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PAGE 1 The Governance Institute’s Leadership Conference – Fairmont Scottsdale Princess Scottsdale, Arizona April 17–20, 2016 Robert M. Wachter, MD Professor and Interim Chair, Department of Medicine Chief, Division of Hospital Medicine University of California, San Francisco @Bob_Wachter Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World: What Healthcare Systems Need to Know & Do

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Page 1: Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World · 2016-04-11 · Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World: What Healthcare Systems Need to Know & Do. PAGE 2 The Governance Institute’s

PAGE 1The Governance Institute’s Leadership Conference – Fairmont Scottsdale Princess

Scottsdale, ArizonaApril 17–20, 2016

Robert M. Wachter, MDProfessor and Interim Chair, Department of Medicine

Chief, Division of Hospital MedicineUniversity of California, San Francisco

@Bob_Wachter

Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World: What Healthcare Systems Need to

Know & Do

Page 2: Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World · 2016-04-11 · Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World: What Healthcare Systems Need to Know & Do. PAGE 2 The Governance Institute’s

PAGE 2The Governance Institute’s Leadership Conference – Fairmont Scottsdale Princess

Scottsdale, ArizonaApril 17–20, 2016

My Agenda

Quality, patient safety, and value: A 15-year historical perspective

The need for alignment (and why is this so hard for physicians)

Some unanticipated consequences and major challenges around transparency, P4P, IT, and value-promotion activities

Final thoughts

The Healthcare World, Circa 2000

Quality/safety assumed to be excellent

Mental model for improvement largely wrong

No business case to improve safety/quality

No local expertise, research or best practices

All of above led to predictable results

Page 3: Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World · 2016-04-11 · Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World: What Healthcare Systems Need to Know & Do. PAGE 2 The Governance Institute’s

PAGE 3The Governance Institute’s Leadership Conference – Fairmont Scottsdale Princess

Scottsdale, ArizonaApril 17–20, 2016

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 20122010 2014 2016

The Last 15 Years, in a Nutshell

Growing business case for safety and quality

Steady progression from relatively weak pressures, eventually settling on “all of the above” plus payment changes– With new infrastructure/enabler: digitization

While ACA promotes these changes, vast majority are independent of “ObamaCare”

Recognition of need to remake delivery system to survive/succeed in new healthcare world

Page 4: Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World · 2016-04-11 · Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World: What Healthcare Systems Need to Know & Do. PAGE 2 The Governance Institute’s

PAGE 4The Governance Institute’s Leadership Conference – Fairmont Scottsdale Princess

Scottsdale, ArizonaApril 17–20, 2016

“The Challenge That Will Dominate Your Career…”

What We Need to Do: A Few Thoughts

Everybody’s new jobs– From CEO’s to MDs: the old stuff won’t work

Our new digital infrastructure– How digitization promoted transparency

– The Productivity Paradox

– Handing deviations from “best practices”

Making change happen… and stick– Social vs. market transactions

– Adaptive vs. technical change

Building a new bridge

Page 5: Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World · 2016-04-11 · Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World: What Healthcare Systems Need to Know & Do. PAGE 2 The Governance Institute’s

PAGE 5The Governance Institute’s Leadership Conference – Fairmont Scottsdale Princess

Scottsdale, ArizonaApril 17–20, 2016

The CEO’s (Old) Job

The doctors brought in the patients, so the hospital’s customer was the doctors– You don’t call your best customer onto the

carpet for problematic behavior, whether it is:Disruptive

Too expensive

Poor quality

The 99-1 vote

But this is not a viablestrategy in today’s world

MDs Need to Change as Well

“In fact, considerable attention had been given to a plan to anesthetize or tranquilize the astronauts, not to keep them from panicking but just to make sure they would lie there peacefully with their sensors on and not do something that would ruin the flight.”

Tom Wolfe, The Right Stuff

Page 6: Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World · 2016-04-11 · Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World: What Healthcare Systems Need to Know & Do. PAGE 2 The Governance Institute’s

PAGE 6The Governance Institute’s Leadership Conference – Fairmont Scottsdale Princess

Scottsdale, ArizonaApril 17–20, 2016

Health IT: The Great Enabler of Systemization

“By computerizing health records, we can avoid dangerous medical mistakes, reduce costs, and improve care.”

Ashish Jha, HSPH

~75%

Federal Dollars Created a Tipping Point for Health IT

Page 7: Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World · 2016-04-11 · Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World: What Healthcare Systems Need to Know & Do. PAGE 2 The Governance Institute’s

PAGE 7The Governance Institute’s Leadership Conference – Fairmont Scottsdale Princess

Scottsdale, ArizonaApril 17–20, 2016

Richard Baron on the Trauma of Computerizing His Philadelphia

Office Practice

“The staff came to work one day and nobody knew how to do their job.”

“We have the capacity to transform health with one thunderous click of a mouse after another.”

US Secretary of Health & Human Services Michael Leavitt, in 2005

“ER physicians spent 44 percent of their time entering data into EMRs, clicking up to 4,000 times during a 10 hour shift.”

