thayer asia-pacific security order
TRANSCRIPT
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
1/41
Regional Security
rc ec ure
Professor Carl Thayer
Security Studies (Regional)
September 24, 2009
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
2/41
Security Architecture ecur ty r er
Securit Architecture in the Asia-Pacific Region
Asia-Pacific community
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
3/41
Collective Security Collective Defence
Security Community
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
4/41
e n e e n n nywould-be aggressor Permanent potential alliance against an unknown
enemy on behalf of an unknown victim United Nations through Security Council
Alternative to lobal s stem of competing alliances (balance of power)
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
5/41
ree con ons:1. The collective security coalition must be able
powerful adversary.
of what constitutes a stable and acceptableinternational order
3. Major powers must share a minimum of olitical solidarit and moral communit
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
6/41
ar er ap er
Article 51
inherent right of individual or collective self-defenceif an armed attack occurs against a Member of theUnited Nations, until the Security Council has takenmeasures necessary to maintain international peace
and security.
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
7/41
ar er ap er
Article 52 Nothing in the present Charter precludes the
existence of regional arrangements or agencies for
dealing with such matters relating to thema n enance o n erna ona peace an secur y asare appropriate for regional action provided that
are consistent with the Purposes and Principles of the United Nations.
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
8/41
Korean War
Collective security or collective defence?
North Atlantic Treat Or anisation NATO South East Asia Treaty Organisation
Laotian crisis 1961-62
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
9/41
Collective De ence Alliances are one form of collective defence
coalitions, mutual assistance agreements Alliances are formal a reements that led e
states to cooperate in using their militaryresources against a specific state or states.
Alliances usually obligate one or more of the signatories to use force or to considerthe use of force - unilaterally or inconsultation - in specified circumstances.
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
10/41
Functions o Alliances
to them, and allow for an international divisionof labour;
Assist the signatories in maintaining theirinternal securit ;
Serve to restrain the behaviour of other states;
anarchical international system (e.g. by drawinga line, or aligning nations)
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
11/41
US Hub and S okes Modelapanapan
SouthSouthKoreaKorea
Phili inesPhili ines
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
12/41
Group of states cooperate to manage theirdis utes and avoid war b seekin to mutethe effects of security dilemma
- - assumption other nations seek peace
ecu y emm - e e s ve c o y o estate is perceived as a threat by another
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
13/41
attained a sense of community or collectiveidentit
adopted formal or informal institutions andractices
become integrated hold de endable ex ectations of eaceful
change rule out the use of force to solve dis utes
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
14/41
Amalgamated Security Community Formal mer er of two or more inde endent
states into a single larger unit with common
government after amalgamation the United States
Pluralistic Security Community Member states retain legal independence of
their separate governments t e n te tates an ana a
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
15/41
1. Total absence of armed conflict or prospects forconflict among members
. sence o compet t ve m tary u -up orarms race
. x s ence o orma or n orma ns u ons anpractices to manage and resolve conflicts
. integration as a precondition of peaceful
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
16/41
Nascent Phase States explore coordination mechanisms, accept
Ascendant Phase , ,
institutions, collective identify, dependable expectationsof peaceful change
Mature Phase Loosely and tightly coupled security communities
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
17/41
. ypes o ecur y r er
Balance of Power
Multilateral community-based security Concert of great powers Common security institution
Collective security
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
18/41
Power Balance in Asia-Pacific is Mixed
Part balance of power China advocates multipolarity Part hegemonic
U.S. alliance s stem lus strate ic artners US pursues liberal grand strategy
-multilateralism
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
19/41
. Security Architecture
Association of South East Asian NationsASEAN 1967
Five Power Defence Arrangements FPDA1971
Pacific Island Forum PIF (1971) formerly South Pacific Forum (SPF)
Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation APEC(1989)
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
20/41
Security Architecture
Council for Security Cooperation in theAsia-Pacific CSCAP 1993 One and a half track
ASEAN Regional Forum ARF (1994) Asia-Europe Meeting ASEM (1996) Shan hai Coo eration Or anisation SCO
(1996) Formerly Shanghai 5 (1996)
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
21/41
Security Architecture
Shangri-La Dialogue (7)
registered charity
Six Part Talks 6 Korea peninsula focus
E st Asi mmit EA 4 ASEAN Treat of Amity and Cooperation
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
22/41
ARF + ADMMPlus
APT China Japan,South Korea
EAS Russia and
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
23/41
Five Power Defence Arrangements
United Kingdom withdrawal east of Suez defence of Malaysia and Singapore indivisible
FPD orme 7 consultative body Malaysia, Singapore, Australia,
Confidence building measure between Malaysia andSingapore
annual joint training exercises
Integrated Air Defence System (IADS)
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
24/41
Inte rated Area Defence S stem 2000
Expanding role in addressing asymmetricthreats 2003
Facilitates cooperation in other areas Malaysia in East Timor Singapore and NZ in Afghanistan
Only effective multilateral military structure
Asia.
