.; Kevany, J.; Mason, J.1991. Controlling iron deficiency.Nutrition Policy Discussion Paper No. 9. United NationsAdministrative Committee onCoordination, Subcommittee onNutrition, Geneva, Switzerland.

Golden, M. 1994. Is complete catch-uppossible for stunted malnourishedchildren? European Journal ofClinical Nutrition, 48, S58–S71.

— 1995. Specific deficiencies versusgrowth failure: type I and type IInutrients. SCN News, 12, 10–14.

Government of Sri Lanka. 1997.Vitamin A deficiency and selectedworld summit goals for children in Sri Lanka. Ministry of Health and Medical Research Institute,Government of Sri Lanka, andUnited Nations Children’s Fund,Colombo, Sri Lanka.

Hetzel, B. 1988. The prevention and control of iodine deficiencydisorders. State-of-the-Art Series Nutrition Policy DiscussionPaper No. 3. United NationsAdministrative Committee onCoordination, Subcommittee onNutrition, Geneva, Switzerland.

Howson, C.P.; Kennedy, E.T.; Horwitz, A. 1998a. Key elements inthe design and implementation ofmicronutrient interventions. In

Howson, C.P.; Kennedy, E.T.;Horwitz, A., ed., Prevention ofmicronutrient deficiencies. Toolsfor policymakers and public healthworkers. Institute of Medicine,National Academy of Sciences,Washington, DC, USA. p. 11–41.

— 1998b. Prevention of micronutrientdeficiencies. Tools for policymakersand public health workers. Instituteof Medicine, National Academy ofSciences, Washington, DC, USA.

ICCIDD (International Council for the Control of Iodine DeficiencyDisorders). 2000. Web site forICCIDD. ICCIDD, city, country.Available from: http://www.people.virginia.edu/~jtd/iccidd/. Cited 2 Sept. 2000.

Jelliffe, D. 1966. The assessment ofnutritional status of the community.World Health OrganizationMonograph Series 53. World HealthOrganization, Geneva, Switzerland.

Mason, J.B.; Mannar, V.; Mock, N.2000. Controlling micronutrientdeficiencies in Asia. AsianDevelopment Review, 17(1–2):1–30.

77

Refe

renc

es

Mason, J.B.; Sethuraman, K.; Gilman, A.; Mason, K. 1998.Progress in controlling iodinedeficiency. Unpublished report tothe Micronutrient Initiative, Ottawa, ON, Canada.

Mason, J.B.; Sethuraman, K.; Mason,K.; Gilman, A.; Mock, N. 1998.Progress in controlling irondeficiency. Unpublished report to the Micronutrient Initiative,Ottawa, ON, Canada.

Merzenich, M.; Schultink, W.; Gross, R. 1994. Effect of iron–zincsupplementation on iron, zinc, and vitamin A status in Indonesiananaemic children. In Report of 16th International Vitamin AConsultative Group Meeting.International Life Sciences Institute,Washington, DC, USA. p. 87.

MI (Micronutrient Initiative). 1999.MN-Net: information for theelimination of micronutrientmalnutrition [Web site with online databases]. Available from www.micronutrient.org. Cited 30 Aug. 2000.

MI; UNICEF; Tulane (MicronutrientInitiative; United NationsChildren’s Fund; TulaneUniversity). 1998. Progress incontrolling vitamin A deficiency.MI, Ottawa, ON, Canada.

Murray, C.; Lopez, A. 1997. Globalmortality, disability, and thecontribution of risk factors: GlobalBurden of Diseases Study. Lancet,349(9063), 1436–1442.

Nestel, P.; Alnwick, D. 1997.Iron/multi-micronutrientsupplements for young children.International Nutritional AnaemiaConsultative Group, Washington,DC, USA.

Schultink, W.; Gross, R. 1997. Theinfluence of vitamin A on iron status and possible consequences formicronutrient deficiency alleviationprograms. In Micronutrientinteraction: impact on child healthand nutrition (meeting report).International Life Sciences Institute,Washington, DC, USA. pp. 28–35.

Stanbury, J.B. 1998. Prevention ofiodine deficiency. In Howson, C.P.;Kennedy, E.T.; Horwitz, A., ed.Prevention of micronutrientdeficiencies. Tools for policymakersand public health workers. National Academy Press,Washington, DC, USA. p. 167–201.

Stoltzfus, R.J.; Hakimi, M.; Miller, K.W.; Rasmussen, K.M.;Dawiesah, S.; Habicht, J.-P.;Dibley, M.J. 1992. High dosevitamin A supplementation ofbreast-feeding Indonesian mothers:effects on the vitamin A status ofmother and infant. Journal ofNutrition, 123, 666–675.

