the ann arbor transit authority's 3 scenarios
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Washtenaw County Transit Master Plan
Alternative Futures
January 2011
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Objectives / Agenda
Update you on the Transit
Master Plan
Introduce the Transit Master
Plan Scenarios
Educate you about the benefits
of each Scenario
Enable you to make an informed
choice
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Building a Transit Master Plan, Step-by-Step
Shared Community VisionWhat COMMUNITY GOALS must a county-wide
transit system serve?
Transit Audit and Needs AssessmentWhat UNMET NEEDS must a county-wide
transit system address?
Transit OptionsWhat PROJECTS and SERVICES can a county-
wide transit system contribute to meeting
unmet needs?
In what ways can a county-wide transitsystem help achieve community goals?
(ALTERNATIVE NETWORKS)Scenarios
Transit Master PlanWhat is the bestway a county-wide transit
system can help achieve community goals?
(PREFERRED SCENARIO)
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Building Scenarios
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Publicinvolvement
and opendiscussion
Research onhow transitserves ourcommunity
today
Research onhow our
communityand our
needs maychange in
future
Studies oftransit
options andexperiencesworldwide
Input fromour existingcommunity
plans
Combinationsof options
designed tomeet our
communitys
needs and
help usachieve ourwider goals
6
DEVELOPMENT OF SCENARIOSDesigned to help:
Achieve our Goals;
Address our Key Transit Needs; and
Maintain an efficient and sustainable transit system.
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Introducing the Scenarios
3 Approaches to Countywide Transit
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Life
linePlus Improves lifeline
services wherethey exist today
Provides essential
door-to-doorconnections forseniors , thevulnerable andpeople withdisabilities acrossthe County
AccessibleCounty Builds on the
Lifeline PlusScenario
Establishes transit
as an integral partof the Countytransportationsystem
SmartGrowth Adds to the
Accessible CountyScenario
Stimulates job
creation, focusesdevelopment inareas that bestaccommodate it,and preservesgreen space
Scenario Concepts
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LifelineP
lus Urban bus network
enhancements (services,
stops, vehicles)Place-making, parking andTransit Centers
The Wave bus networkenhancements
Bus priorities
Intercept Park & Ride
Walking and biking
D2D countywide seniors
and disabled people eligibleVanpool
Airport service
Advertising, fares andticketing policies
Information, education andmarketing
Strategic Policies
AccessibleCounty
Countywide express services
Flex Ride Service
CountywideUrban bus networkenhancements (services,stops, vehicles)
Place-making, parking andTransit Centers
The Wave bus networkenhancements
Bus priorities
Intercept Park & RideWalking and biking
D2D countywide seniorsand disabled people eligible
Vanpool
Airport service
Advertising, fares andticketing policies
Information, education and
marketingStrategic Policies
SmartGrow
thRegional rail
New mode corridors
Countywide express servicesFlex Ride ServiceCountywide
Urban bus networkenhancements (services,stops, vehicles)
Place-making, parking andTransit Centers
The Wave bus network
enhancementsBus priorities
Intercept Park & Ride
Walking and biking
D2D countywide seniorsand disabled people eligible
Vanpool
Airport service
Advertising, fares and
ticketing policiesInformation, education andmarketing
Strategic Policies
Greater geographical coverage AdditionalLegend
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Lifeline Plus
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LifelinePlusScenarioMap
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Enhanced
urban bus
network
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Enhanced
WAVE service
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Enhanced A2
Express
Services to
Canton andChelsea
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New Intercept
Park & Ride
Lots
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Airport Express
from
Ann Arbor
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Countywide
Door-to-Door
and
Car/Vanpool
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Accessible County
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As a
reminder
Lifeline Plus
Scenario
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Countywide
Express
Network and
Local TransitHubs
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Countywide
Flex-Ride
Service and
LocalCirculators
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Smart Growth
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As a
reminder
Accessible
County
Scenario
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East West
Rail
Connection
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North South
Rail
Connection
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Urban High
Capacity
Corridors
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Comparing the Scenarios
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Local Community Impacts
Impact Lifeline Plus Accessible
CountySmart Growth
Year 2040 2040 2040
Urban Transit Mode Share (peak period) 2010
Base = 6.2%9.3% 9.3% 12.2%
Rural Transit Mode Share (peak period)
2010 Base = 0.3%3.4% 5.5% 5.5%
Car trips taken off the road in the peak
(annual)2.9m 3.3m 5.4m
Transit trips (annual)
2010 Base = 12.2m24.7m 25.3m 32.2m
Additional new jobs created 418 475 1830
Reduction in number of serious road
accidents (annual)-59 -67 -111
Senior population within 10 minutes walk of
fixed route transit 2010 Base = 66%86% 94% 94%
Reduction in emissions (annual tons CO, NOx,
VOC)-374 -422 -701
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Local Community Benefits
$ millions, 2040 Lifeline Plus Accessible
County
Smart
Growth
Value of new, local jobs created 13.4 15.2 58.5
Road decongestion benefit to existing road
users (from people switching to transit and
bicycling)
15.4 17.0 26.2
Accessibility and livability benefits to existingand new riders, people with disabilities, rural
communities, students and seniors
55.2 62.5 96.0
Accident saving benefits from reduction in car
miles travelled2.7 3.0 5.0
Reduced emissions benefit from reduction in
car miles travelled
1.2 1.4 2.3
Health benefits from increased walking and
bicycling (in part associated with transit use)3.3 3.5 4.4
Total additional community benefits 91 103 192
Base community benefit 83 83 83
Total community benefit 174 186 275
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Performance
$ millions , 2040 Lifeline PlusAccessible
County
Smart
Growth
Total community benefits 174 186 275Total operating cost 73 78 101
Total fare-box revenue 25 28 49
Net operating cost 48 50 52
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Benefit by Spend
Theres a strong case for transit investment in Washtenaw County, for every
$1 spent, $2.7- $3.2 benefits are generated within the community Smart Growth delivers the greatest economic growth and could provide an
additional 1,800 new jobs
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$ millions
HistoricalSharesofTransitOperatingFundsFifteenYearAverage,1994- 2008
Overall Operating Costs, 2040
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Breakdown of Capital
Costs over 30 Years($ Million)
Lifeline Plus
$48m
Accessible County
$51m
Smart Growth
$465m
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How Might Capital Costs be Paid For?
