t. o’donnell, ph.d. | [email protected] | tomod.com primary energy resources opening plenary session...
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T. O’Donnell, Ph.D. | [email protected] | TomOD.com
Primary Energy ResourcesOpening Plenary Session
Tom O’Donnell, Ph.D.The New School University, NYC
Universidad Central de Venezuela-CENDES, Caracas
T. O’Donnell, Ph.D. | [email protected] | TomOD.com 2IPCC 2007
T. O’Donnell, Ph.D. | [email protected] | TomOD.com 3T. O’Donnell, Ph.D. | [email protected] | TomOD.com 3IPCC 2007
2004
T. O’Donnell, Ph.D. | [email protected] | TomOD.com 4IPCC 2007
T. O’Donnell, Ph.D. | [email protected] | TomOD.com 5IPCC 2007
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Uranium
Uranium w/ Breeding
Coal
Gas
Conventional Oil
IPCC 2007
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Uranium
Coal
Gas
Conventional Oil
Solar WindGeothermalBiomassHydro
IPCC 2007
Two Categories of Primary Energy:
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CHP
Electricity
Hydrogen Biofuels
IPCC 2007
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Two Categories of Primary Energy:
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Part I. Global Energy System
Two Categories of Primary Energy:
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Global Energy System: - 2004Source: 4th IPCC, from IEA 2006
Two Categories of Primary Energy:
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Global Energy System: - 2030Source: IPCC from IEA 2006
• Transport - 95% oil
• Electricity - Diversified
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Observation:
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ProjectionsHistory
World Primary Energy Demand
Source: IEA WEA reference scenario 2006
Oil #1
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- Global Warming- Depletion?- Geo Location?- Traffic Congestion?- Alternatives?
And Oil Has Issues:
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Petroleum Reserves
60% Persian
Gulf
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0
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Bil
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allo
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25
30
Per
cen
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Ethanol Share of Corn Production
U.S. Corn Ethanol
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0
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Bil
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Per
cen
t
Ethanol Share of Corn Production
10 days of oil = 27%
corn
U.S. Corn Ethanol
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Oil Consumption per capita
EIA 2003
Gallons per day
per capita
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Ethanol
Oil Consumption per capita
Gallons per day
per capita
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Reserves More Uncertain
Potential liquid hydrocarbon production (Gbbl)
Cost $/barrel
Oil & Substitutes
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Reserves More Uncertain
Potential liquid hydrocarbon production (Gbbl)
Cost $/barrel
Oil & Substitutes
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Reserves More Uncertain
Potential liquid hydrocarbon production (Gbbl)
Oil & Substitutes
Hours Delay per
peak traveler
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City Size
Congestion U.S. Cities – 20 Yrs.
2002
1992
1982
Federal Highway Administration
Oil Solution:
Not Alternative Fuels
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ButAlternative Modes
