business and sustainable development – the green race is on beijing, march 2011 björn stigson
TRANSCRIPT
Business and Sustainable Development– The Green Race is on
Beijing, March 2011Björn Stigson
WBCSD Regional Network
Channel to globally disseminate WBCSD’s messages, to promote implementation of concrete projects on the ground and to provide input to WBCSD work program
Chinese Members
A World in Transition to Sustainability
SocietyEconomy
Environment
The Future Society: A growth story
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Source: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision.
World population (in Billions): 1950-2050
85%
15%
Population in less developed countries
Population in more developed countries
2010= 6.9 billion
2050= 9.2 billion
+33%
85%
15%
Income poverty: Over 2 billion people live on less than $2/day
Energy poverty: 1.6 billion people today without access to electricity
Mobility poverty: 900 million people without access to transport
Water poverty: 1.8 million deaths per year due to lack of sanitation,
poor hygiene and unsafe drinking water.
Development: The Poverty Challenge
Urbanization
7
50% urban in 2010: 3 billion70% urban in 2050: 6 billion
Shifting Fortunes
Emerging economies > 50% of global GDP and trend will continue
Sou
rce: A
ng
us M
add
ison
, OE
CD
; IMF
From
Th
e E
cono
mist p
rint ed
ition.
“Wre
stling
for in
flue
nce
.” July 3rd
20
08.
% Share of GDP
0
20
40
60
80
1913 1950 2005 2025
Emerging economies Developed economies
* At purchasing-power parity
Shifting demographics
Source: UN population prospects, 2008
A largely aging world The cost of growing old
Age-related spending (as % of GDP in selected countries) Source: Standard and Poor’s 2010
A resource constrained worldOilFoodWaterRare earth minerals
A pollution constrained worldCarbon concentration in the atmosphere will grow
ConsequencesCompetition for resources Increased pressure on how to “share the pain” in reducing
CO2 emissionsEnvironment will become an economic development and trade
issue
A World With Limits
A World in Transition to Sustainability
SocietyEconomy
Environment
“The Green Race is on” between countries to transform to low carbon economies and to become the leading supplier of resource efficient technologies & solutions
If you want to win:oTransform your home market to build domestic
demand, competences and scale for exports
The World is Turning Green
The Green Race is On
China – About to become the leader in the race– Key component of 12th 5-Year Plan
(2011-2015)– Clean energy investment : No. 1 rank with
21% of the 162 billion USD invested globally in 2009
– Taking the lead on solar & wind
The Green Race is On
Korea– Largest share of economic stimulus devoted to
“green” sector (80%)– “1 of 5 Green Powerhouses globally”– GGGI – Global Green Growth Institute
Japan– Most energy efficient economy– Has a good technology platform for green solutions
The Green Race is On
India– Supplier of low cost solutions based on
domestic demand from a large, poor population
The Green Race is On
EU – Market leader today on green technology exports (40% market share)– 300% increase in R&D for green technologies in 2009– Transformation of the internal market?
US – Mobilizing the US innovation capability?– Transformation of the home market?
WBCSD Vision 2050
Vision 2050:A platform for dialogue about the role of business in a resource & carbon constrained world.
Vision 2050: Living well, within limits of the planet
Human Development Index (HDI)
Eco
log
ica
l Fo
otp
rint
(Glo
ba
l He
cta
res
pe
r P
ers
on
)
Source: G
FN
/ UN
DP
The path we know
The path we need
Reaching Vision 2050: Two innovation challenges for the world
Human Development Index (HDI)
Eco
log
ica
l Fo
otp
rint
(Glo
ba
l He
cta
res
pe
r P
ers
on
)
Source: G
FN
/ UN
DP
Vision 2050 Pathway: 9 elements
22TODAY
The pathway to Vision 2050
Opportunities in Vision 2050
China pathway: 1975-2003
China Council for International Cooperation on Environment and Development (CCICED)
CCICED Taskforces 2009-2011 2009: Towards a Low-Carbon Economy in China
2011: Green Economy
– “Greening” industry, manufacturing, service and agriculture sectors
2011: Low Carbon Industrialization Strategy
– Decarbonising heavy industry
– Accelerating the emergence of low carbon industries
Focus Areas
- Water - Buildings
- Forest Products
- Cement
- Electricity Utilities
- Tires-Mobility
- Mining
Sector Projects
Develo
pment
Energy and
Climate Ecosystems
The Business Role
Capacity Building
• Urban Infrastructure• Sustainable Value Chains
• Urban Infrastructure
• Sustainable Consumption & Value Chains
•Food, water & land-use
Systems Solutions
-SDMI
-GHG Protocol
-Eco Patent Commons
WBCSD Work Program
The Business Role
Roll-Out of Vision 2050 OECD Cooperation on Green Growth Integrated reporting
Focus Areas
- Water - Buildings
- Forest Products
- Cement
- Electricity Utilities
- Tires-Mobility
- Mining
Sector Projects
Develo
pment
Energy and
Climate Ecosystems
The Business Role
Capacity Building
• Urban Infrastructure• Sustainable Value Chains
• Urban Infrastructure
• Sustainable Consumption & Value Chains
