thayer asia-pacific security order

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    Regional Security

    rc ec ure

    Professor Carl Thayer

    Security Studies (Regional)

    September 24, 2009

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    Security Architecture ecur ty r er

    Securit Architecture in the Asia-Pacific Region

    Asia-Pacific community

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    Collective Security Collective Defence

    Security Community

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    e n e e n n nywould-be aggressor Permanent potential alliance against an unknown

    enemy on behalf of an unknown victim United Nations through Security Council

    Alternative to lobal s stem of competing alliances (balance of power)

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    ree con ons:1. The collective security coalition must be able

    powerful adversary.

    of what constitutes a stable and acceptableinternational order

    3. Major powers must share a minimum of olitical solidarit and moral communit

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    ar er ap er

    Article 51

    inherent right of individual or collective self-defenceif an armed attack occurs against a Member of theUnited Nations, until the Security Council has takenmeasures necessary to maintain international peace

    and security.

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    ar er ap er

    Article 52 Nothing in the present Charter precludes the

    existence of regional arrangements or agencies for

    dealing with such matters relating to thema n enance o n erna ona peace an secur y asare appropriate for regional action provided that

    are consistent with the Purposes and Principles of the United Nations.

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    Korean War

    Collective security or collective defence?

    North Atlantic Treat Or anisation NATO South East Asia Treaty Organisation

    Laotian crisis 1961-62

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    Collective De ence Alliances are one form of collective defence

    coalitions, mutual assistance agreements Alliances are formal a reements that led e

    states to cooperate in using their militaryresources against a specific state or states.

    Alliances usually obligate one or more of the signatories to use force or to considerthe use of force - unilaterally or inconsultation - in specified circumstances.

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    Functions o Alliances

    to them, and allow for an international divisionof labour;

    Assist the signatories in maintaining theirinternal securit ;

    Serve to restrain the behaviour of other states;

    anarchical international system (e.g. by drawinga line, or aligning nations)

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    US Hub and S okes Modelapanapan

    SouthSouthKoreaKorea

    Phili inesPhili ines

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    Group of states cooperate to manage theirdis utes and avoid war b seekin to mutethe effects of security dilemma

    - - assumption other nations seek peace

    ecu y emm - e e s ve c o y o estate is perceived as a threat by another

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    attained a sense of community or collectiveidentit

    adopted formal or informal institutions andractices

    become integrated hold de endable ex ectations of eaceful

    change rule out the use of force to solve dis utes

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    Amalgamated Security Community Formal mer er of two or more inde endent

    states into a single larger unit with common

    government after amalgamation the United States

    Pluralistic Security Community Member states retain legal independence of

    their separate governments t e n te tates an ana a

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    1. Total absence of armed conflict or prospects forconflict among members

    . sence o compet t ve m tary u -up orarms race

    . x s ence o orma or n orma ns u ons anpractices to manage and resolve conflicts

    . integration as a precondition of peaceful

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    Nascent Phase States explore coordination mechanisms, accept

    Ascendant Phase , ,

    institutions, collective identify, dependable expectationsof peaceful change

    Mature Phase Loosely and tightly coupled security communities

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    . ypes o ecur y r er

    Balance of Power

    Multilateral community-based security Concert of great powers Common security institution

    Collective security

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    Power Balance in Asia-Pacific is Mixed

    Part balance of power China advocates multipolarity Part hegemonic

    U.S. alliance s stem lus strate ic artners US pursues liberal grand strategy

    -multilateralism

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    . Security Architecture

    Association of South East Asian NationsASEAN 1967

    Five Power Defence Arrangements FPDA1971

    Pacific Island Forum PIF (1971) formerly South Pacific Forum (SPF)

    Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation APEC(1989)

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    Security Architecture

    Council for Security Cooperation in theAsia-Pacific CSCAP 1993 One and a half track

    ASEAN Regional Forum ARF (1994) Asia-Europe Meeting ASEM (1996) Shan hai Coo eration Or anisation SCO

