the application of mfa sfa - tu wien · 2014-03-10 · from mfa to sfa (1980‐2000) • substance...
TRANSCRIPT
The application of MFA/SFA for decision making in
resource and waste management
Paul H. BrunnerVienna University of Technology
3RINCs & SWAPI 2014
First MFA by Santorio 16th century: “human metabolism”
input = output?2/20
The balance does not close ‐ what happens at night?
3/20
Typical lessons learned from Santorio and early MFA:
1. How to measure? ‐> MFA and balance principle
2. Balance does not close!‐> uncertainty treatment‐> systems understanding
3. What do the results serve for?‐> “cure the patient” ‐> MFA requires a goal!
4/20
Following generations of MFA (1950‐1990)
• Regional and national MFA ‐> Metabolism of cities (Duvigneaud et al, 1977)‐> National TMR‐MFA (Wuppertal Institute a.o.)
Mainly descriptive, not on an operational level yet
5/20
From MFA to SFA (1980‐2000)
• Substance level ‐> crucial for resources and environment
• Regional SFA ‐> Ayres, Stigliani, Baccini, and others
• MFA/SFA on all scales:‐> molecular to global ‐> static to dynamic (cf. ES&T Müller et al, 2014)
• Software STAN, SIMBOX, and others
6/20
MFA/SFA today
• Exploration phase completed! • MFA/SFA a tool for:
‐> problem solving‐> decision making
• MFA/SFA applied for:‐> Resource management ‐> Waste management ‐> Environmental management
• MFA/SFA requires assessment methods like LCA!
7/20
Example 1: Decision making for plastic recycling
PBDE/BFRs in video tapes (5/5)(Hirai et al, BFR 2007.) PBDE in children toys
(Chen et al, ES&T, 2009)
PBDEs in coffee cup (J. Samso‐nek & F. Puype, FAC, 2013) 8/20
Identifying the problem by MFA/SFA of cPentaBDE
9/20
PBDE in plastics ‐ clean cycles and safe final sinks?
recycling
Eol vehicles
stock 76 t (‐3.2) stock ?? (+ 2.6)X
XX
2.6 t/yconstruction wastes
key systemfor control
0.6 t/y
consumption waste management X
Vyzinkarova et al, 2013Vienna city limits, 2012 10/20
Ex. 2: From single processes to complex systems
Decision making in waste management ‐ How to find the “best” waste management system?
• Define goals• Select indicators and criteria (resources & emissions)• Comprehensive MFA/SFA model (flows and stocks ‐>
resources & emissions)• Evaluation of results (LCA, SCE, and others)• Scenario analysis‐> Optimized wm system
‐> transparent and reproducible process‐> acceptance of stakeholders
11/20
MFA / SFA for decision making in waste management I
160
170
930
2,000
3512,000
0
4,4000
12,000690
840
28
1,200
49,000
16,000
45
9,900350
570
9301,100
0
1,80029
0
43014012
16
670
9,4001,500
3,4000
2,4006,000
100
0 +12,000
Import: 57,000 kt/yr Stock 12,000 kt/yr Export 45,000 kt/yr
Landfill(LF)
Biologicaltreatment
(BT)
Thermaltreatment
(TT)
Emissions OT
Products OT
Export OT
Recycling
Emissions transportRe-useWaste export
Emissions TTProducts TT
Export TT
Emissions BT
Products BT
Export BT
Emissions LF
Waste OT-TT
Waste BT-TTWaste OT-BT
Waste TT-LF
Waste OT
Waste CPT
Maintenance resource OT
Maintenance resource CPT
Waste LF
Maint. res. LF
Waste BTMaint. res. BT
Waste TTMaint. res. TT
Waste OT-LF
Waste CTP-TT
Waste
Waste BT-LF
Products LFExport LF
Emissions CPT
Products CPTExport CPT
Othertreatment
(OT
Contributionwaste and
maintenanceresources
Chemico-physical
treatment(CPT)
System boundary “Waste Management Austria, 2010”
GoodsFlows in 1,000 t/yrStock in 1,000 t
Resources formaintenance
Imported waste 110
7,600
Biologicaltreatment
(BT)
12/20
Subsystem Biological treatment, 2010
250
260
420
970
930
1,100
1,400
2,300
550
0
3,400
760
1400
1,500
0
790
550
68
840
380
730
0
11
280
0
0
180
87
Import: 3,500 kt/yr Stock 0 kt/yr Export 3,500 kt/yr
Waste BT-LF
Waste BT-TT
Emissions BT
Products BT
Transport BT
Products CP
Residues CPWaste CP
Maintenanceresource CP
Waste MBT
Sorting waste
Maintenanceresource BP
Emissions CP
Products BP
Digestate BP
Emissions CP
Products MBTm
Waste MBTm
Emissio. MBTm
Products MBTbWaste
MBTm-MBTb
Digestate 2
Waste MBTb
Emissions MBTb
Waste OT-BT
Maintenanceresource to BT
Waste to BT
Transportfrom
biologicaltreatment
MBT-biologicaltreatment
(MBTb)
MBT-mechanicaltreatment(MBTm)
Biogasplant(BP)
Compostingplant(CP)
Outputfrom
biologicaltreatment
Waste tosorting
Waste to MBT
Wasteinput to
biologicaltreatment
Sorting
Inputmechanical-
biologicalwaste(MBT)
GoodsFlows in 1,000 t/yrStock in 1,000 t
Waste direct tp BP570
Waste BP
28
MFA / SFA for decision making in waste management II
13/20
MFA / SFA tomorrow
• MFA/SFA for optimizing the “Metabolism of the Anthroposphere”‐> the activity concept using MFA/SFA‐> more service and less material turnover
• Linking MFA and economics‐> using MFA/SFA to optimize industrial processes
14/20
The activity concept using MFA
activity input
[t/c.y]
to nourish
to clean
to reside
to transport
Total turnover
5,7
60
10
10
86
output
sewage off gas solid residues[t/c.y]
0,9 4,7 0,1
60 0 0,02
0 7,6 1
0 6 1,6
61 19 2,7
stock
[t/c]
< 0,1
0,1
100 + 1
160 + 2
260 + 3
15/20
Material turnover in European private householdsto satisfy basic human needs
Activity concept
• How to satisfy basic human needs in view of changing technology and economy?