78 [THE MICRONUTRIENT REPORT]

Thu, B.D.; Schultink, W.; Dillon, D.; Gross, R.; Leswara,N.D.; Khoi, H.H. 1999. Effect of daily and weekly micronutrientsupplementation on micronutrientdeficiencies and growth in youngVietnamese children. AmericanJournal of Clinical Nutrition, 69(1), 80–86.

UN (United Nations). 1997.Demographic yearbook. PopulationDivision, UN, New York, NY, USA.

UNICEF (United Nations Children’sFund). 1995. UNICEF annualreport 1995. UNICEF, New York,NY, USA.

— 1996. UNICEF annual report 1996.UNICEF, New York, NY, USA.

— 1998. State of the world’s children1998. UNICEF, New York, NY,USA.

— 2000. State of the world’s children2000. UNICEF, New York, NY,USA.

UNICEF; WHO; UNU (United NationsChildren’s Fund; World HealthOrganization; United NationsUniversity). 2000. Report of aworkshop on composition of amulti-micronutrient supplement to be used in pilot programmesamong pregnant women indeveloping countries, 9 July 1999,New York, NY. United Nations,New York, NY, USA.

Viteri , F.E. 1998. Prevention of irondeficiency. In Howson, C.P.;Kennedy, E.T.; Horwitz, A., ed.Prevention of micronutrientdeficiencies. Tools for policymakersand public health workers. Instituteof Medicine, National Academy ofSciences, Washington, DC, USA. p. 45–102.

West, K.P., Jr.; Katz, J.; Khatry, S.K.;LeClerq, S.C.; Pradhan, E.K.;Shrestha, S.R.; Connor, P.B.; Dali, S.M.; Christian, P.; Pokhrel, R.P.; Sommer, A. 1999.Double blind, cluster randomisedtrial of low dose supplementationwith vitamin A or beta carotene onmortality related to pregnancy inNepal. The NNIPS-2 Study Group.British Medical Journal, 318(7183),570–575.

WHO (World Health Organization).1983. Measuring change innutritional status: guidelines forassessing the nutritional impact ofsupplementary feeding programmesfor vulnerable groups. WHO,Geneva, Switzerland.

— 1992. The prevalence of anaemia inwomen. WHO/MCH/MSM/92.2.WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.

— 1993. Global prevalence of iodinedeficiency disorders. MDIS WorkingPaper No. 1. WHO, United NationsChildren’s Fund, and InternationalCouncil for the Control of IodineDeficiency Disorders. WHO,Geneva, Switzerland.

— 1994. Indicators for assessing iodinedeficiency disorders and their

79

Refe

renc

es

control through salt iodization.WHO, United Nations Children’sFund, and International Council forthe Control of Iodine DeficiencyDisorders. WHO/NUT/94.6.WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.

— 1995. Global prevalence of vitamin Adeficiency. MDIS Working PaperNo. 2. WHO/NUT/95.3. WHO,Geneva, Switzerland.

— 1996. Indicators for assessing vitamin A deficiency and theirapplication in monitoring andevaluating intervention programmes.WHO/NUT/96.10. WHO, Geneva,Switzerland.

— 1997. Prevalence of anaemia amongdifferent populations based onnational data. MDIS Working Paper No. 3 [mimeo]. WHO,Geneva, Switzerland.

— 1999. Progress towards theelimination of iodine deficiencydisorders (IDD). United NationsChildren’s Fund, WHO, andInternational Council for theControl of Iodine DeficiencyDisorders. WHO/NHD/99.4.WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.

WHO; UNICEF; IVACG (World HealthOrganization; United NationsChildren’s Fund; InternationalVitamin A Consultative Group).1997. Vitamin A supplements. Aguide to their use in the treatmentand prevention of vitamin Adeficiency and xerophthalmia.WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.

WHO; UNICEF; UNU (World HealthOrganization; United NationsChildren’s Fund; United NationsUniversity). 1997. Indicators andstrategies for iron deficiency controlprograms. WHO/NUT/96.12.WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.

Yusuf, H.K.M.; Salamatullah, Q.;Islam, M.N.; Hoque, T.; Baquer, M.; Pandav, C.S. 1993.Report of the National IodineDeficiency Disorders Survey in Bangladesh — 1993. DhakaUniversity, United NationsChildren’s Fund, and InternationalCouncil for the Control of IodineDeficiency Disorders, Dhaka,Bangladesh