the income of nations: defining and measuring macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · the income of...

37
Spring, 2017 The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint Louis University Instructor: Xi Wang

Upload: others

Post on 23-Sep-2020

2 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Spring, 2017

The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates

Economic Department, Saint Louis UniversityInstructor: Xi Wang

Page 2: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Road Map

Page 3: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

General Goods market

Page 4: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

What does the life looks like before 1800?

Page 5: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

What does the life looks like now?

Page 6: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

It is a popular word

Page 7: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Motivation and Question

Page 8: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Road Map

Page 9: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Anwser to that question

• Q: How can we measure the total activity of millions of economic agents?

• A: This market value method is called National income accounts (Model). And this market value will be called to be Gross Domestic Product(GDP).

• In U.S we have a special name for it: National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA)

For more information on NIPA: http://www.bea.gov/iTable/index_nipa.cfm

Page 10: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

NIPA is an accounting Model!

• NIPA is an accounting Model!

• It is a Model, so a simplified description of our world

• It gives us a method to add things up, but it is a simplified method!

• Why do I state it is A simplified Method? Since GDP ignore a lot of important issues; We will see later.

Page 11: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Three Methods to Calculate GDP

• We have three methods to calculate GDP, and you will see that these methods will give you the same answer.

• Production method

• Expenditure Method

• Income Method

Page 12: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Road Map

Page 13: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

NIPA: Production=Expenditure=Income

• Gross Domestic Product (of U.S): the market value of all newly-produced and final goods and services produced by factors of production( located in the US), during some specified period of time, usually one year.

• Final Goods: Used by final consumers; The end product in a chain of production

• GDP is a measure of production, not a measure of sales to consumers. So something that is produced is counted in GDP even if it is not sold to a customer.(Then to whom?)(Inventory Investment)

And Even something sold to consumers is not counted in GDP!!!(imported goods)

Page 14: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

NIPA: Production=Expenditure=Income

• Ok, The product need to be sold to someone. Customers or firm itself.

• Then there would be a banches of buyers. And this purchase would be their expenditure.

• Those goods not sold to customers would be sold to frims themselves, or understood as purchased by the frims themselves.

Page 15: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

NIPA: Production=Expenditure=Income

• Where does the revenue of Poduction go?

• Say Revenue of firm A is $100 dollar, and A should hire labor as input to production, which incurs cost 20. Then 20 is the income of workers(Labor Income).And $80 would be prof i t , which is the income of f i rm owner.(Capital Income)

• Hence Production=Expenditure=Income

Page 16: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Indentity: Circular Flows

Page 17: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Road Map

• Motivation and Introduction

• Methods to calculate GDP

• Production method

• Expenditure method

• Income method

Page 18: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Looking into Production Method deeper

• Gross Domestic Product (of U.S): the market value of all newly-produced and f inal goods and services produced by factors of production( located in the US), during some specified period of time, usually one year.

• Market value of final goods?

• It sums up the market value that is added by each domestic firm in the production process.(Value added)

Page 19: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Production, Example

$15 Billion+ $35 Billion, are Market value of Final Goods!, But not all of them are provided by Domestic Firms.

Dell=10+35-30Best Buy=15-10

Value added = sale - other cost than labor.

Page 20: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Road Map

• Motivation and Introduction

• Methods to calculate GDP

• Production method

• Expenditure method

• Income method

Page 21: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Looking into Expenditure Method deeper

• Identity: Production=Expenditure=Income

• Recall the logic behind this first equation: All the product will be purchased by buyers or manufactuers themselves.

• Value of fianl product supplyed by Domestic Firms = Expenditure by Buyers (from worldwide).

• To calculate GDP by this method, let's categorize expenditures first

Page 22: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Expenditure Method, Categories

• Consumption. This is the market value of consumption goods and consumption services that are bought by domestic households, except expenditures that are made on residential construction

• (Private) Investment. This is the market value of new physical capital that is bought by domestic households and domestic firms, residential houses, business inventories(Remember the good purchased by himself?), business structures(factory, manufacture line)

• Note: When macroeconomists talk about investment, they are referring only to purchases of new physical capital and not to financial investments like purchases of stocks or bonds.

Page 23: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Expenditure Method, Categories

• Consumption.

• (Private) Investment.

Page 24: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Expenditure Method, Categories

• Government expenditure. This is the market value of government purchases of Goods and Services, only cost will be counted.

• Export. market value of all domestically produced goods and services that are sold to households, firms, and governments in foreign countries

Page 25: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Expenditure Method, Categories

• Government expenditure.

• Export.

Page 26: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint
Page 27: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Expenditure Method, Categories

• Import in Consumption.

• Import in Investment

Page 28: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Looking into Expenditure Method deeper

• Y = C + I + G + X − M (national income accounting identity.)

• Y-C-G=I+X-M (Saving = Investment + Exports – Imports.)

2013 U.S GDP & Shares

Page 29: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Road Map

• Motivation and Introduction

• Methods to calculate GDP

• Production method

• Expenditure method

• Income method

Page 30: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Looking into Income Method deeper

• Labor income, income paid for people’s work.

• Capital income, income (or benefits) realized by the owners of physical capital (for instance, a house) or other ownership (for instance, you own a firm, lend money to someone).

• In English, You will have income since you offer labor, Loan, talent to the firm.

Page 31: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Road Map

• Motivation and Introduction• Methods to calculate GDP• Production method• Expenditure method• Income method• An example• What does GDP miss?

Page 32: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Example

• The best milk LLC. hired 2 workers to produce 3 tons of milk.

• Price is $10/ton

• Revenue $30

• Wage bill $20

• Value added=$30-0=GDP(Production method)

• Labor income= Wage bill = $20

• Capital Income= profit =$30-$20=$10

• Income method of GDP = $20 +$10= $30

Page 33: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

Road Map

• Motivation and Introduction• Methods to calculate GDP• Production method• Expenditure method• Income method• An example• What does GDP miss?• Wealfare?

Page 34: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

What Isn’t Measured by GDP?

• Home production

• Underground Economy.

• Negative Externalities

• Leisure

Page 35: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

What Isn’t Measured by GDP?

• GDP is supposed to be a measure of standard of well-being. Does it do a good job? How about inequality?

• GDP doesn’t capture, in a well-defined sense, changes in the way we live

• Can GDP represent how happy people feel?

Page 36: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

What Isn’t Measured by GDP?

Page 37: The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic … · 2017. 9. 7. · The Income of Nations: Defining and Measuring Macroeconomic Aggregates Economic Department, Saint

What Isn’t Measured by GDP?

• GDP is supposed to be a measure of standard of well-being. Does it do a good job?

• GDP is a total number• Well-being of a society should be measured by the living standard of an

average people.• Or income of an average people.

• GDP per capita is the measure of standard of well-being.