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
25/41
ASEAN Regional Forum
rst a rman s tatement :to foster constructive dialogue andconsu tat on on po t ca an secur ty ssues
of common interest and concern; andto ma e s gn cant contr ut ons to e ortstowards confidence-building and
-region.
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
26/41
- : a rman s a emen
The approach shall be evolutionary,takin lace in three broad sta esnamely development of preventive diplomacy
elaboration of approaches to conflicts .
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
27/41
Brunei China M anmar
Indonesia European Union Cambodia
Philippines South Korea North Korea
Thailand PNG Pakistan
-Australia United States Bangladesh
ana a aos r an a
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
28/41
ARF Work Program
ISM on SAR 1995-97
ISM on PKO 1995-97
ISM Disaster Relief 1995-99 + 2005
ISG on CBMs 1995-
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
29/41
Shangri-La Dialogue
Initiated by International Institute of Strategic Studies (IISS) in 2002 Participation by defence ministers from 15
countries plus 6 deputy ministers or senior officials IISS: the best available vehicle in the
Asia-Pacific region for developing andchanelling astute and effective publicpolicy on defence and security.
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
30/41
Australia, Bangladesh, Brunei, Cambodia, Canada, China,France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Laos, Malaysia, Mongolia,
, , , , , ,Singapore, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Timor Leste, UK, US, Vietnam
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
31/41
. none of our existin re ional
mechanisms as currently configured
spectrum of dialogue, cooperation andac on on econom c an po camatters and future challenges to
security. Kevin Rudd, Address to the Asia Society
Sydney June 4, 2008
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
32/41
K n R A P mm n
Prime Minister Rudd proposed: a
entire Asia-Pacific region includingt e n te tates, apan, na, n aIndonesia and the other states of the
region.
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
33/41
s a ac ccommunity
s a ac ccommunity
ARFARFAPECAPEC
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
34/41
APT at ARF atworkingeve
Hong Kong& Taiwan
+ Russia
EU + SouthAmerica
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
35/41
Umbrella
G6/8/10?
E Ssecurity
APECeconomic
issuesissues
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
36/41
ChinaChinaJapanJapan
Core Group
IndonesiaIndonesiaIndiaIndia
AustraliaAustralia
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
37/41
USAUSA
ChinaChinaJa anJa an
IndonesiaIndonesiaIndiaIndia Group of 8
AustraliaAustraliaSouthKoreaSouthKorea
uss auss a
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
38/41
. .-hard security threats and provides for
- Korean peninsula Internationally networked terrorism
na s engagemen p aces a ecentre of all regional issues
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
39/41
w n n e epen en e eAsia-Pacific Region
Spread of cooperative security norms
regimes and institutions
Non-traditional (soft) security issuesincreasin l on a enda
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
40/41
the Asia-Pacific Region
u t p e arc tectures ea w t ar
and soft security challenges Global and regional dynamics shapethe regional security architecture
Regional dynamics are complex, fluid
-
8/14/2019 Thayer Asia-Pacific Security Order
41/41
Regional Security
rc ec ure
Professor Carl Thayer
Security Studies (Regional)September 24, 2009