the challenge of delegitimacy to israel’s national security
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The Challenge of Delegitimacy to Israel’s National Security. 10 th Annual Herzliya Conference, February 2010. Structure of Presentation. Attack on Israel’s Political-Economic Model. Strategic Existential Implications of Attack. Response: Conceptual Framework. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
The Challenge of Delegitimacy to Israel’s National Security
10th Annual Herzliya Conference, February 2010
Structure of Presentation
Attack on Israel’s Political-Economic Model
Strategic Existential Implications of Attack
Response: Conceptual Framework
The Political Threat: The Resistance Network
Military Superiority
Ahmadinejad: “Israel is on a crash course… just like
the Soviet Union disappeared.” (12/2/06)
Nasrallah: “We do not need tanks and planes… [Israel] is weaker than a spider web.” (7/31/06)
?Abu Mussa Marzouk:
“failure of the political process will
bring about the destruction of Israel
(5/15/07)
Main Working Assumptions
Main Arena: Military-Security
Existential Threat: Physical
IDF Protects the Nation
Overstretch
Delegitimacy
Asymmetry
From Logic of Destruction to
Logic of Implosion
From Logic of Implosion to Strategy of Implosion
Aim: Sabotage Two-State Solution
Delegitmacy: From Kibbutz to Kibbush
The Left: From Kibbutz to Kibbush (Occupation)
Using human rights to make pro-Pal trendy
‘Branding’ demonization: Israel = Apartheid
Blurring line between criticism & delegitimacy
Boycott, Divestment, Sanctions
Anti-Zionist Israelis /Jews
Aim: Promote One Man, One Vote
London
Madrid Bay Area
TorontoNetworked: Generated from Hubs
European Muslims: From ambivalence to radicalization
Mid-Term Report & Feedback Loop
Undermine Two-State Solution Promote One
State Narrative
Logic of Implosion Fundamental Delegitimacy
Since WWII, more states have collapsed politically than militarily
Internationalization of the IL Arabs issue
Exercising universal jurisdiction against
Israel
Less room to maneuver vs. Resistance Network
Increasing equivalence between IL & Axis of
Evil
Danger: Implosion
Mid -Term Report
Political threat is strategic
Synchronized Victory
Israel suffers from strategic inferiority
New dynamic; new threat
Victory won on battlefield
Relevancy Gap
Diplomatic arena not critical to National
Security
IDF military and tech superiority enough
Political attacks signify nothing new
Primarily problem of Hasbara
Ideology, not arguments
Resolving IL-Pal conflict solves problem
Delegitimacy doesn’t hinge on IL-Pal
Potential Existential Political-Security
Threat
Networked Response to Networked Threat
Branding Israel
Reorganizing MFA
Synchronized Victories
The Response: Guiding Principles
Existential Threat: Plan Accordingly
Focusing on Hubs
Attacking Catalysts
Engaging NGOs
Difference b/w Soft & Hard Critics
Relations Based Diplomacy
Foreign Policy Est.: From Wishes to Budget
Intelligence agencies focus on Hubs
PM designates body that ‘owns’ issue
Inter-agency co-op on critical FP issues