Becker’s Health IT magazine, 2013

Page 8: Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World · 2016-04-11 · Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World: What Healthcare Systems Need to Know & Do. PAGE 2 The Governance Institute’s

PAGE 8The Governance Institute’s Leadership Conference – Fairmont Scottsdale Princess

Scottsdale, ArizonaApril 17–20, 2016

2014 Advertisement For AZ ER Job

Arizona General Hospital will be coming to The Grand Canyon State later this year!! Located in Laveen, Arizona, a suburb of Phoenix, Arizona General Hospital is a 40,000 square-foot boutique general hospital.Services offered include:•Emergency Room•Radiology Suite inc. CT, X-Ray, and Fluoroscopy•Two State-Of-The-Art Operating Rooms•Outpatient Surgery•16 Inpatient Rooms•NO EMR

Page 9: Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World · 2016-04-11 · Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World: What Healthcare Systems Need to Know & Do. PAGE 2 The Governance Institute’s

PAGE 9The Governance Institute’s Leadership Conference – Fairmont Scottsdale Princess

Scottsdale, ArizonaApril 17–20, 2016

But Change Undermined by Burnout…

“You can see the computer age everywhere but in the productivity statistics.”

-- Nobel Prize winning economist Robert Solow, 1986

Page 10: Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World · 2016-04-11 · Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World: What Healthcare Systems Need to Know & Do. PAGE 2 The Governance Institute’s

PAGE 10The Governance Institute’s Leadership Conference – Fairmont Scottsdale Princess

Scottsdale, ArizonaApril 17–20, 2016

The Two Keys for Unlocking the Productivity Paradox

Improvements in the technology

Reimagining the work

itself

When Things Will Really Get Interesting

Traditional Enterprise EHRs (Epic, Cerner, etc)

Consumer-facing IT (pt portals, apps, sensors, etc)

Page 11: Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World · 2016-04-11 · Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World: What Healthcare Systems Need to Know & Do. PAGE 2 The Governance Institute’s

PAGE 11The Governance Institute’s Leadership Conference – Fairmont Scottsdale Princess

Scottsdale, ArizonaApril 17–20, 2016

Pressure to deliver high-

value care

The digitization of the U.S.

healthcare system

The Big Picture: Two Transformational Trends

The Dominant Issue Today

Prediction: The Dominant Issue in 2025

In the Tug of War Between Forces Promoting/Inhibiting Transparency…

Page 12: Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World · 2016-04-11 · Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World: What Healthcare Systems Need to Know & Do. PAGE 2 The Governance Institute’s

PAGE 12The Governance Institute’s Leadership Conference – Fairmont Scottsdale Princess

Scottsdale, ArizonaApril 17–20, 2016

…Health IT Tilts the Balance Toward Transparency

How Will Practice Deviations be Handled?

Recent guidelines suggest…

Please callthe CMO

for approval

What isyour reason

for deviation?

Are you somekind of moron?

Page 13: Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World · 2016-04-11 · Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World: What Healthcare Systems Need to Know & Do. PAGE 2 The Governance Institute’s

PAGE 13The Governance Institute’s Leadership Conference – Fairmont Scottsdale Princess

Scottsdale, ArizonaApril 17–20, 2016

Social vs. Market Transactions: The Israeli Daycare Center

“When a social norm collides with a market norm, the social norm goes away for a long time… Money, as it turns out, is very often the most expensive way to motivate people. Social norms are not only cheaper, but often more effective as well.”

Page 14: Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World · 2016-04-11 · Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World: What Healthcare Systems Need to Know & Do. PAGE 2 The Governance Institute’s

PAGE 14The Governance Institute’s Leadership Conference – Fairmont Scottsdale Princess

Scottsdale, ArizonaApril 17–20, 2016

There Are No Shortcuts: Adaptive vs. Technical Problems

“… problems that require people themselves to change. In adaptive problems, the people are the problem and the people are the solution. And leadership then is about mobilizing and engaging the people with the problem rather than trying to anesthetize them so that you can just go off and solve it on your own.”

– Ronald Heifetz, Kennedy School of Government

So, What Will It Take?

New organizational arrangements that create aligned incentives & population perspective

Must pay attention to happiness, intrinsic motivation of clinicians

Comparative data: individual & group level– Clinically meaningful, well presented

– Can look outside for lessons, but take full advantage of local comparators

– Begin w/ groups, emphasize positive (at least at first); later move to individuals, low performers

Page 15: Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World · 2016-04-11 · Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World: What Healthcare Systems Need to Know & Do. PAGE 2 The Governance Institute’s

PAGE 15The Governance Institute’s Leadership Conference – Fairmont Scottsdale Princess

Scottsdale, ArizonaApril 17–20, 2016

So, What Will It Take? (cont.)

A new skill set– QI/safety, Lean, teamwork, leadership

– Understand how IT is helping, and how it’s not

– Must have an improvement and innovation methodology (and culture)

Get MD buy-in, up front & ongoing– Useful MD participation is seen as path for success

Can try incentives, but be careful not to step on professionalism or teamwork

Final Words

With change comes opportunity

Leadership is critical to getting the job done– Good news: you’re not alone – lots of other

forces promoting the quality/safety/value agenda

In the end, patients are likely to benefit from all of this

Keep our eyes on the ball

Page 16: Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World · 2016-04-11 · Surviving & Thriving in a Value-Based World: What Healthcare Systems Need to Know & Do. PAGE 2 The Governance Institute’s

PAGE 16The Governance Institute’s Leadership Conference – Fairmont Scottsdale Princess

Scottsdale, ArizonaApril 17–20, 2016

Choluteca Bridge, Honduras

Hurricaine Mitch, 1998