surveillance dr amna rehana sidiqui assistant professor department of family and community medicine
TRANSCRIPT
Surveillance Surveillance
Dr Amna Rehana SidiquiAssistant ProfessorDepartment of Family and Community Medicine
Learning Objectives:Learning Objectives:
After studying this lesson you will be able to:
• Define public health surveillance and its main components
• List the elements and uses of surveillance • Describe sources for data that can be used for
public health surveillance• Describe the flow of information for
reportable diseases
Public Health Surveillance
“Ongoing systematic collection, analysis, and interpretation of outcome-specific data for use in
the planning, implementation, and evaluation of public health practice.”
Definition by Centers for Disease Control (CDC) USA
Reported TB Cases* United States, 1982–2006
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
26,000
28,000
1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006
Year
No. of Cases
*Updated as of April 6, 2007.
Elements of surveillance system
•Cases and deaths due to a given disease.•Laboratory results.•Prevention and control measures.•Environment.•Vector.•Reservoir.•Population
Fig. 2Cholera: Cholera: Reported cases & Case fatality Rates (CFR), by Continent
CFR= # of TB cases dying in that yr / # of TB cases identified in that yr
By
Conceptual Taxonomy
Public Health Surveillance
Disease
Traditional ‘Syndromic’Drug Vaccine
Birth defect Injuries
Other
Etc.
Infectious Disease
Medical Utilizationand Adverse Events
OtherProducts/Services
Purposes of Public Health Surveillance
•Assess public health status about a factor/s
•Setting public health priorities; e.g. polio first…
•Evaluate prevention and control programs
•Generating hypothesis & Stimulating research; e.g. relationship of TB and HIV
Uses of Public Health Surveillance
•Estimate magnitude of the problem•Guide immediate action for cases •Determine geographic distribution of illness•Portray the natural history of a disease•Detect epidemics/define a problem•Generate hypotheses, stimulate research•Monitor changes in infectious agents•Detect changes in health practices•Facilitate planning•Evaluate control measures•Policy Changes e.g. Measles vaccine booster
TB Case Rates,* United States, 2006
< 3.5 (year 2000 target)
3.6–4.6
> 4.6 (national average)
D.C.
*Cases per 100,000.
YearYear
Rep
ort
ed
Case
s (T
hou
sand
s)R
ep
ort
ed
Case
s (T
hou
san
ds) Vaccine
licensedVaccine licensed
00
5050
100
100
150
150
200
200
250
250
300
300
350350
400
400
450
450
500
500
1963
1963
1968
1968
1973
1973
1978
1978
1983
1983
1988
1988
1993
1993
1998
1998
MEASLES — by year, United States, 1983–1998MEASLES — by year, United States, 1983–1998
00
55
1010
1515
2020
2525
3030
YearYear
19831983 19881988 19931993 19981998Rep
ort
ed
Cases
Th
ou
san
ds)
Rep
ort
ed
Cases
Th
ou
san
ds)
Evaluate control measures of MEASLESEvaluate control measures of MEASLESUnited States, 1963-1998
Data Sources for Surveillance• Notifiable diseases (Reporting is mandatory,
legal, & reportable diseases vary by region)• Laboratory specimens (Salmonella—serotypes,
Blood Lead Measurements, HIV) • Vital records (Infant Mortality Surveillance,
Birth & Death Certificates)• Sentinel surveillance (selected sites ; work-
related Asthma, lead poisoning,…)• Registries (Cancer& congenital defects)• Surveys (Nutrition Examination Survey,….)• Other data sources (Vaccine Adverse Event
Reporting, drug reaction,…)
15
Types of SurveillancePassive surveillancePassive surveillancehealth-care providers send reports to a health
department on the basis of a known set of rules and regulations, is called passive surveillance.
• Inexpensive, provider-initiated• Good for monitoring large numbers of typical health
events• Under-reporting is a problem
Active surveillanceActive surveillance▫active surveillance (health department- initiated)
health department approach health providers ; is usually limited to specific diseases over a limited period of time, such as after a community exposure or during an outbreak.
Attributes of a surveillance system --- Simplicity – time spent in maintaining
--- Flexibility – can adapt to changes--- Data quality - validity--- Acceptability – by stakeholders--- Sensitivity-can detect …--- Representativeness--- Timeliness – detected and reported --- Stability - continues without breaks
Data collection1. Routine reporting system Hospitals, health centers, health facilities,
CHW.
Advantages:Inexpensive and efficient.Standardized.,
Disadvantages:IncompleteBusy doctors & nurses
New and complex disease entities must also be monitored…
•New syndromes may emerge that present in an atypical manner
•Syndromic surveillance uses health-related data that precede diagnosis and signal a sufficient probability of a case or an outbreak to warrant further public health response
• Day 1- feels fine• Day 2- headaches, fever - buys Tylenol• Day 3- develops cough - calls nurse hotline• Day 4- Sees private doctor – dx with “flu”• Day 5- Worsens - calls ambulance seen in
ED• Day 6- Admitted - “pneumonia”• Day 7- Critically ill - ICU• Day 8- Expires - “respiratory failure”• Case enters surveillance system through
hospital reporting
Example of Passive Surveillance
•Day 1- feels fine•Day 2- headaches, fever - buys Tylenol•Day 3- develops cough - calls nurse hotline•Day 4- Sees private doctor - dx “flu”•Day 5- Worsens - calls ambulance - seen in
ED•Day 6- Admitted - “pneumonia”•Day 7- Critically ill - ICU•Day 8- Expires - “respiratory failure”•Case is under immediate investigation by
the LHD because of the pre-diagnostic information gathered
Pharmaceutical Sales
Nurse’s Hotline
Managed Care Org
Ambulance Dispatch (EMS)
ED Logs
Absenteeism records
Example of Syndromic Surveillance
2-Sentinel reporting system Selected health units; e.g. influenza in USA
to develop vaccine for that year after typing for circulating strain for that year
Advantages:More consistent pictures.Motivated.
