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Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd SustainAgility

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http://www.globalchange.com Sustainable business and how green technology will help sustainability, climate change, global warming, water shortages, food shortages, transport, energy, fuel, cities. Future aviation, travel, rail, cars, tourism, corporate travel, heating, lighting, heat pumps. Solar cells, wind power, biofuels, alternatiive energy generation. Future of coal, oil, gas and nuclear power. Electric vehicles. Green living. Protecting rainforests. Why climate change and other sustainability issues can be solved. Costs of global warming action. Marketing of green tech. Open innovation and crowdsourcing. Leadership of business and government. Government regulation, politics and political agreement. Activists and campaigning.

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Page 1: Sustainagility - Greentech Innovation, Sustainable Business and Corporate Social Responsibility - Conference Keynote Speaker

Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd

SustainAgility

Page 2: Sustainagility - Greentech Innovation, Sustainable Business and Corporate Social Responsibility - Conference Keynote Speaker

Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50)

Sustainagility- Greentech Innovation, Sustainable Business and Corporate Social Responsibility -

Keynote for Alstom (2013)

500 videos of keynoteswww.youtube.com/pjvdixon

over 4 million views

www.globalchange.com14 million unique visitors

Page 3: Sustainagility - Greentech Innovation, Sustainable Business and Corporate Social Responsibility - Conference Keynote Speaker

Most debates about future are about timing

What if green tech / gas balancing takes off faster ?

Page 4: Sustainagility - Greentech Innovation, Sustainable Business and Corporate Social Responsibility - Conference Keynote Speaker

“80-95% carbon reduction” Fantasy or Future?

Page 5: Sustainagility - Greentech Innovation, Sustainable Business and Corporate Social Responsibility - Conference Keynote Speaker

                                   Related                                                                                          Issues  

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Page 6: Sustainagility - Greentech Innovation, Sustainable Business and Corporate Social Responsibility - Conference Keynote Speaker

Wild  Cards:  Risk  Management

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Indonesia: Islamic radicalisation88% of 200 million

Expect struggle for political power by radical groups in Indonesia, Malaysia

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• Click  to  edit  Master  text  styles

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The future is about

Page 18: Sustainagility - Greentech Innovation, Sustainable Business and Corporate Social Responsibility - Conference Keynote Speaker
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The future is about

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EU330m more

EU1 trillion debt

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The future is about

EMOTION

Page 27: Sustainagility - Greentech Innovation, Sustainable Business and Corporate Social Responsibility - Conference Keynote Speaker

Passions Change

Demands for more responsible capitalism, socially-minded SUSTAINABLE BUSINESS following global banking crisis

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300 million cities in China by 2020Commodity price pressure

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1  trillionpages  a  month

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"Perfection!, Wonderful hotel. Good value, beautiful views.“

Telford UK, May 20, 2012This was the most beautiful hotel. Clean, friendly and good value.

“Worst hotel I have ever been in. Should be closed down.“  Paris April, 2012

NEVER stay in this terrible place. Rats, insects, dirty. Many guests got sick.

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Page 34: Sustainagility - Greentech Innovation, Sustainable Business and Corporate Social Responsibility - Conference Keynote Speaker

33%  in  UK  don’t  watch  live  TV

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Some  users  in  France  >  30  gig  in  days

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95%  EU  bandwidth  soon  video

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>  200  million  mobile  payments  >  $160bn

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Vodafone Mastercard Sprint

Vamoosle

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Free mobile devicescalls / web / TV / games / pay

2010                                                  2013                                    2015                                                    

Data

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$40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism

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Data accepted widelyScience of global warming is highly influentialPassion - government - regulation - subsidy

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Source: „Vostok“ (Antarctica) ice cores, World Data Center for Paleoclimatology, NOAA, Boulder, CO, USA

350-393ppm in 30 years x

x

420,000 Years - CO2 and Earth Temperature ”Dip equivalent to 0.5 mile of ice over some of northern hemisphere 15,000 years ago”

Page 43: Sustainagility - Greentech Innovation, Sustainable Business and Corporate Social Responsibility - Conference Keynote Speaker

“400,000 sq miles of Arctic ice melted in 30 years”

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China water crisis“In 20 years, 18,000 square miles of ice melted” “3000 out of 4000 Tibetan lakes dried up”

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Oil >$100 a barrel accelerates innovationEven strong climate sceptics “go green”

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Shale gas 33% US supplies

200 years global supplyUp from 60 years in 5 years

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5 coal plants replace with gas = 9000 megawatts wind

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30 million acres lost

EU 5% gasoline and diesel from food

25% of 2010 US grain fuel

30% US grain burnt in cars

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120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day7,000 times total global power usePower Moscow from Libyan Desert

“33-49% EU power = wind by 2050” Surplus wind to methane ?Gas power - load balancing

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120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day7,000 times total power use

QUEBEC from ARIZONA

Page 51: Sustainagility - Greentech Innovation, Sustainable Business and Corporate Social Responsibility - Conference Keynote Speaker

Solar cell generation parity <1-3 yrs --> ?

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Heat Pumps

• 70% new buildings in Sweden• 45% new buildings in New Zealand• Up to 50% energy savings• Payback 15 years but boosts electricity demand

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Australia Power Shortage• 10% capacity used 4 days a year• Average $50 peak $10,000 per MWhr

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Managing peak demand• Variable pricing - weather and time of day - appliance control

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Enough salt caverns to power germany for a week

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• Only 5% EU power crosses borders

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Street Lights - Philips5% 2% of US / EU energyPayback period 4 years 120 million EU street lamps 75% replace in 15 years at unit cost

of $750 including labour

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Page 60: Sustainagility - Greentech Innovation, Sustainable Business and Corporate Social Responsibility - Conference Keynote Speaker

Will we be ready?

For individualsFor familyFor community / investorsFor whole earth

Making Life Better

Page 61: Sustainagility - Greentech Innovation, Sustainable Business and Corporate Social Responsibility - Conference Keynote Speaker

Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50)

Sustainagility- Greentech Innovation, Sustainable Business and Corporate Social Responsibility -

Keynote for Alstom (2013)

500 videos of keynoteswww.youtube.com/pjvdixon

over 4 million views

www.globalchange.com14 million unique visitors