•Food, water & land-use
Systems Solutions
-SDMI
-GHG Protocol
-Eco Patent Commons
WBCSD Work Program
COP 16 – Cancun:o Limit global warming to 2°Co Focus is on national action plans and bilateral actiono Support will be provided to developing countries via a
Technology Mechanism and a Green Climate Fund• Committed 30 BUSD to 2012• 2nd phase - 100 BUSD annually by 2020
o Underpinned by stronger measurement, reporting and verification of national emissions
o Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD+)
UNFCCC Climate Negotiations
Focus on four areas Development of NAMAs (Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions)
o Leverage WBCSD and strength in key sectorso Electricity Utilities, Buildings, Cement and mobility sector
MRV (measurement, reporting & verification) of national actions and link to corporate emissions measurement
Financingo Market mechanismso Green Climate Fund
Technology mechanism design
Mexican Dialogues Business-government dialogues on key policy issues
WBCSD Post Cancun
Focus Areas
- Water - Buildings
- Forest Products
- Cement
- Electricity Utilities
- Tires-Mobility
- Mining
Sector Projects
Develo
pment
Energy and
Climate Ecosystems
The Business Role
Capacity Building
• Urban Infrastructure• Sustainable Value Chains
• Urban Infrastructure
• Sustainable Consumption & Value Chains
•Food, water & land-use
Systems Solutions
-SDMI
-GHG Protocol
-Eco Patent Commons
WBCSD Work Program
Convention on Biological Diversity
COP 10, Nagoya, Japan – October 2010
Strategic Plan approved by 193 countries
1. National biodiversity action plans
2. “Aichi” targets for biodiversity by 2020 e.g.• Increase land protected area to 17%; marine
to 10 %• Halve rate of habitat lost including forests
3. Nagoya Protocol on Access & Benefit Sharing
WBCSD and Ecosystems
Ecosystem Services Review (ESR)– method to develop strategies to manage
risks and opportunities arising from dependence and impact on ecosystems
“Corporate Ecosystem Valuation”– Being roadtested in 15 companies
Focus Areas
- Water - Buildings
- Forest Products
- Cement
- Electricity Utilities
- Tires-Mobility
- Mining
Sector Projects
Develo
pment
Energy and
Climate Ecosystems
The Business Role
Capacity Building
• Urban Infrastructure• Sustainable Value Chains
• Urban Infrastructure
• Sustainable Consumption & Value Chains
•Food, water & land-use
Systems Solutions
-SDMI
-GHG Protocol
-Eco Patent Commons
WBCSD Work Program
WBCSD Water
“Water, Energy and Climate Change”– Water & Energy linked
– Impacts from ecosystems and climate change
Measuring water use & assessing impacts:– WBCSD Global Water Tool
– Water Footprint Network
– Development of ISO standard on water footprint
Water
Cement Sustainability Initiative
23 member companies - 10 years of successful collaboration Of which 5 are Chinese Cooperation with China Cement Association
Cement Sustainability Initiative
Achievements:–Cement CO2 Protocol–Global database on energy and CO2
–Industry guidelines & company commitments o Emissions, fuels, raw materials, safety
management
Outlines existing and potential technologies, and how they may help the industry support a halving of global CO ₂ emissions (Dec. 2009)
CSI/ IEA Technology Roadmap
39
Buildings represent 50 % of world energy use
Report: “Transforming the Market” • Cutting building emissions by 50% globally by
2050 is possible at an average abatement cost of 25USD/tCO2 (PIIE, 2009)
EEB Manifesto – 102 Signatories so far
Energy Efficiency in Buildings (EEB)
“Power to Change: A business contribution to a low-carbon electricity future”
Updates planned for Power to Change:– Energy Efficiency (in generation, distribution
and demand side management)– Strengthening distribution networks and
smart grids– Financial implications of the “Power to
Change” Roadmap
Role of Utilities in NAMAs
Electricity Utilities
Co-Chairs:
Focus Areas
- Water - Buildings
- Forest Products
- Cement
- Electricity Utilities
- Tires-Mobility
- Mining
Sector Projects
Develo
pment
Energy and
Climate Ecosystems
The Business Role
Capacity Building
• Urban Infrastructure• Sustainable Value Chains
• Urban Infrastructure
• Sustainable Consumption & Value Chains
•Food, water & land-use
Systems Solutions
-SDMI
-GHG Protocol
-Eco Patent Commons
WBCSD Work Program
Urban Infrastructure Initiative (UII)
City vision Action plan Implementation
Transformationteam
usual company area of actionUII area of interest
Helping transform the city vision into an effective action plan using accumulated experience and models in a systemic approach
Private sector
2011
The Green Race is on in a resource and pollution constrained world
Business has a major role to play as a solution provider
A World in Transition to Sustainability
Rio 2012
2 Key Themes:
1. Green Economy
2. Global Governance of Sustainable
Development
Business Action for Sustainable Development 2012 (BASD2012)– Conveners: WBCSD, ICC and UN Global
Compact – 10-15 additional partner organizations
WBCSD program for Rio 2012
– Business achievements since 1992
– Role of business in achieving Vision 2050
– Sustainability Through the Markets (implementation)
www.wbcsd.org