the evolution of personal assistants: from science fiction to reality to the transparent brain

31
The Evolution of Personal Assistants: from Science Fiction to Reality to the Transparent Brain Mobile Voice Conference San Francisco, March 3-5, 2014 Marsal Gavaldà [email protected]

Upload: expect-labs

Post on 29-Jun-2015

429 views

Category:

Technology


0 download

DESCRIPTION

What do HBO's Entourage, Amazon's anticipatory shipping, and E.T.A. Hoffman's Olimpia have in common? Hear our Research Director unravel the history that has led to the modern-day intelligent assistant and the philosophical implications that emerge as our assistants continue to evolve.

TRANSCRIPT

  • 1. The Evolution of Personal Assistants: from Science Fiction to Reality to the Transparent Brain Mobile Voice Conference San Francisco, March 3-5, 2014 Marsal Gavald [email protected]

2. Summary 2 Thesis Human behavior is getting easier to observe and predict. First Corollary Personal assistants will become uncannily good. Second Corollary Deviating from the recommended course of action will need to be enshrined as an unalienable right. 3. The evolution of taxi receipts 3 4. Measuring productivity 4 5. Tracking shoppers 5 Source: The New York Times Source:Berry&Reed 6. Magnifying motion 6 Source: Wu, Hao-Yu, et al. Eulerian video magnification for revealing subtle changes in the world. ACM Transactions on Graphics (TOG) 31.4 (2012): 65. 7. Predicting user location from historical cell tower data: 93% accuracy 7 Source: Science 327, 1018 (2010) 8. 8 Amazons Anticipatory shipping Source:Amazon Source: US PTO 9. Mechanical chess-playing Turk (Wolfgang von Kempelen, 1770) 9 Source: Wikipedia 10. Singing automaton Olimpia 10 E.T.A. Hoffmanns The Sandman (1816) Jacques Offenbachs Tales of Hoffmann (1881) Source:YouTube 11. Apples Knowledge Navigator (1987) 11 Messages and calendar Document search Related articles Video conferencing Article sharing Data mashup Source:Apple 12. Spike Jonzes Her (2013) 13 Source: herthemovie.com 13. Artificial Intelligence slowly but inexorably improving 14 Source: NIST Progress in Automatic Speech Recognition Dynamic speaker adaptation Deep/recurrent neural networks Ultra large language models Natural Language Understanding Conversation and topic modeling Knowledge Graph 570 million entities 18 billion facts & relationships Machine Learning Latent factor models for recommender systems leads to improved understanding of natural, human-to-human conversations. Source: Google 14. Deep learning applied to Automatic Speech Recognition Microsoft Context-dependent deep neural network, hidden Markov model: -33% WER Deep tensor neural networks: -8% WER Source: Large vocabulary speech recognition using deep tensor neural networks, Yu et al. (2012) IBM Deep neural network with linear feature-space maximum mutual information discriminative objective function: -5% WER Source: Discriminative feature-space transforms using deep neural networks, Saon et al. (2012) Google Context-dependent ANN/HMM hybrid system pretrained with deep belief networks: -5% WER Source: Application of pretrained deep neural networks to large vocabulary speech recognition, Navdeep Jaitly et al. (2012) 15. Deep learning applied to Natural Language Understanding Source: Recursive deep models for semantic compositionality over a sentiment treebank, Socher et al. (2013) Stanford Sentiment Treebank From semantic vector spaces to recursive neural tensor networks: - 25% sentiment accuracy error 16. Knowledge Graphs From disembodied strings to grounded entities Yahoo! 10 M entities, 30 M properties, 10 M connections Microsoft 300 M entities, 800 M connections Google 570 M entities, 18 B properties and connections Wikipedia 4 M entities Freebase 40 M topics, 2 B facts Factual 66 M local businesses and POIs in 50 countries LinkedIn 225 M people Facebook 1.15 B people Cf. Cyc 239 K concepts, 2 M facts OpenCyc 6 K concepts, 60 K facts Source: Yahoo! 17. Exploiting users location, calendar, email Local search Tempo AI EasilyDo Cue (Apple) Google Now Source: Google 18. Recommender systems Amazon Netflix Pandora Spotify FourSquare LinkedIn Facebook Source: Tempo AI 19. Mobile devices capture data via many sensors 20 Cameras, microphones, Wi-Fi, LTE, GPS, and Source:Samsung Source:funfopensensingframework 20. Context awareness helps modulate response Youre on speakerphone and my wife is in the car Source:EntouragebyHBO 21. Even more sensors are coming Coupling an electronic skin tattoo to a mobile communication device (U.S. Pat. Application 20130297301) Speech recognition from facial muscle activity captured by electrodes (Schultz & Wand, 2010) Emotiv EPOC EEG headset Google Glass 3 axis gyroscope 3 axis accelerometer 3 axis magnetometer ambient light and proximity sensors bone conduction transducer camera, Wi-Fi, Bluetooth 22. Quantified Self Source: Giga OM Source: Rachelle DiGregorio Source: Giga OM Source: Facebook 23. ALL THAT HAPPENS MUST BE KNOWN SHARING IS CARING SECRETS ARE LIES PRIVACY IS THEFT WAR IS PEACE FREEDOM IS SLAVERY IGNORANCE IS STRENGTH 1949 2013 24. The possibility of total digital surveillance touches the essence of our life. It is thus an ethical task that goes far beyond the politics of security [ to the] freedom and dignity of the individual. Angela Merkel On Freedom and Security January 29, 2014 Source: The New York Review of Books (March 20, 2014) 25. Literally Transparent Brain 26Source: National Geographic Magazine Source: National Geographic Magazine 26. Towards mind reading 27 Source: Science 320.5880 (2008) Source:CarnegieMellonUniversity 27. Literally Transparent Brain 28Source: National Geographic Magazine Source: National Geographic Magazine 28. Literally Transparent Brain 29Source: National Geographic Magazine Source: National Geographic Magazine 29. When one has weighed the sun in the balance, and measured the steps of the moon, and mapped out the seven heavens star by star, there still remains oneself. Who can calculate the orbit of his own soul? Oscar Wilde De Profundis (1897) 30. Source:Risdall