    (1996) Formerly Shanghai 5 (1996)

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    Security Architecture

    Shangri-La Dialogue (7)

    registered charity

    Six Part Talks 6 Korea peninsula focus

    E st Asi mmit EA 4 ASEAN Treat of Amity and Cooperation

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    ARF + ADMMPlus

    APT China Japan,South Korea

    EAS Russia and

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    Five Power Defence Arrangements

    United Kingdom withdrawal east of Suez defence of Malaysia and Singapore indivisible

    FPD orme 7 consultative body Malaysia, Singapore, Australia,

    Confidence building measure between Malaysia andSingapore

    annual joint training exercises

    Integrated Air Defence System (IADS)

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    Inte rated Area Defence S stem 2000

    Expanding role in addressing asymmetricthreats 2003

    Facilitates cooperation in other areas Malaysia in East Timor Singapore and NZ in Afghanistan

    Only effective multilateral military structure

    Asia.

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    ASEAN Regional Forum

    rst a rman s tatement :to foster constructive dialogue andconsu tat on on po t ca an secur ty ssues

    of common interest and concern; andto ma e s gn cant contr ut ons to e ortstowards confidence-building and

    -region.

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    - : a rman s a emen

    The approach shall be evolutionary,takin lace in three broad sta esnamely development of preventive diplomacy

    elaboration of approaches to conflicts .

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    Brunei China M anmar

    Indonesia European Union Cambodia

    Philippines South Korea North Korea

    Thailand PNG Pakistan

    -Australia United States Bangladesh

    ana a aos r an a

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    ARF Work Program

    ISM on SAR 1995-97

    ISM on PKO 1995-97

    ISM Disaster Relief 1995-99 + 2005

    ISG on CBMs 1995-

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    Shangri-La Dialogue

    Initiated by International Institute of Strategic Studies (IISS) in 2002 Participation by defence ministers from 15

    countries plus 6 deputy ministers or senior officials IISS: the best available vehicle in the

    Asia-Pacific region for developing andchanelling astute and effective publicpolicy on defence and security.

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    Australia, Bangladesh, Brunei, Cambodia, Canada, China,France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Laos, Malaysia, Mongolia,

    , , , , , ,Singapore, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Timor Leste, UK, US, Vietnam

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    . none of our existin re ional

    mechanisms as currently configured

    spectrum of dialogue, cooperation andac on on econom c an po camatters and future challenges to

    security. Kevin Rudd, Address to the Asia Society

    Sydney June 4, 2008

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    K n R A P mm n

    Prime Minister Rudd proposed: a

    entire Asia-Pacific region includingt e n te tates, apan, na, n aIndonesia and the other states of the

    region.

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    s a ac ccommunity

    s a ac ccommunity

    ARFARFAPECAPEC

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    APT at ARF atworkingeve

    Hong Kong& Taiwan

    + Russia

    EU + SouthAmerica

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    Umbrella

    G6/8/10?

    E Ssecurity

    APECeconomic

    issuesissues

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    ChinaChinaJapanJapan

    Core Group

    IndonesiaIndonesiaIndiaIndia

    AustraliaAustralia

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    USAUSA

    ChinaChinaJa anJa an

    IndonesiaIndonesiaIndiaIndia Group of 8

    AustraliaAustraliaSouthKoreaSouthKorea

    uss auss a

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    . .-hard security threats and provides for

    - Korean peninsula Internationally networked terrorism

    na s engagemen p aces a ecentre of all regional issues

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    w n n e epen en e eAsia-Pacific Region

    Spread of cooperative security norms

    regimes and institutions

    Non-traditional (soft) security issuesincreasin l on a enda

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    the Asia-Pacific Region

    u t p e arc tectures ea w t ar

    and soft security challenges Global and regional dynamics shapethe regional security architecture

    Regional dynamics are complex, fluid

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    Regional Security

    rc ec ure

    Professor Carl Thayer

    Security Studies (Regional)September 24, 2009