Other Potential Sources Capital Funding
E-W Rail shares of cost attributable to Wayne County
N-S Rail shares of cost attributable to Livingston County
AA Connector Private contributions (e.g. M-1 Rail)
High Speed Rail improvements may pay for some of the regional rail expense
LifelinePlus$48m
AccessibleCounty$51m
SmarterGrowth$465m
Historical Shares of Transit
Capital FundsTwenty Year Average, 1989 - 2008
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Meeting the Goals
Impact Score
Positive High 5
Positive Medium 3
Positive Low 1
Neutral 0
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Addressing the Transit Needs
Impact Score
Positive High 5
Positive Medium 3
Positive Low 1
Neutral 0
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Meeting Goals and Key Transit Needs
Scenario Total Score
Lifeline Plus 24
Accessible County 31
Smart Growth 44
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AATA cant do this alone.
Service operators WAVE
Peoples Express
Manchester Senior Services
Major employers
Public institutions (education, health care)
Providers of services and facilities
Bikeways
Sidewalks
Roadways
Land Use Planners
If current trends
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If sustainable planning, zoning anddevelopment tools are used
continue
Source: SEMCOG Planning Toolkit
Land Use Transit
The urbanized area can
support corridors with high
capacity transit if a major
land use shift is achieved;
By attracting investment,
transit can help promote the
land use shifts needed.
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" Redwood City is proud to have received the first-ever TOD Incentive grant from C/CAG for Franklin Project Phase I. This project has
been well received by the community and will provide 206 new residential units, including 31 affordable units, and convenient retail - all
within walking distance to the Caltrain Station and Downtown District employment/services. "
- Maureen Riordan, Senior Planner, City of Redwood City
A jurisdiction receives incentive funds for
housing units. Typically, eligible projects
receive up to $2,000 per bedroom.
Housing must be within one-third of a mile
of a rail transit station, and density must
be at least 40 units per acre.
In addition to direct transportation
improvements, some general
improvements such as landscaping,
lighting, sidewalks, plazas, and
recreational projects are allowed.
San Mateo Co., California TOD Incentives
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Tempe, Arizona Transit Center
A multi-use green facility that is not only atransportation hub, but also a gathering spot for the
community.
A multimodal, mixed-use facility, the center
integrates the downtown light-rail stop, the main city
bus station, and the state's first "bike station," which
offers secure on-site storage and repairs.
The center, which replaced a 2.7-acre surface parking
lot, provides much-needed public amenities,
including a community room and a shaded public
plaza.
Additional uses include a transit store, a caf, shops,
and offices, including the city of Tempe's
Transportation Division.
Arizona's first bike stationThe Bicycle Cellarprovidessecure indoor parking, showers, lockers, bike repairs, and
rental bicycles. The courtyard is a popular gathering place
for pedestrians, bicyclists, transit patrons, and visitors.
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Conclusions
Transit can play a fundamental role in the future economic growth andstability of the County
Transit helps deliver wider community goals and address key needs
Transit can support the creation ofnew, local jobs
Policies associated with land use and traffic restraint will support the
achievement of the Plan
All three scenarios will require working together with local authorities,
operators and key stakeholders
Opportunities for strategic alliances need to be explored to deliver
economies of scale and efficiencies
Community input is vital what do we want the future to look like?
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Next Steps
Spread the word through your network
Come to a public meeting
Select and adjust your favorite scenario
Tell us what you think
Keep up to date: www.movingyouforward.org
http://www.movingyouforward.org/http://www.movingyouforward.org/ -
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Questions & Answers
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Feedback Session