• Example “ to transport”
16/20
Activity concept
17/20*Signorelli, Schindall, Kassakian
0,01
0,1
1
100
10
1.000
100.00010 100 1.000 10.000
energy
density
[Wh/kg]
power density [W/kg]
nanotube*condensators
100 kW/kg60 Wh/kg
accumulators
conventionalcondensators
Ultra‐condensators
LithiumPo
Pb
How to satisfy the need for transportation in view of limited resources of Lithium?
MFA / SFA tomorrow
Optimizing the “Metabolism of the Anthroposphere”‐> the activity concept using MFA/SFA‐> more service and less material turnover
Linking MFA and economics‐> using MFA/SFA to optimize industrial processes
18/20
Linking material flows and cost‐flows
450
10
4820628
7406
14
5624
80
13
3.23
1.2131154
25
2
25
160
210438 476
-14
-12
Productionfinal good
Thermal post-combustion
Wastemanagement
Productionintermediateproduct 12
Productionsemifinishedproduct 11
Subsystemproduction
Intermediate product 1
Subsystemproductionintermediate
product 2
Semifinishedproduct 21
Disposal costs
Import 450 €/p Export 476 €/pChange in stock -26 €/p
Panel
Flows [€/unit of good] System boundary “production of panels, 2011”
Educt 1Educt 2
Educt 3Educt 4
Educt 5Educt 6Educt 7Educt 8Educt 9
Educt 10
Educt 11Educt 12
Solvent 1Solvent 2
Solvent 3
Educt 13Auxilary material 1
Solvent 2
Solvent 3Solvent 2
Semifinishedproduct 22
Semifinishedproduct 11
Semifinishedproduct 5
Sem
ifini
shed
pro
duct
12
Aux
illar
ym
ater
ial 2
Aux
illar
y m
ater
ial 3
Aux
illar
y m
ater
ial 4
Aux
illar
y m
ater
ial 5
Productionintermediate
product 5
Disposal cost forevaporated solvents
Disposal costsAux. material
15 20 10
10 8 15 7
8 8 21 16 10 12 16
12 9 8
12
Productionintermediateproduct 13
7Disposal cost for
evaporated solvents
19/20
Conclusions
• Input equals output – transparent and rigid methodology• Substance level decisive• All scales from household to planet• Future indispensable tool for :
‐> early recognition‐> assessing and solving metabolic problems ‐> designing new strategies and concepts‐> new knowledge base about metabolism‐> governance!
20/20
Recycling is not
is the final sink
seweringsystem
sewagetreatment
plant
sludgetreatment
cultivatedsoil
„system boundary phh ‐> sludge treatment"
NPnEO Input: 0.3 Mol/c.y
NP Ouput: 0.12 Mol/c.y
Nonylphenol [ g/c.y ](figures in italic stand for NPnEO)
0
240
4
180
0,7
10
n.d.
5
0
27
24
+3 (30 mg/m²y)
NPNPnEO
0
240
OH(O ) n
C 9H19
Nonylphenolpolyethoxylat NPnEO
Activity “to clean” – which substances are appropriate?
Surfacewaters
22/20
From MFA to SFA: carbon flows from thermal waste treatment
43
1,600
0
18
43
1,700
~0
CarbonFlows in 1,000 t/yrStock in 1,000 t
0
8.10
620
0
1,100
610
0
54
1,000
Import: 1,700 kt/yr Stock 0 kt/yr Export 1,700 kt/yr
Waste TT-LF
Emissions TT
Products TT
Export TT
Transport TT
Products TT MSW
Waste TT MSWWaste TT MSW
Maintenanceresource TT MSW
Maintenanceresource TT
Waste TT
Maintenanceresource TT
Emissions TT MSW
Products TT
Waste TT
Emissions TT
Transportto
landfill
Thermaltreatment
other waste
Thermaltreatment
MSWWaste to TT Wasteinput tothermal
treatment
Wasteoutput from
thermaltreatment
System boundary “Thermal treatment Austria, 2010”
MFA / SFA for decision making in waste management III
23/20
The application of MFA for decision making in resource and waste managementAnalysis, evaluation, design (examples for all three)
Goal oriented, the phase of methodological development is over: there must be a problem stated in order to solve it with MFAWhich problems can be solved: all problems, but for which MFA is effective???
1. The law on conservation of matter: input equals output2. What is MFA: goods and substances3. All scales from person to planet4. For waste management5. For regional materials management6. Environmental management7. Resource management8. For governance (V.EFB)_______________________________‐Mention the surprise about nutrients (MFA of private hh)Mention the surprise of stocks (Lohm) when there were deltas in MFA between I/O