Disadvantages:Not representativeChanges with served populatione.g. use of the same influenza vaccine in other
countries which was identified for USA population
3-Surveys and special studiese.g. The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey
(NHANES) program of studies designed to assess the health and nutritional status of adults and children in the United States.
AdvantagesBroad estimate.Measure reliability.Relieve health care workers.
Disadvantages:Large sample size.Expensive
4-Case and outbreak investigationse.g. HIV cases when first identified
On occasion.On occasion.Used as a next step Used as a next step e.g. to plan interventionto plan intervention
Post outbreak surveillance Post outbreak surveillance (e.g. to confirm that (e.g. to confirm that outbreak is over)outbreak is over)
Early warning systems: Early warning systems: e.g. surveillance for risk e.g. surveillance for risk factors in malnourished children who may be vulnerable factors in malnourished children who may be vulnerable and will acquire diseases before it spreads in healthy and will acquire diseases before it spreads in healthy children children
Data collection procedures
•Operational definition•Instruments•Registers•Questionnaires•Case investigation form•Pre-test the instrument•Source; Laboratory; hospitals…
Data collection
•Training•Supervision•Quality control•Reporting; frequency for monitoring and interpretation
Analyze and interpret data
•Summary tables.•Disease charts.•Maps.•Rates & ratios•More analysis for pattern and causes
Steps in Surveillance data Analysis•Data quality
•Descriptive analysis▫Time
▫Place
▫Persons
•Generate hypothesis
•Test hypothesis
Data Quality Issues
•Missing values
•Attraction to round figures
•Data entry errors
•Bias related to lack of representativity▫Cases more severe
▫Urban > rural
▫Source not represented (private sector, GPs)
Data Quality
•completeness and validity of the data •percentage of "unknown" or "blank •Case definition •Training of team•Manuals•Active versus passive
Burden of diseases
•Reporting only confirmed cases may not reflect true status resulting in ineffective control as an iceberg situation may exist with clinical and subclinical cases
•Only severe cases are reported •Under reporting may lead to high case
fatality rates; resource utilization affected
Timeliness of disease notification1. Health event occurs2. Identified by health care system3. Reported to local health authority 4. Verification/investigation by PHS5. Health event reported to other systems6. Analyses of health data 7. Dissemination of surveillance finding8. Actions based on surveillance findings
Early warning system• Major threats to the population; 0-4 & 5 or
more years of age, have been identified.• Severe malnutrition, injuries, acute watery
diarrhoea, bloody diarrhoea, acute flaccid paralysis, acute respiratory infections, neonatal tetanus, malaria, suspected measles, suspected meningitis, acute jaundice syndrome and acute FUO
• A threshold for each is defined; unusual pattern or occurrence will triggers investigations and responses.
8/5/1430Dr. Salwa Tayel
33
Prepare and present reports
•Review objectives.
•Review tables, graphs & maps.
•Add short narrative to explain findings
COMPARING TO PREVIOUS REPORTS.
•Describe action plan.
•Disseminate the report
Surveillance system in Hospital•High risk of hospital acquired infections
(HAI) that leads to high mortality, longer length of stay, and huge costs of hospitalization
•First Surveillance and then research•How much mortality, cost, length of stay
could be averted by reducing HAI?
•How will you start?•Person, place and time ?
EXERCISE EXERCISE
Needs and Steps •Assess your resources•Step wise fashion or all at once?•Training of individuals •Pilot testing•Obtaining data, case definitions,
standards •Monitoring/continuous / frequency ? 3
months•Interpretation ; comparing rates by
quarters•Analyses ; developing research hypothesis•Dissemination ; publication
Descriptive epidemiology •What are the infection rates in ….•What is the mortality rate in ….•What is the usual length of stay …•What are the important organisms that
are reported from …..•Any previous data?•Any previous outbreak data?•Numerator?•Denominator?•Setting/s defined
Numerators
•Case definitions required •Sepsis, Pneumonias, UTI, SWI etc. •Who will diagnose ? (for stability of rates) •Standard definitions / CDC •Laboratory based surveillance •Active surveillance
Hospital Acquired Infections in High Risk Area (Mixed type ICU) April 1998 – March 2001
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Rat
e / 1
000
Dev
ice
DA
ys
BSI 26 27 23.5 22.72 24.76 15.9 21.27 13.88 18.7 18.6 8.6 5.1
Pneumonia 2.5 5.2 7.4 7.08 4.21 6.2 2.6 1.21 9.2 8.5 10.6 10.3
UTI 1.2 0 2.42 3.38 0 0 1.97 2 2.6 0.8 0 6.5
Apr-Jun'98
Jy-Sep'9
8
Oct-Dec'9
8
Jan-Mar'9
9
Apr-Jun'99
Jul-Sep'9
9
Oct-Dec'9
9
Jan-Mar'0
0
Apr-Jn00
Jy-Sep'0
0
Jan-M01
Reference 50th Percentile
BSI=Blood Stream Infections; UTI=Urinary Tract Infections