the evolution of personal assistants: from science fiction to reality to the transparent brain

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    The Evolution ofPersonal Assistants

    from Science Fictionto Realityto the Transparent rain

    Mobile Voice ConferenceSan Francisco, March 3-5, 2014

    Marsal [email protected]

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    Summary

    2

    ThesisHuman behavior is getting easier to observe and predict.

    First Corollary

    Personal assistants will become uncannily good.

    Second Corollary

    Deviating from the recommended course of action

    will need to be enshrined as an unalienable right.

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    The evolution of taxi receipts

    3

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    Measuring productivity

    4

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    Tracking shoppers

    5

    Source: The New York Times

    Sourc

    e:

    Berry

    &Ree

    d

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    Magnifying motion

    6

    Source:Wu, Hao-Yu, et al. Eulerianvideo magnification for revealing subtle

    changes in the world. ACM Transactions

    on Graphics (TOG) 31.4 (2012): 65.\

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    Predicting user location from historical cell tower data: 93% accuracy

    7

    Source:Science 327, 1018 (2010)

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    8

    Amazons Anticipatory shipping

    Sour

    ce:Amazon

    Source:US PTO

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    Mechanical chess-playing Turk (Wolfgang von Kempelen, 1770)

    9

    Source:Wikipedia

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    Singing automaton Olimpia

    10

    E.T.A. Hoffmanns The Sandman(1816)

    Jacques Offenbachs Tales of Hoffmann(1881)

    Source:You

    Tu

    be

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    ApplesKnowledge Navigator(1987)

    11

    Messages and calendar

    Document search

    Related articles

    Video conferencing

    Article sharing

    Data mashup

    Source:App

    le

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    Spike JonzesHer(2013)

    13

    Source: herthemovie.com

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    Artificial Intelligence slowly but inexorably improving

    14

    Source: NIST

    Progress in

    Automatic Speech Recognition

    Dynamic speaker adaptation Deep/recurrent neural networks Ultra large language modelsNatural Language Understanding

    Conversation and topic modeling Knowledge Graph

    570 million entities 18 billion facts & relationships

    Machine Learning

    Latent factor models for recommendersystemsleads to improved understanding of natural,

    human-to-human conversations.

    Source: Google

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    Deep learning applied to Automatic Speech Recognition

    Microsoft

    Context-dependent deep neural network, hidden

    Markov model:-33% WER

    Deep tensor neural networks:-8% WER

    Source: Large vocabulary speech recognition usingdeep tensor neural networks, Yu et al. (2012)

    IBM

    Deep neural network with linear feature-space

    maximum mutual information discriminative

    objective function:-5% WER

    Source: Discriminative feature-space transforms using deep neural networks, Saon et al. (2012)

    GoogleContext-dependent ANN/HMM hybrid system

    pretrained with deep belief networks:-5% WER

    Source: Application of pretrained deep neural networks to large vocabulary

    speech recognition, Navdeep Jaitly et al. (2012)

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    Deep learning applied to Natural Language Understanding

    Source: Recursive deep models for semantic compositionality over a sentiment treebank, Socher et al. (2013)

    Stanford Sentiment TreebankFrom semantic vector spaces to

    recursive neural tensor networks:-25% sentiment accuracy error

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    Knowledge Graphs

    From disembodied strings to grounded entities

    Yahoo! 10 M entities, 30 M properties, 10 M connections Microsoft 300 M entities, 800 M connections Google 570 M entities, 18 B properties and connections Wikipedia 4 M entities Freebase 40 M topics, 2 B facts Factual 66 M local businesses and POIs in 50 countries LinkedIn 225 M people Facebook 1.15 B peopleCf.

    Cyc239 K concepts,2 M facts

    OpenCyc6 K concepts,60 K facts

    Source:Yahoo!

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    Recommender systems

    Amazon Netflix Pandora

    Spotify FourSquare LinkedIn

    Facebook

    Source: Tempo AI

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    Mobile devices capture data via many sensors

    20

    Cameras,

    microphones,

    Wi-Fi, LTE, GPS,

    and

    Source:Samsung

    S

    ource:

    fun

    fopensens

    ing

    frame

    work

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    Context awareness helps modulate response

    Youre on speakerphone and my wife is in the car

    Source:

    Ento

    urage

    by

    HBO

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    Even more sensors are coming

    Coupling an electronic skin tattoo to

    a mobile communication device

    (U.S. Pat. Application 20130297301)

    Speech recognition from facial

    muscle activity captured by

    electrodes (Schultz & Wand, 2010)

    Emotiv EPOC

    EEG headset

    Google Glass

    3 axis gyroscope

    3 axis accelerometer

    3 axis magnetometer ambient light and proximity sensors

    bone conduction transducer

    camera, Wi-Fi, Bluetooth

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    Quantified Self

    Source:Giga OM

    Source:Rachelle DiGregorio

    Source:Giga OM

    Source:Facebook

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    ALL THAT HAPPENS MUST BE KNOWN

    SHARING IS CARING

    SECRETS ARE LIES

    PRIVACY IS THEFT

    WAR IS PEACE

    FREEDOM IS SLAVERY

    IGNORANCE IS STRENGTH

    1949 2013

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    The possibility of

    total digital surveillance

    touches the essence of our life.

    It is thus an ethical task

    that goes far beyond the

    politics of security [ to the]freedom and dignity

    of the individual.

    Angela MerkelOn Freedom and Security

    January 29, 2014Source:The New York Review of Books(March 20, 2014)

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    Literally Transparent Brain

    26Source: National Geographic Magazine

    Source:National Geographic Magazine

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    Towards mind reading

    27

    Source:Science 320.5880 (2008)

    Source:Carneg

    ieMe

    llon

    Un

    ivers

    ity

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    Literally Transparent Brain

    28Source: National Geographic Magazine

    Source:National Geographic Magazine

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    Literally Transparent Brain

    29Source: National Geographic Magazine

    Source:National Geographic Magazine

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    When one has weighed the sun

    in the balance, and measured

    the steps of the moon, and

    mapped out the seven heavens

    star by star, there still remainsoneself. Who can calculate the

    orbit of his own soul?Oscar Wilde

    De Profundis (1897)

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    urce:

    Risda

    ll