the growing importance of momentum

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The Growing Importanc of Momentum | www.trendrating.com

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Page 1: The Growing Importance of Momentum

The Growing Importanceof Momentum

| www.trendrating.com

Page 2: The Growing Importance of Momentum

ABOUT US

Trendrating provides price momentum analytics to fund managers helping them to achieve increased profits and to control risk. Based on eight years of breakthrough research, our model systematically captures trends early and accurately. Our clients use Trendrating as a complement to their existing strategies to deliver superior results. Leading asset managers around the world rely on our model and software and The London Stock Exchange has selected Trendrating as a strategic partner with which to build a new family of momentum indices.

Page 3: The Growing Importance of Momentum

CURRENT STATE OF THE INVESTMENT FUND INDUSTRY“It’s pretty clear that

active managers haven’t

performed above their benchmarks

”CEO

AllianceBernstein

Assets are Shifting Away from Active Funds into Passive Funds 72% of Mutual Funds underperform their benchmark (S&P SPIVA)

$15Bn pulled from Hedge Funds in 2016 due to bad performance and high fees (Financial Times)

Assets in actively managed funds may have to shrink by as much as 30 percent to restore their ability to beat indexes (Bloomberg)

U.S. DOL requirements will increase retirement account investments in low-fee investments like index funds (Bloomberg)

Active Managers Can Fight This By: Eliminating human behavioral bias by relying on technology for improved market and risk

analysis Using a multi-factor approach (Value, Size, Quality, Momentum, Low Volatility) to

systematically capture alpha or smart beta Lowering operational costs by leveraging cloud-based alpha generation solutions

Page 4: The Growing Importance of Momentum

SUCESSFUL INVESTING INVOLVES CAPTURING TRENDS

“The inability to spot trends is why so many who rely solely

on fundamentals have been annihilated in the past decade”Paul Tudor

Jones

Too Many Active Managers Miss Key Trends Stocks prices are less and less connected to solid fundamentals as market structure and

technology changes have moved the focus to liquidity flow A stock with great fundamentals may take quarters to rise before its value is recognized Analysts adjust forecasts after big moves, restating the obvious

Trendrating Avoids These Pitfalls: By not needing to know “why” a stock is moving. Our complex model reacts to moves and

filters noise By not predicting the future and forecasting the unknown By knowing that forecasting trends is impossible, but following trends is possible and

lucrative By relying on recent research and technology to open up a new frontier for active managers

to incorporate actionable momentum analytics easily and cost effectively

Page 5: The Growing Importance of Momentum

THE EFFECITIVENESS OF MOMENTUM IS VALIDATED BY YEARS OF ACADEMIC RESEARCH & ADOPTION IS GROWING“Stocks with

low returns over the past year tend to

have low returns for the

next few months, & stocks with high past

returns tend to have high

future returns”Eugene Fama & Kenneth French

Page 6: The Growing Importance of Momentum

MOMENTUM DELIVERS SUPERIOR RISK-ADJUSTED RETURNSDozens of Academic Studies Have

Concluded that

Momentum Produces the Best

Risk-Adjusted Returns Source: Kenneth R. French data library

(Date Range: 1963 –2015)

Page 7: The Growing Importance of Momentum

WHEN DOES THE MOMENTUM FACTOR WORK BEST? “The

combination of value &

momentum results in a significantly

higher Sharpe ratio than either strategy alone and makes the portfolio less

volatile”Blitz, Huij,

Lansdorp & Pim van Vilet

Source: David Blitz, “Strategic Allocation to Premiums in the Equity Market”, Journal of Index Investing

(Date Range: 1927 – 2012)

The Diversification Potential of Momentum in a Factor Portfolio is Significant

Page 8: The Growing Importance of Momentum

WAYS TO BENEFIT FROM MOMENTUMBehavioral Benefits Eliminates the “Disposition Effect” Controls emotional bias Offsets ego-driven forecasting

“I see momentum analysis as a continuing process of trying to

uncover and admit to your

inevitable mistakes as a

money manager.”

CEOJAG Capital

Functional Benefits Idea validation & generation Portfolio risk control Tactical allocation Strategy optimization

Page 9: The Growing Importance of Momentum

TRENDRATING HAS THE MOST ACCURATE MOMENTUM MODELThe Next Generation of Momentum Models

Self-Adjusts Monthly

Excellent Track Record

Quickly Identifies Trends

Measures Strength & Duration of Trends

Filters Out False Moves

Effective in Most Market Conditions

Page 10: The Growing Importance of Momentum

TRENDRATING SOLUTIONS

Web-based Momentum Analytics Platform

Page 11: The Growing Importance of Momentum

TRENDRATING SOLUTIONS

Data Feed

Ways to Incorporate our Accurate Momentum Ratings Data

Create ETF Products that outperform benchmarks Include in research reports to broaden the scope Integrate into proprietary portfolio systems to generate alerts and strengthen risk control Boost performance of bespoke quantitative models Enhance charting packages by displaying ratings

Trendrating Feed is a file delivery solution utilizing FTP to deliver ratings data that helps clients enhance their proprietary analytics, financial portals, decision support systems, and more. Up to 15 years of historical ratings data is available by region (The Americas, EMEA, Asia Pacific).

Page 12: The Growing Importance of Momentum

TRENDRATING IS TRUSTED GLOBALLY

A Sampling of Our Clients Our Partners

Page 13: The Growing Importance of Momentum

CONTACT US

The longer you wait, the more opportunities you will miss. If there is a major trend developing, Trendrating will find it!

LONDONPhone: +44-203-705-2246Email: [email protected]

48 Warwick StreetLondon, W1B 5AW United Kingdom

BOSTONPhone: +1-508-315-6313Email: [email protected]

275 Grove StreetNewton, MA 02466 USA

LUGANOPhone: +41-91-91-06-590Email: [email protected]

Via Cantonale 19Lugano, CH-6900