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The Future of Offshore Drilling:Beyond Ultra‐DeepChris Beckett, CEOPacific Drilling S.A.September 22, 2014
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Pacific Drilling: Committed to being the Preferred Ultra‐Deepwater Driller
• Only 100% high‐specification, ultra‐
deepwater fleet
• NYSE: PACD
• Market Cap: $2.0 billion(1)
• Substantial growth and more to come
1Q2011 3Q2014
Number of Rigs 4 8
Number of operating rigs 0 6
Number of drilling contracts 2 6
Contract backlog (billion) $1.5 $3.0(2)
Number of employees ~500 ~1,600
1. Closing stock price of $9.34 as of September 19, 2014 and 217.3m shares outstanding. 2. As of September 1, 2014
Notion of Disruptive Technology
Source: Haiyang Li, Rice University3
“A new technology that gets its start away from the mainstream of a market and then, as its functionality improves over time, invades the main market” (C. Christensen, 1997)
Such new technology is disruptive because it may:
– Revolutionize industry structure and competition
– Make established strategies obsolete– Cause the decline of established companies
Established technology
(Kelly)Successful Successor technology (Top Drive)
Offshore Drilling: Over 100 years of technological progress
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Platforms enable drilling of first submerged wells
Jack-up drilling rigs
1895 1905 1915 1925 1935 1945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005 2015
Semi-submersible drilling rigs
Top drive
Large displacement ship-shape hull forms with dynamic positioning
Mobile offshore barge drilling rigs
Dual derrick, offline handling & rig floor automation
?
Newbuild cycles are driven by technology shifts
Source: IHS‐Petrodata5
2014
2010
2005
2000
1995
1990
1985
1980
1975
1971
Current floater fleet by delivery year
2nd Gen 3rd – 4th Gen 5th Gen 6th Gen +
5
10
15
20
25
30
Top driveBig hulls & DP
Rig automation & focus on rig efficiency
Rig capabilities drive fleet utilization
Source: Utilization data from IHS‐Petrodata through June 30, 2014. “2007‐Current” adjusted to remove impact of Ocean Courage and Petrobras 10,000 in 2009, which were subject to construction finance issues and unable to work.6
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
<1978
1979 ‐ 1997
1998 ‐ 2006
>2007
Floater utilization since 1985 by build cycle
Utilization %
New capabilities driven by client requirements
Source: Data from IHS EDIN; Copyright IHS 2014; Analysis by Pacific Drilling7
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1987
1991
1988
2013
200120001999
20022003
1994
199819971996
1993
1995
2011
2009
2012
2010
19861985
19831984
1989
1992
1990
2014
2004
2008
2005
20072006
>5,000 ft1,000 ‐ 5,000 ft<1,000 ft
Conventional oil & gas volumes discovered proportionally by water depth
Substantial Increase in Deepwater Discoveries Coincides with Latest
Newbuild Cycle
Deepwater continues to be more attractive than other non‐OPEC sources
Source: Wood Mackenzie, via Chevron presentation 11 March 2014; OPEC is onshore only; breakeven range: 25th to 75thpercentile8
There is demand for newest drillships in all water depths
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87% of high‐spec floaters operate in less than 7,500 ft water depth
53%34%
13%
By operating water depth (ft)
Less than 5,000 5,000‐7,499 7,500 or greater
Source: IHS Petrodata as of August 3, 2014. Analysis by Pacific Drilling using most recent well depth data available for each rig.
Deepwater rig design has evolved to satisfy client needs
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Consistent, Proven Design & Drilling Package
Fleet‐wide Water Depth Capability 10‐12,000 ft.
Dual Derricks with 1000‐1250 ST Hook Loads
2x Single plus Offline & 4x Dual Load Path Rigs
200 POB accommodation, 22,000 ST Displacement
Up to 40,000 ft drilling depth with one or two six‐rams BOPs
Guarantees equipment reliability
Capable to drill in all water basins
Exceeds most demanding well‐construction requirements
Optimizes drilling efficiencies, reduces flat lines during well construction
Accommodates needs of remote and complex projects
Meets needs for redundant safety systems and latest regulations
Proven design & drilling package
Water‐depth capability 12,000 ft
1250 ST hook loads; 22,000 MT VDL
Dual derrick & offline handling
200+ POB
Desired design features: Satisfy operator demand:
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
Jan‐12 Mar‐12 Jun‐12 Sep‐12 Dec‐12 Mar‐13 Jun‐13 Sep‐13 Dec‐13 Mar‐14 Jun‐14 Sep‐14
Dayrate ($K)
Fixture date
High Spec Standard and Low Spec Poly. (High Spec) Poly. (Standard and Low Spec)
Clients are willing to pay for more capable rigs
All‐in dayrate trend for floating rigs by rig specification index(1,2)
1. Rig data from IHS‐Petrodata as of August 8, 2014. Analysis by Pacific Drilling. Priced option exercises, sublets and contracts for less than 1 year in duration not included.
2. Analysis includes rigs with water depth capability greater than 5000 ft and contract dayrate revenue from mutual contracts greater than one year.
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Rig Specification Index PACD Contract
Next generation of rigs will address well construction challenges
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Safety and well control guarantees
Pushes exploration boundaries
Additional reserves
Reduced overall well costs
Reduced economic uncertainty
Improved riser margins
Wider drilling window
Access to deeper reservoir targets
Fewer casings / better cement jobs
Fewer downhole problems and NPT
Well construction features: Satisfy operator demand:
Improved pipe/casing tripping technology Reduced drilling costs
New, potentially disruptive drilling technologies are already beginning to address operator needs
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Integrated movement of hydraracker, drillstem & top drive
Closed loop circulation system enabling creation of back pressure
Advanced form of MPD Better handling of waste returning from wellbore
• Remove people from the drill floor
• Reduce time to drill the well
• Increase reliability of the drilling process
• Faster detection of fluid inflow/outflow
• Faster response to losses/gains
• Improve riser margins
• Widen drilling window
Remove effect of higher density mud in the riser
• Debottleneck drilling process
• Reduce environmental exposure
• Reduce cost to handle solids & liquids
Solutio
nsBe
nefits
Fully automated tubular handling
Managed pressure drilling (MPD)
Dual‐gradient drilling (DGD)
Solids & fluid handling
Changes in technology are driving a change in industry structure
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Transocean
Pride
Ensco
Diamond Offshore
Noble
Seadrill
RIGPTransocean
ShelfCaledoniaAtwoodEnsco
Ocean RigOdebrechtPacificRowanSonga
DiamondNobleParagonSeadrillNADLSDLPSevan
63% of offshore floater market
Consolidated fleetOld jackupsNorth Sea floaters
MLP
Consolidated fleet
Higher specLower spec
Harsh environmentMLP
Transocean
Pride
Ensco
Diamond Offshore
Seadrill
2008 2014
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Questions
Appendix
Dual‐gradient drilling solutions
Source: IADC16
Subsea pumpingMud‐line pumping (riserless) Dilution Controlled mud level
FL