the "green race" is on - wbcsd president björn stigson

8/9/2019 The "Green Race" is on - WBCSD President Bjrn Stigson

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World Business Council for

Sustainable Development

Beyond Copenhagen The Green Race is on

e8 SymposiumBjrn Stigson, WBCSD President

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Coalition of some 200 leading companies

Market capitalization: 8,000 BUSD

Total member company employees:13 million

Global outreach

Supplies products and services to half of the worlds

population every day

WBCSD


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WBCSD Membership

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68

40

24

18

16

117 21

Europe (EU)

North America (NAFTA)

Japan

Europe (non-EU)

Asia (ex-Japan)

Latin America

Oceania

Africa

Middle East

68

40

24

18

16

11

7

2

1


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A World in Transition to Sustainability

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Society

Economy Environment


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The Future Society: A growth story

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Source: United Nations Population Division, WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision.

World population (in Billions): 1950-2050

85%

15%

Population in less developed countries

Population in more developed countries

2010= 6.9 billion

2050= 9.2 billion

+33%

85%

15%


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Income poverty: Over 2 billion people live on less than $2/day

Energy poverty:

1.6 billion people today without access to electricityMobility poverty:

900 million people without access to transport

Water poverty:

1.8 million deaths per year due to lack of sanitation,poor hygiene and unsafe drinking water.

Development: The Poverty Challenge

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The Urbanized Future

Billions of inhabitants47% urban

60% urban

1970 2000 2030

36% urban

urbanrural

70% urban

3.2 3.32.9

5.0

1.3

2.42.8

6.4

2050

Source: United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects:The 2007 Revision

70% urban in 2050: 6 billion2010: 3 billion


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Shifting Fortunes

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Emerging economies > 50% of global GDP and trend will continue

Source:AngusMaddison,OEC

D;IMF

FromTheEconomistprintedition.

Wrestlingforinfluence.July3

rd2008.

% Share of GDP

0

20

40

60

80

1913 1950 2005 2025

Emerging economies Developed economies

* At purchasing-power parity


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The Green Race is on between countries to

transform to low carbon economies and tobecome the leading supplier of resourceefficient technologies & solutions

If you want to win:

oTransform your home market to build competencesand scale

The World is Turning Green

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Key transformations:

oEnergy

oTransport

oUrban infrastructure

oFood

o

Water

The World is Turning Green

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Less oil, more renewables and more nuclear Reduced carbon intensity of existing energy:

CCS, sinks

A focus on smart technology solutions: energy efficiency

smart grids

Demand side management

Increased electrification of transportation

Value for carbon - carbon taxes/emissions trading

A Transformed Energy System

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Additional investments to reach 450 ppm

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SOURCEIEA- ETP, 2010


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Agriculture and forestry = 30% global GHGemissions (IPCC 4th assessment)

Livestock (beef) is the worlds largest user ofland resources (70% of agricultural land) Major driver for deforestation

Competition for land-use with consequences for Food consumption

Biofuels

Water

Agriculture & Land-use changes

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Water: The challenge

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Takeaways:

Copenhagen saw the end of old ways of

intergovernmental negotiations

The Copenhagen Accord

A non binding Letter of Intent

But little clarity on how this will be implemented

COP 15 Copenhagen

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1. Climate change is not a priority for all2. Whose carbon is it? Who pays for what?

3. What type of commitments are countries

willing to accept? National sovereignty?4. Support to developing countries?

5. Competition concerns; a level playing field?

6. Robustness of climate science and IPCCconclusions?

7. Domestic US legislation?

Stumbling Blocks in the internationalclimate negotiations

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Bottom-up country pledges for action withbilateral/regional agreements

A global umbrella agreement:

Copenhagen Accord elements System for a global carbon market

Broader than CDM

Recognition of sectoral approaches

Climate Change post-COP 15

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Sectoral approaches

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...while governments provide thenecessary policy framework, the realsolutions must come from business.Copenhagen did not provide us with aclear agreement in legal terms, but thepolitical commitment and sense ofdirection toward a low-emissions world

are overwhelming. This calls for newpartnerships with the business sector andI now have the chance to help make thishappen

Yvo de Boer, 2010

Growing role of business

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Providing business perspectives on markets,finance and technologies Reports

Glion Dialogues

COP Business Day Co-operation with IEA, World Bank

Advisory roles to governments China, US, Germany

EU: contract to develop proposal for a formal businessrole in climate negotiations

Provide tools for measurement and reporting WRI / WBCSD GHG-Protocol

WBCSD Roles on Climate

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Trilogy of policy reports Power to Change: A business

contribution to a low-carbon electricityfuture

Roadmap of sector specific policyrecommendations

Next phase:

Delivering input into the new IEA

Carbon and Electricity Report(IEA-CER)

Exploring smart technologies

Electricity Utilities

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Co-Chairs:


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Buildings represent 50 % of worldenergy use

Report: Transforming the Market

(April 2009)

Cutting building emissions by 50%

globally by 2050 is possible at anaverage abatement cost of25USD/tCO2 (PIIE, 2009)

Energy Efficiency in Buildings (EEB)

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Leading the way on industry sectoral approaches

Actions:o CO2 measuring and reporting

o CDM methodology

IEA- WBCSD Technology Roadmapo Outlines existing and potential technologies, and how they

may help the industry support a halving of global CO emission

Cement Sustainability Initiative

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Water, Energy and Climate Change Water & Energy linked

Impacts from ecosystems and climatechange

Measuring water use & assessingimpacts: WBCSD Global Water Tool

CH2MHill

Water Footprint Network

Development of ISO standard on waterfootprint

Water

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Living well, within limits of the planet

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Human Development Index (HDI)

Source:GFN/UNDP


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The future is going to be resourceand carbon constrained

I.e. The Green Race Business has a major role to play

as a solution provider

Business cannot succeed in asociety that fails

A World in Transition to Sustainability

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www.wbcsd.org

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the "green race" is on - wbcsd president björn stigson

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