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The control of potato earlyblight:forecasting models and cultivar
resistance
Isaac Kwesi Abuley Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University
What is early blight?
A. solani
A. alternata
2
Five planting dates and three varieties
• Agata: Verysusceptible/very earlymaturing.
• Sava: Moderately slowblighing/medium maturing
• Kuras: Slow blightingand late-matuing potatocultivar.
3
Resistance to to EB is age-dependent
Maturity-based model (Physiological days)
5
0
250
500
750
jun jul aug sep oktDate
Phys
iolo
gica
l day
s (P
days
)
Flakkebjerg 2017
TOMCAST model
6
Integrating age-dependent resistance and weaather-based model
• Age < 300 Pdays• No spray regardless of the weather
• Age 300-500 Pdays• Spray ½ or 2/3 dose:• 20 DSV
• Age 300-500 Pdays• Spray full dose:• 20 DSV
Integrating age-dependent susceptibility (cv. Kardal)
8
Critical days model
5
10
15
20
25
0 10 20 30 40Temperature (C)
Min
imum
wet
ness
(h)
9
Magarey et al. (2005) Phytopathology95:92-100.
Critical days model with cv. Kuras
0
25
50
75
100
jul 15 aug 01 aug 15 sep 01 sep 15Assessment date
Early
blig
ht se
verity
(%)
TreatmentsUntreatedMaximum protection72-Risk hours120-Risk hoursCritical days
a
0
20
40
60
80
aug 01 aug 15 sep 01 sep 15 okt 01Assessment date
Early
blig
ht se
verity
(%)
TreatmentsUntreatedMaximum protection72-Risk hours120-Risk hoursCritical days
b
10
Four groups of resistance
0
25
50
75
100
40 60 80 100 120DAE
Early
Blig
ht S
ever
ity (%
Group AAgataSolist
SSBintje
a
0
25
50
75
100
40 60 80 100 120DAE
Early
Blig
ht S
ever
ity (%
SSBintje
Group BExcellencyFontane
b
0
25
50
75
100
40 60 80 100 120DAE
Early
Blig
ht S
ever
ity (%
)
SSBintje
Group CCarolusEnergieKubaOlev aPL 08-4007PL 08-4010Roy alSaturnaSav aSeresta
c
0
25
50
75
100
40 60 80 100 120DAE
Early
Blig
ht S
ever
ity (%
)
SSBintje
Group DAv arnaAv entraAv enueEurograndeFestienKardalKurasNorv anoNov arnoSignumStratosWotan
d
11Abuley et al. (2018). Plant Pathology, 67(2), 315-326.
Epidemiological data
• Disease assessment (0-100%)• Infection rate (rate). • The mid-time (T50).• Duration of epidemic (Yt). • Mid-severity (Y50). • rAUDPC. • Daily Defoliation (DD).
Abuley, Isaac Kwesi 12
Univariate analysis of Epidemiologal parameter
Variety T50 (DAS) DD (%day-1) Y50(%) Yt (days) rAUDPC rate (day-1)
Bintje 32.08j 2.06b 63.94b 48.8g 0.36b 0.23d
Carolus 41.07hi 1.78c-f 13.15cd 57f 0.27cd 0.23dEnergie 38.93ij 1.86b-e 17.94c 56f 0.27cd 0.22deFontane 31.78j 2.02bc 59.58b 49.8g 0.36b 0.25c
13
Cluster analysis
• 2015
1 4 2 3
0.01.0
2.03.0
Hierarchical Clustering
inertia gain
Solis
tAg
ataFe
stien
Norv
arno
Wota
nKa
rdal
Aven
traAll
star
Signu
mAv
enue
Euro
gran
deSt
ratos
Kura
sAv
arna
Exell
ency
Fonta
neBin
tjeCa
rolus
Satur
naEn
ergie
Roya
lOl
eva
Sava
PL 08
-400
7Se
resta
Kuba
PL 08
-401
0
0.00.5
1.01.5
2.02.5
3.0
Click to cut the tree
14
Cultivar resistance to EB depends on foliagematurity
Integrating cultivar resistanceCultivar Resistance level
Agata Very susceptible
Sava and Oleva Moderately slow blighting
Kuras Slow blighting
Spray schedule Description
Untreated No spray fungicide application
Standard spray Fungicide application started from 50% row closure @ 14 days interval.
TOMCAST 15 1st spray at 330 P-days and subsequent spray at 15 TOMCAST DSV
TOMCAST 20 1st spray at 330 P-days and subsequent spray at 20 TOMCAST DSV
Abuley, Isaac Kwesi 16
Integrating cultivar resistance
17
Oleva Sava
Agata Kuras
aug 01 aug 15 sep 01 sep 15 aug 01 aug 15 sep 01 sep 15
0
25
50
75
100
0
25
50
75
100
Assessment date
Dis
ease
sev
erity
(%)
Fungicide schedule Standard treatment TOMCAST-15 TOMCAST-20 TOMCAST-25 Untreated
Integrating other components to control EB
18
Timing N application affects early blight
19
0
25
50
75
100
jul aug sepAssessment date
Dis
ease
sev
erity
(%)
Treatment
Untreated
Standard appl
Late applicatio
Split applicatio
Split applicatio
Split applicatio
0
2500
5000
7500
aug sep oktAssessment date
Nitr
ate
cont
ent (
ppm
)
Treatment
Untreated
Standard app
Late applicati
Split applicatio
Split applicatio
Split applicatio
A minimum of 2 years rotation
20
General conclusions• Resistance to early blight depends on foliage maturity.
• Susceptiblity of potatoes to early blight increases with plant age.
• Fungicides can be adjusted based on the plant age.
• Varietal resistance does not affect the onset of early blight.
• 2 years between subsequent potato cultivation is sufficient.
• Higher TOMCAST thresholds could be used on cultivars with higherlevel of resistance.
• Potatoes that recieve N at emergence or as split application are lesssusceptible than potatoes that recieve N before planting.
Abuley, Isaac Kwesi 21
Papers
• Abuley, I.K. & Nielsen, B.J. (2019). Integrating cultivar resistance into the TOMCAST model to control early blight, caused by Alternaria solani. Crop Protection, 117:69-96.
• Abuley I.K., Nielsen B.J. and Hansen H.H. (2019). The influence of crop rotation on the onset of early blight (Alternaria solani). Journal of Phytopathology, 167:35–40.
• Abuley, I.K., Nielsen, B.J., Hansen, H.H. (2018). The influence of timing the application of nitrogen on early blight (Alternaria solani). Pest Management Science. https://doi.org/10.1002/ps.5236.
• Abuley, I. K., Nielsen, B. J., & Labouriau, R. (2018). Resistance status of cultivated potatoes to early blight (Alternaria solani) in Denmark. Plant Pathology, 67(2), 315-326.
• Abuley, I. K. & Nielsen, B.J. (2017). Evaluation of models to control potato early blight (Alternaria solani) in Denmark. Crop Protection 102: 118-128.
Thanks for your attention